Country Profile - Pakistan      IFs Version 7.24
  Continue    Change Country    Display Options    Map Source    Help  


Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
www.ifs.du.edu


Sign up for our monthly newsletter.

     Forecast Categories for Pakistan
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Pakistan -
Population - Million People - -
     2016: 192.3
     2030: 246.2
     2060: 342.8
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2016: 1.920
     2030: 1.536
     2060: 0.609
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2016: 27.82
     2030: 22.69
     2060: 14.72
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2016: 7.371
     2030: 6.756
     2060: 8.241
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2016: 66.55
     2030: 50.93
     2060: 30.99
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2016: 66.81
     2030: 69.69
     2060: 74.30
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2016: 65.81
     2030: 68.46
     2060: 72.60
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2016: 67.87
     2030: 70.99
     2060: 76.06
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2016: 3.433
     2030: 2.991
     2060: 2.058
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2016: 0.051
     2030: 0.044
     2060: 0.016
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2016: 25.03
     2030: 26.45
     2060: 25.02
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2016: 66.89
     2030: 76.26
     2060: 76.77
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2016: 116.7
     2030: 155.8
     2060: 224.8
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2016: 8.690
     2030: 14.16
     2060: 41.18
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2016: 75.46
     2030: 114.0
     2060: 210.6
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2016: 0.357
     2030: 0.381
     2060: 0.408
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2016: 22.85
     2030: 26.55
     2060: 32.28

Health Forecast for Pakistan -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2016: 4.484
     2030: 5.601
     2060: 8.285
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2016: 22.87
     2030: 23.43
     2060: 24.46
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2016: 29.81
     2030: 21.68
     2060: 10.65
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2016: 30.83
     2030: 26.09
     2060: 17.07
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2016: 19.73
     2030: 11.38
     2060: 4.773

Education Forecast for Pakistan -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2016: 95.68
     2030: 94.56
     2060: 99.29
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2016: 70.67
     2030: 81.13
     2060: 99.90
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 57.72
     2030: 62.65
     2060: 79.66
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 31.52
     2030: 35.88
     2060: 56.47
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 11.44
     2030: 20.97
     2060: 27.51
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2016: 5.790
     2030: 6.110
     2060: 7.274
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2016: 57.95
     2030: 77.96
     2060: 96.33

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Pakistan
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2016: 22.67
     2030: 18.84
     2060: 15.11
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2016: 91.63
     2030: 83.43
     2060: 74.82
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2016: 0.640
     2030: 0.736
     2060: 0.846
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2016: 30.30
     2030: 16.92
     2060: 5.800
Calories per capita available - Total - Available per Person per Day - -
     2016: 2,473
     2030: 2,674
     2060: 3,037
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2016: -1.415
     2030: -1.189
     2060: -0.646
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2016: -0.475
     2030: -0.226
     2060: 0.184

Economy Forecast for Pakistan
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 910.0
     2030: 1,472
     2060: 3,122
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 265.6
     2030: 505.1
     2060: 1,445
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 4.733
     2030: 5.979
     2060: 9.109
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2016: 0.307
     2030: 0.339
     2060: 0.368
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2016: 39.39
     2030: 42.54
     2060: 29.74
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2016: 12.28
     2030: 15.15
     2060: 21.76

Energy Forecast for Pakistan
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2016: 0.023
     2030: 0.026
     2060: 0.092

Environment Forecast for Pakistan
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2016: 0.050
     2030: 0.093
     2060: 0.175

International Politics Forecast for Pakistan
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2016: 1.114
     2030: 1.254
     2060: 1.557

Domestic Government Forecast for Pakistan
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2016: 7.047
     2030: 7.342
     2060: 8.206
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2016: 17.10
     2030: 18.03
     2060: 18.76
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2016: 2.545
     2030: 2.928
     2060: 3.657
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2016: 1.797
     2030: 2.088
     2060: 2.613
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2016: 6.298
     2030: 6.456
     2060: 6.705