Country Profile - Russian Federation      IFs Version 7.15
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     Forecast Categories for Russian Federation
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Russian Federation -
Population - Million People - -
     2015: 142.8
     2030: 134.6
     2060: 115.8
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2015: -0.189
     2030: -0.491
     2060: -0.531
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2015: 11.26
     2030: 8.840
     2060: 8.900
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2015: 14.47
     2030: 14.63
     2060: 14.79
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2015: 9.503
     2030: 7.938
     2060: 5.194
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2015: 69.74
     2030: 72.67
     2060: 78.95
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2015: 63.08
     2030: 65.73
     2060: 71.92
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2015: 75.43
     2030: 78.50
     2060: 84.82
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2015: 1.526
     2030: 1.571
     2060: 1.696
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2015: 0.642
     2030: 0.519
     2060: 0.170
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2015: 9.938
     2030: 7.217
     2060: 6.270
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2015: 23.43
     2030: 20.08
     2060: 16.60
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2015: 99.85
     2030: 87.18
     2060: 65.15
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2015: 19.56
     2030: 27.31
     2060: 34.05
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2015: 106.0
     2030: 104.4
     2060: 93.57
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2015: 0.516
     2030: 0.478
     2060: 0.415
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2015: 48.95
     2030: 48.95
     2060: 48.95

Health Forecast for Russian Federation -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2015: 25.60
     2030: 26.01
     2060: 27.88
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2015: 40.64
     2030: 40.50
     2060: 38.01
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2015: 2.860
     2030: 2.392
     2060: 2.305
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2015: 1.160
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2015: 4.642
     2030: 4.355
     2060: 2.806

Education Forecast for Russian Federation -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2015: 108.0
     2030: 101.6
     2060: 100.2
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2015: 93.48
     2030: 100.00
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2015: 96.07
     2030: 103.3
     2060: 100.2
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2015: 91.35
     2030: 99.95
     2060: 100.3
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2015: 75.67
     2030: 76.07
     2060: 89.99
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2015: 11.72
     2030: 12.24
     2060: 13.78
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2015: 100.0
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Russian Federation
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2015: 0.004
     2030: 0.010
     2060: 0.001
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2015: 0.035
     2030: 0.057
     2060: 0.006
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2015: 0.885
     2030: 0.915
     2060: 0.983
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2015: 3.510
     2030: 2.732
     2060: 1.964
Calories per capita available - Available per Person per Day - -
     2015: 3,198
     2030: 3,219
     2060: 3,337
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2015: -0.171
     2030: -0.087
     2060: 0.227
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2015: -1.616
     2030: -1.380
     2060: -0.747

Economy Forecast for Russian Federation
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2015: 3,319
     2030: 3,988
     2060: 6,297
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2015: 2,070
     2030: 2,936
     2060: 5,549
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2015: 23.24
     2030: 29.63
     2060: 54.38
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2015: 0.405
     2030: 0.455
     2060: 0.490
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2015: 14.50
     2030: 15.27
     2060: 15.98
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2015: 58.48
     2030: 68.84
     2060: 81.81

Energy Forecast for Russian Federation
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2015: 3.869
     2030: 4.466
     2060: 1.888

Environment Forecast for Russian Federation
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2015: 0.489
     2030: 0.483
     2060: 0.400

International Politics Forecast for Russian Federation
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2015: 3.048
     2030: 2.413
     2060: 1.635

Domestic Government Forecast for Russian Federation
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2015: 5.070
     2030: 5.236
     2060: 5.727
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2015: 14.59
     2030: 15.42
     2060: 16.97
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2015: 2.554
     2030: 3.884
     2060: 7.886
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2015: 2.181
     2030: 2.494
     2060: 3.236
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2015: 6.534
     2030: 6.633
     2060: 6.911