Country Profile - El Salvador      IFs Version 7.37
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     Forecast Categories for El Salvador
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for El Salvador -
Population - Million People - -
     2019: 6.439
     2030: 6.730
     2060: 6.969
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2019: 0.401
     2030: 0.313
     2060: -0.181
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2019: 17.59
     2030: 15.10
     2060: 11.35
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2019: 6.936
     2030: 7.629
     2060: 10.24
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2019: 13.40
     2030: 8.862
     2060: 3.423
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2019: 74.07
     2030: 75.65
     2060: 79.75
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2019: 69.13
     2030: 70.43
     2060: 74.71
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2019: 78.46
     2030: 80.33
     2060: 84.35
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2019: 1.983
     2030: 1.900
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2019: 0.304
     2030: 0.252
     2060: 0.080
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2019: 0.576
     2030: 0.516
     2060: 0.403
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2019: 1.721
     2030: 1.587
     2060: 1.239
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2019: 4.161
     2030: 4.413
     2060: 4.314
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2019: 0.556
     2030: 0.730
     2060: 1.416
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2019: 4.419
     2030: 4.953
     2060: 5.614
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2019: 0.414
     2030: 0.341
     2060: 0.174
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2019: 43.00
     2030: 45.37
     2060: 48.50

Health Forecast for El Salvador -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2019: 22.70
     2030: 24.79
     2060: 31.15
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2019: 12.89
     2030: 13.62
     2060: 16.58
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2019: 4.504
     2030: 3.963
     2060: 3.116
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2019: 3.808
     2030: 1.833
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2019: 9.977
     2030: 7.086
     2060: 2.995

Education Forecast for El Salvador -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2019: 109.1
     2030: 107.0
     2060: 100.1
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2019: 94.72
     2030: 96.30
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2019: 98.45
     2030: 93.51
     2060: 95.24
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2019: 62.22
     2030: 66.94
     2060: 82.09
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2019: 29.12
     2030: 31.60
     2060: 41.04
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2019: 7.761
     2030: 9.265
     2060: 11.63
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2019: 90.22
     2030: 94.56
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Forecast for El Salvador
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2019: 0.114
     2030: 0.084
     2060: 0.016
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2019: 0.287
     2030: 0.220
     2060: 0.050
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2019: 0.818
     2030: 0.851
     2060: 0.927
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2019: 7.062
     2030: 4.170
     2060: 1.582
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2019: 2,606
     2030: 2,739
     2060: 3,099
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2019: -1.937
     2030: -1.774
     2060: -1.229
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2019: 0.505
     2030: 0.553
     2060: 0.603

Economy Forecast for El Salvador
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2019: 52.80
     2030: 64.61
     2060: 126.0
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2019: 27.19
     2030: 36.00
     2060: 96.02
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2019: 8.200
     2030: 9.600
     2060: 18.08
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2019: 0.404
     2030: 0.405
     2060: 0.424
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2019: 44.40
     2030: 22.74
     2060: 22.51
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2019: 10.94
     2030: 12.74
     2060: 21.90

Energy Forecast for El Salvador
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2019: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for El Salvador
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2019: 0.002
     2030: 0.002
     2060: 0.001

International Politics Forecast for El Salvador
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2019: 0.042
     2030: 0.040
     2060: 0.043

Domestic Government Forecast for El Salvador
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2019: 11.35
     2030: 12.29
     2060: 14.00
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2019: 18.11
     2030: 19.39
     2060: 19.67
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2019: 3.495
     2030: 3.885
     2060: 5.284
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2019: 2.534
     2030: 2.720
     2060: 3.263
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2019: 7.155
     2030: 7.256
     2060: 7.589