Country Profile - Sao Tome and Principe      IFs Version 7.45
  Continue    Change Country    Display Options    Map Source    Help  


Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
www.ifs.du.edu


Sign up for our monthly newsletter.

     Forecast Categories for Sao Tome and Principe
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Sao Tome and Principe -
Population - Million People - -
     2020: 0.224
     2030: 0.279
     2060: 0.426
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2020: 2.267
     2030: 2.025
     2060: 0.765
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2020: 31.96
     2030: 27.71
     2060: 14.85
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2020: 4.547
     2030: 4.051
     2060: 5.409
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Live Births - -
     2020: 22.55
     2030: 15.91
     2060: 5.414
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2020: 71.55
     2030: 73.55
     2060: 78.37
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2020: 69.91
     2030: 71.74
     2060: 75.97
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2020: 73.19
     2030: 75.40
     2060: 80.85
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2020: 4.194
     2030: 3.475
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2020: 0.479
     2030: 0.406
     2060: 0.133
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2020: 0.034
     2030: 0.037
     2060: 0.032
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2020: 0.093
     2030: 0.105
     2060: 0.102
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2020: 0.124
     2030: 0.164
     2060: 0.288
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2020: 0.006
     2030: 0.010
     2060: 0.036
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2020: 0.163
     2030: 0.217
     2060: 0.361
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2020: 0.382
     2030: 0.517
     2060: 0.267
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2020: 37.28
     2030: 39.74
     2060: 44.60

Health Forecast for Sao Tome and Principe -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2020: 6.596
     2030: 7.535
     2060: 11.52
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2020: 5.498
     2030: 5.859
     2060: 8.337
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2020: 6.851
     2030: 3.379
     2060: 2.080
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2020: 6.779
     2030: 4.749
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2020: 8.520
     2030: 6.897
     2060: 2.846

Education Forecast for Sao Tome and Principe -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2020: 113.6
     2030: 109.5
     2060: 100.6
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2020: 96.63
     2030: 98.05
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2020: 105.7
     2030: 103.0
     2060: 100.9
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2020: 62.83
     2030: 68.56
     2060: 84.10
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2020: 15.71
     2030: 21.56
     2060: 40.39
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2020: 6.280
     2030: 7.473
     2060: 9.760
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2020: 93.27
     2030: 97.25
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Forecast for Sao Tome and Principe
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2020: 0.072
     2030: 0.091
     2060: 0.000
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2020: 0.113
     2030: 0.143
     2060: 0.002
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2020: 0.761
     2030: 0.798
     2060: 0.896
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2020: 6.113
     2030: 3.621
     2060: 1.702
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2020: 2,355
     2030: 2,498
     2060: 2,950
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2020: -0.136
     2030: -0.084
     2060: 0.148
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2020: -0.409
     2030: -0.290
     2060: 0.172

Economy Forecast for Sao Tome and Principe
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2020: 0.696
     2030: 1.092
     2060: 5.075
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2020: 0.365
     2030: 0.605
     2060: 4.062
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2020: 3.103
     2030: 3.919
     2060: 11.92
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2020: 0.307
     2030: 0.298
     2060: 0.245
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2020: 47.07
     2030: 47.17
     2060: 44.49
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2020: 9.893
     2030: 13.83
     2060: 30.08

Energy Forecast for Sao Tome and Principe
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2020: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.001

Environment Forecast for Sao Tome and Principe
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2020: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

International Politics Forecast for Sao Tome and Principe
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2020: 0.001
     2030: 0.001
     2060: 0.002

Domestic Government Forecast for Sao Tome and Principe
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2020: 12.53
     2030: 13.59
     2060: 14.00
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2020: 12.41
     2030: 12.57
     2060: 14.73
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2020: 3.034
     2030: 3.138
     2060: 4.261
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2020: 1.817
     2030: 2.007
     2060: 2.828
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2020: 6.074
     2030: 6.187
     2060: 6.709