Country Profile - Pakistan      IFs Version 7.15
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     Forecast Categories for Pakistan
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Pakistan -
Population - Million People - -
     2016: 192.5
     2030: 245.5
     2060: 329.8
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2016: 1.863
     2030: 1.463
     2060: 0.507
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2016: 27.36
     2030: 22.06
     2060: 13.62
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2016: 7.468
     2030: 6.848
     2060: 8.180
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2016: 68.61
     2030: 51.76
     2060: 20.39
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2016: 66.37
     2030: 69.32
     2060: 75.66
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2016: 65.36
     2030: 68.01
     2060: 73.77
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2016: 67.43
     2030: 70.70
     2060: 77.62
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2016: 3.329
     2030: 2.938
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2016: 0.054
     2030: 0.044
     2060: 0.015
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2016: 27.47
     2030: 31.30
     2060: 26.85
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2016: 63.35
     2030: 76.13
     2060: 69.97
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2016: 120.6
     2030: 155.3
     2060: 217.9
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2016: 8.519
     2030: 14.02
     2060: 41.95
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2016: 72.48
     2030: 102.0
     2060: 172.0
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2016: 0.367
     2030: 0.378
     2060: 0.408
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2016: 23.40
     2030: 26.88
     2060: 32.27

Health Forecast for Pakistan -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2016: 4.560
     2030: 5.028
     2060: 7.296
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2016: 21.08
     2030: 21.16
     2060: 22.39
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2016: 27.31
     2030: 20.23
     2060: 6.427
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2016: 29.64
     2030: 25.06
     2060: 11.41
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2016: 18.67
     2030: 16.44
     2060: 9.703

Education Forecast for Pakistan -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2016: 100.0
     2030: 106.9
     2060: 101.3
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2016: 76.05
     2030: 88.86
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 50.43
     2030: 66.42
     2060: 94.85
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 26.98
     2030: 37.98
     2060: 81.68
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 12.35
     2030: 20.90
     2060: 32.44
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2016: 5.457
     2030: 5.865
     2060: 8.105
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2016: 59.03
     2030: 82.26
     2060: 98.25

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Pakistan
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2016: 21.12
     2030: 15.23
     2060: 4.372
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2016: 87.78
     2030: 77.89
     2060: 33.14
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2016: 0.639
     2030: 0.746
     2060: 0.880
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2016: 29.40
     2030: 14.25
     2060: 3.475
Calories per capita available - Available per Person per Day - -
     2016: 2,470
     2030: 2,558
     2060: 2,896
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2016: -1.349
     2030: -1.121
     2060: -0.517
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2016: -0.392
     2030: -0.170
     2060: 0.340

Economy Forecast for Pakistan
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 871.5
     2030: 1,419
     2060: 4,321
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 261.8
     2030: 498.2
     2060: 2,455
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 4.527
     2030: 5.781
     2060: 13.10
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2016: 0.300
     2030: 0.314
     2060: 0.353
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2016: 40.30
     2030: 40.68
     2060: 14.88
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2016: 12.30
     2030: 16.09
     2060: 28.52

Energy Forecast for Pakistan
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2016: 0.033
     2030: 0.026
     2060: 0.009

Environment Forecast for Pakistan
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2016: 0.058
     2030: 0.101
     2060: 0.147

International Politics Forecast for Pakistan
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2016: 1.062
     2030: 1.176
     2060: 1.478

Domestic Government Forecast for Pakistan
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2016: 7.089
     2030: 7.557
     2060: 9.212
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2016: 16.24
     2030: 17.68
     2060: 18.81
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2016: 2.423
     2030: 2.894
     2060: 4.195
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2016: 1.845
     2030: 2.148
     2060: 2.911
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2016: 6.284
     2030: 6.464
     2060: 6.925