Country Profile - Serbia      IFs Version 7.26
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     Forecast Categories for Serbia
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Serbia -
Population - Million People - -
     2016: 8.819
     2030: 8.150
     2060: 6.595
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2016: -0.487
     2030: -0.697
     2060: -0.618
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2016: 10.20
     2030: 9.479
     2060: 9.108
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2016: 12.98
     2030: 14.15
     2060: 15.29
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2016: 9.413
     2030: 7.180
     2060: 4.619
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2016: 75.26
     2030: 77.24
     2060: 81.27
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2016: 72.35
     2030: 74.20
     2060: 77.90
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2016: 78.04
     2030: 80.16
     2060: 84.51
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2016: 1.591
     2030: 1.637
     2060: 1.732
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2016: 0.039
     2030: 0.034
     2060: 0.013
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2016: 0.452
     2030: 0.398
     2060: 0.304
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2016: 1.422
     2030: 1.242
     2060: 0.928
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2016: 5.838
     2030: 5.181
     2060: 3.797
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2016: 1.559
     2030: 1.727
     2060: 1.870
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2016: 3.953
     2030: 3.907
     2060: 3.557
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2016: 0.351
     2030: 0.349
     2060: 0.324
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2016: 44.38
     2030: 47.19
     2060: 49.37

Health Forecast for Serbia -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2016: 27.85
     2030: 31.38
     2060: 37.48
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2016: 41.54
     2030: 40.61
     2060: 37.51
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2016: 1.833
     2030: 1.854
     2060: 2.003
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2016: 1.506
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2016: 4.558
     2030: 2.881
     2060: 1.637

Education Forecast for Serbia -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2016: 101.9
     2030: 100.6
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2016: 94.05
     2030: 99.96
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 99.37
     2030: 102.0
     2060: 100.0
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 90.22
     2030: 100.4
     2060: 99.28
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 57.52
     2030: 59.76
     2060: 63.19
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2016: 9.726
     2030: 11.36
     2060: 14.16
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2016: 98.22
     2030: 99.51
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Serbia
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2016: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.001
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2016: 0.003
     2030: 0.001
     2060: 0.003
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2016: 0.877
     2030: 0.908
     2060: 0.959
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2016: 1.792
     2030: 1.243
     2060: 0.940
Calories per capita available - Total - Available per Person per Day - -
     2016: 2,772
     2030: 2,963
     2060: 3,259
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2016: -1.263
     2030: -1.124
     2060: -1.071
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2016: 0.824
     2030: 1.021
     2060: 1.351

Economy Forecast for Serbia
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 113.3
     2030: 139.6
     2060: 183.2
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 47.43
     2030: 70.77
     2060: 133.7
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 12.84
     2030: 17.13
     2060: 27.78
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2016: 0.292
     2030: 0.310
     2060: 0.400
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2016: 60.34
     2030: 54.67
     2060: 52.09
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2016: 30.10
     2030: 39.33
     2060: 59.10

Energy Forecast for Serbia
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2016: 0.006
     2030: 0.004
     2060: 0.001

Environment Forecast for Serbia
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2016: 0.013
     2030: 0.014
     2060: 0.014

International Politics Forecast for Serbia
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2016: 0.088
     2030: 0.078
     2060: 0.061

Domestic Government Forecast for Serbia
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2016: 12.11
     2030: 13.30
     2060: 14.00
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2016: 18.05
     2030: 18.73
     2060: 19.45
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2016: 3.367
     2030: 4.169
     2060: 5.986
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2016: 2.619
     2030: 2.909
     2060: 3.425
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2016: 6.656
     2030: 6.801
     2060: 7.036