Country Profile - Poland      IFs Version 7.31
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     Forecast Categories for Poland
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Poland -
Population - Million People - -
     2017: 38.20
     2030: 36.69
     2060: 29.73
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2017: -0.137
     2030: -0.492
     2060: -0.865
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2017: 9.261
     2030: 7.466
     2060: 7.192
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2017: 10.43
     2030: 12.18
     2060: 15.84
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2017: 4.141
     2030: 3.364
     2060: 2.322
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2017: 77.80
     2030: 79.73
     2060: 83.58
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2017: 73.71
     2030: 75.55
     2060: 79.12
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2017: 81.62
     2030: 83.61
     2060: 87.65
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2017: 1.308
     2030: 1.406
     2060: 1.582
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2017: 0.090
     2030: 0.074
     2060: 0.024
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2017: 1.807
     2030: 1.432
     2060: 1.095
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2017: 5.701
     2030: 4.787
     2060: 3.501
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2017: 26.09
     2030: 23.43
     2060: 15.74
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2017: 6.401
     2030: 8.474
     2060: 10.49
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2017: 22.99
     2030: 22.81
     2060: 20.19
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2017: 0.474
     2030: 0.453
     2060: 0.382
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2017: 45.67
     2030: 48.09
     2060: 49.71

Health Forecast for Poland -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2017: 23.13
     2030: 24.81
     2060: 26.80
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2017: 29.32
     2030: 28.61
     2060: 26.95
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2017: 1.995
     2030: 1.883
     2060: 1.851
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2017: 2.084
     2030: 1.427
     2060: 1.570
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2017: 1.361
     2030: 1.072
     2060: 0.797

Education Forecast for Poland -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2017: 101.6
     2030: 101.1
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2017: 96.08
     2030: 99.99
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2017: 100.1
     2030: 102.9
     2060: 99.89
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2017: 114.7
     2030: 107.6
     2060: 99.78
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2017: 71.66
     2030: 78.26
     2060: 91.48
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2017: 10.42
     2030: 11.63
     2060: 14.37
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2017: 99.95
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Poland
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2017: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2017: 0.010
     2030: 0.007
     2060: 0.003
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2017: 0.936
     2030: 0.961
     2060: 1.000
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2017: 1.378
     2030: 1.143
     2060: 0.819
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2017: 3,482
     2030: 3,594
     2060: 3,720
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2017: 0.068
     2030: 0.110
     2060: 0.117
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2017: -0.414
     2030: -0.275
     2060: -0.045

Economy Forecast for Poland
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2017: 1,003
     2030: 1,226
     2060: 1,538
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2017: 618.1
     2030: 891.1
     2060: 1,306
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2017: 26.27
     2030: 33.41
     2060: 51.72
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2017: 0.325
     2030: 0.357
     2060: 0.393
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2017: 31.25
     2030: 30.06
     2060: 30.22
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2017: 50.68
     2030: 61.06
     2060: 73.39

Energy Forecast for Poland
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2017: 0.008
     2030: 0.008
     2060: 0.003

Environment Forecast for Poland
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2017: 0.086
     2030: 0.081
     2060: 0.056

International Politics Forecast for Poland
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2017: 0.730
     2030: 0.656
     2060: 0.467

Domestic Government Forecast for Poland
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2017: 14.00
     2030: 14.00
     2060: 14.00
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2017: 19.97
     2030: 19.93
     2060: 20.00
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2017: 5.645
     2030: 6.667
     2060: 9.180
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2017: 3.359
     2030: 3.562
     2060: 3.960
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2017: 7.308
     2030: 7.429
     2060: 7.648