Country Profile - Tonga      IFs Version 7.53
  Continue    Change Country    Display Options    Map Source    Help  


Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
www.ifs.du.edu


Sign up for our monthly newsletter.

     Forecast Categories for Tonga
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Tonga -
Population - Million People - -
     2020: 0.103
     2030: 0.111
     2060: 0.133
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2020: 0.521
     2030: 0.827
     2060: 0.230
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2020: 23.02
     2030: 23.63
     2060: 16.34
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2020: 7.032
     2030: 6.760
     2060: 8.293
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Live Births - -
     2020: 12.17
     2030: 11.55
     2060: 9.860
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2020: 70.70
     2030: 71.45
     2060: 73.57
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2020: 67.76
     2030: 68.38
     2060: 70.23
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2020: 73.70
     2030: 74.62
     2060: 77.05
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2020: 3.493
     2030: 3.173
     2060: 2.287
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2020: 0.010
     2030: 0.008
     2060: 0.003
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2020: 0.012
     2030: 0.013
     2060: 0.011
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2020: 0.036
     2030: 0.035
     2060: 0.033
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2020: 0.062
     2030: 0.069
     2060: 0.088
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2020: 0.006
     2030: 0.007
     2060: 0.012
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2020: 0.025
     2030: 0.027
     2060: 0.032
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2020: 0.406
     2030: 0.409
     2060: 0.403
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2020: 39.97
     2030: 42.31
     2060: 46.53

Health Forecast for Tonga -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2020: 79.10
     2030: 81.89
     2060: 90.22
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2020: 30.63
     2030: 30.50
     2060: 30.08
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2020: 1.964
     2030: 1.975
     2060: 1.953
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2020: 1.958
     2030: 2.036
     2060: 0.634
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2020: 13.64
     2030: 12.11
     2060: 8.003

Education Forecast for Tonga -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2020: 110.4
     2030: 105.4
     2060: 100.1
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2020: 93.64
     2030: 96.24
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2020: 110.5
     2030: 103.6
     2060: 99.97
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2020: 71.71
     2030: 73.90
     2060: 77.68
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2020: 9.957
     2030: 15.40
     2060: 26.24
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2020: 10.80
     2030: 10.56
     2060: 10.37
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2020: 99.81
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Forecast for Tonga
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2020: 0.017
     2030: 0.029
     2060: 0.037
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2020: 0.031
     2030: 0.045
     2060: 0.056
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2020: 0.811
     2030: 0.822
     2060: 0.848
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2020: 3.141
     2030: 2.891
     2060: 2.352
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2020: 2,598
     2030: 2,652
     2060: 2,807
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2020: 0.020
     2030: 0.073
     2060: 0.158
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2020: -0.034
     2030: 0.046
     2060: 0.197

Economy Forecast for Tonga
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2020: 0.585
     2030: 0.703
     2060: 1.083
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2020: 0.460
     2030: 0.533
     2060: 0.769
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2020: 5.693
     2030: 6.313
     2060: 8.164
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2020: 0.379
     2030: 0.391
     2060: 0.414
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2020: 47.48
     2030: 46.30
     2060: 45.37
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2020: 8.310
     2030: 11.48
     2060: 19.25

Energy Forecast for Tonga
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2020: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Tonga
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2020: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

International Politics Forecast for Tonga
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2020: 0.001
     2030: 0.001
     2060: 0.001

Domestic Government Forecast for Tonga
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2020: 12.01
     2030: 11.93
     2060: 11.93
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2020: 13.53
     2030: 13.81
     2060: 14.98
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2020: 3.089
     2030: 3.230
     2060: 3.649
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2020: 2.208
     2030: 2.329
     2060: 2.655
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2020: 6.424
     2030: 6.489
     2060: 6.631