Country Profile - Tajikistan      IFs Version 7.24
  Continue    Change Country    Display Options    Map Source    Help  


Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
www.ifs.du.edu


Sign up for our monthly newsletter.

     Forecast Categories for Tajikistan
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Tajikistan -
Population - Million People - -
     2016: 8.669
     2030: 11.13
     2060: 15.03
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2016: 2.176
     2030: 1.393
     2060: 0.498
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2016: 29.67
     2030: 21.53
     2060: 13.76
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2016: 5.667
     2030: 5.873
     2060: 7.890
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2016: 38.58
     2030: 33.05
     2060: 16.37
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2016: 69.92
     2030: 71.44
     2060: 76.12
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2016: 66.43
     2030: 67.83
     2060: 72.05
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2016: 73.49
     2030: 75.12
     2060: 80.20
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2016: 3.407
     2030: 2.902
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2016: 0.193
     2030: 0.167
     2060: 0.062
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2016: 1.219
     2030: 1.167
     2060: 1.029
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2016: 3.031
     2030: 3.542
     2060: 3.277
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2016: 5.368
     2030: 6.952
     2060: 9.913
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2016: 0.270
     2030: 0.638
     2060: 1.836
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2016: 2.317
     2030: 3.113
     2060: 5.132
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2016: 0.445
     2030: 0.461
     2060: 0.498
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2016: 43.91
     2030: 46.80
     2060: 49.19

Health Forecast for Tajikistan -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2016: 11.49
     2030: 14.33
     2060: 22.11
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2016: 22.25
     2030: 21.87
     2060: 21.46
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2016: 12.63
     2030: 10.36
     2060: 5.427
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2016: 12.00
     2030: 11.40
     2060: 2.161
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2016: 30.78
     2030: 15.58
     2060: 4.855

Education Forecast for Tajikistan -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2016: 99.55
     2030: 99.61
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2016: 97.23
     2030: 97.47
     2060: 100.00
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 99.25
     2030: 87.79
     2060: 98.28
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 69.66
     2030: 57.58
     2060: 76.91
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 24.82
     2030: 24.01
     2060: 30.47
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2016: 9.847
     2030: 10.41
     2060: 11.23
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2016: 99.98
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Tajikistan
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2016: 0.276
     2030: 0.433
     2060: 0.348
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2016: 2.033
     2030: 2.316
     2060: 1.644
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2016: 0.764
     2030: 0.786
     2060: 0.856
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2016: 13.36
     2030: 11.68
     2060: 5.296
Calories per capita available - Total - Available per Person per Day - -
     2016: 2,158
     2030: 2,390
     2060: 2,897
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2016: -0.182
     2030: -0.176
     2060: -0.149
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2016: -0.525
     2030: -0.477
     2060: -0.372

Economy Forecast for Tajikistan
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 22.50
     2030: 36.89
     2060: 110.2
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 8.520
     2030: 15.14
     2060: 61.96
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 2.595
     2030: 3.314
     2060: 7.332
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2016: 0.324
     2030: 0.381
     2060: 0.465
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2016: 42.86
     2030: 44.12
     2060: 45.62
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2016: 10.17
     2030: 10.04
     2060: 19.58

Energy Forecast for Tajikistan
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2016: 0.000
     2030: 0.001
     2060: 0.010

Environment Forecast for Tajikistan
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2016: 0.001
     2030: 0.002
     2060: 0.005

International Politics Forecast for Tajikistan
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2016: 0.039
     2030: 0.044
     2060: 0.059

Domestic Government Forecast for Tajikistan
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2016: 4.023
     2030: 4.164
     2060: 4.571
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2016: 7.222
     2030: 8.384
     2060: 10.35
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2016: 2.327
     2030: 2.579
     2060: 3.317
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2016: 1.774
     2030: 1.991
     2060: 2.604
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2016: 6.820
     2030: 6.994
     2060: 7.504