Country Profile - Poland      IFs Version 7.37
  Continue    Change Country    Display Options    Map Source    Help  


Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
www.ifs.du.edu


Sign up for our monthly newsletter.

     Forecast Categories for Poland
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Poland -
Population - Million People - -
     2018: 38.14
     2030: 36.68
     2060: 29.72
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2018: -0.166
     2030: -0.493
     2060: -0.880
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2018: 9.103
     2030: 7.468
     2060: 7.102
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2018: 10.59
     2030: 12.17
     2060: 15.62
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2018: 4.092
     2030: 3.430
     2060: 2.256
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2018: 77.95
     2030: 79.75
     2060: 84.27
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2018: 73.87
     2030: 75.61
     2060: 80.22
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2018: 81.77
     2030: 83.60
     2060: 87.98
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2018: 1.314
     2030: 1.406
     2060: 1.582
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2018: 0.089
     2030: 0.074
     2060: 0.024
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2018: 1.770
     2030: 1.432
     2060: 1.083
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2018: 5.702
     2030: 4.785
     2060: 3.468
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2018: 25.81
     2030: 23.43
     2060: 15.68
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2018: 6.624
     2030: 8.462
     2060: 10.57
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2018: 22.99
     2030: 22.81
     2060: 20.17
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2018: 0.423
     2030: 0.307
     2060: 0.167
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2018: 45.99
     2030: 48.13
     2060: 49.72

Health Forecast for Poland -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2018: 23.44
     2030: 24.79
     2060: 25.59
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2018: 29.25
     2030: 28.81
     2060: 25.86
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2018: 1.969
     2030: 1.896
     2060: 1.958
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2018: 1.396
     2030: 3.530
     2060: 2.720
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2018: 2.128
     2030: 1.617
     2060: 1.107

Education Forecast for Poland -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2018: 90.17
     2030: 92.41
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2018: 96.37
     2030: 99.98
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2018: 104.8
     2030: 92.36
     2060: 100.0
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2018: 114.0
     2030: 100.7
     2060: 100.0
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2018: 70.93
     2030: 83.99
     2060: 92.25
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2018: 11.69
     2030: 12.28
     2060: 13.56
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2018: 99.00
     2030: 99.49
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Forecast for Poland
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2018: 0.008
     2030: 0.002
     2060: 0.000
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2018: 0.125
     2030: 0.032
     2060: 0.001
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2018: 0.935
     2030: 0.960
     2060: 1.000
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2018: 1.528
     2030: 1.290
     2060: 0.859
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2018: 3,503
     2030: 3,593
     2060: 3,644
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2018: 0.071
     2030: 0.111
     2060: 0.135
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2018: -0.402
     2030: -0.273
     2060: -0.015

Economy Forecast for Poland
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2018: 1,023
     2030: 1,249
     2060: 1,898
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2018: 639.9
     2030: 917.3
     2060: 1,613
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2018: 26.83
     2030: 34.06
     2060: 63.88
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2018: 0.320
     2030: 0.329
     2060: 0.343
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2018: 31.37
     2030: 29.47
     2060: 29.17
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2018: 57.61
     2030: 71.56
     2060: 77.01

Energy Forecast for Poland
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2018: 0.008
     2030: 0.011
     2060: 0.003

Environment Forecast for Poland
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2018: 0.079
     2030: 0.075
     2060: 0.048

International Politics Forecast for Poland
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2018: 0.722
     2030: 0.670
     2060: 0.555

Domestic Government Forecast for Poland
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2018: 14.00
     2030: 14.00
     2060: 14.00
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2018: 19.96
     2030: 19.93
     2060: 20.00
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2018: 5.732
     2030: 6.743
     2060: 10.00
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2018: 3.376
     2030: 3.574
     2060: 4.086
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2018: 7.369
     2030: 7.489
     2060: 7.804