Country Profile - Tajikistan      IFs Version 7.30
  Continue    Change Country    Display Options    Map Source    Help  


Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
www.ifs.du.edu


Sign up for our monthly newsletter.

     Forecast Categories for Tajikistan
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Tajikistan -
Population - Million People - -
     2017: 8.864
     2030: 11.19
     2060: 14.79
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2017: 2.175
     2030: 1.369
     2060: 0.514
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2017: 29.50
     2030: 21.02
     2060: 13.65
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2017: 5.593
     2030: 5.604
     2060: 7.625
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2017: 37.53
     2030: 28.18
     2060: 9.270
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2017: 70.07
     2030: 71.94
     2060: 77.41
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2017: 66.62
     2030: 68.35
     2060: 73.30
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2017: 73.61
     2030: 75.59
     2060: 81.51
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2017: 3.387
     2030: 2.812
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2017: 0.197
     2030: 0.244
     2060: 0.314
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2017: 1.244
     2030: 1.168
     2060: 1.002
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2017: 3.097
     2030: 3.584
     2060: 3.087
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2017: 5.490
     2030: 6.983
     2060: 9.841
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2017: 0.277
     2030: 0.620
     2060: 1.865
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2017: 2.377
     2030: 3.128
     2060: 5.116
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2017: 0.435
     2030: 0.451
     2060: 0.492
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2017: 43.91
     2030: 46.65
     2060: 49.16

Health Forecast for Tajikistan -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2017: 13.75
     2030: 16.78
     2060: 26.51
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2017: 22.23
     2030: 21.96
     2060: 21.99
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2017: 9.561
     2030: 5.966
     2060: 3.789
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2017: 9.129
     2030: 3.410
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2017: 29.91
     2030: 15.40
     2060: 3.601

Education Forecast for Tajikistan -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2017: 99.03
     2030: 100.2
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2017: 97.33
     2030: 100.00
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2017: 97.85
     2030: 100.8
     2060: 99.89
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2017: 70.98
     2030: 77.72
     2060: 90.18
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2017: 28.29
     2030: 33.22
     2060: 47.90
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2017: 9.831
     2030: 10.50
     2060: 12.05
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2017: 99.98
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Tajikistan
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2017: 0.214
     2030: 0.542
     2060: 0.056
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2017: 1.883
     2030: 2.680
     2060: 0.521
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2017: 0.768
     2030: 0.796
     2060: 0.886
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2017: 12.06
     2030: 4.417
     2060: 2.129
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2017: 2,238
     2030: 2,467
     2060: 3,050
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2017: -0.175
     2030: -0.154
     2060: -0.070
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2017: -0.508
     2030: -0.437
     2060: -0.225

Economy Forecast for Tajikistan
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2017: 24.24
     2030: 42.02
     2060: 161.5
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2017: 9.441
     2030: 18.47
     2060: 110.5
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2017: 2.735
     2030: 3.757
     2060: 10.91
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2017: 0.323
     2030: 0.394
     2060: 0.432
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2017: 43.05
     2030: 44.36
     2060: 20.90
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2017: 12.92
     2030: 15.94
     2060: 36.81

Energy Forecast for Tajikistan
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2017: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.007

Environment Forecast for Tajikistan
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2017: 0.001
     2030: 0.002
     2060: 0.007

International Politics Forecast for Tajikistan
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2017: 0.040
     2030: 0.047
     2060: 0.074

Domestic Government Forecast for Tajikistan
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2017: 4.033
     2030: 4.244
     2060: 4.854
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2017: 7.223
     2030: 8.357
     2060: 10.48
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2017: 2.338
     2030: 2.626
     2060: 3.756
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2017: 1.795
     2030: 2.056
     2060: 2.845
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2017: 6.839
     2030: 7.053
     2060: 7.721