Country Profile - Serbia      IFs Version 7.31
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     Forecast Categories for Serbia
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Serbia -
Population - Million People - -
     2018: 8.747
     2030: 8.210
     2060: 6.681
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2018: -0.451
     2030: -0.666
     2060: -0.602
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2018: 10.44
     2030: 9.563
     2060: 9.209
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2018: 12.75
     2030: 13.93
     2060: 15.23
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2018: 8.606
     2030: 6.656
     2060: 4.181
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2018: 75.54
     2030: 77.17
     2060: 80.96
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2018: 72.65
     2030: 74.13
     2060: 77.60
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2018: 78.30
     2030: 80.08
     2060: 84.20
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2018: 1.618
     2030: 1.653
     2060: 1.741
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2018: 0.039
     2030: 0.032
     2060: 0.010
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2018: 0.465
     2030: 0.405
     2060: 0.311
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2018: 1.424
     2030: 1.274
     2060: 0.955
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2018: 5.752
     2030: 5.204
     2060: 3.858
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2018: 1.571
     2030: 1.732
     2060: 1.868
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2018: 3.940
     2030: 3.902
     2060: 3.572
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2018: 0.342
     2030: 0.340
     2060: 0.319
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2018: 44.40
     2030: 46.84
     2060: 49.24

Health Forecast for Serbia -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2018: 28.28
     2030: 31.60
     2060: 39.79
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2018: 41.31
     2030: 40.81
     2060: 37.77
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2018: 2.008
     2030: 1.979
     2060: 1.930
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2018: 1.546
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2018: 1.465
     2030: 1.259
     2060: 0.933

Education Forecast for Serbia -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2018: 101.7
     2030: 100.2
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2018: 99.51
     2030: 99.99
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2018: 101.9
     2030: 101.2
     2060: 99.64
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2018: 91.95
     2030: 96.51
     2060: 98.82
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2018: 58.19
     2030: 62.10
     2060: 73.67
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2018: 9.875
     2030: 11.28
     2060: 14.16
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2018: 98.35
     2030: 99.44
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Serbia
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2018: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.001
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2018: 0.076
     2030: 0.030
     2060: 0.035
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2018: 0.884
     2030: 0.911
     2060: 0.960
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2018: 1.698
     2030: 1.227
     2060: 0.930
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2018: 2,787
     2030: 2,965
     2060: 3,352
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2018: -1.250
     2030: -1.130
     2060: -1.061
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2018: 0.841
     2030: 1.013
     2060: 1.362

Economy Forecast for Serbia
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2018: 123.3
     2030: 150.7
     2060: 196.4
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2018: 51.14
     2030: 75.13
     2060: 141.9
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2018: 14.09
     2030: 18.36
     2060: 29.40
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2018: 0.288
     2030: 0.306
     2060: 0.392
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2018: 60.29
     2030: 55.75
     2060: 51.90
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2018: 30.65
     2030: 37.66
     2060: 60.19

Energy Forecast for Serbia
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2018: 0.007
     2030: 0.005
     2060: 0.002

Environment Forecast for Serbia
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2018: 0.013
     2030: 0.013
     2060: 0.014

International Politics Forecast for Serbia
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2018: 0.087
     2030: 0.079
     2060: 0.064

Domestic Government Forecast for Serbia
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2018: 12.21
     2030: 13.23
     2060: 14.00
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2018: 18.13
     2030: 18.72
     2060: 19.46
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2018: 3.474
     2030: 4.241
     2060: 6.126
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2018: 2.659
     2030: 2.923
     2060: 3.442
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2018: 6.680
     2030: 6.814
     2060: 7.045