Country Profile - Poland      IFs Version 7.26
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     Forecast Categories for Poland
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Poland -
Population - Million People - -
     2016: 38.62
     2030: 37.23
     2060: 30.47
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2016: -0.052
     2030: -0.474
     2060: -0.815
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2016: 9.755
     2030: 7.473
     2060: 7.280
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2016: 10.08
     2030: 12.02
     2060: 15.43
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2016: 4.270
     2030: 3.460
     2060: 2.545
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2016: 77.98
     2030: 80.06
     2060: 83.90
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2016: 73.88
     2030: 75.87
     2060: 79.49
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2016: 81.83
     2030: 83.97
     2060: 87.95
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2016: 1.344
     2030: 1.437
     2060: 1.605
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2016: 0.091
     2030: 0.078
     2060: 0.029
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2016: 1.964
     2030: 1.454
     2060: 1.138
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2016: 5.798
     2030: 4.932
     2060: 3.664
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2016: 26.58
     2030: 23.65
     2060: 16.06
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2016: 6.238
     2030: 8.644
     2060: 10.75
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2016: 23.02
     2030: 22.83
     2060: 20.32
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2016: 0.467
     2030: 0.442
     2060: 0.372
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2016: 45.71
     2030: 48.24
     2060: 49.74

Health Forecast for Poland -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2016: 23.03
     2030: 24.12
     2060: 23.31
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2016: 29.33
     2030: 29.27
     2060: 27.18
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2016: 10.44
     2030: 9.224
     2060: 6.459
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2016: 10.73
     2030: 13.55
     2060: 12.05
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2016: 4.418
     2030: 3.290
     2060: 2.374

Education Forecast for Poland -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2016: 102.4
     2030: 99.52
     2060: 99.81
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2016: 97.23
     2030: 98.25
     2060: 99.89
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 101.8
     2030: 95.04
     2060: 102.7
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 114.5
     2030: 92.17
     2060: 99.82
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 71.20
     2030: 68.05
     2060: 81.92
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2016: 10.37
     2030: 11.47
     2060: 13.83
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2016: 99.93
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Poland
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2016: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2016: 0.004
     2030: 0.001
     2060: 0.000
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2016: 0.935
     2030: 0.961
     2060: 1.000
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2016: 4.216
     2030: 4.281
     2060: 2.297
Calories per capita available - Total - Available per Person per Day - -
     2016: 3,650
     2030: 3,724
     2060: 3,666
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2016: 0.068
     2030: 0.112
     2060: 0.110
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2016: -0.414
     2030: -0.266
     2060: -0.045

Economy Forecast for Poland
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 965.1
     2030: 1,210
     2060: 1,396
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 599.6
     2030: 896.9
     2060: 1,204
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 24.99
     2030: 32.51
     2060: 45.80
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2016: 0.327
     2030: 0.333
     2060: 0.371
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2016: 24.15
     2030: 24.52
     2060: 26.76
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2016: 49.17
     2030: 51.32
     2060: 72.93

Energy Forecast for Poland
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2016: 0.004
     2030: 0.002
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Poland
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2016: 0.089
     2030: 0.095
     2060: 0.057

International Politics Forecast for Poland
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2016: 0.703
     2030: 0.559
     2060: 0.386

Domestic Government Forecast for Poland
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2016: 14.00
     2030: 14.00
     2060: 14.00
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2016: 19.97
     2030: 19.94
     2060: 20.00
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2016: 5.653
     2030: 6.718
     2060: 8.580
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2016: 3.362
     2030: 3.577
     2060: 3.906
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2016: 7.311
     2030: 7.442
     2060: 7.613