Country Profile - Thailand      IFs Version 7.31
  Continue    Change Country    Display Options    Map Source    Help  


Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
www.ifs.du.edu


Sign up for our monthly newsletter.

     Forecast Categories for Thailand
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Thailand -
Population - Million People - -
     2018: 69.22
     2030: 70.20
     2060: 62.22
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2018: 0.220
     2030: -0.023
     2060: -0.669
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2018: 10.13
     2030: 9.545
     2060: 8.531
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2018: 8.141
     2030: 10.05
     2060: 15.47
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2018: 9.839
     2030: 7.775
     2060: 5.157
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2018: 75.80
     2030: 78.03
     2060: 81.92
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2018: 71.93
     2030: 74.09
     2060: 78.02
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2018: 79.47
     2030: 81.73
     2060: 85.53
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2018: 1.492
     2030: 1.561
     2060: 1.682
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2018: 0.615
     2030: 0.435
     2060: 0.095
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2018: 3.612
     2030: 3.389
     2060: 2.678
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2018: 11.78
     2030: 10.33
     2060: 8.241
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2018: 49.22
     2030: 46.24
     2060: 35.24
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2018: 8.220
     2030: 13.63
     2060: 18.74
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2018: 37.63
     2030: 51.82
     2060: 57.24
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2018: 0.582
     2030: 0.548
     2060: 0.477
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2018: 45.94
     2030: 48.10
     2060: 49.71

Health Forecast for Thailand -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2018: 12.77
     2030: 14.45
     2060: 18.65
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2018: 21.50
     2030: 23.02
     2060: 25.76
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2018: 9.701
     2030: 7.941
     2060: 4.935
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2018: 10.67
     2030: 11.38
     2060: 11.91
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2018: 6.468
     2030: 4.364
     2060: 1.987

Education Forecast for Thailand -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2018: 102.8
     2030: 102.4
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2018: 93.94
     2030: 99.79
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2018: 124.1
     2030: 113.7
     2060: 99.66
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2018: 126.3
     2030: 110.5
     2060: 96.77
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2018: 51.23
     2030: 70.19
     2060: 84.73
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2018: 8.076
     2030: 9.417
     2060: 12.50
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2018: 94.72
     2030: 97.09
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Thailand
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2018: 0.017
     2030: 0.015
     2060: 0.065
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2018: 0.126
     2030: 0.098
     2060: 0.249
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2018: 0.880
     2030: 0.911
     2060: 0.962
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2018: 4.994
     2030: 3.460
     2060: 1.967
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2018: 2,858
     2030: 3,024
     2060: 3,383
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2018: 0.004
     2030: 0.059
     2060: 0.236
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2018: 0.550
     2030: 0.625
     2060: 0.792

Economy Forecast for Thailand
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2018: 1,108
     2030: 1,365
     2060: 1,717
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2018: 436.3
     2030: 628.6
     2060: 1,114
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2018: 16.00
     2030: 19.44
     2060: 27.59
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2018: 0.381
     2030: 0.409
     2060: 0.493
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2018: 16.62
     2030: 18.25
     2060: 21.83
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2018: 29.36
     2030: 52.00
     2060: 66.98

Energy Forecast for Thailand
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2018: 0.088
     2030: 0.058
     2060: 0.009

Environment Forecast for Thailand
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2018: 0.086
     2030: 0.090
     2060: 0.068

International Politics Forecast for Thailand
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2018: 0.728
     2030: 0.678
     2060: 0.512

Domestic Government Forecast for Thailand
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2018: 5.078
     2030: 5.493
     2060: 6.444
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2018: 7.297
     2030: 8.426
     2060: 10.95
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2018: 3.527
     2030: 4.134
     2060: 5.551
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2018: 2.880
     2030: 3.056
     2060: 3.405
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2018: 6.654
     2030: 6.768
     2060: 6.994