Country Profile - Serbia      IFs Version 6.69
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     Forecast Categories for Serbia
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Serbia -
Population - Million People - -
     2013: 9.731
     2030: 8.988
     2060: 7.194
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2013: -0.439
     2030: -0.541
     2060: -0.895
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2013: 9.055
     2030: 8.383
     2060: 7.643
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2013: 12.06
     2030: 13.22
     2060: 16.60
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2013: 10.89
     2030: 9.020
     2060: 6.627
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2013: 74.85
     2030: 76.91
     2060: 80.48
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2013: 72.53
     2030: 74.48
     2060: 77.75
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2013: 77.12
     2030: 79.29
     2060: 83.13
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2013: 1.291
     2030: 1.399
     2060: 1.589
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2013: 0.065
     2030: 0.052
     2060: 0.017
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2013: 0.593
     2030: 0.459
     2060: 0.335
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2013: 1.641
     2030: 1.188
     2060: 0.859
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2013: 6.657
     2030: 6.007
     2060: 4.129
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2013: 1.433
     2030: 1.792
     2060: 2.206
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2013: 3.820
     2030: 3.772
     2060: 3.414
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2013: 0.459
     2030: 0.461
     2060: 0.402
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2013: 44.86
     2030: 47.85
     2060: 49.54

Health Forecast for Serbia -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2013: 27.81
     2030: 29.53
     2060: 33.40
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2013: 40.08
     2030: 38.36
     2060: 34.57
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2013: 1.850
     2030: 2.055
     2060: 2.260
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2013: 1.296
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2013: 7.842
     2030: 4.980
     2060: 0.634

Education Forecast for Serbia -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2013: 98.87
     2030: 100.5
     2060: 100.1
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2013: 95.49
     2030: 99.99
     2060: 99.94
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2013: 100.9
     2030: 108.3
     2060: 106.1
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2013: 85.21
     2030: 93.57
     2060: 95.75
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2013: 49.10
     2030: 47.09
     2060: 43.41
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2013: 9.869
     2030: 11.44
     2060: 13.34
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2013: 92.60
     2030: 95.29
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Serbia
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation - Million People - -
     2013: 0.022
     2030: 0.057
     2060: 0.016
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation - Million People - -
     2013: 0.069
     2030: 0.166
     2060: 0.044
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2013: 0.843
     2030: 0.873
     2060: 0.929
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2013: 5.215
     2030: 3.386
     2060: 1.279
Calories per capita available - Available per Person per Day - -
     2013: 2,848
     2030: 2,943
     2060: 3,143
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2013: -1.246
     2030: -1.103
     2060: -1.090
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2013: 0.846
     2030: 1.064
     2060: 1.318

Economy Forecast for Serbia
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2005 Dollars - -
     2013: 100.1
     2030: 108.9
     2060: 126.6
Gross domestic product - Billion 2005 Dollars - -
     2013: 29.32
     2030: 38.40
     2060: 65.49
GDP per capita at PPP - Thousand 2005 Dollars - -
     2013: 10.29
     2030: 12.12
     2060: 17.59
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2013: 0.272
     2030: 0.262
     2060: 0.322
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2013: 75.88
     2030: 70.82
     2060: 47.10
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2013: 28.77
     2030: 33.31
     2060: 42.86

Energy Forecast for Serbia
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2013: 0.004
     2030: 0.001
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Serbia
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2013: 0.013
     2030: 0.012
     2060: 0.009

International Politics Forecast for Serbia
Power index (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2013: 0.103
     2030: 0.076
     2060: 0.049

Domestic Government Forecast for Serbia
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2013: 12.08
     2030: 12.57
     2060: 13.47
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2013: 18.18
     2030: 19.01
     2060: 19.86
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2013: 3.593
     2030: 4.107
     2060: 5.179
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2013: 2.447
     2030: 2.703
     2060: 3.177
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2013: 6.489
     2030: 6.609
     2060: 6.830