Country Profile - Taiwan, China      IFs Version 6.69
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Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
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     Forecast Categories for Taiwan, China
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Taiwan, China -
Population - Million People - -
     2013: 23.33
     2030: 23.69
     2060: 19.10
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2013: 0.360
     2030: -0.239
     2060: -1.039
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2013: 9.722
     2030: 7.904
     2060: 7.814
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2013: 6.125
     2030: 10.29
     2060: 18.20
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2013: 3.478
     2030: 2.424
     2060: 1.573
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2013: 80.53
     2030: 81.78
     2060: 83.11
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2013: 77.14
     2030: 78.27
     2060: 79.35
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2013: 83.90
     2030: 85.21
     2060: 86.68
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2013: 1.411
     2030: 1.498
     2060: 1.650
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2013: 0.010
     2030: 0.008
     2060: 0.003
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2013: 1.416
     2030: 1.199
     2060: 0.925
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2013: 3.531
     2030: 3.140
     2060: 2.396
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2013: 16.91
     2030: 15.03
     2060: 10.35
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2013: 2.880
     2030: 5.516
     2060: 6.344
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2013: 20.84
     2030: 22.51
     2060: 18.11
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2013: 0.432
     2030: 0.390
     2060: 0.345
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2013: 37.09
     2030: 41.12
     2060: 45.41

Health Forecast for Taiwan, China -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2013: 27.58
     2030: 29.43
     2060: 30.24
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2013: 23.47
     2030: 22.08
     2060: 21.53
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2013: 1.046
     2030: 1.215
     2060: 1.599
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2013: 1.079
     2030: 3.253
     2060: 4.019
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2013: 0.338
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

Education Forecast for Taiwan, China -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2013: 109.9
     2030: 100.2
     2060: 99.03
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2013: 99.17
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 99.25
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2013: 115.1
     2030: 103.7
     2060: 98.41
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2013: 116.8
     2030: 103.5
     2060: 98.25
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2013: 57.31
     2030: 64.96
     2060: 64.51
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2013: 11.27
     2030: 12.33
     2060: 13.90
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2013: 100.0
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Taiwan, China
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation - Million People - -
     2013: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation - Million People - -
     2013: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2013: 0.965
     2030: 0.990
     2060: 1.000
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2013: 1.139
     2030: 0.985
     2060: 0.867
Calories per capita available - Available per Person per Day - -
     2013: 3,474
     2030: 3,579
     2060: 3,621
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2013: -0.015
     2030: 0.203
     2060: 0.642
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2013: -0.720
     2030: -0.492
     2060: -0.111

Economy Forecast for Taiwan, China
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2005 Dollars - -
     2013: 776.8
     2030: 1,094
     2060: 1,125
Gross domestic product - Billion 2005 Dollars - -
     2013: 492.8
     2030: 824.1
     2060: 935.0
GDP per capita at PPP - Thousand 2005 Dollars - -
     2013: 33.30
     2030: 46.20
     2060: 58.93
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2013: 0.293
     2030: 0.290
     2060: 0.319
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2013: 52.07
     2030: 39.75
     2060: 38.96
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2013: 71.51
     2030: 90.74
     2060: 91.20

Energy Forecast for Taiwan, China
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2013: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Taiwan, China
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2013: 0.067
     2030: 0.078
     2060: 0.059

International Politics Forecast for Taiwan, China
Power index (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2013: 0.810
     2030: 0.729
     2060: 0.337

Domestic Government Forecast for Taiwan, China
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2013: 13.12
     2030: 13.76
     2060: 14.00
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2013: 19.96
     2030: 20.00
     2060: 20.00
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2013: 6.089
     2030: 7.954
     2060: 9.909
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2013: 3.747
     2030: 3.978
     2060: 4.178
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2013: 7.651
     2030: 7.829
     2060: 7.960