Country Profile - Turkmenistan      IFs Version 7.26
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     Forecast Categories for Turkmenistan
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Turkmenistan -
Population - Million People - -
     2016: 5.443
     2030: 6.214
     2060: 6.930
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2016: 1.219
     2030: 0.614
     2060: 0.045
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2016: 20.82
     2030: 14.81
     2060: 11.55
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2016: 7.741
     2030: 7.869
     2060: 10.52
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2016: 44.85
     2030: 33.55
     2060: 18.66
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2016: 66.42
     2030: 70.09
     2060: 76.89
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2016: 62.12
     2030: 65.57
     2060: 72.03
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2016: 70.58
     2030: 74.41
     2060: 81.44
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2016: 2.260
     2030: 1.941
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2016: 0.010
     2030: 0.009
     2060: 0.003
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2016: 0.536
     2030: 0.465
     2060: 0.402
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2016: 1.525
     2030: 1.486
     2060: 1.255
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2016: 3.685
     2030: 4.225
     2060: 4.328
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2016: 0.233
     2030: 0.503
     2060: 1.347
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2016: 2.735
     2030: 3.430
     2060: 4.538
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2016: 0.446
     2030: 0.461
     2060: 0.438
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2016: 39.80
     2030: 43.13
     2060: 47.05

Health Forecast for Turkmenistan -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2016: 18.12
     2030: 20.75
     2060: 24.73
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2016: 23.53
     2030: 24.36
     2060: 24.53
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2016: 10.11
     2030: 7.407
     2060: 3.049
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2016: 9.927
     2030: 5.165
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2016: 4.515
     2030: 2.881
     2060: 1.620

Education Forecast for Turkmenistan -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2016: 94.24
     2030: 102.5
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2016: 90.32
     2030: 98.54
     2060: 99.95
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 89.81
     2030: 103.6
     2060: 114.3
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 80.11
     2030: 79.40
     2060: 100.1
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 8.885
     2030: 16.50
     2060: 47.00
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2016: 8.279
     2030: 8.484
     2060: 10.60
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2016: 99.77
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Turkmenistan
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2016: 0.138
     2030: 0.072
     2060: 0.079
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2016: 0.829
     2030: 0.449
     2060: 0.372
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2016: 0.843
     2030: 0.885
     2060: 0.951
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2016: 16.92
     2030: 13.29
     2060: 3.438
Calories per capita available - Total - Available per Person per Day - -
     2016: 2,914
     2030: 3,101
     2060: 3,352
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2016: 0.223
     2030: 0.309
     2060: 0.365
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2016: 0.517
     2030: 0.595
     2060: 0.662

Economy Forecast for Turkmenistan
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 84.09
     2030: 138.8
     2060: 260.4
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 43.82
     2030: 89.82
     2060: 229.3
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 15.45
     2030: 22.34
     2060: 37.58
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2016: 0.417
     2030: 0.470
     2060: 0.556
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2016: 16.25
     2030: 20.89
     2060: 24.69
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2016: 14.32
     2030: 20.31
     2060: 57.41

Energy Forecast for Turkmenistan
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2016: 0.076
     2030: 0.126
     2060: 0.203

Environment Forecast for Turkmenistan
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2016: 0.015
     2030: 0.019
     2060: 0.021

International Politics Forecast for Turkmenistan
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2016: 0.070
     2030: 0.078
     2060: 0.090

Domestic Government Forecast for Turkmenistan
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2016: 2.007
     2030: 2.089
     2060: 2.398
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2016: 2.281
     2030: 3.816
     2060: 7.331
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2016: 1.778
     2030: 3.123
     2060: 5.949
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2016: 1.697
     2030: 2.163
     2060: 2.848
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2016: 7.042
     2030: 7.320
     2060: 7.629