Country Profile - Tajikistan      IFs Version 7.26
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     Forecast Categories for Tajikistan
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Tajikistan -
Population - Million People - -
     2016: 8.669
     2030: 11.13
     2060: 14.97
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2016: 2.176
     2030: 1.387
     2060: 0.504
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2016: 29.67
     2030: 21.47
     2060: 13.77
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2016: 5.664
     2030: 5.864
     2060: 7.842
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2016: 38.54
     2030: 32.86
     2060: 15.33
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2016: 69.92
     2030: 71.47
     2060: 76.36
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2016: 66.43
     2030: 67.85
     2060: 72.27
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2016: 73.49
     2030: 75.14
     2060: 80.44
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2016: 3.407
     2030: 2.893
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2016: 0.193
     2030: 0.167
     2060: 0.062
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2016: 1.219
     2030: 1.164
     2060: 1.015
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2016: 3.031
     2030: 3.539
     2060: 3.229
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2016: 5.368
     2030: 6.952
     2060: 9.898
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2016: 0.270
     2030: 0.638
     2060: 1.840
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2016: 2.317
     2030: 3.113
     2060: 5.122
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2016: 0.445
     2030: 0.462
     2060: 0.500
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2016: 43.91
     2030: 46.80
     2060: 49.19

Health Forecast for Tajikistan -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2016: 11.49
     2030: 14.33
     2060: 21.95
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2016: 22.25
     2030: 21.87
     2060: 21.51
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2016: 12.63
     2030: 10.30
     2060: 5.364
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2016: 11.99
     2030: 11.32
     2060: 1.329
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2016: 30.78
     2030: 15.58
     2060: 4.856

Education Forecast for Tajikistan -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2016: 99.55
     2030: 99.33
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2016: 97.23
     2030: 97.50
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 99.25
     2030: 88.00
     2060: 100.0
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 69.79
     2030: 59.03
     2060: 84.18
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 24.87
     2030: 24.27
     2060: 35.96
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2016: 9.848
     2030: 10.44
     2060: 11.55
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2016: 99.98
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Tajikistan
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2016: 0.279
     2030: 0.423
     2060: 0.313
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2016: 2.043
     2030: 2.326
     2060: 1.539
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2016: 0.764
     2030: 0.786
     2060: 0.860
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2016: 13.34
     2030: 11.62
     2060: 5.168
Calories per capita available - Total - Available per Person per Day - -
     2016: 2,158
     2030: 2,390
     2060: 2,888
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2016: -0.182
     2030: -0.175
     2060: -0.143
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2016: -0.525
     2030: -0.477
     2060: -0.360

Economy Forecast for Tajikistan
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 22.51
     2030: 37.00
     2060: 114.5
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 8.520
     2030: 15.21
     2060: 65.73
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 2.596
     2030: 3.325
     2060: 7.651
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2016: 0.324
     2030: 0.376
     2060: 0.461
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2016: 42.87
     2030: 44.09
     2060: 45.73
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2016: 10.23
     2030: 10.31
     2060: 25.38

Energy Forecast for Tajikistan
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2016: 0.000
     2030: 0.001
     2060: 0.010

Environment Forecast for Tajikistan
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2016: 0.001
     2030: 0.002
     2060: 0.005

International Politics Forecast for Tajikistan
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2016: 0.039
     2030: 0.044
     2060: 0.059

Domestic Government Forecast for Tajikistan
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2016: 4.023
     2030: 4.175
     2060: 4.657
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2016: 7.222
     2030: 8.384
     2060: 10.37
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2016: 2.327
     2030: 2.580
     2060: 3.357
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2016: 1.774
     2030: 1.993
     2060: 2.631
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2016: 6.821
     2030: 6.995
     2060: 7.530