Country Profile - Philippines      IFs Version 6.69
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Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
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     Forecast Categories for Philippines
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Philippines -
Population - Million People - -
     2013: 98.04
     2030: 123.7
     2060: 146.5
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2013: 1.616
     2030: 1.017
     2060: 0.195
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2013: 24.12
     2030: 18.65
     2060: 12.89
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2013: 5.872
     2030: 6.555
     2060: 8.983
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2013: 21.05
     2030: 13.67
     2060: 6.595
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2013: 69.11
     2030: 72.08
     2060: 76.95
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2013: 65.73
     2030: 68.37
     2060: 72.71
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2013: 72.51
     2030: 75.80
     2060: 81.11
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2013: 3.001
     2030: 2.332
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2013: 0.009
     2030: 0.007
     2060: 0.002
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2013: 13.51
     2030: 13.96
     2060: 11.49
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2013: 33.50
     2030: 34.80
     2060: 28.81
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2013: 60.75
     2030: 80.68
     2060: 96.68
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2013: 3.784
     2030: 8.265
     2060: 20.99
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2013: 67.23
     2030: 99.53
     2060: 129.8
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2013: 0.417
     2030: 0.454
     2060: 0.475
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2013: 39.08
     2030: 42.95
     2060: 46.74

Health Forecast for Philippines -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2013: 4.478
     2030: 5.539
     2060: 8.145
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2013: 24.99
     2030: 25.14
     2060: 25.98
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2013: 19.43
     2030: 13.00
     2060: 6.942
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2013: 19.95
     2030: 15.28
     2060: 11.07
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2013: 15.66
     2030: 9.738
     2060: 1.324

Education Forecast for Philippines -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2013: 110.6
     2030: 106.2
     2060: 101.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2013: 91.50
     2030: 96.79
     2060: 100.00
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2013: 90.07
     2030: 100.8
     2060: 102.4
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2013: 66.76
     2030: 79.54
     2060: 91.36
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2013: 28.73
     2030: 32.81
     2060: 41.32
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2013: 8.723
     2030: 9.138
     2060: 10.10
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2013: 95.75
     2030: 97.94
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Philippines
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation - Million People - -
     2013: 19.45
     2030: 13.18
     2060: 4.025
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation - Million People - -
     2013: 40.03
     2030: 31.09
     2060: 12.64
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2013: 0.762
     2030: 0.813
     2060: 0.896
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2013: 9.683
     2030: 6.189
     2060: 2.583
Calories per capita available - Available per Person per Day - -
     2013: 2,606
     2030: 2,786
     2060: 3,128
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2013: -0.072
     2030: 0.027
     2060: 0.202
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2013: -0.251
     2030: -0.065
     2060: 0.275

Economy Forecast for Philippines
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2005 Dollars - -
     2013: 345.7
     2030: 702.5
     2060: 2,006
Gross domestic product - Billion 2005 Dollars - -
     2013: 148.3
     2030: 365.5
     2060: 1,498
GDP per capita at PPP - Thousand 2005 Dollars - -
     2013: 3.526
     2030: 5.677
     2060: 13.70
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2013: 0.446
     2030: 0.474
     2060: 0.488
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2013: 33.26
     2030: 33.79
     2060: 34.58
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2013: 22.59
     2030: 27.46
     2060: 40.16

Energy Forecast for Philippines
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2013: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Philippines
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2013: 0.021
     2030: 0.050
     2060: 0.116

International Politics Forecast for Philippines
Power index (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2013: 0.564
     2030: 0.661
     2060: 0.807

Domestic Government Forecast for Philippines
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2013: 10.10
     2030: 11.01
     2060: 12.68
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2013: 18.08
     2030: 19.09
     2060: 19.64
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2013: 2.467
     2030: 3.024
     2060: 4.471
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2013: 2.431
     2030: 2.753
     2060: 3.305
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2013: 6.865
     2030: 7.199
     2060: 7.773