Country Profile - El Salvador      IFs Version 7.30
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     Forecast Categories for El Salvador
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for El Salvador -
Population - Million People - -
     2017: 6.178
     2030: 6.433
     2060: 6.077
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2017: 0.325
     2030: 0.134
     2060: -0.497
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2017: 16.86
     2030: 14.91
     2060: 11.06
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2017: 6.779
     2030: 7.860
     2060: 11.64
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2017: 15.32
     2030: 9.735
     2060: 4.011
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2017: 73.74
     2030: 75.48
     2060: 77.97
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2017: 68.87
     2030: 70.19
     2060: 71.28
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2017: 78.06
     2030: 80.20
     2060: 83.96
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2017: 1.871
     2030: 1.898
     2060: 1.899
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2017: 0.310
     2030: 0.252
     2060: 0.080
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2017: 0.522
     2030: 0.493
     2060: 0.345
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2017: 1.632
     2030: 1.480
     2060: 1.060
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2017: 4.029
     2030: 4.232
     2060: 3.657
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2017: 0.518
     2030: 0.720
     2060: 1.360
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2017: 4.175
     2030: 4.694
     2060: 4.845
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2017: 0.457
     2030: 0.474
     2060: 0.445
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2017: 42.78
     2030: 45.66
     2060: 48.66

Health Forecast for El Salvador -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2017: 22.29
     2030: 25.32
     2060: 33.24
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2017: 12.86
     2030: 13.73
     2060: 16.08
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2017: 6.408
     2030: 5.513
     2060: 3.531
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2017: 6.178
     2030: 3.488
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2017: 11.15
     2030: 6.398
     2060: 2.516

Education Forecast for El Salvador -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2017: 111.7
     2030: 105.6
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2017: 94.65
     2030: 98.52
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2017: 101.5
     2030: 95.06
     2060: 94.48
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2017: 61.70
     2030: 67.21
     2060: 80.08
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2017: 28.69
     2030: 28.78
     2060: 37.14
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2017: 8.760
     2030: 10.26
     2060: 12.09
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2017: 87.69
     2030: 91.80
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for El Salvador
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2017: 0.116
     2030: 0.018
     2060: 0.022
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2017: 0.503
     2030: 0.138
     2060: 0.111
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2017: 0.809
     2030: 0.843
     2060: 0.910
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2017: 9.003
     2030: 6.252
     2060: 2.485
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2017: 2,578
     2030: 2,771
     2060: 3,201
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2017: -1.966
     2030: -1.776
     2060: -1.264
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2017: 0.492
     2030: 0.555
     2060: 0.581

Economy Forecast for El Salvador
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2017: 51.36
     2030: 64.37
     2060: 97.65
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2017: 26.16
     2030: 36.12
     2060: 69.78
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2017: 8.314
     2030: 10.01
     2060: 16.07
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2017: 0.439
     2030: 0.404
     2060: 0.491
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2017: 48.75
     2030: 31.13
     2060: 22.88
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2017: 11.02
     2030: 12.47
     2060: 23.81

Energy Forecast for El Salvador
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2017: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for El Salvador
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2017: 0.002
     2030: 0.002
     2060: 0.001

International Politics Forecast for El Salvador
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2017: 0.042
     2030: 0.038
     2060: 0.035

Domestic Government Forecast for El Salvador
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2017: 11.12
     2030: 12.04
     2060: 13.41
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2017: 18.02
     2030: 19.44
     2060: 19.65
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2017: 3.453
     2030: 3.908
     2060: 5.009
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2017: 2.511
     2030: 2.731
     2060: 3.180
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2017: 7.265
     2030: 7.384
     2060: 7.636