Country Profile - Qatar      IFs Version 7.26
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Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
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     Forecast Categories for Qatar
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Qatar -
Population - Million People - -
     2016: 2.311
     2030: 2.665
     2060: 2.836
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2016: 2.030
     2030: 0.740
     2060: -0.601
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2016: 11.71
     2030: 8.151
     2060: 8.530
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2016: 1.633
     2030: 3.317
     2060: 16.19
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2016: 5.997
     2030: 3.701
     2060: 2.104
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2016: 78.36
     2030: 80.79
     2060: 83.25
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2016: 77.63
     2030: 79.87
     2060: 81.88
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2016: 80.22
     2030: 82.77
     2060: 85.31
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2016: 1.967
     2030: 1.900
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2016: 0.010
     2030: 0.009
     2060: 0.003
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2016: 0.132
     2030: 0.108
     2060: 0.121
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2016: 0.362
     2030: 0.363
     2060: 0.382
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2016: 1.916
     2030: 2.132
     2060: 1.362
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2016: 0.033
     2030: 0.170
     2060: 1.092
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2016: 2.229
     2030: 2.493
     2060: 2.635
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2016: 0.729
     2030: 0.708
     2060: 0.429
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2016: 14.12
     2030: 17.82
     2060: 23.55

Health Forecast for Qatar -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2016: 28.42
     2030: 31.60
     2060: 34.52
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2016: 20.46
     2030: 20.10
     2060: 19.41
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2016: 4.706
     2030: 3.914
     2060: 3.308
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2016: 4.694
     2030: 2.627
     2060: 4.113
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2016: 0.061
     2030: 0.220
     2060: 0.425

Education Forecast for Qatar -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2016: 102.3
     2030: 100.4
     2060: 98.78
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2016: 93.04
     2030: 99.72
     2060: 98.41
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 102.9
     2030: 102.3
     2060: 96.00
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 96.93
     2030: 102.6
     2060: 89.39
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 19.18
     2030: 33.64
     2060: 43.43
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2016: 7.733
     2030: 8.539
     2060: 10.58
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2016: 98.18
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Qatar
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2016: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2016: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2016: 1.000
     2030: 1.000
     2060: 1.000
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2016: 1.959
     2030: 1.425
     2060: 1.285
Calories per capita available - Total - Available per Person per Day - -
     2016: 3,243
     2030: 3,384
     2060: 3,481
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2016: 0.721
     2030: 0.761
     2060: 0.773
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2016: 1.822
     2030: 1.848
     2060: 1.760

Economy Forecast for Qatar
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 304.7
     2030: 464.4
     2060: 509.9
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 207.7
     2030: 331.8
     2060: 406.3
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 131.8
     2030: 174.3
     2060: 179.8
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2016: 0.412
     2030: 0.409
     2060: 0.402
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2016: 36.52
     2030: 36.28
     2060: 39.62
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2016: 6.765
     2030: 14.62
     2060: 22.34

Energy Forecast for Qatar
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2016: 0.308
     2030: 0.718
     2060: 0.447

Environment Forecast for Qatar
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2016: 0.020
     2030: 0.023
     2060: 0.020

International Politics Forecast for Qatar
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2016: 0.285
     2030: 0.332
     2060: 0.169

Domestic Government Forecast for Qatar
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2016: 5.010
     2030: 5.269
     2060: 5.786
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2016: 1.330
     2030: 3.104
     2060: 6.500
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2016: 7.241
     2030: 10.00
     2060: 10.00
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2016: 3.491
     2030: 3.515
     2060: 3.637
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2016: 7.754
     2030: 7.693
     2060: 7.642