Country Profile - Serbia      IFs Version 7.26
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     Forecast Categories for Serbia
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Serbia -
Population - Million People - -
     2017: 8.778
     2030: 8.150
     2060: 6.595
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2017: -0.506
     2030: -0.697
     2060: -0.618
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2017: 10.17
     2030: 9.479
     2060: 9.108
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2017: 13.03
     2030: 14.15
     2060: 15.29
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2017: 9.239
     2030: 7.180
     2060: 4.619
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2017: 75.44
     2030: 77.24
     2060: 81.27
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2017: 72.55
     2030: 74.20
     2060: 77.90
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2017: 78.20
     2030: 80.16
     2060: 84.51
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2017: 1.595
     2030: 1.637
     2060: 1.732
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2017: 0.039
     2030: 0.034
     2060: 0.013
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2017: 0.451
     2030: 0.398
     2060: 0.304
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2017: 1.401
     2030: 1.242
     2060: 0.928
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2017: 5.777
     2030: 5.181
     2060: 3.797
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2017: 1.600
     2030: 1.727
     2060: 1.870
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2017: 3.952
     2030: 3.907
     2060: 3.557
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2017: 0.350
     2030: 0.349
     2060: 0.324
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2017: 44.65
     2030: 47.19
     2060: 49.37

Health Forecast for Serbia -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2017: 28.14
     2030: 31.38
     2060: 37.48
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2017: 41.29
     2030: 40.61
     2060: 37.51
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2017: 1.836
     2030: 1.854
     2060: 2.003
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2017: 1.378
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2017: 4.348
     2030: 2.881
     2060: 1.637

Education Forecast for Serbia -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2017: 102.5
     2030: 100.6
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2017: 94.11
     2030: 99.96
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2017: 99.54
     2030: 102.0
     2060: 100.0
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2017: 90.48
     2030: 100.4
     2060: 99.28
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2017: 57.33
     2030: 59.76
     2060: 63.19
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2017: 9.850
     2030: 11.36
     2060: 14.16
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2017: 98.32
     2030: 99.51
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Serbia
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2017: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.001
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2017: 0.002
     2030: 0.001
     2060: 0.003
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2017: 0.879
     2030: 0.908
     2060: 0.959
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2017: 1.741
     2030: 1.243
     2060: 0.940
Calories per capita available - Total - Available per Person per Day - -
     2017: 2,788
     2030: 2,963
     2060: 3,259
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2017: -1.251
     2030: -1.124
     2060: -1.071
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2017: 0.838
     2030: 1.021
     2060: 1.351

Economy Forecast for Serbia
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2017: 114.8
     2030: 139.6
     2060: 183.2
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2017: 48.50
     2030: 70.77
     2060: 133.7
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2017: 13.08
     2030: 17.13
     2060: 27.78
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2017: 0.290
     2030: 0.310
     2060: 0.400
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2017: 59.98
     2030: 54.67
     2060: 52.09
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2017: 30.34
     2030: 39.33
     2060: 59.10

Energy Forecast for Serbia
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2017: 0.006
     2030: 0.004
     2060: 0.001

Environment Forecast for Serbia
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2017: 0.013
     2030: 0.014
     2060: 0.014

International Politics Forecast for Serbia
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2017: 0.087
     2030: 0.078
     2060: 0.061

Domestic Government Forecast for Serbia
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2017: 12.20
     2030: 13.30
     2060: 14.00
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2017: 18.09
     2030: 18.73
     2060: 19.45
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2017: 3.415
     2030: 4.169
     2060: 5.986
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2017: 2.638
     2030: 2.909
     2060: 3.425
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2017: 6.665
     2030: 6.801
     2060: 7.036