Country Profile - Philippines      IFs Version 7.30
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Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
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     Forecast Categories for Philippines
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Philippines -
Population - Million People - -
     2017: 103.8
     2030: 122.8
     2060: 149.1
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2017: 1.479
     2030: 1.036
     2060: 0.347
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2017: 22.65
     2030: 17.88
     2060: 12.74
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2017: 6.685
     2030: 6.907
     2060: 8.919
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2017: 21.55
     2030: 14.31
     2060: 7.361
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2017: 68.90
     2030: 71.76
     2060: 77.27
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2017: 65.48
     2030: 68.20
     2060: 73.43
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2017: 72.39
     2030: 75.36
     2060: 81.04
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2017: 2.845
     2030: 2.270
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2017: 0.041
     2030: 0.084
     2060: 0.202
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2017: 11.47
     2030: 11.07
     2060: 9.592
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2017: 32.76
     2030: 33.65
     2060: 29.17
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2017: 66.13
     2030: 80.69
     2060: 98.43
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2017: 4.890
     2030: 8.502
     2060: 21.46
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2017: 45.57
     2030: 52.25
     2060: 63.86
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2017: 0.440
     2030: 0.467
     2060: 0.486
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2017: 39.81
     2030: 42.94
     2060: 46.97

Health Forecast for Philippines -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2017: 5.965
     2030: 7.422
     2060: 11.39
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2017: 27.09
     2030: 27.59
     2060: 29.20
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2017: 18.45
     2030: 11.92
     2060: 6.489
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2017: 18.97
     2030: 15.56
     2060: 11.56
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2017: 12.09
     2030: 6.489
     2060: 2.286

Education Forecast for Philippines -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2017: 115.5
     2030: 105.4
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2017: 90.50
     2030: 96.16
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2017: 93.52
     2030: 94.83
     2060: 98.59
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2017: 78.59
     2030: 86.54
     2060: 97.07
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2017: 35.72
     2030: 42.86
     2060: 57.03
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2017: 9.329
     2030: 9.987
     2060: 11.19
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2017: 95.84
     2030: 97.69
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Philippines
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2017: 15.67
     2030: 8.637
     2060: 6.200
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2017: 37.15
     2030: 25.36
     2060: 17.15
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2017: 0.803
     2030: 0.848
     2060: 0.930
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2017: 9.373
     2030: 4.810
     2060: 2.510
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2017: 2,665
     2030: 2,880
     2060: 3,324
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2017: -1.346
     2030: -1.154
     2060: -0.546
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2017: -0.150
     2030: 0.049
     2060: 0.563

Economy Forecast for Philippines
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2017: 769.9
     2030: 1,369
     2060: 3,660
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2017: 327.5
     2030: 728.6
     2060: 2,991
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2017: 7.419
     2030: 11.14
     2060: 24.55
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2017: 0.435
     2030: 0.443
     2060: 0.530
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2017: 18.43
     2030: 19.72
     2060: 25.80
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2017: 29.56
     2030: 38.63
     2060: 56.63

Energy Forecast for Philippines
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2017: 0.006
     2030: 0.005
     2060: 0.003

Environment Forecast for Philippines
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2017: 0.031
     2030: 0.053
     2060: 0.076

International Politics Forecast for Philippines
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2017: 0.682
     2030: 0.852
     2060: 1.357

Domestic Government Forecast for Philippines
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2017: 10.08
     2030: 10.63
     2060: 11.73
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2017: 18.02
     2030: 18.88
     2060: 19.71
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2017: 2.692
     2030: 3.396
     2060: 5.550
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2017: 2.739
     2030: 3.033
     2060: 3.577
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2017: 7.179
     2030: 7.439
     2060: 7.920