Country Profile - Philippines      IFs Version 7.45
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Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
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     Forecast Categories for Philippines
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Philippines -
Population - Million People - -
     2019: 108.8
     2030: 126.1
     2060: 154.5
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2019: 1.525
     2030: 1.113
     2060: 0.359
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2019: 22.30
     2030: 18.34
     2060: 12.82
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2019: 6.060
     2030: 6.521
     2060: 8.746
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Live Births - -
     2019: 19.83
     2030: 14.94
     2060: 8.407
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2019: 71.00
     2030: 72.99
     2060: 77.87
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2019: 67.39
     2030: 69.22
     2060: 74.03
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2019: 74.65
     2030: 76.77
     2060: 81.65
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2019: 2.809
     2030: 2.360
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2019: 0.058
     2030: 0.097
     2060: 0.206
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2019: 11.80
     2030: 11.57
     2060: 9.962
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2019: 33.79
     2030: 34.87
     2060: 30.01
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2019: 69.40
     2030: 81.95
     2060: 101.7
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2019: 5.638
     2030: 9.249
     2060: 22.77
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2019: 50.97
     2030: 62.18
     2060: 89.98
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2019: 0.379
     2030: 0.280
     2060: 0.146
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2019: 40.85
     2030: 43.39
     2060: 47.28

Health Forecast for Philippines -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2019: 6.216
     2030: 7.289
     2060: 9.728
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2019: 27.10
     2030: 27.70
     2060: 29.49
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2019: 19.09
     2030: 14.38
     2060: 7.900
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2019: 20.07
     2030: 17.83
     2060: 15.22
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2019: 11.16
     2030: 6.899
     2060: 3.050

Education Forecast for Philippines -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2019: 113.0
     2030: 106.3
     2060: 100.2
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2019: 96.37
     2030: 98.06
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2019: 94.95
     2030: 95.90
     2060: 99.20
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2019: 80.96
     2030: 88.20
     2060: 97.54
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2019: 35.99
     2030: 40.40
     2060: 50.26
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2019: 8.736
     2030: 9.192
     2060: 10.13
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2019: 97.03
     2030: 98.36
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Forecast for Philippines
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2019: 6.930
     2030: 3.181
     2060: 0.177
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2019: 8.430
     2030: 4.022
     2060: 0.254
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2019: 0.821
     2030: 0.854
     2060: 0.926
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2019: 8.874
     2030: 6.395
     2060: 3.003
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2019: 2,704
     2030: 2,860
     2060: 3,153
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2019: -1.325
     2030: -1.160
     2060: -0.567
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2019: -0.124
     2030: 0.040
     2060: 0.520

Economy Forecast for Philippines
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2019: 847.1
     2030: 1,344
     2060: 3,346
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2019: 371.6
     2030: 702.5
     2060: 2,580
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2019: 7.784
     2030: 10.66
     2060: 21.65
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2019: 0.404
     2030: 0.403
     2060: 0.380
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2019: 18.36
     2030: 19.37
     2060: 24.23
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2019: 19.48
     2030: 23.97
     2060: 36.52

Energy Forecast for Philippines
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2019: 0.006
     2030: 0.005
     2060: 0.004

Environment Forecast for Philippines
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2019: 0.036
     2030: 0.054
     2060: 0.051

International Politics Forecast for Philippines
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2019: 0.693
     2030: 0.811
     2060: 1.083

Domestic Government Forecast for Philippines
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2019: 10.15
     2030: 10.54
     2060: 11.40
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2019: 18.15
     2030: 18.94
     2060: 19.67
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2019: 2.783
     2030: 3.355
     2060: 5.203
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2019: 2.706
     2030: 2.946
     2060: 3.436
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2019: 7.550
     2030: 7.766
     2060: 8.195