Country Profile - Serbia      IFs Version 7.00
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     Forecast Categories for Serbia
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Serbia -
Population - Million People - -
     2014: 7.698
     2030: 7.264
     2060: 5.935
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2014: -0.245
     2030: -0.522
     2060: -0.784
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2014: 9.994
     2030: 8.670
     2060: 8.181
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2014: 11.85
     2030: 13.27
     2060: 16.02
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2014: 11.07
     2030: 9.164
     2060: 6.322
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2014: 74.91
     2030: 76.88
     2060: 80.53
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2014: 72.60
     2030: 74.48
     2060: 77.81
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2014: 77.13
     2030: 79.20
     2060: 83.16
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2014: 1.410
     2030: 1.505
     2060: 1.655
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2014: 0.082
     2030: 0.066
     2060: 0.022
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2014: 0.465
     2030: 0.393
     2060: 0.297
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2014: 1.236
     2030: 1.041
     2060: 0.769
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2014: 5.324
     2030: 4.757
     2060: 3.385
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2014: 1.138
     2030: 1.467
     2060: 1.780
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2014: 4.102
     2030: 4.055
     2060: 3.616
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2014: 0.460
     2030: 0.447
     2060: 0.396
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2014: 45.03
     2030: 47.78
     2060: 49.51

Health Forecast for Serbia -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2014: 27.74
     2030: 29.21
     2060: 33.33
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2014: 39.83
     2030: 38.23
     2060: 34.51
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2014: 1.871
     2030: 2.045
     2060: 2.289
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2014: 1.646
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2014: 5.094
     2030: 5.100
     2060: 4.063

Education Forecast for Serbia -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2014: 101.1
     2030: 101.4
     2060: 100.1
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2014: 93.65
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 99.97
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2014: 97.54
     2030: 102.7
     2060: 99.31
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2014: 86.54
     2030: 97.60
     2060: 99.14
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2014: 48.31
     2030: 46.57
     2060: 44.22
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2014: 10.06
     2030: 11.74
     2060: 13.98
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2014: 98.38
     2030: 99.78
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Serbia
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation - Million People - -
     2014: 0.003
     2030: 0.004
     2060: 0.000
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation - Million People - -
     2014: 0.039
     2030: 0.046
     2060: 0.003
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2014: 0.860
     2030: 0.883
     2060: 0.928
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2014: 1.900
     2030: 1.468
     2060: 1.148
Calories per capita available - Available per Person per Day - -
     2014: 2,841
     2030: 2,925
     2060: 3,139
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2014: -1.235
     2030: -1.117
     2060: -1.118
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2014: 0.859
     2030: 1.045
     2060: 1.314

Economy Forecast for Serbia
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2005 Dollars - -
     2014: 75.36
     2030: 81.34
     2060: 102.2
Gross domestic product - Billion 2005 Dollars - -
     2014: 28.94
     2030: 35.50
     2060: 61.99
GDP per capita at PPP - Thousand 2005 Dollars - -
     2014: 9.789
     2030: 11.20
     2060: 17.23
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2014: 0.299
     2030: 0.302
     2060: 0.313
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2014: 78.75
     2030: 72.06
     2060: 47.32
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2014: 27.96
     2030: 30.38
     2060: 37.06

Energy Forecast for Serbia
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2014: 0.006
     2030: 0.004
     2060: 0.001

Environment Forecast for Serbia
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2014: 0.012
     2030: 0.012
     2060: 0.010

International Politics Forecast for Serbia
Power index (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2014: 0.079
     2030: 0.060
     2060: 0.041

Domestic Government Forecast for Serbia
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2014: 12.23
     2030: 13.41
     2060: 14.00
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2014: 18.23
     2030: 19.11
     2060: 19.74
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2014: 3.598
     2030: 4.048
     2060: 5.144
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2014: 2.498
     2030: 2.710
     2060: 3.159
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2014: 6.455
     2030: 6.548
     2060: 6.753