Country Profile - El Salvador      IFs Version 7.15
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     Forecast Categories for El Salvador
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for El Salvador -
Population - Million People - -
     2015: 6.448
     2030: 6.895
     2060: 6.714
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2015: 0.645
     2030: 0.173
     2060: -0.411
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2015: 20.09
     2030: 15.00
     2060: 11.16
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2015: 6.815
     2030: 7.552
     2060: 10.93
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2015: 17.66
     2030: 11.89
     2060: 5.425
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2015: 72.54
     2030: 74.48
     2060: 77.39
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2015: 67.35
     2030: 68.53
     2060: 69.25
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2015: 77.26
     2030: 79.90
     2060: 84.68
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2015: 2.164
     2030: 1.900
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2015: 0.557
     2030: 0.451
     2060: 0.147
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2015: 0.764
     2030: 0.635
     2060: 0.463
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2015: 1.844
     2030: 1.685
     2060: 1.195
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2015: 4.133
     2030: 4.540
     2060: 4.017
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2015: 0.471
     2030: 0.670
     2060: 1.502
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2015: 4.270
     2030: 4.986
     2060: 5.288
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2015: 0.447
     2030: 0.473
     2060: 0.441
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2015: 42.69
     2030: 45.68
     2060: 48.49

Health Forecast for El Salvador -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2015: 19.84
     2030: 21.27
     2060: 25.77
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2015: 15.73
     2030: 16.06
     2060: 17.22
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2015: 6.319
     2030: 5.541
     2060: 3.937
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2015: 6.020
     2030: 0.335
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2015: 11.84
     2030: 10.59
     2060: 7.016

Education Forecast for El Salvador -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2015: 115.6
     2030: 105.0
     2060: 100.2
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2015: 94.99
     2030: 98.08
     2060: 99.98
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2015: 91.02
     2030: 104.2
     2060: 116.8
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2015: 34.51
     2030: 49.22
     2060: 88.55
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2015: 18.76
     2030: 24.65
     2060: 32.15
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2015: 8.093
     2030: 8.670
     2060: 9.521
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2015: 86.89
     2030: 91.86
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for El Salvador
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2015: 0.367
     2030: 0.254
     2060: 0.175
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2015: 0.904
     2030: 0.665
     2060: 0.426
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2015: 0.794
     2030: 0.835
     2060: 0.914
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2015: 9.923
     2030: 6.718
     2060: 2.865
Calories per capita available - Available per Person per Day - -
     2015: 2,611
     2030: 2,711
     2060: 2,991
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2015: -1.909
     2030: -1.655
     2060: -1.096
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2015: 0.515
     2030: 0.573
     2060: 0.619

Economy Forecast for El Salvador
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2015: 48.22
     2030: 66.01
     2060: 123.3
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2015: 24.74
     2030: 37.94
     2060: 96.65
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2015: 7.479
     2030: 9.573
     2060: 18.36
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2015: 0.450
     2030: 0.462
     2060: 0.529
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2015: 46.69
     2030: 45.64
     2060: 19.99
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2015: 5.911
     2030: 11.88
     2060: 21.71

Energy Forecast for El Salvador
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2015: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for El Salvador
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2015: 0.002
     2030: 0.001
     2060: 0.000

International Politics Forecast for El Salvador
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2015: 0.045
     2030: 0.041
     2060: 0.035

Domestic Government Forecast for El Salvador
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2015: 11.09
     2030: 11.61
     2060: 12.56
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2015: 17.95
     2030: 19.64
     2060: 19.77
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2015: 3.658
     2030: 4.240
     2060: 5.587
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2015: 2.546
     2030: 2.809
     2060: 3.303
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2015: 7.217
     2030: 7.400
     2060: 7.719