Country Profile - Philippines      IFs Version 7.37
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Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
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     Forecast Categories for Philippines
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Philippines -
Population - Million People - -
     2018: 106.6
     2030: 124.7
     2060: 151.9
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2018: 1.512
     2030: 1.063
     2060: 0.355
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2018: 22.62
     2030: 18.16
     2060: 12.84
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2018: 6.516
     2030: 6.850
     2060: 8.799
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2018: 19.16
     2030: 13.54
     2060: 6.946
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2018: 69.72
     2030: 72.07
     2060: 77.50
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2018: 66.30
     2030: 68.48
     2060: 73.86
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2018: 73.19
     2030: 75.69
     2060: 81.09
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2018: 2.843
     2030: 2.318
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2018: 0.043
     2030: 0.084
     2060: 0.201
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2018: 11.71
     2030: 11.41
     2060: 9.853
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2018: 33.46
     2030: 34.63
     2060: 29.87
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2018: 67.82
     2030: 81.26
     2060: 100.3
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2018: 5.281
     2030: 8.784
     2060: 21.72
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2018: 46.66
     2030: 53.34
     2060: 66.35
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2018: 0.396
     2030: 0.290
     2060: 0.145
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2018: 40.58
     2030: 43.39
     2060: 47.28

Health Forecast for Philippines -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2018: 6.141
     2030: 7.469
     2060: 10.49
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2018: 27.07
     2030: 27.74
     2060: 29.77
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2018: 17.84
     2030: 12.89
     2060: 6.933
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2018: 18.46
     2030: 16.05
     2060: 12.77
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2018: 11.68
     2030: 6.511
     2060: 2.562

Education Forecast for Philippines -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2018: 114.4
     2030: 105.9
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2018: 90.72
     2030: 95.47
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2018: 94.09
     2030: 94.47
     2060: 98.25
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2018: 80.20
     2030: 85.70
     2060: 96.13
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2018: 36.07
     2030: 42.49
     2060: 59.17
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2018: 8.734
     2030: 9.406
     2060: 10.87
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2018: 96.90
     2030: 98.38
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Forecast for Philippines
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2018: 7.370
     2030: 3.960
     2060: 0.630
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2018: 22.39
     2030: 14.30
     2060: 3.378
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2018: 0.812
     2030: 0.851
     2060: 0.929
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2018: 8.499
     2030: 5.806
     2060: 2.614
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2018: 2,692
     2030: 2,885
     2060: 3,234
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2018: -1.336
     2030: -1.156
     2060: -0.546
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2018: -0.136
     2030: 0.047
     2060: 0.556

Economy Forecast for Philippines
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2018: 811.3
     2030: 1,366
     2060: 3,598
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2018: 350.5
     2030: 722.0
     2060: 2,893
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2018: 7.613
     2030: 10.95
     2060: 23.68
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2018: 0.407
     2030: 0.419
     2060: 0.433
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2018: 18.06
     2030: 19.13
     2060: 24.42
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2018: 21.70
     2030: 29.17
     2060: 51.05

Energy Forecast for Philippines
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2018: 0.006
     2030: 0.005
     2060: 0.003

Environment Forecast for Philippines
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2018: 0.034
     2030: 0.055
     2060: 0.066

International Politics Forecast for Philippines
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2018: 0.689
     2030: 0.826
     2060: 1.175

Domestic Government Forecast for Philippines
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2018: 10.14
     2030: 10.68
     2060: 11.92
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2018: 18.08
     2030: 18.89
     2060: 19.70
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2018: 2.739
     2030: 3.381
     2060: 5.452
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2018: 2.763
     2030: 3.026
     2060: 3.554
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2018: 7.532
     2030: 7.777
     2060: 8.264