Country Profile - Philippines      IFs Version 7.31
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Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
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     Forecast Categories for Philippines
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Philippines -
Population - Million People - -
     2017: 105.0
     2030: 124.9
     2060: 153.0
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2017: 1.531
     2030: 1.069
     2060: 0.381
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2017: 22.96
     2030: 18.03
     2060: 12.74
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2017: 6.485
     2030: 6.725
     2060: 8.579
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2017: 19.84
     2030: 13.05
     2060: 6.253
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2017: 69.54
     2030: 72.38
     2060: 78.13
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2017: 66.14
     2030: 68.86
     2060: 74.41
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2017: 72.98
     2030: 75.93
     2060: 81.80
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2017: 2.886
     2030: 2.300
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2017: 0.040
     2030: 0.084
     2060: 0.201
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2017: 11.65
     2030: 11.37
     2060: 9.865
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2017: 33.23
     2030: 34.61
     2060: 29.98
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2017: 66.67
     2030: 81.47
     2060: 100.7
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2017: 5.060
     2030: 8.835
     2060: 22.33
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2017: 45.58
     2030: 52.38
     2060: 64.29
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2017: 0.440
     2030: 0.465
     2060: 0.485
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2017: 39.70
     2030: 42.83
     2060: 46.90

Health Forecast for Philippines -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2017: 5.979
     2030: 7.494
     2060: 11.66
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2017: 27.05
     2030: 27.60
     2060: 29.40
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2017: 18.48
     2030: 12.08
     2060: 6.386
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2017: 18.98
     2030: 15.58
     2060: 11.52
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2017: 12.09
     2030: 6.353
     2060: 2.143

Education Forecast for Philippines -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2017: 115.5
     2030: 105.3
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2017: 90.51
     2030: 96.34
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2017: 93.57
     2030: 95.08
     2060: 99.07
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2017: 78.66
     2030: 87.30
     2060: 97.99
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2017: 35.78
     2030: 46.45
     2060: 72.98
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2017: 9.330
     2030: 10.02
     2060: 11.55
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2017: 97.01
     2030: 98.70
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Philippines
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2017: 15.68
     2030: 8.992
     2060: 5.195
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2017: 33.18
     2030: 22.35
     2060: 12.91
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2017: 0.811
     2030: 0.856
     2060: 0.940
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2017: 9.264
     2030: 5.197
     2060: 2.404
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2017: 2,665
     2030: 2,888
     2060: 3,350
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2017: -1.347
     2030: -1.152
     2060: -0.531
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2017: -0.149
     2030: 0.054
     2060: 0.592

Economy Forecast for Philippines
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2017: 782.4
     2030: 1,423
     2060: 4,101
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2017: 329.2
     2030: 757.4
     2060: 3,406
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2017: 7.454
     2030: 11.39
     2060: 26.80
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2017: 0.435
     2030: 0.448
     2060: 0.527
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2017: 18.13
     2030: 19.40
     2060: 26.25
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2017: 29.55
     2030: 41.60
     2060: 66.99

Energy Forecast for Philippines
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2017: 0.006
     2030: 0.005
     2060: 0.003

Environment Forecast for Philippines
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2017: 0.031
     2030: 0.054
     2060: 0.084

International Politics Forecast for Philippines
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2017: 0.685
     2030: 0.867
     2060: 1.438

Domestic Government Forecast for Philippines
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2017: 10.08
     2030: 10.66
     2060: 11.97
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2017: 18.04
     2030: 18.89
     2060: 19.74
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2017: 2.696
     2030: 3.425
     2060: 5.821
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2017: 2.742
     2030: 3.046
     2060: 3.631
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2017: 7.181
     2030: 7.450
     2060: 7.968