Country Profile - El Salvador      IFs Version 7.26
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     Forecast Categories for El Salvador
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for El Salvador -
Population - Million People - -
     2016: 6.161
     2030: 6.414
     2060: 5.999
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2016: 0.331
     2030: 0.088
     2060: -0.520
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2016: 16.97
     2030: 14.65
     2060: 11.00
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2016: 6.831
     2030: 8.070
     2060: 11.82
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2016: 15.51
     2030: 10.29
     2060: 4.690
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2016: 73.60
     2030: 75.20
     2060: 77.76
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2016: 68.70
     2030: 69.68
     2060: 70.54
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2016: 77.94
     2030: 80.13
     2060: 84.18
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2016: 1.884
     2030: 1.900
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2016: 0.344
     2030: 0.298
     2060: 0.110
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2016: 0.522
     2030: 0.484
     2060: 0.339
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2016: 1.629
     2030: 1.469
     2060: 1.044
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2016: 4.016
     2030: 4.207
     2060: 3.568
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2016: 0.516
     2030: 0.737
     2060: 1.387
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2016: 4.133
     2030: 4.670
     2060: 4.760
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2016: 0.458
     2030: 0.474
     2060: 0.441
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2016: 42.78
     2030: 45.83
     2060: 48.71

Health Forecast for El Salvador -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2016: 19.85
     2030: 22.65
     2060: 28.63
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2016: 12.87
     2030: 13.84
     2060: 16.29
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2016: 6.413
     2030: 5.268
     2060: 3.242
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2016: 6.002
     2030: 1.618
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2016: 11.32
     2030: 6.523
     2060: 2.882

Education Forecast for El Salvador -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2016: 111.5
     2030: 100.8
     2060: 100.00
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2016: 93.33
     2030: 98.69
     2060: 100.00
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 102.6
     2030: 102.9
     2060: 104.5
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 61.52
     2030: 66.93
     2060: 80.82
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 28.62
     2030: 30.41
     2060: 38.20
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2016: 8.497
     2030: 9.483
     2060: 11.04
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2016: 87.71
     2030: 92.00
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for El Salvador
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2016: 0.153
     2030: 0.106
     2060: 0.135
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2016: 0.564
     2030: 0.420
     2060: 0.388
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2016: 0.807
     2030: 0.842
     2060: 0.913
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2016: 9.057
     2030: 6.179
     2060: 2.019
Calories per capita available - Total - Available per Person per Day - -
     2016: 2,587
     2030: 2,779
     2060: 3,134
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2016: -1.966
     2030: -1.763
     2060: -1.244
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2016: 0.492
     2030: 0.557
     2060: 0.589

Economy Forecast for El Salvador
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 50.34
     2030: 63.91
     2060: 104.0
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 25.70
     2030: 36.27
     2060: 77.78
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 8.171
     2030: 9.964
     2060: 17.34
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2016: 0.443
     2030: 0.450
     2060: 0.550
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2016: 48.59
     2030: 46.45
     2060: 31.66
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2016: 10.90
     2030: 14.55
     2060: 28.28

Energy Forecast for El Salvador
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2016: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for El Salvador
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2016: 0.002
     2030: 0.001
     2060: 0.001

International Politics Forecast for El Salvador
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2016: 0.043
     2030: 0.040
     2060: 0.036

Domestic Government Forecast for El Salvador
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2016: 11.11
     2030: 11.78
     2060: 13.09
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2016: 18.02
     2030: 19.56
     2060: 19.67
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2016: 3.456
     2030: 3.941
     2060: 5.187
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2016: 2.512
     2030: 2.745
     2060: 3.220
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2016: 7.267
     2030: 7.392
     2060: 7.672