Country Profile - Sweden      IFs Version 6.69
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Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
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     Forecast Categories for Sweden
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Sweden -
Population - Million People - -
     2013: 9.486
     2030: 9.866
     2060: 9.942
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2013: 0.342
     2030: 0.083
     2060: -0.029
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2013: 11.87
     2030: 10.42
     2060: 10.28
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2013: 9.646
     2030: 10.75
     2060: 11.71
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2013: 2.329
     2030: 1.450
     2060: 0.731
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2013: 81.70
     2030: 83.78
     2060: 86.68
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2013: 79.64
     2030: 81.62
     2060: 84.27
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2013: 83.76
     2030: 85.94
     2060: 89.08
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2013: 1.924
     2030: 1.900
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2013: 0.066
     2030: 0.053
     2060: 0.017
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2013: 0.682
     2030: 0.631
     2060: 0.619
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2013: 1.604
     2030: 1.647
     2060: 1.588
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2013: 6.032
     2030: 5.899
     2060: 5.601
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2013: 1.850
     2030: 2.319
     2060: 2.754
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2013: 8.162
     2030: 9.076
     2060: 9.147
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2013: 0.523
     2030: 0.499
     2060: 0.471
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2013: 48.20
     2030: 49.78
     2060: 49.99

Health Forecast for Sweden -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2013: 18.33
     2030: 20.28
     2060: 23.74
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2013: 20.77
     2030: 19.77
     2060: 19.55
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2013: 4.884
     2030: 4.170
     2060: 3.153
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2013: 4.884
     2030: 3.030
     2060: 2.307
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2013: 3.380
     2030: 1.913
     2060: 0.000

Education Forecast for Sweden -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2013: 102.2
     2030: 101.7
     2060: 100.3
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2013: 96.77
     2030: 100.00
     2060: 99.99
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2013: 103.8
     2030: 106.9
     2060: 100.4
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2013: 102.6
     2030: 103.6
     2060: 100.2
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2013: 73.39
     2030: 81.36
     2060: 82.28
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2013: 11.78
     2030: 12.69
     2060: 14.15
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2013: 100.0
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Sweden
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation - Million People - -
     2013: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation - Million People - -
     2013: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2013: 0.975
     2030: 1.000
     2060: 1.000
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2013: 1.747
     2030: 1.485
     2060: 1.132
Calories per capita available - Available per Person per Day - -
     2013: 3,164
     2030: 3,299
     2060: 3,519
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2013: 1.738
     2030: 1.743
     2060: 1.420
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2013: 1.970
     2030: 1.972
     2060: 1.767

Economy Forecast for Sweden
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2005 Dollars - -
     2013: 338.4
     2030: 472.9
     2060: 744.4
Gross domestic product - Billion 2005 Dollars - -
     2013: 429.2
     2030: 572.6
     2060: 834.5
GDP per capita at PPP - Thousand 2005 Dollars - -
     2013: 35.67
     2030: 47.93
     2060: 74.87
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2013: 0.251
     2030: 0.263
     2060: 0.290
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2013: 87.35
     2030: 84.84
     2060: 81.54
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2013: 79.92
     2030: 99.82
     2060: 107.8

Energy Forecast for Sweden
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2013: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Sweden
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2013: 0.013
     2030: 0.014
     2060: -0.003

International Politics Forecast for Sweden
Power index (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2013: 0.378
     2030: 0.333
     2060: 0.244

Domestic Government Forecast for Sweden
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2013: 14.00
     2030: 14.00
     2060: 14.00
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2013: 20.00
     2030: 20.00
     2060: 20.00
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2013: 9.444
     2030: 10.00
     2060: 10.00
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2013: 4.520
     2030: 4.601
     2060: 4.689
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2013: 7.316
     2030: 7.467
     2060: 7.690