Country Profile - Philippines      IFs Version 7.08
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Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
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     Forecast Categories for Philippines
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Philippines -
Population - Million People - -
     2014: 100.1
     2030: 126.9
     2060: 157.7
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2014: 1.690
     2030: 1.147
     2060: 0.425
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2014: 24.09
     2030: 18.51
     2060: 12.87
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2014: 5.963
     2030: 6.425
     2060: 8.272
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2014: 20.40
     2030: 13.44
     2060: 6.141
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2014: 69.33
     2030: 72.45
     2060: 78.32
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2014: 65.90
     2030: 68.80
     2060: 74.41
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2014: 72.78
     2030: 76.11
     2060: 82.15
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2014: 3.004
     2030: 2.319
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2014: 0.009
     2030: 0.007
     2060: 0.002
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2014: 13.64
     2030: 14.32
     2060: 12.35
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2014: 33.68
     2030: 35.93
     2060: 31.09
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2014: 62.39
     2030: 82.37
     2060: 103.9
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2014: 4.054
     2030: 8.591
     2060: 22.71
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2014: 49.07
     2030: 65.14
     2060: 92.21
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2014: 0.432
     2030: 0.465
     2060: 0.487
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2014: 40.37
     2030: 43.87
     2060: 47.37

Health Forecast for Philippines -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2014: 4.619
     2030: 5.587
     2060: 8.127
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2014: 28.89
     2030: 29.38
     2060: 31.14
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2014: 18.87
     2030: 12.66
     2060: 7.003
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2014: 19.46
     2030: 15.37
     2060: 12.34
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2014: 15.79
     2030: 12.29
     2060: 6.205

Education Forecast for Philippines -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2014: 106.7
     2030: 105.5
     2060: 100.5
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2014: 88.26
     2030: 96.03
     2060: 100.00
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2014: 89.79
     2030: 100.1
     2060: 101.2
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2014: 77.65
     2030: 88.03
     2060: 97.43
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2014: 28.45
     2030: 32.86
     2060: 46.34
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2014: 9.024
     2030: 9.570
     2060: 10.79
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2014: 95.86
     2030: 98.04
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Philippines
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2014: 16.24
     2030: 8.246
     2060: 0.847
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2014: 37.10
     2030: 24.07
     2060: 4.389
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2014: 0.796
     2030: 0.849
     2060: 0.945
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2014: 9.379
     2030: 5.639
     2060: 2.585
Calories per capita available - Available per Person per Day - -
     2014: 2,632
     2030: 2,793
     2060: 3,126
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2014: -1.324
     2030: -1.049
     2060: -0.401
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2014: -0.126
     2030: 0.126
     2060: 0.671

Economy Forecast for Philippines
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2014: 628.4
     2030: 1,327
     2060: 4,538
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2014: 273.3
     2030: 747.7
     2060: 3,872
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2014: 6.276
     2030: 10.46
     2060: 28.78
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2014: 0.449
     2030: 0.461
     2060: 0.460
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2014: 530,138,660,864
     2030: 511,500,451,840
     2060: 471,281,172,480
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2014: 20.62
     2030: 25.46
     2060: 44.37

Energy Forecast for Philippines
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2014: 0.006
     2030: 0.015
     2060: 0.025

Environment Forecast for Philippines
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2014: 0.028
     2030: 0.040
     2060: 0.013

International Politics Forecast for Philippines
Power index, Global Power Index (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2014: 0.639
     2030: 0.766
     2060: 1.016

Domestic Government Forecast for Philippines
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2014: 10.12
     2030: 10.80
     2060: 12.05
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2014: 18.09
     2030: 19.13
     2060: 19.83
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2014: 2.548
     2030: 3.377
     2060: 6.164
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2014: 2.563
     2030: 2.940
     2060: 3.608
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2014: 7.176
     2030: 7.503
     2060: 8.083