Country Profile - Philippines      IFs Version 7.00
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Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
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     Forecast Categories for Philippines
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Philippines -
Population - Million People - -
     2014: 99.86
     2030: 123.6
     2060: 146.4
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2014: 1.585
     2030: 0.980
     2060: 0.220
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2014: 23.75
     2030: 18.07
     2060: 12.69
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2014: 5.983
     2030: 6.620
     2060: 8.958
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2014: 20.49
     2030: 13.42
     2060: 6.598
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2014: 69.28
     2030: 72.16
     2060: 77.19
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2014: 65.85
     2030: 68.45
     2060: 73.11
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2014: 72.74
     2030: 75.87
     2060: 81.18
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2014: 2.963
     2030: 2.254
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2014: 0.009
     2030: 0.007
     2060: 0.002
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2014: 13.55
     2030: 13.64
     2060: 11.36
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2014: 33.56
     2030: 34.36
     2060: 28.72
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2014: 62.25
     2030: 80.76
     2060: 96.61
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2014: 4.047
     2030: 8.441
     2060: 21.05
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2014: 48.96
     2030: 64.50
     2060: 88.24
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2014: 0.428
     2030: 0.463
     2060: 0.483
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2014: 39.95
     2030: 43.49
     2060: 47.12

Health Forecast for Philippines -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2014: 4.568
     2030: 5.779
     2060: 8.870
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2014: 24.99
     2030: 25.23
     2060: 26.44
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2014: 19.04
     2030: 12.47
     2060: 6.638
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2014: 19.57
     2030: 15.32
     2060: 11.34
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2014: 15.97
     2030: 11.77
     2060: 4.964

Education Forecast for Philippines -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2014: 106.4
     2030: 105.6
     2060: 100.6
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2014: 88.00
     2030: 95.54
     2060: 99.79
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2014: 89.72
     2030: 99.02
     2060: 100.8
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2014: 77.65
     2030: 87.68
     2060: 95.88
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2014: 28.42
     2030: 33.01
     2060: 42.04
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2014: 8.790
     2030: 9.307
     2060: 10.43
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2014: 95.85
     2030: 97.86
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Philippines
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation - Million People - -
     2014: 14.96
     2030: 8.920
     2060: 1.688
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation - Million People - -
     2014: 35.56
     2030: 25.37
     2060: 7.230
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2014: 0.770
     2030: 0.820
     2060: 0.910
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2014: 9.348
     2030: 5.755
     2060: 2.482
Calories per capita available - Available per Person per Day - -
     2014: 2,623
     2030: 2,822
     2060: 3,210
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2014: -1.329
     2030: -1.076
     2060: -0.492
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2014: -0.135
     2030: 0.075
     2060: 0.503

Economy Forecast for Philippines
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2005 Dollars - -
     2014: 393.6
     2030: 804.0
     2060: 2,536
Gross domestic product - Billion 2005 Dollars - -
     2014: 162.5
     2030: 414.9
     2060: 2,015
GDP per capita at PPP - Thousand 2005 Dollars - -
     2014: 3.942
     2030: 6.507
     2060: 17.32
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2014: 0.441
     2030: 0.460
     2060: 0.470
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2014: 31.74
     2030: 34.22
     2060: 38.70
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2014: 21.24
     2030: 25.63
     2060: 35.89

Energy Forecast for Philippines
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2014: 0.003
     2030: 0.001
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Philippines
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2014: 0.028
     2030: 0.061
     2060: 0.129

International Politics Forecast for Philippines
Power index (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2014: 0.581
     2030: 0.686
     2060: 0.884

Domestic Government Forecast for Philippines
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2014: 10.11
     2030: 10.78
     2060: 11.99
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2014: 18.09
     2030: 19.06
     2060: 19.71
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2014: 2.503
     2030: 3.097
     2060: 4.911
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2014: 2.544
     2030: 2.871
     2060: 3.467
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2014: 7.174
     2030: 7.509
     2060: 8.127