Country Profile - Qatar      IFs Version 7.30
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Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
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     Forecast Categories for Qatar
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Qatar -
Population - Million People - -
     2017: 2.341
     2030: 2.650
     2060: 2.813
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2017: 1.403
     2030: 0.736
     2060: -0.708
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2017: 11.36
     2030: 7.921
     2060: 8.475
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2017: 1.624
     2030: 3.130
     2060: 17.19
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2017: 5.988
     2030: 3.808
     2060: 2.351
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2017: 78.38
     2030: 80.64
     2060: 81.93
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2017: 77.66
     2030: 79.75
     2060: 80.53
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2017: 80.24
     2030: 82.63
     2060: 84.11
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2017: 1.948
     2030: 1.900
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2017: 0.010
     2030: 0.008
     2060: 0.003
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2017: 0.134
     2030: 0.106
     2060: 0.120
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2017: 0.365
     2030: 0.358
     2060: 0.377
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2017: 1.944
     2030: 2.138
     2060: 1.343
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2017: 0.033
     2030: 0.154
     2060: 1.093
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2017: 2.292
     2030: 2.601
     2060: 2.779
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2017: 0.709
     2030: 0.694
     2060: 0.415
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2017: 14.12
     2030: 17.58
     2060: 23.39

Health Forecast for Qatar -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2017: 30.34
     2030: 33.74
     2060: 37.98
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2017: 20.48
     2030: 20.16
     2060: 19.45
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2017: 4.694
     2030: 3.906
     2060: 3.156
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2017: 4.361
     2030: 4.024
     2060: 2.138
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2017: 3.062
     2030: 2.077
     2060: 1.223

Education Forecast for Qatar -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2017: 101.8
     2030: 97.49
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2017: 88.48
     2030: 99.98
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2017: 103.5
     2030: 97.28
     2060: 100.0
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2017: 99.65
     2030: 102.5
     2060: 100.0
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2017: 21.00
     2030: 54.60
     2060: 72.54
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2017: 7.665
     2030: 8.484
     2060: 11.26
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2017: 98.17
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Qatar
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2017: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2017: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2017: 1.000
     2030: 1.000
     2060: 1.000
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2017: 1.961
     2030: 1.437
     2060: 1.296
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2017: 3,247
     2030: 3,393
     2060: 3,545
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2017: 0.723
     2030: 0.761
     2060: 0.759
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2017: 1.826
     2030: 1.854
     2060: 1.742

Economy Forecast for Qatar
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2017: 313.7
     2030: 465.6
     2060: 389.4
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2017: 214.0
     2030: 331.8
     2060: 309.2
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2017: 134.0
     2030: 175.7
     2060: 138.4
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2017: 0.409
     2030: 0.406
     2060: 0.409
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2017: 37.21
     2030: 37.57
     2060: 40.31
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2017: 7.826
     2030: 25.76
     2060: 50.13

Energy Forecast for Qatar
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2017: 0.252
     2030: 0.450
     2060: 0.503

Environment Forecast for Qatar
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2017: 0.024
     2030: 0.024
     2060: 0.024

International Politics Forecast for Qatar
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2017: 0.286
     2030: 0.357
     2060: 0.135

Domestic Government Forecast for Qatar
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2017: 5.006
     2030: 5.292
     2060: 5.952
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2017: 1.332
     2030: 3.009
     2060: 6.123
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2017: 7.387
     2030: 10.00
     2060: 10.00
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2017: 3.499
     2030: 3.590
     2060: 3.353
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2017: 7.761
     2030: 7.767
     2060: 7.421