Country Profile - Turkmenistan      IFs Version 7.15
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     Forecast Categories for Turkmenistan
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Turkmenistan -
Population - Million People - -
     2015: 5.388
     2030: 6.229
     2060: 7.235
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2015: 1.307
     2030: 0.720
     2060: 0.183
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2015: 20.99
     2030: 14.50
     2060: 10.97
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2015: 7.069
     2030: 6.495
     2060: 8.567
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2015: 36.28
     2030: 18.63
     2060: 8.058
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2015: 68.02
     2030: 74.30
     2060: 83.01
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2015: 63.80
     2030: 69.95
     2060: 78.62
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2015: 72.11
     2030: 78.48
     2060: 87.17
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2015: 2.266
     2030: 1.900
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2015: 0.010
     2030: 0.008
     2060: 0.003
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2015: 0.633
     2030: 0.536
     2060: 0.480
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2015: 1.524
     2030: 1.430
     2060: 1.246
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2015: 3.634
     2030: 4.262
     2060: 4.381
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2015: 0.230
     2030: 0.537
     2060: 1.609
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2015: 2.670
     2030: 3.373
     2060: 4.528
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2015: 0.440
     2030: 0.459
     2060: 0.419
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2015: 40.76
     2030: 43.98
     2060: 47.44

Health Forecast for Turkmenistan -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2015: 19.80
     2030: 23.43
     2060: 26.14
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2015: 24.56
     2030: 26.56
     2060: 24.37
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2015: 8.620
     2030: 6.257
     2060: 3.672
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2015: 7.101
     2030: 3.328
     2060: 2.635
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2015: 4.050
     2030: 2.406
     2060: 1.281

Education Forecast for Turkmenistan -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2015: 113.3
     2030: 102.2
     2060: 100.3
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2015: 97.75
     2030: 99.97
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2015: 100.9
     2030: 106.0
     2060: 100.4
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2015: 87.39
     2030: 102.6
     2060: 100.5
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2015: 40.80
     2030: 52.40
     2060: 84.56
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2015: 7.950
     2030: 9.440
     2060: 12.26
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2015: 100.0
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Turkmenistan
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2015: 0.013
     2030: 0.006
     2060: 0.000
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2015: 0.102
     2030: 0.042
     2060: 0.000
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2015: 0.851
     2030: 0.930
     2060: 1.000
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2015: 13.50
     2030: 9.786
     2060: 1.973
Calories per capita available - Available per Person per Day - -
     2015: 3,026
     2030: 3,265
     2060: 3,426
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2015: 0.186
     2030: 0.318
     2060: 0.484
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2015: 0.366
     2030: 0.574
     2060: 0.887

Economy Forecast for Turkmenistan
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2015: 80.53
     2030: 207.1
     2060: 613.4
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2015: 45.21
     2030: 152.1
     2060: 569.2
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2015: 14.94
     2030: 33.25
     2060: 84.78
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2015: 0.398
     2030: 0.466
     2060: 0.472
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2015: 11.38
     2030: 7.159
     2060: 8.926
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2015: 26.13
     2030: 48.56
     2060: 82.55

Energy Forecast for Turkmenistan
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2015: 0.072
     2030: 0.167
     2060: 0.180

Environment Forecast for Turkmenistan
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2015: 0.017
     2030: 0.027
     2060: 0.035

International Politics Forecast for Turkmenistan
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2015: 0.067
     2030: 0.106
     2060: 0.165

Domestic Government Forecast for Turkmenistan
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2015: 2.094
     2030: 2.375
     2060: 2.800
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2015: 1.564
     2030: 3.284
     2060: 7.395
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2015: 2.347
     2030: 4.998
     2060: 10.00
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2015: 1.319
     2030: 2.181
     2060: 2.809
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2015: 7.063
     2030: 7.635
     2060: 7.772