Country Profile - Tajikistan      IFs Version 7.07
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     Forecast Categories for Tajikistan
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Tajikistan -
Population - Million People - -
     2014: 8.385
     2030: 11.25
     2060: 14.87
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2014: 2.306
     2030: 1.396
     2060: 0.593
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2014: 32.06
     2030: 21.78
     2060: 13.80
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2014: 6.536
     2030: 6.086
     2060: 6.977
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2014: 50.23
     2030: 35.44
     2060: 4.917
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2014: 67.90
     2030: 70.51
     2060: 78.93
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2014: 64.59
     2030: 66.87
     2060: 74.30
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2014: 71.25
     2030: 74.19
     2060: 83.53
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2014: 3.686
     2030: 2.875
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2014: 0.130
     2030: 0.105
     2060: 0.034
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2014: 1.442
     2030: 1.421
     2060: 1.228
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2014: 2.986
     2030: 3.609
     2060: 3.050
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2014: 5.132
     2030: 7.034
     2060: 9.941
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2014: 0.266
     2030: 0.610
     2060: 1.882
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2014: 2.225
     2030: 3.167
     2060: 5.237
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2014: 0.439
     2030: 0.461
     2060: 0.502
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2014: 44.61
     2030: 47.47
     2060: 49.39

Health Forecast for Tajikistan -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2014: 11.82
     2030: 14.05
     2060: 22.61
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2014: 23.07
     2030: 22.60
     2060: 23.47
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2014: 13.67
     2030: 9.493
     2060: 4.818
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2014: 13.42
     2030: 6.834
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2014: 29.46
     2030: 23.47
     2060: 10.38

Education Forecast for Tajikistan -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2014: 103.0
     2030: 101.2
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2014: 96.60
     2030: 99.99
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2014: 99.45
     2030: 104.5
     2060: 100.3
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2014: 61.78
     2030: 76.56
     2060: 100.2
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2014: 24.91
     2030: 31.69
     2060: 53.89
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2014: 10.11
     2030: 10.77
     2060: 12.66
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2014: 100.0
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Tajikistan
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation - Million People - -
     2014: 0.468
     2030: 0.157
     2060: 0.000
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation - Million People - -
     2014: 1.899
     2030: 0.920
     2060: 0.006
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2014: 0.749
     2030: 0.792
     2060: 0.924
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2014: 15.06
     2030: 8.960
     2060: 1.979
Calories per capita available - Available per Person per Day - -
     2014: 2,170
     2030: 2,352
     2060: 2,908
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2014: -0.216
     2030: -0.177
     2060: 0.006
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2014: -0.608
     2030: -0.477
     2060: -0.071

Economy Forecast for Tajikistan
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2014: 20.14
     2030: 45.32
     2060: 280.6
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2014: 7.958
     2030: 21.73
     2060: 222.8
GDP per capita at PPP - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2014: 2.403
     2030: 4.027
     2060: 18.86
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2014: 0.344
     2030: 0.358
     2060: 0.356
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2014: 991,610,142,720
     2030: 1,020,418,260,9
     2060: 965,371,297,792
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2014: 11.68
     2030: 17.80
     2060: 40.17

Energy Forecast for Tajikistan
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2014: 0.000
     2030: 0.001
     2060: 0.008

Environment Forecast for Tajikistan
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2014: 0.001
     2030: 0.003
     2060: 0.011

International Politics Forecast for Tajikistan
Power index, Global Power Index (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2014: 0.040
     2030: 0.049
     2060: 0.083

Domestic Government Forecast for Tajikistan
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2014: 5.080
     2030: 5.396
     2060: 6.409
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2014: 7.291
     2030: 8.587
     2060: 10.92
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2014: 2.174
     2030: 2.563
     2060: 4.642
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2014: 1.704
     2030: 2.100
     2060: 3.193
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2014: 5.926
     2030: 6.221
     2060: 7.065