Country Profile - Sweden      IFs Version 7.37
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Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
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     Forecast Categories for Sweden
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Sweden -
Population - Million People - -
     2018: 10.09
     2030: 11.12
     2060: 12.43
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2018: 1.085
     2030: 0.591
     2060: 0.263
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2018: 12.47
     2030: 11.29
     2060: 10.72
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2018: 9.166
     2030: 9.626
     2060: 10.39
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2018: 1.973
     2030: 1.424
     2060: 0.671
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2018: 82.64
     2030: 83.93
     2060: 86.93
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2018: 80.85
     2030: 82.08
     2060: 85.01
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2018: 84.43
     2030: 85.78
     2060: 88.84
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2018: 1.904
     2030: 1.900
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2018: 0.145
     2030: 0.120
     2060: 0.039
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2018: 0.593
     2030: 0.636
     2060: 0.668
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2018: 1.787
     2030: 1.954
     2060: 2.039
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2018: 6.287
     2030: 6.795
     2060: 7.162
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2018: 2.013
     2030: 2.372
     2060: 3.231
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2018: 8.675
     2030: 9.670
     2060: 11.23
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2018: 0.518
     2030: 0.481
     2060: 0.379
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2018: 48.48
     2030: 49.71
     2060: 50.00

Health Forecast for Sweden -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2018: 20.53
     2030: 22.22
     2060: 24.54
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2018: 21.41
     2030: 20.64
     2060: 19.98
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2018: 4.486
     2030: 3.984
     2060: 3.209
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2018: 4.645
     2030: 7.680
     2060: 8.768
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2018: 2.123
     2030: 1.661
     2060: 1.117

Education Forecast for Sweden -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2018: 116.4
     2030: 102.9
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2018: 96.33
     2030: 100.00
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2018: 115.1
     2030: 102.2
     2060: 100.0
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2018: 137.7
     2030: 115.2
     2060: 100.0
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2018: 64.64
     2030: 77.79
     2060: 96.19
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2018: 11.74
     2030: 12.26
     2060: 14.00
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2018: 100.0
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Forecast for Sweden
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2018: 0.002
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2018: 0.038
     2030: 0.005
     2060: 0.000
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2018: 0.998
     2030: 1.000
     2060: 1.000
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2018: 1.598
     2030: 1.417
     2060: 1.140
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2018: 3,235
     2030: 3,346
     2060: 3,490
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2018: 1.736
     2030: 1.739
     2060: 1.362
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2018: 1.971
     2030: 1.978
     2060: 1.792

Economy Forecast for Sweden
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2018: 492.8
     2030: 652.2
     2060: 1,174
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2018: 661.2
     2030: 839.3
     2060: 1,371
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2018: 48.86
     2030: 58.65
     2060: 94.46
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2018: 0.289
     2030: 0.271
     2060: 0.232
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2018: 65.12
     2030: 58.72
     2060: 56.64
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2018: 66.38
     2030: 79.96
     2060: 96.23

Energy Forecast for Sweden
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2018: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Sweden
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2018: 0.011
     2030: 0.008
     2060: 0.003

International Politics Forecast for Sweden
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2018: 0.364
     2030: 0.369
     2060: 0.368

Domestic Government Forecast for Sweden
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2018: 14.00
     2030: 14.00
     2060: 14.00
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2018: 20.00
     2030: 20.00
     2060: 20.00
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2018: 9.689
     2030: 10.00
     2060: 10.00
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2018: 4.322
     2030: 4.411
     2060: 4.639
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2018: 7.683
     2030: 7.774
     2060: 8.003