Country Profile - Turkey      IFs Version 7.15
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     Forecast Categories for Turkey
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Turkey -
Population - Million People - -
     2015: 76.55
     2030: 86.00
     2060: 94.14
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2015: 0.983
     2030: 0.641
     2060: -0.003
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2015: 16.13
     2030: 13.58
     2060: 10.92
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2015: 6.261
     2030: 7.060
     2060: 10.88
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2015: 14.47
     2030: 10.85
     2060: 7.140
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2015: 74.62
     2030: 77.29
     2060: 81.53
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2015: 72.23
     2030: 74.72
     2060: 78.61
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2015: 76.93
     2030: 79.80
     2060: 84.39
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2015: 1.982
     2030: 1.900
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2015: 0.003
     2030: 0.002
     2060: 0.001
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2015: 7.488
     2030: 6.959
     2060: 6.175
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2015: 18.98
     2030: 17.44
     2060: 15.59
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2015: 51.70
     2030: 58.26
     2060: 56.86
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2015: 5.866
     2030: 10.30
     2060: 21.69
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2015: 56.69
     2030: 73.62
     2060: 86.61
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2015: 0.367
     2030: 0.379
     2060: 0.352
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2015: 30.79
     2030: 34.56
     2060: 39.95

Health Forecast for Turkey -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2015: 29.85
     2030: 28.54
     2060: 26.19
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2015: 30.28
     2030: 31.33
     2060: 31.09
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2015: 3.413
     2030: 3.358
     2060: 3.241
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2015: 2.344
     2030: 0.835
     2060: 0.881
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2015: 4.641
     2030: 3.937
     2060: 1.438

Education Forecast for Turkey -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2015: 101.9
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.1
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2015: 99.94
     2030: 99.94
     2060: 99.74
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2015: 101.7
     2030: 97.99
     2060: 97.71
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2015: 76.43
     2030: 88.16
     2060: 93.79
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2015: 55.00
     2030: 55.00
     2060: 60.73
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2015: 7.442
     2030: 8.818
     2060: 10.99
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2015: 93.87
     2030: 96.57
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Turkey
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2015: 0.378
     2030: 0.298
     2060: 0.299
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2015: 1.958
     2030: 1.446
     2060: 1.211
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2015: 0.878
     2030: 0.918
     2060: 0.980
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2015: 5.053
     2030: 3.289
     2060: 1.987
Calories per capita available - Available per Person per Day - -
     2015: 3,650
     2030: 3,571
     2060: 3,417
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2015: -0.161
     2030: -0.050
     2060: 0.158
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2015: -0.064
     2030: 0.166
     2060: 0.551

Economy Forecast for Turkey
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2015: 1,389
     2030: 2,105
     2060: 3,728
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2015: 867.0
     2030: 1,559
     2060: 3,431
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2015: 18.14
     2030: 24.48
     2060: 39.60
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2015: 0.396
     2030: 0.430
     2060: 0.488
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2015: 16.51
     2030: 10.24
     2060: 5.205
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2015: 29.99
     2030: 36.48
     2060: 62.37

Energy Forecast for Turkey
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2015: 0.020
     2030: 0.015
     2060: 0.003

Environment Forecast for Turkey
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2015: 0.093
     2030: 0.120
     2060: 0.108

International Politics Forecast for Turkey
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2015: 1.131
     2030: 1.093
     2060: 0.820

Domestic Government Forecast for Turkey
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2015: 10.26
     2030: 11.23
     2060: 12.77
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2015: 17.35
     2030: 18.28
     2060: 18.97
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2015: 4.605
     2030: 5.475
     2060: 7.388
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2015: 2.901
     2030: 3.195
     2060: 3.666
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2015: 6.972
     2030: 7.157
     2060: 7.421