Country Profile - Sweden      IFs Version 7.26
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Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
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     Forecast Categories for Sweden
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Sweden -
Population - Million People - -
     2016: 9.835
     2030: 10.70
     2060: 12.02
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2016: 0.729
     2030: 0.491
     2060: 0.252
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2016: 12.17
     2030: 10.87
     2060: 10.60
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2016: 9.022
     2030: 9.749
     2060: 10.27
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2016: 2.492
     2030: 1.613
     2060: 0.763
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2016: 82.68
     2030: 84.53
     2060: 87.65
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2016: 80.98
     2030: 82.74
     2060: 85.59
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2016: 84.37
     2030: 86.33
     2060: 89.71
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2016: 1.915
     2030: 1.900
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2016: 0.149
     2030: 0.129
     2060: 0.048
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2016: 0.582
     2030: 0.588
     2060: 0.640
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2016: 1.705
     2030: 1.836
     2060: 1.962
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2016: 6.143
     2030: 6.464
     2060: 6.875
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2016: 1.987
     2030: 2.403
     2060: 3.181
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2016: 8.477
     2030: 9.635
     2060: 11.06
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2016: 0.526
     2030: 0.516
     2060: 0.491
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2016: 47.93
     2030: 49.62
     2060: 49.99

Health Forecast for Sweden -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2016: 18.05
     2030: 19.74
     2060: 20.91
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2016: 21.58
     2030: 20.89
     2060: 20.89
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2016: 2.375
     2030: 2.225
     2060: 2.182
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2016: 2.019
     2030: 5.959
     2060: 6.679
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2016: 4.420
     2030: 3.115
     2060: 1.946

Education Forecast for Sweden -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2016: 119.1
     2030: 100.1
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2016: 99.46
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 117.6
     2030: 101.5
     2060: 100.6
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 138.6
     2030: 114.9
     2060: 100.0
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 63.28
     2030: 82.13
     2060: 89.77
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2016: 11.75
     2030: 12.79
     2060: 14.57
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2016: 100.0
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Sweden
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2016: 0.002
     2030: 0.001
     2060: 0.000
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2016: 0.002
     2030: 0.001
     2060: 0.000
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2016: 0.996
     2030: 1.000
     2060: 1.000
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2016: 0.974
     2030: 0.866
     2060: 0.806
Calories per capita available - Total - Available per Person per Day - -
     2016: 3,387
     2030: 3,509
     2060: 3,590
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2016: 1.731
     2030: 1.742
     2060: 1.384
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2016: 1.968
     2030: 1.989
     2060: 1.827

Economy Forecast for Sweden
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 465.8
     2030: 676.5
     2060: 1,254
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 627.7
     2030: 868.2
     2060: 1,460
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 47.36
     2030: 63.20
     2060: 104.3
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2016: 0.274
     2030: 0.291
     2060: 0.323
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2016: 67.75
     2030: 59.03
     2060: 56.23
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2016: 70.26
     2030: 83.57
     2060: 96.52

Energy Forecast for Sweden
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2016: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Sweden
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2016: 0.015
     2030: 0.016
     2060: 0.003

International Politics Forecast for Sweden
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2016: 0.369
     2030: 0.388
     2060: 0.399

Domestic Government Forecast for Sweden
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2016: 14.00
     2030: 14.00
     2060: 14.00
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2016: 20.00
     2030: 20.00
     2060: 20.00
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2016: 9.699
     2030: 10.00
     2060: 10.00
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2016: 4.328
     2030: 4.475
     2060: 4.707
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2016: 7.365
     2030: 7.503
     2060: 7.732