Country Profile - El Salvador      IFs Version 7.37
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     Forecast Categories for El Salvador
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for El Salvador -
Population - Million People - -
     2018: 6.408
     2030: 6.730
     2060: 6.969
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2018: 0.420
     2030: 0.313
     2060: -0.181
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2018: 17.96
     2030: 15.10
     2060: 11.35
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2018: 6.859
     2030: 7.629
     2060: 10.24
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2018: 13.94
     2030: 8.862
     2060: 3.423
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2018: 73.90
     2030: 75.65
     2060: 79.75
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2018: 68.99
     2030: 70.43
     2060: 74.71
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2018: 78.27
     2030: 80.33
     2060: 84.35
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2018: 2.017
     2030: 1.900
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2018: 0.307
     2030: 0.252
     2060: 0.080
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2018: 0.579
     2030: 0.516
     2060: 0.403
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2018: 1.735
     2030: 1.587
     2060: 1.239
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2018: 4.131
     2030: 4.413
     2060: 4.314
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2018: 0.542
     2030: 0.730
     2060: 1.416
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2018: 4.367
     2030: 4.953
     2060: 5.614
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2018: 0.421
     2030: 0.341
     2060: 0.174
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2018: 42.73
     2030: 45.37
     2060: 48.50

Health Forecast for El Salvador -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2018: 22.49
     2030: 24.79
     2060: 31.15
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2018: 12.88
     2030: 13.62
     2060: 16.58
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2018: 4.559
     2030: 3.963
     2060: 3.116
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2018: 4.071
     2030: 1.833
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2018: 10.50
     2030: 7.086
     2060: 2.995

Education Forecast for El Salvador -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2018: 109.4
     2030: 107.0
     2060: 100.1
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2018: 94.59
     2030: 96.30
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2018: 98.56
     2030: 93.51
     2060: 95.24
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2018: 61.66
     2030: 66.94
     2060: 82.09
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2018: 29.07
     2030: 31.60
     2060: 41.04
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2018: 7.593
     2030: 9.265
     2060: 11.63
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2018: 89.70
     2030: 94.56
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Forecast for El Salvador
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2018: 0.116
     2030: 0.084
     2060: 0.016
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2018: 0.289
     2030: 0.220
     2060: 0.050
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2018: 0.815
     2030: 0.851
     2060: 0.927
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2018: 7.411
     2030: 4.170
     2060: 1.582
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2018: 2,592
     2030: 2,739
     2060: 3,099
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2018: -1.952
     2030: -1.774
     2060: -1.229
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2018: 0.499
     2030: 0.553
     2060: 0.603

Economy Forecast for El Salvador
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2018: 52.01
     2030: 64.61
     2060: 126.0
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2018: 26.64
     2030: 36.00
     2060: 96.02
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2018: 8.117
     2030: 9.600
     2060: 18.08
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2018: 0.406
     2030: 0.405
     2060: 0.424
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2018: 45.52
     2030: 22.74
     2060: 22.51
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2018: 10.85
     2030: 12.74
     2060: 21.90

Energy Forecast for El Salvador
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2018: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for El Salvador
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2018: 0.002
     2030: 0.002
     2060: 0.001

International Politics Forecast for El Salvador
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2018: 0.042
     2030: 0.040
     2060: 0.043

Domestic Government Forecast for El Salvador
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2018: 11.25
     2030: 12.29
     2060: 14.00
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2018: 18.06
     2030: 19.39
     2060: 19.67
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2018: 3.472
     2030: 3.885
     2060: 5.284
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2018: 2.521
     2030: 2.720
     2060: 3.263
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2018: 7.149
     2030: 7.256
     2060: 7.589