Country Profile - Philippines      IFs Version 7.15
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Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
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     Forecast Categories for Philippines
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Philippines -
Population - Million People - -
     2015: 101.8
     2030: 126.9
     2060: 157.5
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2015: 1.670
     2030: 1.144
     2060: 0.419
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2015: 23.90
     2030: 18.48
     2060: 12.86
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2015: 5.988
     2030: 6.418
     2060: 8.324
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2015: 19.90
     2030: 13.27
     2060: 6.235
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2015: 69.53
     2030: 72.48
     2060: 78.22
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2015: 66.08
     2030: 68.83
     2060: 74.29
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2015: 72.99
     2030: 76.14
     2060: 82.07
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2015: 2.974
     2030: 2.314
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2015: 0.009
     2030: 0.007
     2060: 0.002
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2015: 13.79
     2030: 14.29
     2060: 12.33
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2015: 33.83
     2030: 35.88
     2060: 31.05
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2015: 63.75
     2030: 82.37
     2060: 103.8
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2015: 4.252
     2030: 8.594
     2060: 22.67
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2015: 50.00
     2030: 65.14
     2060: 92.14
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2015: 0.435
     2030: 0.465
     2060: 0.487
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2015: 40.63
     2030: 43.87
     2060: 47.37

Health Forecast for Philippines -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2015: 4.697
     2030: 5.676
     2060: 8.332
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2015: 28.91
     2030: 29.39
     2060: 31.08
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2015: 18.47
     2030: 12.49
     2060: 6.894
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2015: 19.13
     2030: 15.28
     2060: 12.10
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2015: 15.48
     2030: 12.05
     2060: 5.852

Education Forecast for Philippines -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2015: 106.6
     2030: 105.5
     2060: 100.6
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2015: 88.25
     2030: 95.94
     2060: 100.00
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2015: 90.56
     2030: 99.99
     2060: 101.0
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2015: 77.90
     2030: 87.87
     2060: 96.85
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2015: 28.60
     2030: 32.87
     2060: 45.01
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2015: 9.056
     2030: 9.570
     2060: 10.77
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2015: 95.99
     2030: 98.04
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Philippines
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2015: 17.07
     2030: 9.657
     2060: 4.461
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2015: 38.03
     2030: 26.21
     2060: 13.01
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2015: 0.799
     2030: 0.850
     2060: 0.943
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2015: 9.144
     2030: 5.536
     2060: 2.557
Calories per capita available - Available per Person per Day - -
     2015: 2,646
     2030: 2,806
     2060: 3,150
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2015: -1.311
     2030: -1.048
     2060: -0.404
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2015: -0.112
     2030: 0.128
     2060: 0.666

Economy Forecast for Philippines
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2015: 659.4
     2030: 1,333
     2060: 4,414
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2015: 291.3
     2030: 753.2
     2060: 3,767
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2015: 6.475
     2030: 10.51
     2060: 28.02
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2015: 0.455
     2030: 0.473
     2060: 0.545
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2015: 12.72
     2030: 10.75
     2060: 6.809
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2015: 20.78
     2030: 25.42
     2060: 42.64

Energy Forecast for Philippines
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2015: 0.006
     2030: 0.014
     2060: 0.024

Environment Forecast for Philippines
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2015: 0.029
     2030: 0.041
     2060: 0.014

International Politics Forecast for Philippines
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2015: 0.648
     2030: 0.775
     2060: 1.053

Domestic Government Forecast for Philippines
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2015: 10.15
     2030: 10.81
     2060: 12.02
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2015: 18.13
     2030: 19.14
     2060: 19.82
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2015: 2.589
     2030: 3.384
     2060: 6.072
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2015: 2.586
     2030: 2.944
     2060: 3.592
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2015: 7.195
     2030: 7.506
     2060: 8.067