Country Profile - Palestine      IFs Version 7.26
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Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
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     Forecast Categories for Palestine
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Palestine -
Population - Million People - -
     2016: 4.789
     2030: 6.667
     2060: 10.07
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2016: 2.653
     2030: 2.021
     2060: 0.806
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2016: 31.57
     2030: 24.65
     2060: 14.28
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2016: 3.561
     2030: 3.667
     2060: 5.846
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2016: 18.59
     2030: 11.67
     2060: 4.711
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2016: 73.47
     2030: 75.40
     2060: 79.05
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2016: 71.44
     2030: 73.11
     2060: 76.33
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2016: 75.57
     2030: 77.77
     2060: 81.85
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2016: 3.976
     2030: 3.096
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2016: 0.010
     2030: 0.009
     2060: 0.003
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2016: 0.717
     2030: 0.806
     2060: 0.712
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2016: 1.910
     2030: 2.330
     2060: 2.226
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2016: 2.735
     2030: 4.068
     2060: 6.797
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2016: 0.144
     2030: 0.269
     2060: 1.049
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2016: 3.432
     2030: 5.174
     2060: 8.630
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2016: 0.236
     2030: 0.260
     2060: 0.300
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2016: 19.38
     2030: 23.08
     2060: 28.81

Health Forecast for Palestine -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2016: 16.99
     2030: 18.84
     2060: 22.67
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2016: 21.28
     2030: 21.89
     2060: 23.45
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2016: 1.522
     2030: 2.000
     2060: 2.102
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2016: 0.589
     2030: 0.623
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2016: 27.36
     2030: 16.73
     2060: 6.785

Education Forecast for Palestine -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2016: 95.72
     2030: 96.74
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2016: 91.52
     2030: 92.97
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 89.32
     2030: 79.59
     2060: 90.96
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 67.93
     2030: 58.14
     2060: 73.64
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 43.72
     2030: 40.78
     2060: 43.64
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2016: 6.075
     2030: 7.746
     2060: 9.455
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2016: 97.33
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Palestine
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2016: 0.001
     2030: 0.001
     2060: 0.001
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2016: 0.005
     2030: 0.005
     2060: 0.005
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2016: 0.805
     2030: 0.836
     2060: 0.894
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2016: 13.91
     2030: 11.98
     2060: 5.280
Calories per capita available - Total - Available per Person per Day - -
     2016: 2,720
     2030: 2,877
     2060: 3,161
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2016: -0.055
     2030: 0.008
     2060: 0.158
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2016: -0.204
     2030: -0.087
     2060: 0.204

Economy Forecast for Palestine
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 21.22
     2030: 36.53
     2060: 108.4
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 12.21
     2030: 21.99
     2060: 79.64
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 4.431
     2030: 5.480
     2060: 10.77
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2016: 0.358
     2030: 0.376
     2060: 0.423
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2016: 46.38
     2030: 45.55
     2060: 46.83
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2016: 28.60
     2030: 27.30
     2060: 34.05

Energy Forecast for Palestine
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2016: 0.003
     2030: 0.002
     2060: 0.001

Environment Forecast for Palestine
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2016: 0.001
     2030: 0.002
     2060: 0.004

International Politics Forecast for Palestine
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2016: 0.029
     2030: 0.032
     2060: 0.047

Domestic Government Forecast for Palestine
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2016: 7.055
     2030: 7.779
     2060: 8.985
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2016: 13.35
     2030: 14.49
     2060: 16.35
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2016: 3.104
     2030: 3.351
     2060: 4.191
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2016: 2.004
     2030: 2.243
     2060: 2.858
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2016: 6.297
     2030: 6.421
     2060: 6.776