Country Profile - Serbia      IFs Version 7.08
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     Forecast Categories for Serbia
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Serbia -
Population - Million People - -
     2014: 7.651
     2030: 7.018
     2060: 5.515
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2014: -0.385
     2030: -0.736
     2060: -0.825
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2014: 9.798
     2030: 8.416
     2060: 8.028
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2014: 11.87
     2030: 13.46
     2060: 16.28
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2014: 11.08
     2030: 8.895
     2060: 5.583
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2014: 74.94
     2030: 77.07
     2060: 81.28
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2014: 72.63
     2030: 74.68
     2060: 78.60
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2014: 77.16
     2030: 79.39
     2060: 83.88
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2014: 1.389
     2030: 1.498
     2060: 1.651
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2014: 0.082
     2030: 0.066
     2060: 0.022
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2014: 0.459
     2030: 0.372
     2060: 0.271
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2014: 1.224
     2030: 0.989
     2060: 0.699
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2014: 5.290
     2030: 4.569
     2060: 3.074
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2014: 1.137
     2030: 1.460
     2060: 1.743
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2014: 4.114
     2030: 4.054
     2060: 3.526
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2014: 0.409
     2030: 0.397
     2060: 0.346
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2014: 44.75
     2030: 47.57
     2060: 49.43

Health Forecast for Serbia -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2014: 27.76
     2030: 28.54
     2060: 31.12
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2014: 31.31
     2030: 31.31
     2060: 30.11
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2014: 1.869
     2030: 2.096
     2060: 2.467
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2014: 1.486
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2014: 5.085
     2030: 5.427
     2060: 5.230

Education Forecast for Serbia -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2014: 104.3
     2030: 100.8
     2060: 100.3
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2014: 96.87
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2014: 99.15
     2030: 103.5
     2060: 100.3
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2014: 75.40
     2030: 101.9
     2060: 100.4
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2014: 49.91
     2030: 49.86
     2060: 50.59
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2014: 9.802
     2030: 11.27
     2060: 13.76
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2014: 98.40
     2030: 99.79
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Serbia
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2014: 0.011
     2030: 0.001
     2060: 0.000
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2014: 0.035
     2030: 0.005
     2060: 0.000
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2014: 0.868
     2030: 0.897
     2060: 0.952
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2014: 1.895
     2030: 1.443
     2060: 1.123
Calories per capita available - Available per Person per Day - -
     2014: 2,843
     2030: 2,888
     2060: 3,027
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2014: -1.237
     2030: -1.123
     2060: -1.123
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2014: 0.857
     2030: 1.041
     2060: 1.316

Economy Forecast for Serbia
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2014: 85.50
     2030: 98.00
     2060: 134.0
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2014: 44.51
     2030: 58.10
     2060: 109.0
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2014: 11.18
     2030: 13.96
     2060: 24.29
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2014: 0.294
     2030: 0.277
     2060: 0.307
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2014: 1,325,826,441,2
     2030: 1,331,482,722,3
     2060: 982,250,553,344
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2014: 27.80
     2030: 32.51
     2060: 43.47

Energy Forecast for Serbia
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2014: 0.006
     2030: 0.004
     2060: 0.001

Environment Forecast for Serbia
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2014: 0.012
     2030: 0.012
     2060: 0.011

International Politics Forecast for Serbia
Power index, Global Power Index (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2014: 0.076
     2030: 0.057
     2060: 0.037

Domestic Government Forecast for Serbia
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2014: 12.18
     2030: 13.33
     2060: 14.00
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2014: 18.26
     2030: 19.23
     2060: 19.99
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2014: 3.617
     2030: 4.266
     2060: 5.933
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2014: 2.505
     2030: 2.785
     2060: 3.337
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2014: 6.458
     2030: 6.592
     2060: 6.854