Country Profile - Poland      IFs Version 7.30
  Continue    Change Country    Display Options    Map Source    Help  


Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
www.ifs.du.edu


Sign up for our monthly newsletter.

     Forecast Categories for Poland
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Poland -
Population - Million People - -
     2017: 38.61
     2030: 37.38
     2060: 30.71
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2017: -0.056
     2030: -0.455
     2060: -0.821
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2017: 9.723
     2030: 7.509
     2060: 7.250
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2017: 10.08
     2030: 11.85
     2060: 15.46
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2017: 4.281
     2030: 3.486
     2060: 2.418
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2017: 77.99
     2030: 79.94
     2060: 83.80
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2017: 73.89
     2030: 75.75
     2060: 79.36
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2017: 81.83
     2030: 83.84
     2060: 87.87
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2017: 1.339
     2030: 1.428
     2060: 1.597
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2017: 0.089
     2030: 0.073
     2060: 0.024
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2017: 1.962
     2030: 1.480
     2060: 1.147
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2017: 5.794
     2030: 5.022
     2060: 3.697
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2017: 26.58
     2030: 23.74
     2060: 16.20
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2017: 6.237
     2030: 8.612
     2060: 10.81
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2017: 23.00
     2030: 22.85
     2060: 20.42
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2017: 0.467
     2030: 0.441
     2060: 0.372
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2017: 45.71
     2030: 48.13
     2060: 49.72

Health Forecast for Poland -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2017: 23.12
     2030: 24.76
     2060: 26.74
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2017: 29.33
     2030: 29.17
     2060: 26.96
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2017: 1.995
     2030: 1.886
     2060: 1.853
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2017: 2.060
     2030: 1.504
     2060: 1.646
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2017: 1.364
     2030: 1.074
     2060: 0.800

Education Forecast for Poland -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2017: 101.6
     2030: 101.0
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2017: 96.10
     2030: 99.99
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2017: 100.1
     2030: 102.6
     2060: 99.89
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2017: 114.7
     2030: 107.5
     2060: 99.79
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2017: 71.89
     2030: 75.35
     2060: 86.34
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2017: 10.43
     2030: 11.61
     2060: 14.32
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2017: 99.93
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Poland
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2017: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2017: 0.004
     2030: 0.003
     2060: 0.002
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2017: 0.936
     2030: 0.961
     2060: 1.000
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2017: 1.372
     2030: 1.144
     2060: 0.803
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2017: 3,482
     2030: 3,591
     2060: 3,716
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2017: 0.067
     2030: 0.107
     2060: 0.112
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2017: -0.414
     2030: -0.281
     2060: -0.047

Economy Forecast for Poland
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2017: 995.3
     2030: 1,225
     2060: 1,547
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2017: 616.8
     2030: 893.9
     2060: 1,322
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2017: 25.78
     2030: 32.77
     2060: 50.40
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2017: 0.328
     2030: 0.362
     2060: 0.404
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2017: 26.63
     2030: 27.73
     2060: 30.24
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2017: 51.85
     2030: 58.80
     2060: 73.69

Energy Forecast for Poland
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2017: 0.008
     2030: 0.008
     2060: 0.003

Environment Forecast for Poland
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2017: 0.086
     2030: 0.082
     2060: 0.057

International Politics Forecast for Poland
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2017: 0.733
     2030: 0.666
     2060: 0.501

Domestic Government Forecast for Poland
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2017: 14.00
     2030: 14.00
     2060: 14.00
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2017: 19.97
     2030: 19.94
     2060: 20.00
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2017: 5.645
     2030: 6.651
     2060: 9.064
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2017: 3.359
     2030: 3.561
     2060: 3.951
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2017: 7.308
     2030: 7.429
     2060: 7.646