Country Profile - Papua New Guinea      IFs Version 7.15
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     Forecast Categories for Papua New Guinea
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Papua New Guinea -
Population - Million People - -
     2015: 7.643
     2030: 10.21
     2060: 14.07
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2015: 2.141
     2030: 1.642
     2060: 0.738
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2015: 28.82
     2030: 22.85
     2060: 14.13
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2015: 7.410
     2030: 6.431
     2060: 6.752
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2015: 41.68
     2030: 21.49
     2060: 2.463
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2015: 63.86
     2030: 68.83
     2060: 78.61
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2015: 61.71
     2030: 66.18
     2060: 75.10
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2015: 66.10
     2030: 71.58
     2060: 82.16
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2015: 3.779
     2030: 2.924
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2015: 0.779
     2030: 0.630
     2060: 0.206
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2015: 1.208
     2030: 1.385
     2060: 1.197
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2015: 2.840
     2030: 3.347
     2060: 2.934
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2015: 4.566
     2030: 6.417
     2060: 9.579
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2015: 0.237
     2030: 0.448
     2060: 1.554
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2015: 0.946
     2030: 1.276
     2060: 2.102
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2015: 0.458
     2030: 0.485
     2060: 0.526
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2015: 49.33
     2030: 49.96
     2060: 50.00

Health Forecast for Papua New Guinea -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2015: 3.407
     2030: 5.707
     2060: 11.84
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2015: 44.11
     2030: 42.68
     2060: 41.17
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2015: 16.61
     2030: 9.709
     2060: 3.682
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2015: 15.39
     2030: 2.296
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2015: 26.68
     2030: 18.27
     2060: 6.258

Education Forecast for Papua New Guinea -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2015: 70.26
     2030: 114.9
     2060: 106.2
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2015: 33.84
     2030: 70.47
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2015: 30.49
     2030: 65.70
     2060: 112.4
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2015: 6.417
     2030: 24.08
     2060: 101.8
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2015: 3.153
     2030: 15.79
     2060: 54.05
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2015: 4.077
     2030: 4.511
     2060: 8.505
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2015: 64.25
     2030: 82.22
     2060: 98.57

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Papua New Guinea
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2015: 1.958
     2030: 0.450
     2060: 0.036
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2015: 3.479
     2030: 1.275
     2060: 0.154
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2015: 0.618
     2030: 0.754
     2060: 0.951
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2015: 31.99
     2030: 17.64
     2060: 5.682
Calories per capita available - Available per Person per Day - -
     2015: 2,248
     2030: 2,562
     2060: 3,148
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2015: -0.185
     2030: -0.025
     2060: 0.385
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2015: -0.548
     2030: -0.196
     2060: 0.608

Economy Forecast for Papua New Guinea
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2015: 22.44
     2030: 71.63
     2060: 483.0
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2015: 17.86
     2030: 64.04
     2060: 471.0
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2015: 2.935
     2030: 7.014
     2060: 34.33
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2015: 0.523
     2030: 0.514
     2060: 0.552
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2015: 43.72
     2030: 38.06
     2060: 26.45
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2015: 3.017
     2030: 14.94
     2060: 57.91

Energy Forecast for Papua New Guinea
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2015: 0.052
     2030: 0.039
     2060: 0.015

Environment Forecast for Papua New Guinea
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2015: 0.002
     2030: 0.007
     2060: 0.011

International Politics Forecast for Papua New Guinea
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2015: 0.036
     2030: 0.051
     2060: 0.098

Domestic Government Forecast for Papua New Guinea
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2015: 9.259
     2030: 10.50
     2060: 14.00
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2015: 14.04
     2030: 14.45
     2060: 16.80
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2015: 2.234
     2030: 2.863
     2060: 6.507
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2015: 1.982
     2030: 2.581
     2060: 3.711
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2015: 7.147
     2030: 7.697
     2060: 8.725