Country Profile - El Salvador      IFs Version 7.08
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     Forecast Categories for El Salvador
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for El Salvador -
Population - Million People - -
     2014: 6.401
     2030: 6.895
     2060: 6.711
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2014: 0.668
     2030: 0.177
     2060: -0.418
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2014: 20.17
     2030: 15.00
     2060: 11.15
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2014: 6.719
     2030: 7.514
     2060: 10.94
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2014: 17.91
     2030: 11.71
     2060: 5.446
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2014: 72.52
     2030: 74.61
     2060: 77.42
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2014: 67.39
     2030: 68.71
     2060: 69.30
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2014: 77.18
     2030: 80.00
     2060: 84.69
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2014: 2.176
     2030: 1.900
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2014: 0.560
     2030: 0.451
     2060: 0.147
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2014: 0.765
     2030: 0.635
     2060: 0.463
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2014: 1.863
     2030: 1.681
     2060: 1.192
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2014: 4.076
     2030: 4.542
     2060: 4.015
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2014: 0.462
     2030: 0.672
     2060: 1.504
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2014: 4.216
     2030: 4.986
     2060: 5.278
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2014: 0.443
     2030: 0.473
     2060: 0.441
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2014: 42.43
     2030: 45.68
     2060: 48.49

Health Forecast for El Salvador -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2014: 19.74
     2030: 21.08
     2060: 25.01
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2014: 15.74
     2030: 16.07
     2060: 17.15
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2014: 6.365
     2030: 5.541
     2060: 4.027
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2014: 6.282
     2030: 0.213
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2014: 11.94
     2030: 10.77
     2060: 7.616

Education Forecast for El Salvador -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2014: 109.3
     2030: 101.0
     2060: 100.1
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2014: 95.16
     2030: 99.61
     2060: 100.00
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2014: 89.35
     2030: 94.54
     2060: 107.6
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2014: 32.88
     2030: 49.29
     2060: 88.95
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2014: 18.79
     2030: 24.94
     2060: 32.21
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2014: 8.157
     2030: 8.926
     2060: 9.716
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2014: 86.74
     2030: 91.81
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for El Salvador
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2014: 0.583
     2030: 0.390
     2060: 0.170
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2014: 1.092
     2030: 0.789
     2060: 0.371
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2014: 0.793
     2030: 0.835
     2060: 0.913
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2014: 10.02
     2030: 6.701
     2060: 2.843
Calories per capita available - Available per Person per Day - -
     2014: 2,603
     2030: 2,698
     2060: 2,946
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2014: -1.926
     2030: -1.655
     2060: -1.102
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2014: 0.509
     2030: 0.574
     2060: 0.610

Economy Forecast for El Salvador
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2014: 47.55
     2030: 65.94
     2060: 119.7
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2014: 24.33
     2030: 37.88
     2060: 92.60
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2014: 7.429
     2030: 9.563
     2060: 17.84
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2014: 0.488
     2030: 0.490
     2060: 0.516
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2014: 1,057,435,746,3
     2030: 1,043,038,142,4
     2060: 661,727,608,832
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2014: 5.972
     2030: 12.05
     2060: 21.55

Energy Forecast for El Salvador
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2014: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for El Salvador
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2014: 0.002
     2030: 0.001
     2060: 0.000

International Politics Forecast for El Salvador
Power index, Global Power Index (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2014: 0.045
     2030: 0.040
     2060: 0.033

Domestic Government Forecast for El Salvador
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2014: 11.09
     2030: 11.60
     2060: 12.52
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2014: 17.92
     2030: 19.64
     2060: 19.77
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2014: 3.644
     2030: 4.240
     2060: 5.524
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2014: 2.537
     2030: 2.808
     2060: 3.291
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2014: 7.213
     2030: 7.400
     2060: 7.709