Country Profile - Tanzania      IFs Version 7.15
  Continue    Change Country    Display Options    Map Source    Help  


Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
www.ifs.du.edu


Sign up for our monthly newsletter.

     Forecast Categories for Tanzania
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Tanzania -
Population - Million People - -
     2016: 53.34
     2030: 76.80
     2060: 129.9
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2016: 2.825
     2030: 2.421
     2060: 1.016
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2016: 37.98
     2030: 31.63
     2060: 15.75
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2016: 9.182
     2030: 7.183
     2060: 5.495
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2016: 51.02
     2030: 36.02
     2060: 7.490
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2016: 60.97
     2030: 65.71
     2060: 75.61
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2016: 59.85
     2030: 64.29
     2060: 72.98
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2016: 62.10
     2030: 67.17
     2060: 78.33
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2016: 5.098
     2030: 4.021
     2060: 1.937
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2016: 3.030
     2030: 2.469
     2060: 0.808
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2016: 10.70
     2030: 13.38
     2060: 12.87
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2016: 23.66
     2030: 30.63
     2060: 33.76
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2016: 27.90
     2030: 43.43
     2060: 86.94
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2016: 1.777
     2030: 2.747
     2060: 9.223
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2016: 15.53
     2030: 28.29
     2060: 72.91
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2016: 0.495
     2030: 0.535
     2060: 0.633
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2016: 49.79
     2030: 49.79
     2060: 49.79

Health Forecast for Tanzania -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2016: 3.445
     2030: 4.331
     2060: 8.929
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2016: 12.33
     2030: 12.93
     2060: 15.01
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2016: 15.17
     2030: 11.43
     2060: 3.249
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2016: 13.94
     2030: 8.420
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2016: 34.98
     2030: 28.27
     2060: 12.02

Education Forecast for Tanzania -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2016: 104.1
     2030: 106.7
     2060: 100.2
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2016: 92.67
     2030: 98.51
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 46.10
     2030: 57.23
     2060: 96.19
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 9.221
     2030: 19.08
     2060: 79.65
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 3.565
     2030: 8.660
     2060: 28.88
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2016: 6.053
     2030: 6.925
     2060: 8.700
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2016: 71.20
     2030: 87.01
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Tanzania
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2016: 22.46
     2030: 17.34
     2060: 0.893
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2016: 37.06
     2030: 36.07
     2060: 4.352
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2016: 0.598
     2030: 0.703
     2060: 0.889
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2016: 27.83
     2030: 18.46
     2060: 3.887
Calories per capita available - Available per Person per Day - -
     2016: 2,214
     2030: 2,363
     2060: 2,904
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2016: -1.885
     2030: -1.646
     2060: -0.894
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2016: -0.111
     2030: 0.016
     2060: 0.428

Economy Forecast for Tanzania
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 95.76
     2030: 220.1
     2060: 1,792
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 33.64
     2030: 92.18
     2060: 1,323
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 1.795
     2030: 2.866
     2060: 13.79
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2016: 0.386
     2030: 0.402
     2060: 0.428
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2016: 31.18
     2030: 31.71
     2060: 30.21
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2016: 5.844
     2030: 8.509
     2060: 25.72

Energy Forecast for Tanzania
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2016: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Tanzania
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2016: 0.004
     2030: 0.012
     2060: 0.042

International Politics Forecast for Tanzania
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2016: 0.224
     2030: 0.294
     2060: 0.584

Domestic Government Forecast for Tanzania
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2016: 10.34
     2030: 11.28
     2060: 13.64
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2016: 9.405
     2030: 10.09
     2060: 13.34
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2016: 2.803
     2030: 3.044
     2060: 4.859
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2016: 2.029
     2030: 2.306
     2060: 3.296
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2016: 6.474
     2030: 6.740
     2060: 7.644