Country Profile - Tajikistan      IFs Version 7.15
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     Forecast Categories for Tajikistan
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Tajikistan -
Population - Million People - -
     2015: 8.580
     2030: 11.26
     2060: 14.98
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2015: 2.256
     2030: 1.419
     2060: 0.573
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2015: 31.41
     2030: 22.09
     2060: 13.94
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2015: 6.487
     2030: 6.162
     2060: 7.334
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2015: 49.45
     2030: 37.15
     2060: 8.366
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2015: 68.03
     2030: 70.31
     2060: 77.67
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2015: 64.71
     2030: 66.70
     2060: 73.14
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2015: 71.40
     2030: 73.97
     2060: 82.19
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2015: 3.634
     2030: 2.919
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2015: 0.130
     2030: 0.105
     2060: 0.034
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2015: 1.476
     2030: 1.432
     2060: 1.237
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2015: 3.063
     2030: 3.621
     2060: 3.102
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2015: 5.243
     2030: 7.034
     2060: 10.04
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2015: 0.273
     2030: 0.610
     2060: 1.844
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2015: 2.279
     2030: 3.168
     2060: 5.254
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2015: 0.440
     2030: 0.461
     2060: 0.504
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2015: 44.86
     2030: 47.47
     2060: 49.39

Health Forecast for Tajikistan -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2015: 11.97
     2030: 14.05
     2060: 21.57
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2015: 23.06
     2030: 22.58
     2060: 22.91
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2015: 13.46
     2030: 10.09
     2060: 5.249
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2015: 13.14
     2030: 9.163
     2060: 0.122
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2015: 29.01
     2030: 23.47
     2060: 11.44

Education Forecast for Tajikistan -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2015: 102.1
     2030: 101.8
     2060: 100.1
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2015: 96.56
     2030: 99.99
     2060: 100.00
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2015: 99.14
     2030: 99.85
     2060: 100.9
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2015: 61.89
     2030: 65.07
     2060: 90.13
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2015: 25.02
     2030: 27.89
     2060: 41.29
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2015: 10.17
     2030: 10.69
     2060: 12.05
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2015: 100.0
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Tajikistan
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2015: 0.668
     2030: 0.458
     2060: 0.048
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2015: 2.445
     2030: 1.832
     2060: 0.297
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2015: 0.751
     2030: 0.789
     2060: 0.901
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2015: 14.73
     2030: 10.32
     2060: 3.409
Calories per capita available - Available per Person per Day - -
     2015: 2,183
     2030: 2,352
     2060: 2,849
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2015: -0.214
     2030: -0.182
     2060: -0.036
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2015: -0.599
     2030: -0.486
     2060: -0.151

Economy Forecast for Tajikistan
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2015: 21.14
     2030: 43.78
     2060: 210.8
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2015: 8.432
     2030: 20.64
     2060: 162.3
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2015: 2.464
     2030: 3.887
     2060: 14.07
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2015: 0.339
     2030: 0.377
     2060: 0.424
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2015: 42.90
     2030: 43.21
     2060: 42.83
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2015: 11.47
     2030: 15.36
     2060: 30.92

Energy Forecast for Tajikistan
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2015: 0.000
     2030: 0.001
     2060: 0.008

Environment Forecast for Tajikistan
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2015: 0.001
     2030: 0.003
     2060: 0.009

International Politics Forecast for Tajikistan
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2015: 0.040
     2030: 0.048
     2060: 0.072

Domestic Government Forecast for Tajikistan
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2015: 5.102
     2030: 5.347
     2060: 6.151
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2015: 7.382
     2030: 8.585
     2060: 10.78
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2015: 2.192
     2030: 2.542
     2060: 4.055
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2015: 1.725
     2030: 2.078
     2060: 3.002
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2015: 5.940
     2030: 6.200
     2060: 6.904