Key Development Forecasts for El Salvador

Population Forecast for El Salvador -

Population - Million People -

     2013: 6.416
     2030: 7.562
     2060: 8.515
Population growth rate - Annual Percent -

     2013: 1.173
     2030: 0.717
     2060: 0.056
Crude birthrate - per Thousand -

     2013: 19.45
     2030: 15.32
     2060: 11.53
Crude death rate - per Thousand -

     2013: 6.658
     2030: 7.173
     2060: 9.974
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants -

     2013: 18.81
     2030: 11.30
     2060: 4.928
Life expectancy - Total - Years -

     2013: 72.48
     2030: 75.16
     2060: 78.54
Life expectancy - Male - Years -

     2013: 67.40
     2030: 69.46
     2060: 71.20
Life expectancy - Female - Years -

     2013: 77.08
     2030: 80.34
     2060: 85.12
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman -

     2013: 2.088
     2030: 1.900
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent -

     2013: 0.565
     2030: 0.452
     2060: 0.148
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People -

     2013: 0.743
     2030: 0.703
     2060: 0.597
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People -

     2013: 1.880
     2030: 1.781
     2060: 1.517
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People -

     2013: 4.076
     2030: 5.069
     2060: 5.198
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People -

     2013: 0.460
     2030: 0.711
     2060: 1.800
Population in urban areas - Million People -

     2013: 3.916
     2030: 4.601
     2060: 5.409
Labor participation rate - Ratio -

     2013: 0.424
     2030: 0.463
     2060: 0.432
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force -

     2013: 43.07
     2030: 46.44
     2060: 48.90

Health Forecast for El Salvador -

Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older -

     2013: 19.67
     2030: 21.79
     2060: 26.97
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults -

     2013: 21.31
     2030: 21.14
     2060: 21.31
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children -

     2013: 6.419
     2030: 5.352
     2060: 3.748
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population -

     2013: 5.958
     2030: 2.638
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population -

     2013: 11.46
     2030: 8.400
     2060: 2.086

Education Forecast for El Salvador -

Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate -

     2013: 107.1
     2030: 99.73
     2060: 99.64
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled -

     2013: 94.04
     2030: 99.65
     2060: 99.67
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent -

     2013: 83.65
     2030: 78.46
     2060: 87.53
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent -

     2013: 47.41
     2030: 56.08
     2060: 83.03
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent -

     2013: 23.65
     2030: 27.83
     2060: 35.20
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed -

     2013: 7.880
     2030: 9.396
     2060: 11.10
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older -

     2013: 85.99
     2030: 91.18
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for El Salvador

Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation - Million People -

     2013: 0.205
     2030: 0.313
     2060: 0.379
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation - Million People -

     2013: 0.836
     2030: 1.074
     2060: 1.128
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index -

     2013: 0.788
     2030: 0.833
     2060: 0.911
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index -

     2013: 10.70
     2030: 7.265
     2060: 3.258
Calories per capita available - Available per Person per Day -

     2013: 2,598
     2030: 2,746
     2060: 3,062
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index -

     2013: 0.606
     2030: 0.188
     2060: 0.134
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index -

     2013: -1.192
     2030: -1.059
     2060: -0.673

Economy Forecast for El Salvador

Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2005 Dollars -

     2013: 45.62
     2030: 68.48
     2060: 130.9
Gross domestic product - Billion 2005 Dollars -

     2013: 19.44
     2030: 33.59
     2060: 86.76
GDP per capita at PPP - Thousand 2005 Dollars -

     2013: 7.110
     2030: 9.056
     2060: 15.37
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index -

     2013: 0.474
     2030: 0.513
     2060: 0.568
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index -

     2013: 56.40
     2030: 55.15
     2060: 39.32
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index -

     2013: 10.79
     2030: 18.79
     2060: 32.10

Energy Forecast for El Salvador

Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent -

     2013: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for El Salvador

Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons -

     2013: 0.002
     2030: 0.002
     2060: 0.003

International Politics Forecast for El Salvador

Power index (percent of global total) - Index -

     2013: 0.052
     2030: 0.050
     2060: 0.049

Domestic Government Forecast for El Salvador

Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index -

     2013: 11.04
     2030: 11.61
     2060: 12.74
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index -

     2013: 17.90
     2030: 19.65
     2060: 19.72
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index -

     2013: 3.619
     2030: 4.203
     2060: 5.231
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index -

     2013: 2.524
     2030: 2.794
     2060: 3.231
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index -

     2013: 7.483
     2030: 7.690
     2060: 7.997