Country Profile - Philippines      IFs Version 7.24
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Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
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     Forecast Categories for Philippines
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Philippines -
Population - Million People - -
     2016: 102.2
     2030: 122.3
     2060: 147.2
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2016: 1.496
     2030: 1.003
     2060: 0.314
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2016: 22.87
     2030: 17.65
     2060: 12.71
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2016: 6.689
     2030: 7.002
     2060: 9.217
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2016: 21.67
     2030: 14.54
     2060: 8.038
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2016: 68.90
     2030: 71.82
     2060: 76.78
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2016: 65.47
     2030: 68.17
     2060: 72.69
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2016: 72.39
     2030: 75.51
     2060: 80.78
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2016: 2.873
     2030: 2.249
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2016: 0.036
     2030: 0.031
     2060: 0.012
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2016: 11.33
     2030: 10.88
     2060: 9.447
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2016: 32.30
     2030: 33.25
     2060: 28.78
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2016: 65.10
     2030: 80.39
     2060: 97.03
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2016: 4.815
     2030: 8.706
     2060: 21.38
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2016: 44.99
     2030: 52.09
     2060: 63.25
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2016: 0.447
     2030: 0.475
     2060: 0.492
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2016: 39.81
     2030: 43.13
     2060: 47.05

Health Forecast for Philippines -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2016: 4.501
     2030: 5.845
     2060: 8.915
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2016: 27.09
     2030: 27.57
     2060: 28.92
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2016: 19.13
     2030: 12.77
     2060: 6.825
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2016: 19.48
     2030: 17.94
     2060: 13.03
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2016: 12.48
     2030: 6.701
     2060: 2.732

Education Forecast for Philippines -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2016: 113.6
     2030: 100.2
     2060: 99.66
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2016: 94.16
     2030: 98.85
     2060: 99.71
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 93.84
     2030: 86.04
     2060: 91.96
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 79.26
     2030: 79.25
     2060: 89.77
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 35.65
     2030: 40.16
     2060: 49.20
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2016: 9.351
     2030: 10.40
     2060: 11.50
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2016: 95.85
     2030: 97.57
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Philippines
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2016: 17.21
     2030: 9.734
     2060: 6.946
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2016: 38.83
     2030: 27.04
     2060: 18.68
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2016: 0.800
     2030: 0.845
     2060: 0.921
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2016: 9.733
     2030: 6.045
     2060: 2.656
Calories per capita available - Total - Available per Person per Day - -
     2016: 2,609
     2030: 2,828
     2060: 3,209
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2016: -1.347
     2030: -1.142
     2060: -0.547
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2016: -0.151
     2030: 0.053
     2060: 0.536

Economy Forecast for Philippines
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 721.0
     2030: 1,297
     2060: 3,217
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 305.1
     2030: 685.7
     2060: 2,515
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 7.053
     2030: 10.60
     2060: 21.86
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2016: 0.441
     2030: 0.451
     2060: 0.529
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2016: 20.37
     2030: 20.66
     2060: 24.86
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2016: 29.27
     2030: 34.88
     2060: 48.92

Energy Forecast for Philippines
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2016: 0.002
     2030: 0.006
     2060: 0.018

Environment Forecast for Philippines
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2016: 0.027
     2030: 0.048
     2060: 0.021

International Politics Forecast for Philippines
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2016: 0.657
     2030: 0.782
     2060: 1.071

Domestic Government Forecast for Philippines
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2016: 10.08
     2030: 10.74
     2060: 11.75
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2016: 18.02
     2030: 18.92
     2060: 19.67
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2016: 2.681
     2030: 3.378
     2060: 5.254
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2016: 2.733
     2030: 3.023
     2060: 3.496
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2016: 7.174
     2030: 7.435
     2060: 7.858