Country Profile - El Salvador      IFs Version 7.31
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     Forecast Categories for El Salvador
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for El Salvador -
Population - Million People - -
     2017: 6.387
     2030: 6.681
     2060: 6.412
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2017: 0.472
     2030: 0.159
     2060: -0.453
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2017: 18.32
     2030: 15.03
     2060: 11.18
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2017: 6.795
     2030: 7.759
     2060: 11.32
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2017: 14.72
     2030: 9.429
     2060: 3.839
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2017: 73.66
     2030: 75.36
     2060: 77.86
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2017: 68.76
     2030: 70.05
     2060: 71.23
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2017: 78.03
     2030: 80.11
     2060: 83.85
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2017: 2.050
     2030: 1.900
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2017: 0.310
     2030: 0.252
     2060: 0.080
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2017: 0.581
     2030: 0.512
     2060: 0.368
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2017: 1.751
     2030: 1.579
     2060: 1.135
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2017: 4.108
     2030: 4.375
     2060: 3.908
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2017: 0.528
     2030: 0.727
     2060: 1.369
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2017: 4.176
     2030: 4.685
     2060: 4.974
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2017: 0.451
     2030: 0.471
     2060: 0.450
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2017: 43.32
     2030: 46.14
     2060: 48.91

Health Forecast for El Salvador -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2017: 22.27
     2030: 25.32
     2060: 33.30
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2017: 12.88
     2030: 13.73
     2060: 16.14
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2017: 4.658
     2030: 4.294
     2060: 2.999
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2017: 4.280
     2030: 1.604
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2017: 11.15
     2030: 6.403
     2060: 2.495

Education Forecast for El Salvador -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2017: 111.6
     2030: 105.7
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2017: 94.64
     2030: 98.31
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2017: 101.5
     2030: 94.98
     2060: 94.82
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2017: 61.63
     2030: 67.04
     2060: 81.17
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2017: 28.74
     2030: 28.54
     2060: 39.61
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2017: 8.768
     2030: 10.28
     2060: 12.11
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2017: 88.56
     2030: 92.67
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for El Salvador
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2017: 0.122
     2030: 0.019
     2060: 0.018
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2017: 0.739
     2030: 0.237
     2060: 0.147
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2017: 0.811
     2030: 0.845
     2060: 0.911
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2017: 8.331
     2030: 5.685
     2060: 2.329
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2017: 2,578
     2030: 2,771
     2060: 3,205
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2017: -1.966
     2030: -1.773
     2060: -1.247
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2017: 0.492
     2030: 0.556
     2060: 0.589

Economy Forecast for El Salvador
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2017: 52.88
     2030: 66.69
     2060: 105.2
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2017: 26.14
     2030: 36.45
     2060: 74.64
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2017: 8.279
     2030: 9.982
     2060: 16.40
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2017: 0.422
     2030: 0.389
     2060: 0.470
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2017: 48.22
     2030: 24.10
     2060: 22.52
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2017: 10.88
     2030: 11.26
     2060: 20.55

Energy Forecast for El Salvador
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2017: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for El Salvador
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2017: 0.002
     2030: 0.002
     2060: 0.001

International Politics Forecast for El Salvador
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2017: 0.043
     2030: 0.039
     2060: 0.036

Domestic Government Forecast for El Salvador
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2017: 11.12
     2030: 12.04
     2060: 13.43
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2017: 18.01
     2030: 19.38
     2060: 19.64
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2017: 3.449
     2030: 3.900
     2060: 5.050
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2017: 2.508
     2030: 2.728
     2060: 3.192
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2017: 7.262
     2030: 7.382
     2060: 7.646