Country Profile - Serbia      IFs Version 7.15
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     Forecast Categories for Serbia
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Serbia -
Population - Million People - -
     2016: 7.592
     2030: 7.016
     2060: 5.498
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2016: -0.451
     2030: -0.741
     2060: -0.838
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2016: 9.758
     2030: 8.416
     2060: 8.044
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2016: 12.17
     2030: 13.51
     2060: 16.43
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2016: 10.76
     2030: 9.020
     2060: 5.863
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2016: 75.13
     2030: 77.01
     2060: 81.02
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2016: 72.77
     2030: 74.61
     2060: 78.34
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2016: 77.41
     2030: 79.33
     2060: 83.62
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2016: 1.414
     2030: 1.498
     2060: 1.651
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2016: 0.081
     2030: 0.066
     2060: 0.022
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2016: 0.450
     2030: 0.372
     2060: 0.271
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2016: 1.189
     2030: 0.988
     2060: 0.698
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2016: 5.208
     2030: 4.569
     2060: 3.073
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2016: 1.195
     2030: 1.458
     2060: 1.727
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2016: 4.122
     2030: 4.053
     2060: 3.520
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2016: 0.408
     2030: 0.397
     2060: 0.347
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2016: 45.23
     2030: 47.57
     2060: 49.43

Health Forecast for Serbia -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2016: 28.00
     2030: 28.64
     2060: 31.33
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2016: 31.25
     2030: 31.28
     2060: 29.93
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2016: 1.889
     2030: 2.088
     2060: 2.449
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2016: 0.583
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2016: 5.066
     2030: 5.381
     2060: 5.114

Education Forecast for Serbia -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2016: 103.7
     2030: 100.9
     2060: 100.3
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2016: 96.88
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 103.2
     2030: 103.3
     2060: 100.3
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 79.67
     2030: 101.2
     2060: 100.4
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 49.23
     2030: 49.23
     2060: 48.53
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2016: 9.986
     2030: 11.26
     2060: 13.73
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2016: 98.58
     2030: 99.79
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Serbia
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2016: 0.003
     2030: 0.001
     2060: 0.002
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2016: 0.028
     2030: 0.012
     2060: 0.010
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2016: 0.871
     2030: 0.895
     2060: 0.946
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2016: 1.816
     2030: 1.455
     2060: 1.141
Calories per capita available - Available per Person per Day - -
     2016: 2,857
     2030: 2,893
     2060: 3,038
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2016: -1.216
     2030: -1.124
     2060: -1.132
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2016: 0.885
     2030: 1.039
     2060: 1.300

Economy Forecast for Serbia
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 87.51
     2030: 95.71
     2060: 123.5
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 46.09
     2030: 56.12
     2060: 97.03
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 11.53
     2030: 13.64
     2060: 22.46
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2016: 0.292
     2030: 0.291
     2060: 0.382
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2016: 56.79
     2030: 56.81
     2060: 35.19
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2016: 28.08
     2030: 31.88
     2060: 41.14

Energy Forecast for Serbia
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2016: 0.006
     2030: 0.004
     2060: 0.001

Environment Forecast for Serbia
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2016: 0.013
     2030: 0.012
     2060: 0.011

International Politics Forecast for Serbia
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2016: 0.074
     2030: 0.057
     2060: 0.037

Domestic Government Forecast for Serbia
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2016: 12.31
     2030: 13.30
     2060: 14.00
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2016: 18.40
     2030: 19.22
     2060: 19.96
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2016: 3.700
     2030: 4.227
     2060: 5.708
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2016: 2.543
     2030: 2.770
     2060: 3.291
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2016: 6.476
     2030: 6.580
     2060: 6.818