Country Profile - Palestine      IFs Version 7.15
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Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
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     Forecast Categories for Palestine
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Palestine -
Population - Million People - -
     2015: 4.550
     2030: 6.391
     2060: 9.234
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2015: 2.533
     2030: 1.887
     2060: 0.756
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2015: 30.34
     2030: 23.33
     2060: 14.02
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2015: 3.487
     2030: 3.687
     2060: 6.088
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2015: 16.64
     2030: 9.717
     2060: 3.651
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2015: 73.63
     2030: 75.61
     2060: 79.44
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2015: 71.88
     2030: 73.53
     2060: 76.81
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2015: 75.44
     2030: 77.77
     2060: 82.15
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2015: 3.893
     2030: 2.876
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2015: 0.010
     2030: 0.008
     2060: 0.003
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2015: 0.772
     2030: 0.888
     2060: 0.773
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2015: 1.803
     2030: 2.164
     2060: 1.929
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2015: 2.607
     2030: 3.959
     2060: 6.278
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2015: 0.140
     2030: 0.268
     2060: 1.027
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2015: 3.305
     2030: 5.073
     2060: 8.074
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2015: 0.237
     2030: 0.264
     2060: 0.302
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2015: 19.34
     2030: 23.10
     2060: 28.49

Health Forecast for Palestine -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2015: 9.532
     2030: 10.88
     2060: 15.51
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2015: 14.74
     2030: 15.71
     2060: 17.64
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2015: 2.316
     2030: 2.802
     2060: 2.572
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2015: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2015: 28.15
     2030: 22.72
     2060: 11.82

Education Forecast for Palestine -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2015: 97.32
     2030: 96.71
     2060: 100.2
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2015: 90.98
     2030: 94.94
     2060: 100.00
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2015: 94.05
     2030: 93.11
     2060: 103.4
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2015: 81.52
     2030: 82.14
     2060: 93.83
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2015: 50.69
     2030: 48.26
     2060: 55.38
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2015: 6.114
     2030: 7.996
     2060: 10.19
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2015: 82.31
     2030: 90.33
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Palestine
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2015: 1.175
     2030: 1.275
     2060: 0.435
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2015: 1.832
     2030: 2.080
     2060: 0.820
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2015: 0.753
     2030: 0.811
     2060: 0.916
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2015: 12.77
     2030: 7.691
     2060: 1.596
Calories per capita available - Available per Person per Day - -
     2015: 2,214
     2030: 2,383
     2060: 2,827
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2015: -0.062
     2030: 0.025
     2060: 0.219
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2015: -0.238
     2030: -0.062
     2060: 0.314

Economy Forecast for Palestine
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2015: 19.41
     2030: 39.02
     2060: 142.0
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2015: 12.45
     2030: 26.75
     2060: 125.4
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2015: 4.267
     2030: 6.105
     2060: 15.38
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2015: 0.381
     2030: 0.391
     2060: 0.461
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2015: 11.06
     2030: 11.18
     2060: 10.96
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2015: 30.55
     2030: 31.12
     2060: 42.85

Energy Forecast for Palestine
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2015: 0.003
     2030: 0.001
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Palestine
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2015: 0.001
     2030: 0.002
     2060: 0.004

International Politics Forecast for Palestine
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2015: 0.028
     2030: 0.032
     2060: 0.047

Domestic Government Forecast for Palestine
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2015: 5.246
     2030: 6.001
     2060: 7.168
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2015: 12.99
     2030: 14.21
     2060: 16.44
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2015: 2.993
     2030: 3.388
     2060: 4.742
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2015: 2.181
     2030: 2.490
     2060: 3.197
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2015: 6.239
     2030: 6.459
     2060: 6.934