Country Profile - Turkey      IFs Version 7.26
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     Forecast Categories for Turkey
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Turkey -
Population - Million People - -
     2016: 79.27
     2030: 88.73
     2060: 98.22
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2016: 0.984
     2030: 0.679
     2060: 0.019
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2016: 16.17
     2030: 13.69
     2060: 10.97
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2016: 5.767
     2030: 6.796
     2060: 10.70
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2016: 11.79
     2030: 9.621
     2060: 7.114
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2016: 75.85
     2030: 78.06
     2060: 81.78
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2016: 72.57
     2030: 74.57
     2060: 77.91
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2016: 79.02
     2030: 81.44
     2060: 85.50
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2016: 2.031
     2030: 1.900
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2016: 0.007
     2030: 0.006
     2060: 0.002
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2016: 6.676
     2030: 5.995
     2060: 5.369
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2016: 19.96
     2030: 18.08
     2060: 16.31
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2016: 53.11
     2030: 59.89
     2060: 59.58
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2016: 6.187
     2030: 10.76
     2060: 22.33
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2016: 58.96
     2030: 75.94
     2060: 90.36
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2016: 0.370
     2030: 0.384
     2060: 0.360
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2016: 31.15
     2030: 34.83
     2060: 40.49

Health Forecast for Turkey -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2016: 30.11
     2030: 30.96
     2060: 29.58
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2016: 27.14
     2030: 27.94
     2060: 28.72
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2016: 1.906
     2030: 1.808
     2060: 1.996
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2016: 1.894
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 1.631
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2016: 4.587
     2030: 3.579
     2060: 2.727

Education Forecast for Turkey -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2016: 106.9
     2030: 100.6
     2060: 99.46
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2016: 93.66
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 99.21
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 105.8
     2030: 105.9
     2060: 100.2
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 95.47
     2030: 101.3
     2060: 97.46
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 78.28
     2030: 75.47
     2060: 66.24
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2016: 7.469
     2030: 8.159
     2060: 9.700
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2016: 95.63
     2030: 97.78
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Turkey
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2016: 0.008
     2030: 0.014
     2060: 0.044
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2016: 1.298
     2030: 1.321
     2060: 1.810
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2016: 0.893
     2030: 0.926
     2060: 0.972
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2016: 3.854
     2030: 2.642
     2060: 1.798
Calories per capita available - Total - Available per Person per Day - -
     2016: 3,702
     2030: 3,754
     2060: 3,667
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2016: -0.186
     2030: -0.085
     2060: 0.104
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2016: -0.120
     2030: 0.096
     2060: 0.448

Economy Forecast for Turkey
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 1,508
     2030: 2,149
     2060: 3,269
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 914.3
     2030: 1,512
     2060: 2,907
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 19.02
     2030: 24.22
     2060: 33.29
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2016: 0.410
     2030: 0.451
     2060: 0.514
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2016: 36.68
     2030: 28.88
     2060: 23.94
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2016: 36.43
     2030: 42.40
     2060: 52.09

Energy Forecast for Turkey
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2016: 0.018
     2030: 0.017
     2060: 0.006

Environment Forecast for Turkey
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2016: 0.087
     2030: 0.117
     2060: 0.109

International Politics Forecast for Turkey
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2016: 1.172
     2030: 1.211
     2060: 0.979

Domestic Government Forecast for Turkey
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2016: 9.065
     2030: 9.556
     2060: 10.53
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2016: 13.14
     2030: 14.02
     2060: 15.43
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2016: 4.279
     2030: 5.032
     2060: 6.338
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2016: 2.915
     2030: 3.149
     2060: 3.509
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2016: 6.937
     2030: 7.089
     2060: 7.291