Country Profile - Timor-Leste      IFs Version 7.15
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     Forecast Categories for Timor-Leste
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Timor-Leste -
Population - Million People - -
     2015: 1.171
     2030: 1.512
     2060: 1.959
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2015: 1.709
     2030: 1.323
     2060: 0.548
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2015: 36.33
     2030: 27.34
     2060: 15.00
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2015: 6.511
     2030: 4.561
     2060: 4.871
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2015: 37.67
     2030: 14.74
     2060: 3.517
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2015: 65.92
     2030: 70.31
     2060: 76.68
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2015: 64.71
     2030: 68.74
     2060: 74.49
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2015: 67.18
     2030: 72.00
     2060: 79.04
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2015: 5.721
     2030: 3.576
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2015: 0.010
     2030: 0.008
     2060: 0.003
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2015: 0.231
     2030: 0.250
     2060: 0.176
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2015: 0.517
     2030: 0.614
     2060: 0.442
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2015: 0.616
     2030: 0.848
     2060: 1.381
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2015: 0.038
     2030: 0.050
     2060: 0.136
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2015: 0.395
     2030: 0.709
     2060: 1.389
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2015: 0.233
     2030: 0.262
     2060: 0.353
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2015: 33.42
     2030: 37.11
     2060: 42.20

Health Forecast for Timor-Leste -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2015: 17.99
     2030: 22.76
     2060: 35.45
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2015: 23.52
     2030: 24.17
     2060: 26.65
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2015: 35.34
     2030: 14.62
     2060: 5.778
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2015: 38.57
     2030: 32.00
     2060: 20.33
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2015: 33.53
     2030: 22.44
     2060: 6.367

Education Forecast for Timor-Leste -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2015: 103.9
     2030: 95.98
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2015: 92.58
     2030: 97.56
     2060: 99.90
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2015: 82.57
     2030: 84.32
     2060: 100.1
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2015: 63.03
     2030: 82.65
     2060: 102.4
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2015: 19.42
     2030: 29.47
     2060: 59.23
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2015: 5.089
     2030: 8.130
     2060: 10.26
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2015: 63.26
     2030: 85.84
     2060: 99.54

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Timor-Leste
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2015: 0.149
     2030: 0.006
     2060: 0.004
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2015: 0.492
     2030: 0.040
     2060: 0.015
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2015: 0.614
     2030: 0.764
     2060: 0.941
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2015: 29.81
     2030: 11.53
     2060: 3.594
Calories per capita available - Available per Person per Day - -
     2015: 2,192
     2030: 2,519
     2060: 3,183
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2015: -0.218
     2030: -0.019
     2060: 0.425
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2015: -0.614
     2030: -0.184
     2060: 0.669

Economy Forecast for Timor-Leste
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2015: 2.773
     2030: 8.874
     2060: 64.23
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2015: 1.553
     2030: 6.411
     2060: 59.33
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2015: 2.369
     2030: 5.871
     2060: 32.79
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2015: 0.290
     2030: 0.370
     2060: 0.556
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2015: 39.38
     2030: 39.82
     2060: 41.94
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2015: 10.57
     2030: 18.85
     2060: 57.36

Energy Forecast for Timor-Leste
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2015: 0.001
     2030: 0.003
     2060: 0.038

Environment Forecast for Timor-Leste
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2015: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.003

International Politics Forecast for Timor-Leste
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2015: 0.005
     2030: 0.007
     2060: 0.013

Domestic Government Forecast for Timor-Leste
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2015: 9.713
     2030: 11.98
     2060: 14.00
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2015: 16.17
     2030: 17.28
     2060: 18.65
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2015: 2.520
     2030: 3.128
     2060: 6.755
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2015: 1.474
     2030: 2.175
     2060: 3.310
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2015: 5.872
     2030: 6.330
     2060: 7.018