Country Profile - Papua New Guinea      IFs Version 7.26
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     Forecast Categories for Papua New Guinea
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Papua New Guinea -
Population - Million People - -
     2016: 7.769
     2030: 10.02
     2060: 13.68
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2016: 2.001
     2030: 1.592
     2060: 0.623
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2016: 27.43
     2030: 22.73
     2060: 14.12
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2016: 7.421
     2030: 6.809
     2060: 7.891
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2016: 43.16
     2030: 26.29
     2060: 7.575
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2016: 63.76
     2030: 68.17
     2060: 75.46
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2016: 61.54
     2030: 65.49
     2060: 71.86
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2016: 66.07
     2030: 70.95
     2060: 79.10
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2016: 3.604
     2030: 2.890
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2016: 0.496
     2030: 0.429
     2060: 0.159
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2016: 1.004
     2030: 1.103
     2060: 0.953
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2016: 2.850
     2030: 3.170
     2060: 2.883
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2016: 4.675
     2030: 6.399
     2060: 9.371
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2016: 0.243
     2030: 0.451
     2060: 1.423
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2016: 1.012
     2030: 1.355
     2060: 2.297
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2016: 0.459
     2030: 0.493
     2060: 0.529
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2016: 48.80
     2030: 49.91
     2060: 50.00

Health Forecast for Papua New Guinea -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2016: 2.796
     2030: 3.739
     2060: 6.047
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2016: 41.14
     2030: 39.79
     2060: 37.61
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2016: 27.16
     2030: 16.73
     2060: 3.418
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2016: 26.98
     2030: 20.87
     2060: 4.373
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2016: 11.69
     2030: 7.754
     2060: 3.385

Education Forecast for Papua New Guinea -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2016: 114.9
     2030: 113.6
     2060: 100.1
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2016: 29.07
     2030: 65.31
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 75.53
     2030: 85.94
     2060: 97.71
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 23.26
     2030: 34.20
     2060: 86.68
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 3.450
     2030: 14.01
     2060: 41.90
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2016: 4.486
     2030: 5.913
     2060: 8.959
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2016: 64.99
     2030: 81.46
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Papua New Guinea
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2016: 2.157
     2030: 1.573
     2060: 0.320
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2016: 3.650
     2030: 3.041
     2060: 0.924
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2016: 0.620
     2030: 0.715
     2060: 0.869
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2016: 34.48
     2030: 22.93
     2060: 2.474
Calories per capita available - Total - Available per Person per Day - -
     2016: 2,656
     2030: 2,824
     2060: 3,148
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2016: -0.156
     2030: -0.092
     2060: 0.105
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2016: -0.468
     2030: -0.316
     2060: 0.084

Economy Forecast for Papua New Guinea
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 22.87
     2030: 39.05
     2060: 135.2
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 17.94
     2030: 30.22
     2060: 119.9
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 2.944
     2030: 3.897
     2060: 9.884
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2016: 0.446
     2030: 0.463
     2060: 0.461
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2016: 30.52
     2030: 34.39
     2060: 37.77
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2016: 3.542
     2030: 5.914
     2060: 29.16

Energy Forecast for Papua New Guinea
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2016: 0.050
     2030: 0.050
     2060: 0.019

Environment Forecast for Papua New Guinea
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2016: 0.001
     2030: 0.003
     2060: 0.005

International Politics Forecast for Papua New Guinea
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2016: 0.037
     2030: 0.042
     2060: 0.060

Domestic Government Forecast for Papua New Guinea
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2016: 9.179
     2030: 10.35
     2060: 13.16
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2016: 14.97
     2030: 15.25
     2060: 16.54
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2016: 2.242
     2030: 2.494
     2060: 3.530
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2016: 1.926
     2030: 2.168
     2060: 2.834
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2016: 7.154
     2030: 7.348
     2060: 7.881