Country Profile - Ukraine      IFs Version 7.31
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Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
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     Forecast Categories for Ukraine
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Ukraine -
Population - Million People - -
     2018: 44.08
     2030: 40.90
     2060: 32.82
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2018: -0.478
     2030: -0.711
     2060: -0.774
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2018: 10.20
     2030: 8.337
     2060: 8.688
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2018: 14.84
     2030: 15.25
     2060: 16.43
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2018: 7.786
     2030: 6.740
     2060: 4.794
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2018: 72.38
     2030: 74.06
     2060: 78.63
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2018: 67.05
     2030: 68.68
     2060: 72.73
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2018: 76.98
     2030: 78.70
     2060: 83.78
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2018: 1.556
     2030: 1.583
     2060: 1.696
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2018: 0.531
     2030: 0.585
     2060: 0.664
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2018: 2.297
     2030: 1.740
     2060: 1.443
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2018: 6.982
     2030: 5.958
     2060: 4.604
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2018: 29.70
     2030: 26.47
     2060: 18.53
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2018: 7.391
     2030: 8.467
     2060: 9.692
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2018: 31.45
     2030: 30.93
     2060: 26.72
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2018: 0.499
     2030: 0.484
     2060: 0.422
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2018: 48.97
     2030: 49.89
     2060: 50.00

Health Forecast for Ukraine -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2018: 20.73
     2030: 22.30
     2060: 25.20
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2018: 31.17
     2030: 31.37
     2060: 31.73
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2018: 1.995
     2030: 1.940
     2060: 1.934
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2018: 2.101
     2030: 1.411
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2018: 1.379
     2030: 1.230
     2060: 1.046

Education Forecast for Ukraine -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2018: 106.5
     2030: 106.9
     2060: 101.1
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2018: 88.26
     2030: 91.98
     2060: 99.78
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2018: 100.2
     2030: 96.92
     2060: 98.55
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2018: 90.73
     2030: 87.57
     2060: 92.52
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2018: 81.60
     2030: 78.44
     2060: 97.10
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2018: 11.43
     2030: 11.58
     2060: 11.98
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2018: 99.99
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Ukraine
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2018: 0.035
     2030: 0.003
     2060: 0.002
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2018: 0.897
     2030: 0.162
     2060: 0.044
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2018: 0.840
     2030: 0.862
     2060: 0.915
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2018: 2.639
     2030: 2.391
     2060: 1.185
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2018: 3,175
     2030: 3,292
     2060: 3,492
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2018: -0.095
     2030: -0.036
     2060: 0.138
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2018: -1.726
     2030: -1.560
     2060: -1.128

Economy Forecast for Ukraine
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2018: 348.3
     2030: 410.1
     2060: 535.9
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2018: 143.2
     2030: 195.6
     2060: 346.3
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2018: 7.902
     2030: 10.03
     2060: 16.33
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2018: 0.240
     2030: 0.239
     2060: 0.299
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2018: 46.17
     2030: 19.53
     2060: 20.69
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2018: 52.19
     2030: 54.53
     2060: 72.39

Energy Forecast for Ukraine
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2018: 0.010
     2030: 0.004
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Ukraine
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2018: 0.072
     2030: 0.066
     2060: 0.061

International Politics Forecast for Ukraine
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2018: 0.346
     2030: 0.297
     2060: 0.218

Domestic Government Forecast for Ukraine
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2018: 9.996
     2030: 10.11
     2060: 10.58
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2018: 14.34
     2030: 14.70
     2060: 15.46
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2018: 2.443
     2030: 2.914
     2060: 4.151
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2018: 2.193
     2030: 2.435
     2060: 2.934
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2018: 6.235
     2030: 6.357
     2060: 6.572