Country Profile - Turkey      IFs Version 7.24
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     Forecast Categories for Turkey
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Turkey -
Population - Million People - -
     2016: 79.27
     2030: 88.72
     2060: 98.15
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2016: 0.984
     2030: 0.677
     2060: 0.015
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2016: 16.17
     2030: 13.69
     2060: 10.97
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2016: 5.767
     2030: 6.809
     2060: 10.75
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2016: 11.79
     2030: 9.655
     2060: 7.207
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2016: 75.85
     2030: 78.03
     2060: 81.68
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2016: 72.57
     2030: 74.54
     2060: 77.81
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2016: 79.02
     2030: 81.41
     2060: 85.41
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2016: 2.031
     2030: 1.900
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2016: 0.007
     2030: 0.006
     2060: 0.002
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2016: 6.676
     2030: 5.995
     2060: 5.368
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2016: 19.96
     2030: 18.08
     2060: 16.31
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2016: 53.11
     2030: 59.89
     2060: 59.56
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2016: 6.187
     2030: 10.76
     2060: 22.28
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2016: 58.96
     2030: 75.93
     2060: 90.29
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2016: 0.370
     2030: 0.384
     2060: 0.361
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2016: 31.15
     2030: 34.83
     2060: 40.49

Health Forecast for Turkey -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2016: 30.11
     2030: 30.96
     2060: 29.86
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2016: 27.14
     2030: 27.93
     2060: 28.76
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2016: 1.907
     2030: 1.843
     2060: 2.005
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2016: 1.893
     2030: 0.061
     2060: 1.845
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2016: 4.609
     2030: 3.603
     2060: 2.682

Education Forecast for Turkey -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2016: 106.9
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 99.35
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2016: 93.66
     2030: 99.53
     2060: 99.10
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 105.8
     2030: 105.6
     2060: 99.42
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 95.47
     2030: 100.9
     2060: 95.45
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 78.28
     2030: 74.81
     2060: 64.32
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2016: 7.469
     2030: 8.153
     2060: 9.611
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2016: 95.63
     2030: 97.77
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Turkey
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2016: 0.007
     2030: 0.011
     2060: 0.034
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2016: 1.284
     2030: 1.187
     2060: 1.538
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2016: 0.893
     2030: 0.926
     2060: 0.971
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2016: 3.854
     2030: 2.653
     2060: 1.831
Calories per capita available - Total - Available per Person per Day - -
     2016: 3,702
     2030: 3,754
     2060: 3,685
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2016: -0.186
     2030: -0.085
     2060: 0.103
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2016: -0.120
     2030: 0.096
     2060: 0.446

Economy Forecast for Turkey
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 1,508
     2030: 2,143
     2060: 3,234
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 914.3
     2030: 1,505
     2060: 2,862
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 19.02
     2030: 24.15
     2060: 32.95
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2016: 0.410
     2030: 0.449
     2060: 0.511
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2016: 36.69
     2030: 28.71
     2060: 23.40
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2016: 36.44
     2030: 41.69
     2060: 49.74

Energy Forecast for Turkey
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2016: 0.018
     2030: 0.017
     2060: 0.006

Environment Forecast for Turkey
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2016: 0.087
     2030: 0.117
     2060: 0.111

International Politics Forecast for Turkey
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2016: 1.171
     2030: 1.203
     2060: 1.014

Domestic Government Forecast for Turkey
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2016: 9.065
     2030: 9.551
     2060: 10.47
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2016: 13.14
     2030: 14.02
     2060: 15.42
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2016: 4.279
     2030: 5.025
     2060: 6.298
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2016: 2.915
     2030: 3.148
     2060: 3.502
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2016: 6.937
     2030: 7.088
     2060: 7.286