Country Profile - Tajikistan      IFs Version 7.31
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     Forecast Categories for Tajikistan
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Tajikistan -
Population - Million People - -
     2017: 8.927
     2030: 11.21
     2060: 14.86
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2017: 2.122
     2030: 1.387
     2060: 0.538
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2017: 28.59
     2030: 20.97
     2060: 13.61
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2017: 5.234
     2030: 5.366
     2060: 7.339
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2017: 35.21
     2030: 25.98
     2060: 7.782
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2017: 71.33
     2030: 73.10
     2060: 78.49
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2017: 68.37
     2030: 70.03
     2060: 74.90
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2017: 74.32
     2030: 76.22
     2060: 82.11
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2017: 3.335
     2030: 2.771
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2017: 0.195
     2030: 0.243
     2060: 0.313
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2017: 1.207
     2030: 1.154
     2060: 1.003
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2017: 3.144
     2030: 3.524
     2060: 3.055
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2017: 5.474
     2030: 7.042
     2060: 9.906
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2017: 0.309
     2030: 0.642
     2060: 1.902
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2017: 2.377
     2030: 3.127
     2060: 5.130
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2017: 0.444
     2030: 0.467
     2060: 0.507
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2017: 43.90
     2030: 46.64
     2060: 49.15

Health Forecast for Tajikistan -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2017: 13.80
     2030: 16.84
     2060: 26.64
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2017: 22.17
     2030: 21.95
     2060: 22.12
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2017: 10.56
     2030: 6.502
     2060: 4.013
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2017: 10.06
     2030: 4.286
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2017: 29.91
     2030: 15.39
     2060: 3.527

Education Forecast for Tajikistan -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2017: 99.05
     2030: 100.3
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2017: 97.32
     2030: 100.00
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2017: 97.87
     2030: 101.0
     2060: 99.83
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2017: 70.54
     2030: 77.94
     2060: 91.02
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2017: 27.93
     2030: 34.19
     2060: 52.08
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2017: 9.821
     2030: 10.46
     2060: 11.98
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2017: 100.0
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Tajikistan
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2017: 0.180
     2030: 0.494
     2060: 0.050
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2017: 4.751
     2030: 5.842
     2060: 1.791
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2017: 0.776
     2030: 0.804
     2060: 0.896
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2017: 12.23
     2030: 3.785
     2060: 1.820
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2017: 2,239
     2030: 2,470
     2060: 3,058
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2017: -0.170
     2030: -0.146
     2060: -0.063
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2017: -0.497
     2030: -0.420
     2060: -0.201

Economy Forecast for Tajikistan
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2017: 24.98
     2030: 43.75
     2060: 174.4
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2017: 9.525
     2030: 19.07
     2060: 121.5
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2017: 2.799
     2030: 3.904
     2060: 11.74
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2017: 0.324
     2030: 0.387
     2060: 0.438
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2017: 42.26
     2030: 43.39
     2060: 20.30
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2017: 11.88
     2030: 15.37
     2060: 31.88

Energy Forecast for Tajikistan
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2017: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.008

Environment Forecast for Tajikistan
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2017: 0.001
     2030: 0.002
     2060: 0.007

International Politics Forecast for Tajikistan
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2017: 0.040
     2030: 0.048
     2060: 0.075

Domestic Government Forecast for Tajikistan
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2017: 4.032
     2030: 4.236
     2060: 4.850
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2017: 7.226
     2030: 8.229
     2060: 10.40
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2017: 2.341
     2030: 2.616
     2060: 3.832
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2017: 1.799
     2030: 2.066
     2060: 2.880
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2017: 6.843
     2030: 7.059
     2060: 7.746