Country Profile - Tajikistan      IFs Version 7.37
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     Forecast Categories for Tajikistan
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Tajikistan -
Population - Million People - -
     2018: 9.107
     2030: 11.20
     2060: 15.08
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2018: 2.024
     2030: 1.431
     2060: 0.557
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2018: 28.07
     2030: 21.62
     2060: 13.78
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2018: 5.243
     2030: 5.414
     2060: 7.115
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2018: 35.02
     2030: 28.35
     2060: 7.583
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2018: 71.41
     2030: 72.98
     2060: 78.77
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2018: 68.45
     2030: 69.92
     2060: 75.27
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2018: 74.42
     2030: 76.08
     2060: 82.31
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2018: 3.306
     2030: 2.875
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2018: 0.199
     2030: 0.243
     2060: 0.313
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2018: 1.217
     2030: 1.180
     2060: 1.025
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2018: 3.217
     2030: 3.558
     2060: 3.160
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2018: 5.565
     2030: 7.005
     2060: 10.03
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2018: 0.325
     2030: 0.641
     2060: 1.887
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2018: 2.450
     2030: 3.161
     2060: 5.240
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2018: 0.358
     2030: 0.235
     2060: 0.118
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2018: 39.73
     2030: 42.60
     2060: 46.73

Health Forecast for Tajikistan -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2018: 13.96
     2030: 16.09
     2060: 24.47
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2018: 22.17
     2030: 21.80
     2060: 22.41
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2018: 10.22
     2030: 7.112
     2060: 4.501
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2018: 9.743
     2030: 5.388
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2018: 25.77
     2030: 15.48
     2060: 4.080

Education Forecast for Tajikistan -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2018: 99.11
     2030: 101.2
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2018: 95.77
     2030: 99.85
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2018: 97.87
     2030: 100.1
     2060: 99.90
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2018: 70.43
     2030: 77.97
     2060: 94.10
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2018: 27.94
     2030: 37.44
     2060: 77.78
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2018: 10.42
     2030: 10.50
     2060: 12.14
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2018: 99.70
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Forecast for Tajikistan
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2018: 0.307
     2030: 0.197
     2060: 0.000
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2018: 0.354
     2030: 0.237
     2060: 0.000
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2018: 0.776
     2030: 0.798
     2060: 0.894
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2018: 10.27
     2030: 4.050
     2060: 1.852
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2018: 2,253
     2030: 2,417
     2060: 2,942
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2018: -0.171
     2030: -0.162
     2060: -0.093
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2018: -0.497
     2030: -0.456
     2060: -0.285

Economy Forecast for Tajikistan
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2018: 25.62
     2030: 39.30
     2060: 165.7
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2018: 9.896
     2030: 16.43
     2060: 111.7
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2018: 2.814
     2030: 3.507
     2060: 10.99
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2018: 0.325
     2030: 0.280
     2060: 0.210
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2018: 41.81
     2030: 42.57
     2060: 19.28
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2018: 11.49
     2030: 20.28
     2060: 63.98

Energy Forecast for Tajikistan
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2018: 0.000
     2030: 0.001
     2060: 0.009

Environment Forecast for Tajikistan
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2018: 0.002
     2030: 0.002
     2060: 0.007

International Politics Forecast for Tajikistan
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2018: 0.041
     2030: 0.046
     2060: 0.076

Domestic Government Forecast for Tajikistan
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2018: 3.015
     2030: 3.059
     2060: 3.537
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2018: 7.339
     2030: 8.220
     2060: 10.30
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2018: 2.360
     2030: 2.568
     2060: 3.730
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2018: 1.812
     2030: 2.003
     2060: 2.828
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2018: 6.843
     2030: 6.990
     2060: 7.687