Country Profile - Papua New Guinea      IFs Version 7.30
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     Forecast Categories for Papua New Guinea
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Papua New Guinea -
Population - Million People - -
     2017: 7.925
     2030: 10.02
     2060: 13.57
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2017: 1.973
     2030: 1.582
     2060: 0.559
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2017: 27.19
     2030: 22.72
     2060: 14.22
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2017: 7.465
     2030: 6.900
     2060: 8.635
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2017: 43.65
     2030: 25.99
     2060: 10.31
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2017: 63.65
     2030: 67.73
     2060: 73.31
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2017: 61.39
     2030: 64.87
     2060: 69.45
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2017: 66.00
     2030: 70.68
     2060: 77.18
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2017: 3.571
     2030: 2.875
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2017: 0.496
     2030: 0.555
     2060: 0.634
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2017: 1.021
     2030: 1.103
     2060: 0.949
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2017: 2.905
     2030: 3.169
     2060: 2.890
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2017: 4.772
     2030: 6.409
     2060: 9.325
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2017: 0.248
     2030: 0.439
     2060: 1.352
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2017: 1.034
     2030: 1.358
     2060: 2.300
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2017: 0.450
     2030: 0.484
     2060: 0.520
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2017: 48.80
     2030: 49.90
     2060: 50.00

Health Forecast for Papua New Guinea -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2017: 3.978
     2030: 5.049
     2060: 8.168
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2017: 41.14
     2030: 39.87
     2060: 37.45
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2017: 33.41
     2030: 20.43
     2060: 3.941
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2017: 33.39
     2030: 25.60
     2060: 11.56
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2017: 13.43
     2030: 9.010
     2060: 3.528

Education Forecast for Papua New Guinea -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2017: 115.1
     2030: 105.7
     2060: 102.6
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2017: 29.18
     2030: 58.71
     2060: 94.89
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2017: 75.25
     2030: 83.07
     2060: 92.23
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2017: 23.58
     2030: 43.80
     2060: 73.64
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2017: 3.372
     2030: 13.18
     2060: 31.86
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2017: 4.616
     2030: 6.268
     2060: 9.063
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2017: 64.96
     2030: 80.04
     2060: 99.91

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Papua New Guinea
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2017: 1.934
     2030: 1.398
     2060: 0.269
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2017: 3.226
     2030: 2.617
     2060: 0.726
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2017: 0.624
     2030: 0.710
     2060: 0.849
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2017: 36.18
     2030: 24.63
     2060: 3.215
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2017: 2,670
     2030: 2,833
     2060: 3,210
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2017: -0.131
     2030: -0.074
     2060: 0.089
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2017: -0.400
     2030: -0.275
     2060: 0.058

Economy Forecast for Papua New Guinea
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2017: 25.23
     2030: 40.37
     2060: 115.3
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2017: 16.79
     2030: 27.16
     2060: 89.00
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2017: 3.184
     2030: 4.030
     2060: 8.498
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2017: 0.441
     2030: 0.455
     2060: 0.452
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2017: 30.61
     2030: 34.57
     2060: 37.69
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2017: 3.920
     2030: 6.128
     2060: 17.90

Energy Forecast for Papua New Guinea
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2017: 0.050
     2030: 0.050
     2060: 0.021

Environment Forecast for Papua New Guinea
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2017: 0.002
     2030: 0.003
     2060: 0.004

International Politics Forecast for Papua New Guinea
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2017: 0.037
     2030: 0.043
     2060: 0.060

Domestic Government Forecast for Papua New Guinea
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2017: 9.141
     2030: 10.40
     2060: 12.81
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2017: 14.96
     2030: 15.19
     2060: 16.40
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2017: 2.228
     2030: 2.461
     2060: 3.307
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2017: 1.897
     2030: 2.116
     2060: 2.558
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2017: 7.124
     2030: 7.286
     2060: 7.564