Country Profile - Turkey      IFs Version 7.37
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     Forecast Categories for Turkey
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Turkey -
Population - Million People - -
     2018: 81.88
     2030: 90.63
     2060: 98.23
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2018: 1.442
     2030: 0.514
     2060: -0.049
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2018: 15.77
     2030: 13.74
     2060: 10.99
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2018: 6.056
     2030: 6.960
     2060: 10.94
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2018: 10.76
     2030: 8.478
     2060: 5.269
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2018: 75.92
     2030: 77.68
     2060: 81.51
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2018: 72.56
     2030: 74.21
     2060: 77.99
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2018: 79.17
     2030: 81.04
     2060: 84.92
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2018: 2.001
     2030: 1.900
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2018: 0.007
     2030: 0.006
     2060: 0.002
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2018: 6.561
     2030: 6.234
     2060: 5.411
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2018: 20.00
     2030: 18.63
     2060: 16.44
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2018: 55.00
     2030: 61.24
     2060: 59.71
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2018: 6.880
     2030: 10.75
     2060: 22.08
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2018: 61.17
     2030: 74.82
     2060: 90.30
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2018: 0.358
     2030: 0.261
     2060: 0.127
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2018: 32.63
     2030: 35.77
     2060: 41.34

Health Forecast for Turkey -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2018: 30.35
     2030: 31.05
     2060: 29.20
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2018: 27.13
     2030: 27.77
     2060: 26.70
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2018: 1.974
     2030: 1.872
     2060: 2.080
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2018: 2.034
     2030: 1.271
     2060: 2.832
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2018: 2.230
     2030: 1.823
     2060: 1.503

Education Forecast for Turkey -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2018: 102.5
     2030: 104.0
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2018: 90.47
     2030: 98.59
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2018: 98.52
     2030: 103.5
     2060: 99.79
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2018: 104.1
     2030: 99.15
     2060: 96.65
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2018: 89.29
     2030: 102.9
     2060: 102.3
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2018: 7.662
     2030: 9.135
     2060: 12.31
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2018: 96.11
     2030: 97.74
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Forecast for Turkey
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2018: 0.113
     2030: 0.047
     2060: 0.002
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2018: 0.662
     2030: 0.318
     2060: 0.024
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2018: 0.909
     2030: 0.935
     2060: 0.991
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2018: 3.580
     2030: 2.610
     2060: 1.655
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2018: 3,733
     2030: 3,776
     2060: 3,661
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2018: -0.178
     2030: -0.090
     2060: 0.124
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2018: -0.102
     2030: 0.084
     2060: 0.475

Economy Forecast for Turkey
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2018: 1,981
     2030: 2,660
     2060: 4,757
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2018: 1,120
     2030: 1,728
     2060: 3,944
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2018: 24.19
     2030: 29.35
     2060: 48.43
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2018: 0.428
     2030: 0.429
     2060: 0.419
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2018: 34.39
     2030: 31.42
     2060: 28.46
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2018: 41.51
     2030: 67.61
     2060: 77.69

Energy Forecast for Turkey
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2018: 0.018
     2030: 0.012
     2060: 0.002

Environment Forecast for Turkey
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2018: 0.100
     2030: 0.112
     2060: 0.106

International Politics Forecast for Turkey
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2018: 1.353
     2030: 1.388
     2060: 1.274

Domestic Government Forecast for Turkey
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2018: 9.164
     2030: 9.995
     2060: 11.84
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2018: 13.17
     2030: 13.94
     2060: 15.57
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2018: 4.341
     2030: 5.135
     2060: 7.794
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2018: 2.929
     2030: 3.141
     2060: 3.663
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2018: 6.841
     2030: 6.961
     2060: 7.251