Country Profile - Tonga      IFs Version 7.45
  Continue    Change Country    Display Options    Map Source    Help  


Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
www.ifs.du.edu


Sign up for our monthly newsletter.

     Forecast Categories for Tonga
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Tonga -
Population - Million People - -
     2020: 0.103
     2030: 0.111
     2060: 0.131
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2020: 0.516
     2030: 0.816
     2060: 0.129
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2020: 22.87
     2030: 23.40
     2060: 15.14
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2020: 6.971
     2030: 6.710
     2060: 8.086
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Live Births - -
     2020: 11.47
     2030: 10.62
     2060: 7.347
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2020: 70.85
     2030: 71.61
     2060: 74.44
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2020: 67.91
     2030: 68.55
     2060: 71.28
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2020: 73.86
     2030: 74.77
     2060: 77.76
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2020: 3.471
     2030: 3.132
     2060: 2.103
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2020: 0.010
     2030: 0.008
     2060: 0.003
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2020: 0.012
     2030: 0.013
     2060: 0.010
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2020: 0.036
     2030: 0.035
     2060: 0.031
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2020: 0.062
     2030: 0.069
     2060: 0.088
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2020: 0.006
     2030: 0.007
     2060: 0.012
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2020: 0.025
     2030: 0.027
     2060: 0.031
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2020: 0.429
     2030: 0.493
     2060: 0.536
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2020: 39.97
     2030: 42.31
     2060: 46.53

Health Forecast for Tonga -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2020: 81.55
     2030: 87.28
     2060: 98.70
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2020: 30.66
     2030: 30.77
     2060: 31.44
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2020: 1.903
     2030: 1.785
     2060: 1.640
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2020: 1.391
     2030: 1.069
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2020: 12.73
     2030: 9.361
     2060: 4.651

Education Forecast for Tonga -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2020: 108.7
     2030: 107.0
     2060: 100.8
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2020: 94.24
     2030: 96.30
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2020: 100.9
     2030: 95.82
     2060: 92.74
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2020: 57.75
     2030: 62.17
     2060: 73.62
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2020: 9.303
     2030: 15.26
     2060: 31.48
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2020: 10.78
     2030: 10.32
     2060: 10.11
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2020: 99.77
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Forecast for Tonga
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2020: 0.016
     2030: 0.019
     2060: 0.014
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2020: 0.028
     2030: 0.032
     2060: 0.024
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2020: 0.818
     2030: 0.832
     2060: 0.882
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2020: 3.015
     2030: 2.748
     2060: 1.977
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2020: 2,645
     2030: 2,753
     2060: 3,017
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2020: 0.031
     2030: 0.100
     2060: 0.262
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2020: -0.014
     2030: 0.098
     2060: 0.394

Economy Forecast for Tonga
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2020: 0.650
     2030: 0.830
     2060: 1.812
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2020: 0.545
     2030: 0.705
     2060: 1.689
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2020: 6.320
     2030: 7.458
     2060: 13.87
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2020: 0.383
     2030: 0.403
     2060: 0.452
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2020: 48.09
     2030: 47.38
     2060: 48.49
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2020: 9.854
     2030: 13.93
     2060: 27.53

Energy Forecast for Tonga
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2020: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Tonga
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2020: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

International Politics Forecast for Tonga
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2020: 0.001
     2030: 0.001
     2060: 0.001

Domestic Government Forecast for Tonga
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2020: 12.01
     2030: 11.88
     2060: 12.12
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2020: 13.53
     2030: 13.83
     2060: 15.19
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2020: 3.176
     2030: 3.369
     2060: 4.334
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2020: 2.274
     2030: 2.433
     2060: 2.982
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2020: 6.483
     2030: 6.574
     2060: 6.892