Country Profile - Turkey      IFs Version 7.31
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     Forecast Categories for Turkey
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Turkey -
Population - Million People - -
     2017: 79.88
     2030: 88.31
     2060: 97.53
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2017: 0.903
     2030: 0.663
     2060: 0.011
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2017: 15.94
     2030: 13.72
     2060: 11.05
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2017: 6.040
     2030: 6.990
     2060: 10.87
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2017: 11.10
     2030: 8.482
     2060: 5.479
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2017: 75.73
     2030: 77.82
     2060: 81.44
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2017: 72.38
     2030: 74.35
     2060: 77.69
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2017: 78.97
     2030: 81.18
     2060: 85.05
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2017: 2.032
     2030: 1.900
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2017: 0.007
     2030: 0.006
     2060: 0.002
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2017: 6.611
     2030: 5.978
     2060: 5.375
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2017: 19.85
     2030: 18.06
     2060: 16.38
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2017: 53.45
     2030: 59.62
     2060: 59.69
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2017: 6.580
     2030: 10.63
     2060: 21.46
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2017: 60.24
     2030: 76.33
     2060: 89.72
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2017: 0.379
     2030: 0.393
     2060: 0.373
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2017: 31.68
     2030: 35.12
     2060: 40.79

Health Forecast for Turkey -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2017: 30.07
     2030: 31.24
     2060: 31.83
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2017: 27.14
     2030: 27.88
     2060: 28.01
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2017: 2.005
     2030: 1.853
     2060: 1.855
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2017: 2.102
     2030: 1.295
     2060: 0.959
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2017: 1.407
     2030: 1.157
     2060: 0.897

Education Forecast for Turkey -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2017: 106.2
     2030: 102.2
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2017: 98.00
     2030: 100.00
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2017: 104.6
     2030: 103.7
     2060: 99.63
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2017: 94.57
     2030: 94.24
     2060: 95.27
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2017: 85.03
     2030: 105.9
     2060: 102.8
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2017: 7.678
     2030: 9.233
     2060: 12.11
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2017: 96.11
     2030: 98.13
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Turkey
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2017: 0.006
     2030: 0.010
     2060: 0.015
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2017: 1.307
     2030: 1.268
     2060: 1.022
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2017: 0.896
     2030: 0.929
     2060: 0.982
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2017: 3.619
     2030: 2.461
     2060: 1.604
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2017: 3,716
     2030: 3,788
     2060: 3,821
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2017: -0.187
     2030: -0.092
     2060: 0.116
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2017: -0.122
     2030: 0.084
     2060: 0.480

Economy Forecast for Turkey
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2017: 1,569
     2030: 2,241
     2060: 4,048
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2017: 1,050
     2030: 1,718
     2060: 3,744
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2017: 19.64
     2030: 25.37
     2060: 41.50
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2017: 0.406
     2030: 0.442
     2060: 0.499
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2017: 34.65
     2030: 30.55
     2060: 28.35
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2017: 37.26
     2030: 70.60
     2060: 76.97

Energy Forecast for Turkey
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2017: 0.018
     2030: 0.011
     2060: 0.002

Environment Forecast for Turkey
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2017: 0.093
     2030: 0.105
     2060: 0.118

International Politics Forecast for Turkey
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2017: 1.187
     2030: 1.263
     2060: 1.193

Domestic Government Forecast for Turkey
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2017: 9.087
     2030: 9.979
     2060: 11.67
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2017: 13.12
     2030: 13.93
     2060: 15.48
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2017: 4.242
     2030: 5.057
     2060: 7.234
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2017: 2.904
     2030: 3.145
     2060: 3.629
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2017: 6.928
     2030: 7.084
     2060: 7.377