Country Profile - Sierra Leone      IFs Version 7.31
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Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
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     Forecast Categories for Sierra Leone
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Sierra Leone -
Population - Million People - -
     2018: 7.714
     2030: 9.954
     2060: 15.18
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2018: 2.179
     2030: 1.975
     2060: 0.840
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2018: 34.17
     2030: 29.03
     2060: 16.98
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2018: 11.82
     2030: 8.520
     2060: 8.177
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2018: 75.66
     2030: 45.81
     2060: 20.54
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2018: 54.28
     2030: 61.09
     2060: 68.35
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2018: 53.49
     2030: 60.02
     2060: 66.96
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2018: 55.06
     2030: 62.17
     2060: 69.78
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2018: 4.327
     2030: 3.515
     2060: 2.139
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2018: 0.724
     2030: 0.586
     2060: 0.180
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2018: 1.172
     2030: 1.354
     2060: 1.287
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2018: 3.211
     2030: 3.713
     2060: 3.917
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2018: 4.305
     2030: 5.951
     2060: 10.27
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2018: 0.198
     2030: 0.291
     2060: 0.988
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2018: 2.822
     2030: 4.009
     2060: 7.855
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2018: 0.350
     2030: 0.375
     2060: 0.424
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2018: 49.53
     2030: 49.53
     2060: 49.53

Health Forecast for Sierra Leone -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2018: 16.85
     2030: 18.80
     2060: 24.60
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2018: 34.66
     2030: 34.55
     2060: 34.00
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2018: 16.13
     2030: 10.96
     2060: 5.585
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2018: 15.40
     2030: 10.31
     2060: 1.838
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2018: 19.02
     2030: 12.00
     2060: 4.559

Education Forecast for Sierra Leone -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2018: 129.0
     2030: 125.6
     2060: 110.3
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2018: 98.15
     2030: 99.08
     2060: 99.66
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2018: 64.56
     2030: 77.47
     2060: 88.36
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2018: 29.52
     2030: 38.67
     2060: 55.94
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2018: 2.535
     2030: 6.638
     2060: 16.79
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2018: 4.028
     2030: 5.577
     2060: 7.925
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2018: 52.30
     2030: 69.68
     2060: 95.81

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Sierra Leone
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2018: 4.139
     2030: 4.747
     2060: 3.283
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2018: 5.962
     2030: 7.361
     2060: 6.268
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2018: 0.491
     2030: 0.603
     2060: 0.773
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2018: 36.95
     2030: 23.83
     2060: 8.896
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2018: 2,532
     2030: 2,705
     2060: 3,121
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2018: -0.314
     2030: -0.351
     2060: -0.450
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2018: -0.826
     2030: -0.702
     2060: -0.464

Economy Forecast for Sierra Leone
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2018: 12.39
     2030: 21.18
     2060: 69.19
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2018: 3.996
     2030: 7.619
     2060: 32.58
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2018: 1.606
     2030: 2.128
     2060: 4.559
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2018: 0.337
     2030: 0.317
     2060: 0.387
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2018: 36.10
     2030: 44.42
     2060: 45.83
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2018: 2.769
     2030: 4.023
     2060: 7.811

Energy Forecast for Sierra Leone
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2018: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Sierra Leone
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2018: 0.000
     2030: 0.001
     2060: 0.003

International Politics Forecast for Sierra Leone
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2018: 0.030
     2030: 0.036
     2060: 0.051

Domestic Government Forecast for Sierra Leone
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2018: 10.45
     2030: 11.99
     2060: 14.00
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2018: 16.93
     2030: 17.00
     2060: 18.23
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2018: 2.528
     2030: 2.665
     2060: 3.274
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2018: 1.354
     2030: 1.612
     2060: 2.302
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2018: 6.851
     2030: 7.038
     2060: 7.549