Country Profile - Poland      IFs Version 7.15
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     Forecast Categories for Poland
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Poland -
Population - Million People - -
     2016: 38.22
     2030: 36.78
     2060: 30.58
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2016: -0.075
     2030: -0.469
     2060: -0.763
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2016: 10.23
     2030: 7.729
     2060: 7.596
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2016: 10.78
     2030: 12.22
     2060: 15.23
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2016: 5.327
     2030: 4.290
     2060: 2.946
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2016: 77.04
     2030: 79.30
     2060: 83.52
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2016: 72.60
     2030: 74.78
     2060: 78.77
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2016: 81.19
     2030: 83.46
     2060: 87.82
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2016: 1.415
     2030: 1.483
     2060: 1.642
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2016: 0.051
     2030: 0.042
     2060: 0.014
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2016: 2.426
     2030: 1.796
     2060: 1.439
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2016: 5.801
     2030: 5.042
     2060: 3.836
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2016: 26.31
     2030: 23.45
     2060: 16.26
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2016: 6.108
     2030: 8.289
     2060: 10.48
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2016: 23.27
     2030: 23.01
     2060: 20.48
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2016: 0.464
     2030: 0.438
     2060: 0.369
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2016: 46.68
     2030: 48.64
     2060: 49.80

Health Forecast for Poland -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2016: 23.22
     2030: 23.17
     2060: 23.03
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2016: 30.23
     2030: 30.67
     2060: 27.90
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2016: 2.102
     2030: 2.163
     2060: 2.315
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2016: 1.002
     2030: 1.462
     2060: 2.493
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2016: 4.353
     2030: 4.107
     2060: 3.536

Education Forecast for Poland -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2016: 101.8
     2030: 100.2
     2060: 99.14
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2016: 100.0
     2030: 99.99
     2060: 99.18
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 100.1
     2030: 99.96
     2060: 97.09
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 101.3
     2030: 99.09
     2060: 94.94
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 74.22
     2030: 75.32
     2060: 75.30
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2016: 10.72
     2030: 12.06
     2060: 14.56
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2016: 100.0
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Poland
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2016: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2016: 0.029
     2030: 0.022
     2060: 0.009
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2016: 0.926
     2030: 0.953
     2060: 1.000
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2016: 1.145
     2030: 1.007
     2060: 0.908
Calories per capita available - Available per Person per Day - -
     2016: 3,408
     2030: 3,403
     2060: 3,391
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2016: 0.086
     2030: 0.126
     2060: 0.130
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2016: -0.365
     2030: -0.234
     2060: 0.000

Economy Forecast for Poland
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 891.0
     2030: 1,122
     2060: 1,535
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 587.0
     2030: 874.5
     2060: 1,380
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 23.31
     2030: 30.51
     2060: 50.20
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2016: 0.339
     2030: 0.373
     2060: 0.408
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2016: 10.82
     2030: 9.714
     2060: 8.569
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2016: 54.66
     2030: 63.48
     2060: 73.81

Energy Forecast for Poland
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2016: 0.004
     2030: 0.002
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Poland
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2016: 0.093
     2030: 0.093
     2060: 0.049

International Politics Forecast for Poland
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2016: 0.650
     2030: 0.548
     2060: 0.337

Domestic Government Forecast for Poland
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2016: 14.00
     2030: 14.00
     2060: 14.00
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2016: 19.94
     2030: 19.95
     2060: 20.00
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2016: 5.665
     2030: 6.677
     2060: 9.273
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2016: 3.234
     2030: 3.469
     2060: 3.920
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2016: 7.392
     2030: 7.529
     2060: 7.778