Country Profile - Sweden      IFs Version 7.31
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Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
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     Forecast Categories for Sweden
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Sweden -
Population - Million People - -
     2018: 9.966
     2030: 10.69
     2060: 11.98
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2018: 0.724
     2030: 0.480
     2060: 0.237
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2018: 12.30
     2030: 10.93
     2060: 10.70
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2018: 9.248
     2030: 9.929
     2060: 10.54
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2018: 1.960
     2030: 1.392
     2060: 0.651
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2018: 82.65
     2030: 83.95
     2060: 86.72
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2018: 80.87
     2030: 82.10
     2060: 84.60
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2018: 84.44
     2030: 85.81
     2060: 88.83
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2018: 1.904
     2030: 1.900
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2018: 0.145
     2030: 0.120
     2060: 0.039
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2018: 0.588
     2030: 0.593
     2060: 0.644
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2018: 1.763
     2030: 1.853
     2060: 1.977
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2018: 6.194
     2030: 6.491
     2060: 6.900
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2018: 2.009
     2030: 2.351
     2060: 3.102
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2018: 8.670
     2030: 9.665
     2060: 11.02
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2018: 0.531
     2030: 0.525
     2060: 0.500
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2018: 48.26
     2030: 49.62
     2060: 49.99

Health Forecast for Sweden -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2018: 20.41
     2030: 22.51
     2060: 26.69
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2018: 21.44
     2030: 20.97
     2060: 20.97
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2018: 4.510
     2030: 3.935
     2060: 2.949
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2018: 4.711
     2030: 7.488
     2060: 7.384
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2018: 1.325
     2030: 1.071
     2060: 0.747

Education Forecast for Sweden -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2018: 114.6
     2030: 102.5
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2018: 97.81
     2030: 100.00
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2018: 113.9
     2030: 101.4
     2060: 100.0
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2018: 135.9
     2030: 114.7
     2060: 100.0
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2018: 64.89
     2030: 77.17
     2060: 92.30
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2018: 11.68
     2030: 12.15
     2060: 13.82
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2018: 100.0
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Sweden
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2018: 0.003
     2030: 0.001
     2060: 0.001
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2018: 0.079
     2030: 0.039
     2060: 0.013
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2018: 0.998
     2030: 1.000
     2060: 1.000
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2018: 1.605
     2030: 1.400
     2060: 1.058
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2018: 3,227
     2030: 3,364
     2060: 3,615
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2018: 1.735
     2030: 1.739
     2060: 1.364
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2018: 1.971
     2030: 1.982
     2060: 1.800

Economy Forecast for Sweden
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2018: 489.6
     2030: 644.9
     2060: 1,139
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2018: 659.6
     2030: 832.6
     2060: 1,332
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2018: 49.13
     2030: 60.30
     2060: 95.06
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2018: 0.276
     2030: 0.292
     2060: 0.325
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2018: 65.85
     2030: 59.79
     2060: 57.47
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2018: 70.68
     2030: 82.05
     2060: 96.50

Energy Forecast for Sweden
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2018: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Sweden
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2018: 0.012
     2030: 0.011
     2060: 0.003

International Politics Forecast for Sweden
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2018: 0.364
     2030: 0.368
     2060: 0.382

Domestic Government Forecast for Sweden
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2018: 14.00
     2030: 14.00
     2060: 14.00
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2018: 20.00
     2030: 20.00
     2060: 20.00
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2018: 9.747
     2030: 10.00
     2060: 10.00
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2018: 4.328
     2030: 4.432
     2060: 4.648
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2018: 7.367
     2030: 7.465
     2060: 7.677