Country Profile - Ukraine      IFs Version 7.26
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Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
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     Forecast Categories for Ukraine
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Ukraine -
Population - Million People - -
     2016: 44.55
     2030: 40.45
     2060: 31.96
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2016: -0.529
     2030: -0.780
     2060: -0.793
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2016: 10.46
     2030: 8.245
     2060: 8.677
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2016: 15.55
     2030: 15.85
     2060: 16.61
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2016: 9.484
     2030: 8.054
     2060: 5.390
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2016: 71.22
     2030: 72.95
     2060: 78.18
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2016: 65.88
     2030: 67.61
     2060: 72.38
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2016: 75.83
     2030: 77.57
     2060: 83.23
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2016: 1.532
     2030: 1.572
     2060: 1.691
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2016: 0.511
     2030: 0.443
     2060: 0.164
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2016: 2.416
     2030: 1.686
     2060: 1.396
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2016: 6.780
     2030: 5.785
     2060: 4.445
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2016: 30.73
     2030: 26.26
     2060: 18.09
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2016: 7.035
     2030: 8.404
     2060: 9.420
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2016: 31.50
     2030: 30.83
     2060: 26.25
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2016: 0.505
     2030: 0.475
     2060: 0.414
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2016: 49.01
     2030: 49.01
     2060: 49.01

Health Forecast for Ukraine -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2016: 20.23
     2030: 21.73
     2060: 23.27
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2016: 31.13
     2030: 31.18
     2060: 31.68
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2016: 0.974
     2030: 1.184
     2060: 1.629
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2016: 0.738
     2030: 0.388
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2016: 4.716
     2030: 3.409
     2060: 2.189

Education Forecast for Ukraine -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2016: 103.2
     2030: 100.3
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2016: 97.36
     2030: 99.93
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 102.7
     2030: 99.73
     2060: 100.0
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 92.92
     2030: 96.04
     2060: 102.2
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 81.28
     2030: 75.81
     2060: 99.64
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2016: 11.44
     2030: 12.11
     2060: 13.63
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2016: 99.91
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Ukraine
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2016: 0.004
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2016: 0.229
     2030: 0.043
     2060: 0.005
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2016: 0.830
     2030: 0.854
     2060: 0.912
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2016: 2.904
     2030: 2.845
     2060: 1.394
Calories per capita available - Total - Available per Person per Day - -
     2016: 3,163
     2030: 3,278
     2060: 3,389
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2016: -0.104
     2030: -0.043
     2060: 0.126
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2016: -1.746
     2030: -1.567
     2060: -1.147

Economy Forecast for Ukraine
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 335.4
     2030: 391.4
     2060: 523.2
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 134.5
     2030: 176.0
     2060: 329.4
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 7.529
     2030: 9.677
     2060: 16.37
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2016: 0.240
     2030: 0.240
     2060: 0.294
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2016: 46.00
     2030: 36.71
     2060: 25.03
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2016: 51.94
     2030: 51.89
     2060: 72.47

Energy Forecast for Ukraine
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2016: 0.016
     2030: 0.007
     2060: 0.001

Environment Forecast for Ukraine
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2016: 0.078
     2030: 0.066
     2060: 0.053

International Politics Forecast for Ukraine
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2016: 0.335
     2030: 0.275
     2060: 0.213

Domestic Government Forecast for Ukraine
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2016: 9.990
     2030: 10.37
     2060: 11.38
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2016: 14.20
     2030: 14.79
     2060: 15.51
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2016: 2.164
     2030: 2.826
     2060: 4.125
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2016: 2.073
     2030: 2.362
     2060: 2.890
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2016: 6.099
     2030: 6.289
     2060: 6.509