Country Profile - Turkey      IFs Version 7.08
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     Forecast Categories for Turkey
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Turkey -
Population - Million People - -
     2014: 75.74
     2030: 86.07
     2060: 95.04
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2014: 1.073
     2030: 0.654
     2060: 0.037
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2014: 16.48
     2030: 13.57
     2060: 10.87
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2014: 6.217
     2030: 6.924
     2060: 10.42
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2014: 14.75
     2030: 10.16
     2060: 5.771
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2014: 74.44
     2030: 77.65
     2060: 82.61
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2014: 72.06
     2030: 75.06
     2060: 79.61
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2014: 76.74
     2030: 80.17
     2060: 85.55
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2014: 2.008
     2030: 1.900
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2014: 0.003
     2030: 0.002
     2060: 0.001
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2014: 7.535
     2030: 6.965
     2060: 6.205
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2014: 19.07
     2030: 17.44
     2060: 15.67
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2014: 51.00
     2030: 58.28
     2060: 57.06
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2014: 5.679
     2030: 10.35
     2060: 22.30
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2014: 55.52
     2030: 73.66
     2060: 87.44
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2014: 0.365
     2030: 0.379
     2060: 0.350
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2014: 30.51
     2030: 34.56
     2060: 39.95

Health Forecast for Turkey -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2014: 29.87
     2030: 28.93
     2060: 27.42
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2014: 30.26
     2030: 31.58
     2060: 30.37
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2014: 3.416
     2030: 3.276
     2060: 3.044
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2014: 2.660
     2030: 0.488
     2060: 0.051
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2014: 4.701
     2030: 3.877
     2060: 0.988

Education Forecast for Turkey -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2014: 102.6
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.1
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2014: 99.78
     2030: 99.95
     2060: 99.59
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2014: 101.0
     2030: 98.41
     2060: 98.25
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2014: 74.68
     2030: 89.16
     2060: 95.30
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2014: 55.05
     2030: 56.79
     2060: 67.97
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2014: 7.340
     2030: 8.849
     2060: 11.27
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2014: 93.66
     2030: 96.57
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Turkey
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2014: 0.753
     2030: 0.171
     2060: 0.013
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2014: 2.770
     2030: 0.824
     2060: 0.085
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2014: 0.875
     2030: 0.926
     2060: 1.000
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2014: 5.201
     2030: 3.198
     2060: 1.774
Calories per capita available - Available per Person per Day - -
     2014: 3,651
     2030: 3,596
     2060: 3,499
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2014: -0.169
     2030: -0.039
     2060: 0.204
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2014: -0.082
     2030: 0.185
     2060: 0.640

Economy Forecast for Turkey
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2014: 1,351
     2030: 2,344
     2060: 5,276
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2014: 840.6
     2030: 1,805
     2060: 4,855
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2014: 17.84
     2030: 27.23
     2060: 55.52
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2014: 0.403
     2030: 0.402
     2060: 0.412
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2014: 513,511,063,552
     2030: 434,708,185,088
     2060: 415,027,757,056
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2014: 29.76
     2030: 39.95
     2060: 72.99

Energy Forecast for Turkey
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2014: 0.020
     2030: 0.015
     2060: 0.003

Environment Forecast for Turkey
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2014: 0.091
     2030: 0.127
     2060: 0.142

International Politics Forecast for Turkey
Power index, Global Power Index (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2014: 1.134
     2030: 1.194
     2060: 1.004

Domestic Government Forecast for Turkey
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2014: 10.20
     2030: 11.31
     2060: 13.12
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2014: 17.28
     2030: 18.37
     2060: 19.14
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2014: 4.561
     2030: 5.806
     2060: 9.292
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2014: 2.883
     2030: 3.263
     2060: 3.878
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2014: 6.961
     2030: 7.213
     2060: 7.596