Country Profile - Poland      IFs Version 7.53
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     Forecast Categories for Poland
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Poland -
Population - Million People - -
     2020: 37.81
     2030: 36.51
     2060: 29.39
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2020: -0.232
     2030: -0.492
     2060: -0.904
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2020: 8.805
     2030: 7.457
     2060: 7.139
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2020: 10.94
     2030: 12.14
     2060: 15.89
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Live Births - -
     2020: 3.838
     2030: 3.264
     2060: 2.257
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2020: 78.35
     2030: 79.83
     2060: 83.74
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2020: 74.23
     2030: 75.67
     2060: 79.68
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2020: 82.19
     2030: 83.70
     2060: 87.46
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2020: 1.334
     2030: 1.406
     2060: 1.582
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2020: 0.088
     2030: 0.074
     2060: 0.024
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2020: 1.748
     2030: 1.423
     2060: 1.077
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2020: 5.627
     2030: 4.758
     2060: 3.449
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2020: 25.13
     2030: 23.32
     2060: 15.58
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2020: 7.051
     2030: 8.430
     2060: 10.36
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2020: 22.87
     2030: 22.53
     2060: 19.35
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2020: 0.472
     2030: 0.461
     2060: 0.421
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2020: 46.47
     2030: 48.13
     2060: 49.72

Health Forecast for Poland -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2020: 23.67
     2030: 25.17
     2060: 26.15
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2020: 29.10
     2030: 28.79
     2060: 25.89
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2020: 1.930
     2030: 1.810
     2060: 1.764
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2020: 1.872
     2030: 0.831
     2060: 2.044
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2020: 2.027
     2030: 1.578
     2060: 1.119

Education Forecast for Poland -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2020: 101.9
     2030: 101.1
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2020: 97.12
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2020: 100.2
     2030: 103.3
     2060: 99.93
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2020: 110.9
     2030: 109.0
     2060: 101.3
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2020: 68.39
     2030: 72.03
     2060: 80.14
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2020: 11.74
     2030: 12.14
     2060: 13.38
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2020: 99.12
     2030: 99.78
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Forecast for Poland
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2020: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2020: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2020: 0.937
     2030: 0.961
     2060: 1.000
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2020: 1.461
     2030: 1.237
     2060: 0.736
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2020: 3,460
     2030: 3,558
     2060: 3,619
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2020: 0.094
     2030: 0.174
     2060: 0.452
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2020: -0.375
     2030: -0.243
     2060: 0.132

Economy Forecast for Poland
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2020: 1,001
     2030: 1,237
     2060: 1,757
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2020: 659.3
     2030: 915.0
     2060: 1,499
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2020: 26.46
     2030: 33.87
     2060: 59.77
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2020: 0.314
     2030: 0.313
     2060: 0.306
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2020: 29.34
     2030: 28.28
     2060: 29.67
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2020: 52.69
     2030: 59.61
     2060: 70.04

Energy Forecast for Poland
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2020: 0.009
     2030: 0.009
     2060: 0.003

Environment Forecast for Poland
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2020: 0.082
     2030: 0.079
     2060: 0.049

International Politics Forecast for Poland
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2020: 0.735
     2030: 0.737
     2060: 0.579

Domestic Government Forecast for Poland
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2020: 14.00
     2030: 14.00
     2060: 14.00
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2020: 19.96
     2030: 19.93
     2060: 20.00
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2020: 5.732
     2030: 6.720
     2060: 10.00
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2020: 3.352
     2030: 3.552
     2060: 4.038
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2020: 7.447
     2030: 7.575
     2060: 7.866