Country Profile - Sierra Leone      IFs Version 7.37
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Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
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     Forecast Categories for Sierra Leone
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Sierra Leone -
Population - Million People - -
     2018: 7.719
     2030: 10.000
     2060: 15.13
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2018: 2.200
     2030: 2.001
     2060: 0.746
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2018: 34.17
     2030: 28.66
     2060: 15.66
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2018: 11.69
     2030: 8.043
     2060: 7.833
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2018: 74.33
     2030: 41.12
     2060: 15.64
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2018: 54.48
     2030: 62.04
     2060: 69.58
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2018: 53.66
     2030: 60.87
     2060: 68.02
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2018: 55.29
     2030: 63.21
     2060: 71.18
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2018: 4.326
     2030: 3.468
     2060: 1.952
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2018: 0.724
     2030: 0.586
     2060: 0.180
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2018: 1.173
     2030: 1.352
     2060: 1.205
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2018: 3.213
     2030: 3.727
     2060: 3.751
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2018: 4.308
     2030: 5.981
     2060: 10.38
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2018: 0.198
     2030: 0.292
     2060: 0.997
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2018: 3.171
     2030: 4.539
     2060: 8.761
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2018: 0.331
     2030: 0.309
     2060: 0.153
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2018: 49.99
     2030: 49.99
     2060: 49.99

Health Forecast for Sierra Leone -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2018: 16.84
     2030: 18.22
     2060: 22.67
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2018: 34.65
     2030: 34.40
     2060: 34.09
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2018: 15.71
     2030: 8.277
     2060: 3.416
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2018: 15.07
     2030: 8.079
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2018: 26.05
     2030: 17.45
     2060: 5.954

Education Forecast for Sierra Leone -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2018: 127.5
     2030: 121.3
     2060: 106.6
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2018: 98.24
     2030: 99.23
     2060: 99.83
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2018: 65.85
     2030: 81.16
     2060: 93.50
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2018: 30.83
     2030: 43.79
     2060: 65.91
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2018: 2.864
     2030: 8.779
     2060: 23.71
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2018: 3.654
     2030: 5.207
     2060: 7.799
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2018: 35.90
     2030: 70.08
     2060: 98.16

Social/Human Forecast for Sierra Leone
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2018: 2.774
     2030: 3.728
     2060: 0.149
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2018: 4.550
     2030: 6.150
     2060: 0.670
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2018: 0.432
     2030: 0.603
     2060: 0.799
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2018: 46.42
     2030: 21.80
     2060: 4.464
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2018: 2,531
     2030: 2,657
     2060: 2,994
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2018: -0.339
     2030: -0.381
     2060: -0.434
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2018: -0.891
     2030: -0.767
     2060: -0.440

Economy Forecast for Sierra Leone
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2018: 11.13
     2030: 18.88
     2060: 85.04
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2018: 4.058
     2030: 7.346
     2060: 47.94
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2018: 1.442
     2030: 1.888
     2060: 5.620
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2018: 0.336
     2030: 0.320
     2060: 0.315
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2018: 37.74
     2030: 44.13
     2060: 41.54
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2018: 3.512
     2030: 5.298
     2060: 11.24

Energy Forecast for Sierra Leone
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2018: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Sierra Leone
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2018: 0.000
     2030: 0.001
     2060: 0.004

International Politics Forecast for Sierra Leone
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2018: 0.030
     2030: 0.036
     2060: 0.055

Domestic Government Forecast for Sierra Leone
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2018: 10.45
     2030: 12.05
     2060: 14.00
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2018: 16.93
     2030: 16.99
     2060: 18.24
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2018: 2.528
     2030: 2.656
     2060: 3.416
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2018: 1.356
     2030: 1.593
     2060: 2.438
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2018: 5.828
     2030: 5.980
     2060: 6.561