Country Profile - Poland      IFs Version 7.45
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     Forecast Categories for Poland
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Poland -
Population - Million People - -
     2020: 37.81
     2030: 36.54
     2060: 29.51
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2020: -0.211
     2030: -0.482
     2060: -0.903
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2020: 8.809
     2030: 7.454
     2060: 7.116
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2020: 10.74
     2030: 12.05
     2060: 15.86
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Live Births - -
     2020: 3.672
     2030: 3.169
     2060: 2.180
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2020: 78.57
     2030: 80.00
     2060: 83.99
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2020: 74.46
     2030: 75.83
     2060: 79.95
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2020: 82.41
     2030: 83.87
     2060: 87.70
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2020: 1.334
     2030: 1.406
     2060: 1.582
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2020: 0.088
     2030: 0.074
     2060: 0.024
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2020: 1.748
     2030: 1.424
     2060: 1.077
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2020: 5.626
     2030: 4.759
     2060: 3.450
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2020: 25.13
     2030: 23.33
     2060: 15.60
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2020: 7.050
     2030: 8.451
     2060: 10.45
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2020: 22.87
     2030: 22.54
     2060: 19.40
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2020: 0.391
     2030: 0.308
     2060: 0.169
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2020: 46.47
     2030: 48.13
     2060: 49.72

Health Forecast for Poland -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2020: 23.96
     2030: 25.31
     2060: 25.55
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2020: 29.12
     2030: 28.74
     2060: 25.85
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2020: 1.900
     2030: 1.787
     2060: 1.794
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2020: 0.592
     2030: 3.084
     2060: 2.526
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2020: 1.919
     2030: 1.500
     2060: 1.120

Education Forecast for Poland -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2020: 83.07
     2030: 92.41
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2020: 99.16
     2030: 99.98
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2020: 106.9
     2030: 91.33
     2060: 100.0
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2020: 115.2
     2030: 101.4
     2060: 100.0
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2020: 70.40
     2030: 75.10
     2060: 81.32
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2020: 11.77
     2030: 12.20
     2060: 13.36
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2020: 99.14
     2030: 99.48
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Forecast for Poland
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2020: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2020: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2020: 0.943
     2030: 0.964
     2060: 1.000
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2020: 1.421
     2030: 1.184
     2060: 0.736
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2020: 3,538
     2030: 3,627
     2060: 3,641
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2020: 0.097
     2030: 0.180
     2060: 0.477
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2020: -0.369
     2030: -0.232
     2060: 0.180

Economy Forecast for Poland
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2020: 1,078
     2030: 1,296
     2060: 1,889
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2020: 705.1
     2030: 968.2
     2060: 1,607
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2020: 28.51
     2030: 35.48
     2060: 64.01
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2020: 0.313
     2030: 0.303
     2060: 0.275
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2020: 31.16
     2030: 29.70
     2060: 29.24
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2020: 56.40
     2030: 63.25
     2060: 72.11

Energy Forecast for Poland
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2020: 0.010
     2030: 0.010
     2060: 0.003

Environment Forecast for Poland
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2020: 0.080
     2030: 0.075
     2060: 0.048

International Politics Forecast for Poland
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2020: 0.726
     2030: 0.702
     2060: 0.514

Domestic Government Forecast for Poland
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2020: 14.00
     2030: 14.00
     2060: 14.00
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2020: 19.96
     2030: 19.94
     2060: 20.00
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2020: 5.964
     2030: 6.911
     2060: 10.00
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2020: 3.398
     2030: 3.579
     2060: 4.074
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2020: 7.399
     2030: 7.511
     2060: 7.805