Country Profile - Tajikistan      IFs Version 6.69
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     Forecast Categories for Tajikistan
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Tajikistan -
Population - Million People - -
     2013: 7.164
     2030: 9.448
     2060: 11.95
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2013: 1.466
     2030: 1.283
     2060: 0.351
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2013: 27.66
     2030: 20.13
     2060: 13.02
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2013: 6.292
     2030: 5.861
     2060: 8.036
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2013: 50.83
     2030: 34.61
     2060: 12.93
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2013: 67.89
     2030: 71.04
     2060: 77.16
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2013: 64.60
     2030: 67.72
     2060: 73.49
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2013: 71.10
     2030: 74.33
     2060: 80.81
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2013: 3.145
     2030: 2.481
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2013: 0.145
     2030: 0.116
     2060: 0.038
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2013: 1.082
     2030: 1.135
     2060: 0.939
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2013: 2.542
     2030: 2.846
     2060: 2.361
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2013: 4.383
     2030: 6.062
     2060: 7.964
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2013: 0.238
     2030: 0.540
     2060: 1.630
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2013: 1.906
     2030: 2.500
     2060: 3.548
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2013: 0.424
     2030: 0.459
     2060: 0.486
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2013: 44.46
     2030: 47.55
     2060: 49.42

Health Forecast for Tajikistan -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2013: 11.81
     2030: 14.39
     2060: 21.01
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2013: 26.78
     2030: 26.22
     2060: 25.71
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2013: 13.94
     2030: 8.943
     2060: 4.952
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2013: 14.04
     2030: 8.659
     2060: 2.330
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2013: 32.30
     2030: 23.56
     2060: 8.826

Education Forecast for Tajikistan -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2013: 101.7
     2030: 100.6
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2013: 98.07
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.00
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2013: 95.64
     2030: 99.63
     2060: 99.45
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2013: 59.13
     2030: 64.91
     2060: 75.86
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2013: 20.22
     2030: 25.42
     2060: 34.04
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2013: 9.999
     2030: 10.72
     2060: 11.80
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2013: 100.0
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Tajikistan
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation - Million People - -
     2013: 0.924
     2030: 1.028
     2060: 1.178
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation - Million People - -
     2013: 2.734
     2030: 2.694
     2060: 2.753
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2013: 0.740
     2030: 0.783
     2060: 0.866
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2013: 17.21
     2030: 8.895
     2060: 2.564
Calories per capita available - Available per Person per Day - -
     2013: 2,159
     2030: 2,374
     2060: 2,816
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2013: -0.247
     2030: -0.207
     2060: -0.106
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2013: -0.687
     2030: -0.533
     2060: -0.276

Economy Forecast for Tajikistan
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2005 Dollars - -
     2013: 14.71
     2030: 30.59
     2060: 94.25
Gross domestic product - Billion 2005 Dollars - -
     2013: 3.849
     2030: 10.06
     2060: 48.13
GDP per capita at PPP - Thousand 2005 Dollars - -
     2013: 2.054
     2030: 3.238
     2060: 7.884
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2013: 0.333
     2030: 0.408
     2060: 0.482
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2013: 51.01
     2030: 60.20
     2060: 63.25
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2013: 11.67
     2030: 16.66
     2060: 27.84

Energy Forecast for Tajikistan
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2013: 0.000
     2030: 0.001
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Tajikistan
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2013: 0.001
     2030: 0.002
     2060: 0.004

International Politics Forecast for Tajikistan
Power index (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2013: 0.035
     2030: 0.042
     2060: 0.054

Domestic Government Forecast for Tajikistan
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2013: 5.106
     2030: 5.600
     2060: 6.546
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2013: 7.152
     2030: 8.795
     2060: 11.09
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2013: 2.139
     2030: 2.515
     2060: 3.395
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2013: 1.672
     2030: 2.028
     2060: 2.668
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2013: 5.834
     2030: 6.132
     2060: 6.681