Country Profile - Palestine      IFs Version 7.08
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Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
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     Forecast Categories for Palestine
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Palestine -
Population - Million People - -
     2014: 4.436
     2030: 6.383
     2060: 9.172
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2014: 2.538
     2030: 1.867
     2060: 0.757
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2014: 30.48
     2030: 23.12
     2060: 13.96
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2014: 3.488
     2030: 3.676
     2060: 6.013
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2014: 17.26
     2030: 9.484
     2060: 3.357
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2014: 73.45
     2030: 75.65
     2060: 79.80
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2014: 71.73
     2030: 73.56
     2060: 77.14
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2014: 75.24
     2030: 77.83
     2060: 82.53
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2014: 3.951
     2030: 2.846
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2014: 0.010
     2030: 0.008
     2060: 0.003
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2014: 0.765
     2030: 0.882
     2060: 0.767
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2014: 1.780
     2030: 2.156
     2060: 1.900
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2014: 2.523
     2030: 3.959
     2060: 6.237
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2014: 0.134
     2030: 0.268
     2060: 1.035
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2014: 3.204
     2030: 5.069
     2060: 8.030
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2014: 0.235
     2030: 0.264
     2060: 0.302
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2014: 19.05
     2030: 23.10
     2060: 28.49

Health Forecast for Palestine -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2014: 9.447
     2030: 10.96
     2060: 15.75
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2014: 14.71
     2030: 15.77
     2060: 17.94
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2014: 2.298
     2030: 2.741
     2060: 2.540
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2014: 0.286
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2014: 28.56
     2030: 22.50
     2060: 11.46

Education Forecast for Palestine -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2014: 96.25
     2030: 97.45
     2060: 100.1
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2014: 90.20
     2030: 95.88
     2060: 99.96
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2014: 92.95
     2030: 93.94
     2060: 103.7
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2014: 80.43
     2030: 82.30
     2060: 95.71
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2014: 50.66
     2030: 48.99
     2060: 57.25
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2014: 5.981
     2030: 8.020
     2060: 10.39
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2014: 81.79
     2030: 90.35
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Palestine
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2014: 0.984
     2030: 0.676
     2060: 0.063
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2014: 1.595
     2030: 1.272
     2060: 0.168
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2014: 0.750
     2030: 0.815
     2060: 0.927
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2014: 13.15
     2030: 7.504
     2060: 1.583
Calories per capita available - Available per Person per Day - -
     2014: 2,202
     2030: 2,392
     2060: 2,847
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2014: -0.068
     2030: 0.035
     2060: 0.252
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2014: -0.250
     2030: -0.044
     2060: 0.376

Economy Forecast for Palestine
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2014: 18.66
     2030: 41.58
     2060: 166.0
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2014: 11.94
     2030: 29.41
     2060: 150.9
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2014: 4.206
     2030: 6.515
     2060: 18.10
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2014: 0.388
     2030: 0.390
     2060: 0.417
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2014: 525,905,821,696
     2030: 536,973,148,160
     2060: 529,253,629,952
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2014: 31.78
     2030: 32.13
     2060: 45.23

Energy Forecast for Palestine
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2014: 0.003
     2030: 0.001
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Palestine
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2014: 0.001
     2030: 0.002
     2060: 0.003

International Politics Forecast for Palestine
Power index, Global Power Index (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2014: 0.027
     2030: 0.033
     2060: 0.048

Domestic Government Forecast for Palestine
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2014: 5.188
     2030: 6.037
     2060: 7.304
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2014: 12.97
     2030: 14.22
     2060: 16.60
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2014: 3.026
     2030: 3.438
     2060: 5.078
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2014: 2.175
     2030: 2.529
     2060: 3.304
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2014: 6.256
     2030: 6.491
     2060: 7.019