Country Profile - Palestine      IFs Version 7.00
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Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
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     Forecast Categories for Palestine
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Palestine -
Population - Million People - -
     2014: 4.516
     2030: 6.964
     2060: 11.34
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2014: 2.989
     2030: 2.354
     2060: 0.917
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2014: 32.69
     2030: 26.88
     2060: 14.66
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2014: 3.559
     2030: 3.809
     2060: 5.799
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2014: 19.29
     2030: 15.20
     2060: 6.936
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2014: 73.43
     2030: 75.11
     2060: 77.90
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2014: 71.76
     2030: 73.27
     2060: 75.56
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2014: 75.15
     2030: 77.03
     2060: 80.32
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2014: 4.234
     2030: 3.459
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2014: 0.010
     2030: 0.008
     2060: 0.003
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2014: 0.801
     2030: 1.078
     2060: 1.020
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2014: 1.821
     2030: 2.521
     2060: 2.682
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2014: 2.559
     2030: 4.159
     2060: 7.596
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2014: 0.136
     2030: 0.283
     2060: 1.060
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2014: 3.352
     2030: 5.170
     2060: 8.903
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2014: 0.238
     2030: 0.259
     2060: 0.303
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2014: 19.01
     2030: 23.05
     2060: 28.44

Health Forecast for Palestine -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2014: 8.958
     2030: 9.807
     2060: 14.79
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2014: 12.74
     2030: 13.26
     2060: 14.62
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2014: 2.473
     2030: 3.862
     2060: 2.636
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2014: 1.812
     2030: 0.865
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2014: 30.45
     2030: 40.08
     2060: 12.92

Education Forecast for Palestine -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2014: 91.31
     2030: 95.83
     2060: 99.93
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2014: 86.62
     2030: 87.46
     2060: 99.40
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2014: 90.18
     2030: 85.53
     2060: 108.0
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2014: 79.38
     2030: 74.49
     2060: 99.37
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2014: 48.28
     2030: 42.91
     2060: 54.14
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2014: 5.356
     2030: 7.101
     2060: 9.735
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2014: 77.94
     2030: 88.24
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Palestine
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation - Million People - -
     2014: 2.003
     2030: 2.571
     2060: 0.730
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation - Million People - -
     2014: 2.842
     2030: 3.807
     2060: 1.504
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2014: 0.707
     2030: 0.755
     2060: 0.864
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2014: 15.84
     2030: 9.544
     2060: 1.536
Calories per capita available - Available per Person per Day - -
     2014: 2,133
     2030: 2,251
     2060: 2,766
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2014: -0.175
     2030: -0.165
     2060: -0.004
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2014: -0.496
     2030: -0.442
     2060: -0.121

Economy Forecast for Palestine
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2005 Dollars - -
     2014: 11.11
     2030: 18.54
     2060: 80.27
Gross domestic product - Billion 2005 Dollars - -
     2014: 5.752
     2030: 8.806
     2060: 51.07
GDP per capita at PPP - Thousand 2005 Dollars - -
     2014: 2.461
     2030: 2.662
     2060: 7.080
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2014: 0.357
     2030: 0.372
     2060: 0.411
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2014: 20.08
     2030: 26.36
     2060: 16.30
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2014: 27.98
     2030: 26.92
     2060: 40.03

Energy Forecast for Palestine
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2014: 0.002
     2030: 0.001
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Palestine
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2014: 0.001
     2030: 0.001
     2060: 0.003

International Politics Forecast for Palestine
Power index (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2014: 0.024
     2030: 0.028
     2060: 0.047

Domestic Government Forecast for Palestine
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2014: 5.132
     2030: 5.718
     2060: 7.221
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2014: 12.14
     2030: 13.34
     2060: 14.86
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2014: 2.723
     2030: 2.893
     2060: 3.614
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2014: 2.034
     2030: 2.133
     2060: 2.730
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2014: 5.957
     2030: 6.017
     2060: 6.459