Country Profile - Qatar      IFs Version 7.24
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Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
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     Forecast Categories for Qatar
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Qatar -
Population - Million People - -
     2016: 2.311
     2030: 2.664
     2060: 2.828
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2016: 2.030
     2030: 0.739
     2060: -0.618
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2016: 11.71
     2030: 8.156
     2060: 8.565
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2016: 1.633
     2030: 3.334
     2060: 16.38
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2016: 5.997
     2030: 3.726
     2060: 2.208
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2016: 78.36
     2030: 80.74
     2060: 83.00
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2016: 77.63
     2030: 79.82
     2060: 81.64
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2016: 80.22
     2030: 82.72
     2060: 85.06
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2016: 1.967
     2030: 1.900
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2016: 0.010
     2030: 0.009
     2060: 0.003
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2016: 0.132
     2030: 0.108
     2060: 0.122
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2016: 0.362
     2030: 0.363
     2060: 0.382
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2016: 1.916
     2030: 2.132
     2060: 1.361
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2016: 0.033
     2030: 0.170
     2060: 1.086
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2016: 2.229
     2030: 2.493
     2060: 2.628
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2016: 0.729
     2030: 0.708
     2060: 0.430
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2016: 14.12
     2030: 17.82
     2060: 23.55

Health Forecast for Qatar -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2016: 28.42
     2030: 31.58
     2060: 34.73
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2016: 20.46
     2030: 20.10
     2060: 19.41
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2016: 4.707
     2030: 3.917
     2060: 3.326
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2016: 4.700
     2030: 3.223
     2060: 4.235
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2016: 0.062
     2030: 0.223
     2060: 0.429

Education Forecast for Qatar -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2016: 102.2
     2030: 99.33
     2060: 98.24
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2016: 93.02
     2030: 98.71
     2060: 98.30
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 102.9
     2030: 99.94
     2060: 95.92
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 96.90
     2030: 99.38
     2060: 87.22
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 19.18
     2030: 32.98
     2060: 41.34
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2016: 7.733
     2030: 8.536
     2060: 10.44
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2016: 98.18
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Qatar
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2016: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2016: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2016: 1.000
     2030: 1.000
     2060: 1.000
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2016: 1.959
     2030: 1.427
     2060: 1.335
Calories per capita available - Total - Available per Person per Day - -
     2016: 3,243
     2030: 3,382
     2060: 3,491
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2016: 0.721
     2030: 0.760
     2060: 0.768
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2016: 1.822
     2030: 1.847
     2060: 1.752

Economy Forecast for Qatar
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 304.7
     2030: 459.8
     2060: 478.0
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 207.7
     2030: 328.5
     2060: 380.8
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 131.8
     2030: 172.6
     2060: 169.0
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2016: 0.413
     2030: 0.409
     2060: 0.405
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2016: 36.52
     2030: 36.26
     2060: 39.32
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2016: 6.761
     2030: 13.99
     2060: 20.54

Energy Forecast for Qatar
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2016: 0.308
     2030: 0.688
     2060: 0.430

Environment Forecast for Qatar
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2016: 0.020
     2030: 0.022
     2060: 0.020

International Politics Forecast for Qatar
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2016: 0.285
     2030: 0.326
     2060: 0.163

Domestic Government Forecast for Qatar
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2016: 5.010
     2030: 5.264
     2060: 5.735
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2016: 1.330
     2030: 3.100
     2060: 6.431
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2016: 7.242
     2030: 10.00
     2060: 10.00
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2016: 3.491
     2030: 3.509
     2060: 3.624
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2016: 7.754
     2030: 7.687
     2060: 7.633