Country Profile - Ukraine      IFs Version 7.15
  Continue    Change Country    Display Options    Map Source    Help  


Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
www.ifs.du.edu


Sign up for our monthly newsletter.

     Forecast Categories for Ukraine
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Ukraine -
Population - Million People - -
     2016: 44.48
     2030: 39.78
     2060: 31.15
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2016: -0.662
     2030: -0.829
     2060: -0.818
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2016: 10.08
     2030: 8.185
     2060: 8.463
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2016: 16.51
     2030: 16.28
     2060: 16.64
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2016: 11.71
     2030: 9.975
     2060: 6.361
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2016: 69.50
     2030: 71.87
     2060: 77.81
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2016: 63.34
     2030: 65.44
     2060: 70.98
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2016: 74.76
     2030: 77.30
     2060: 83.53
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2016: 1.473
     2030: 1.523
     2060: 1.666
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2016: 0.938
     2030: 0.765
     2060: 0.250
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2016: 2.887
     2030: 1.950
     2060: 1.588
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2016: 6.800
     2030: 5.506
     2060: 4.177
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2016: 30.84
     2030: 26.04
     2060: 17.46
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2016: 6.839
     2030: 8.234
     2060: 9.517
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2016: 31.41
     2030: 30.38
     2060: 25.38
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2016: 0.496
     2030: 0.468
     2060: 0.401
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2016: 48.92
     2030: 48.92
     2060: 48.92

Health Forecast for Ukraine -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2016: 20.54
     2030: 20.38
     2060: 20.45
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2016: 30.53
     2030: 30.54
     2060: 31.62
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2016: 1.038
     2030: 1.337
     2060: 1.945
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2016: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2016: 4.811
     2030: 4.993
     2060: 4.820

Education Forecast for Ukraine -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2016: 103.8
     2030: 103.6
     2060: 100.1
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2016: 93.83
     2030: 99.89
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 109.4
     2030: 106.9
     2060: 100.2
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 82.26
     2030: 97.77
     2060: 99.76
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 74.14
     2030: 69.98
     2060: 77.57
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2016: 11.33
     2030: 11.67
     2060: 12.88
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2016: 100.0
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Ukraine
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2016: 0.001
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2016: 0.005
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2016: 0.829
     2030: 0.857
     2060: 0.925
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2016: 3.360
     2030: 2.890
     2060: 1.681
Calories per capita available - Available per Person per Day - -
     2016: 3,209
     2030: 3,192
     2060: 3,195
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2016: -0.076
     2030: -0.011
     2060: 0.196
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2016: -1.675
     2030: -1.478
     2060: -0.995

Economy Forecast for Ukraine
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 386.7
     2030: 450.8
     2060: 669.0
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 177.5
     2030: 240.9
     2060: 512.5
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 8.693
     2030: 11.33
     2060: 21.48
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2016: 0.242
     2030: 0.241
     2060: 0.320
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2016: 42.80
     2030: 31.93
     2060: 18.01
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2016: 39.66
     2030: 42.95
     2060: 60.57

Energy Forecast for Ukraine
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2016: 0.013
     2030: 0.006
     2060: 0.001

Environment Forecast for Ukraine
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2016: 0.080
     2030: 0.073
     2060: 0.067

International Politics Forecast for Ukraine
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2016: 0.363
     2030: 0.285
     2060: 0.204

Domestic Government Forecast for Ukraine
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2016: 10.15
     2030: 10.43
     2060: 11.34
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2016: 16.57
     2030: 17.04
     2060: 17.47
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2016: 2.655
     2030: 3.228
     2060: 4.910
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2016: 1.911
     2030: 2.236
     2060: 2.884
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2016: 5.951
     2030: 6.064
     2060: 6.273