Country Profile - Tanzania      IFs Version 6.69
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Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
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     Forecast Categories for Tanzania
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Tanzania -
Population - Million People - -
     2013: 48.87
     2030: 77.35
     2060: 133.7
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2013: 2.898
     2030: 2.474
     2060: 1.072
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2013: 40.24
     2030: 31.90
     2060: 15.52
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2013: 10.16
     2030: 7.117
     2060: 4.760
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2013: 57.25
     2030: 35.82
     2060: 4.312
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2013: 59.10
     2030: 65.50
     2060: 77.38
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2013: 58.09
     2030: 63.88
     2060: 74.23
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2013: 60.12
     2030: 67.17
     2060: 80.60
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2013: 5.414
     2030: 4.064
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2013: 3.094
     2030: 2.477
     2060: 0.811
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2013: 10.29
     2030: 13.57
     2060: 13.13
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2013: 21.89
     2030: 31.08
     2060: 34.87
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2013: 25.40
     2030: 43.64
     2060: 89.53
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2013: 1.583
     2030: 2.628
     2060: 9.286
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2013: 13.59
     2030: 28.59
     2060: 74.99
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2013: 0.462
     2030: 0.501
     2060: 0.595
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2013: 49.40
     2030: 49.40
     2060: 49.40

Health Forecast for Tanzania -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2013: 3.247
     2030: 4.995
     2060: 11.53
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2013: 12.31
     2030: 12.95
     2060: 15.24
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2013: 16.32
     2030: 11.05
     2060: 3.370
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2013: 14.90
     2030: 6.087
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2013: 36.32
     2030: 23.14
     2060: 3.067

Education Forecast for Tanzania -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2013: 106.3
     2030: 109.2
     2060: 100.4
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2013: 94.86
     2030: 96.81
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2013: 11.17
     2030: 30.15
     2060: 95.83
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2013: 6.587
     2030: 15.47
     2060: 70.25
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2013: 2.521
     2030: 12.08
     2060: 35.83
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2013: 5.191
     2030: 5.831
     2060: 8.579
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2013: 73.80
     2030: 84.07
     2060: 98.11

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Tanzania
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation - Million People - -
     2013: 31.26
     2030: 27.43
     2060: 0.309
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation - Million People - -
     2013: 40.67
     2030: 43.56
     2060: 1.625
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2013: 0.581
     2030: 0.691
     2060: 0.901
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2013: 28.35
     2030: 18.52
     2060: 3.659
Calories per capita available - Available per Person per Day - -
     2013: 2,176
     2030: 2,459
     2060: 3,135
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2013: -1.915
     2030: -1.614
     2060: -0.801
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2013: -0.137
     2030: 0.075
     2060: 0.599

Economy Forecast for Tanzania
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2005 Dollars - -
     2013: 66.85
     2030: 219.6
     2060: 2,155
Gross domestic product - Billion 2005 Dollars - -
     2013: 23.70
     2030: 100.9
     2060: 1,677
GDP per capita at PPP - Thousand 2005 Dollars - -
     2013: 1.368
     2030: 2.839
     2060: 16.12
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2013: 0.393
     2030: 0.442
     2060: 0.408
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2013: 36.86
     2030: 47.12
     2060: 56.58
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2013: 2.670
     2030: 10.42
     2060: 39.06

Energy Forecast for Tanzania
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2013: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.001

Environment Forecast for Tanzania
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2013: 0.003
     2030: 0.015
     2060: 0.084

International Politics Forecast for Tanzania
Power index (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2013: 0.215
     2030: 0.319
     2060: 0.789

Domestic Government Forecast for Tanzania
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2013: 10.19
     2030: 11.93
     2060: 14.00
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2013: 9.217
     2030: 10.08
     2060: 13.46
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2013: 2.747
     2030: 3.063
     2060: 5.174
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2013: 2.037
     2030: 2.443
     2060: 3.484
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2013: 6.372
     2030: 6.820
     2060: 7.908