Country Profile - Tajikistan      IFs Version 7.00
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     Forecast Categories for Tajikistan
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Tajikistan -
Population - Million People - -
     2014: 8.270
     2030: 10.81
     2060: 13.70
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2014: 2.024
     2030: 1.311
     2060: 0.352
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2014: 27.54
     2030: 20.22
     2060: 13.30
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2014: 6.336
     2030: 6.513
     2060: 9.244
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2014: 50.24
     2030: 40.37
     2060: 20.74
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2014: 67.86
     2030: 69.77
     2060: 74.47
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2014: 64.58
     2030: 66.32
     2060: 70.45
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2014: 71.17
     2030: 73.25
     2060: 78.44
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2014: 3.109
     2030: 2.517
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2014: 0.130
     2030: 0.105
     2060: 0.034
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2014: 1.302
     2030: 1.253
     2060: 1.075
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2014: 2.852
     2030: 3.146
     2060: 2.695
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2014: 5.151
     2030: 7.048
     2060: 9.164
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2014: 0.267
     2030: 0.617
     2060: 1.840
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2014: 1.939
     2030: 2.466
     2060: 3.353
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2014: 0.388
     2030: 0.417
     2060: 0.434
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2014: 46.32
     2030: 48.70
     2060: 49.81

Health Forecast for Tajikistan -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2014: 11.80
     2030: 14.28
     2060: 20.40
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2014: 27.03
     2030: 26.32
     2060: 25.49
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2014: 13.61
     2030: 10.68
     2060: 5.300
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2014: 13.52
     2030: 10.28
     2060: 2.011
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2014: 29.52
     2030: 23.06
     2060: 12.71

Education Forecast for Tajikistan -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2014: 102.8
     2030: 102.2
     2060: 100.1
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2014: 96.32
     2030: 99.57
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2014: 99.08
     2030: 96.24
     2060: 100.4
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2014: 63.22
     2030: 62.27
     2060: 80.11
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2014: 24.72
     2030: 26.24
     2060: 33.03
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2014: 10.09
     2030: 10.78
     2060: 11.80
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2014: 100.0
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Tajikistan
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation - Million People - -
     2014: 0.495
     2030: 1.225
     2060: 0.604
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation - Million People - -
     2014: 2.054
     2030: 3.431
     2060: 1.827
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2014: 0.738
     2030: 0.771
     2060: 0.841
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2014: 16.34
     2030: 12.38
     2060: 3.905
Calories per capita available - Available per Person per Day - -
     2014: 2,167
     2030: 2,369
     2060: 2,778
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2014: -0.258
     2030: -0.224
     2060: -0.144
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2014: -0.712
     2030: -0.577
     2060: -0.355

Economy Forecast for Tajikistan
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2005 Dollars - -
     2014: 16.47
     2030: 32.38
     2060: 90.78
Gross domestic product - Billion 2005 Dollars - -
     2014: 4.199
     2030: 10.12
     2060: 42.30
GDP per capita at PPP - Thousand 2005 Dollars - -
     2014: 1.991
     2030: 2.995
     2060: 6.626
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2014: 0.331
     2030: 0.390
     2060: 0.471
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2014: 50.04
     2030: 62.22
     2060: 63.55
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2014: 11.79
     2030: 14.65
     2060: 23.00

Energy Forecast for Tajikistan
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2014: 0.000
     2030: 0.001
     2060: 0.009

Environment Forecast for Tajikistan
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2014: 0.001
     2030: 0.003
     2060: 0.004

International Politics Forecast for Tajikistan
Power index (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2014: 0.039
     2030: 0.045
     2060: 0.053

Domestic Government Forecast for Tajikistan
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2014: 5.092
     2030: 5.381
     2060: 5.956
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2014: 7.289
     2030: 8.698
     2060: 10.85
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2014: 2.164
     2030: 2.476
     2060: 3.203
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2014: 1.697
     2030: 2.011
     2060: 2.593
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2014: 5.814
     2030: 6.051
     2060: 6.501