Country Profile - Papua New Guinea      IFs Version 7.37
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     Forecast Categories for Papua New Guinea
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Papua New Guinea -
Population - Million People - -
     2018: 8.416
     2030: 10.53
     2060: 14.80
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2018: 2.007
     2030: 1.676
     2060: 0.623
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2018: 27.20
     2030: 23.61
     2060: 14.20
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2018: 7.128
     2030: 6.844
     2060: 7.965
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2018: 44.79
     2030: 32.03
     2060: 13.68
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2018: 66.19
     2030: 69.06
     2060: 74.76
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2018: 63.60
     2030: 66.00
     2060: 70.88
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2018: 68.88
     2030: 72.21
     2060: 78.65
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2018: 3.589
     2030: 3.064
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2018: 0.484
     2030: 0.543
     2060: 0.633
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2018: 1.060
     2030: 1.195
     2060: 1.056
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2018: 2.989
     2030: 3.380
     2060: 3.281
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2018: 5.096
     2030: 6.611
     2060: 9.994
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2018: 0.331
     2030: 0.542
     2060: 1.520
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2018: 1.099
     2030: 1.415
     2060: 2.426
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2018: 0.417
     2030: 0.334
     2060: 0.187
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2018: 48.89
     2030: 48.89
     2060: 48.89

Health Forecast for Papua New Guinea -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2018: 4.065
     2030: 4.962
     2060: 7.499
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2018: 41.01
     2030: 39.74
     2060: 37.31
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2018: 26.80
     2030: 18.30
     2060: 3.813
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2018: 26.49
     2030: 19.52
     2060: 6.410
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2018: 17.01
     2030: 11.81
     2060: 5.202

Education Forecast for Papua New Guinea -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2018: 118.8
     2030: 126.2
     2060: 102.6
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2018: 30.21
     2030: 56.98
     2060: 94.00
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2018: 73.30
     2030: 86.48
     2060: 92.63
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2018: 25.31
     2030: 43.18
     2060: 72.37
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2018: 3.476
     2030: 11.28
     2060: 37.74
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2018: 4.487
     2030: 5.318
     2060: 8.056
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2018: 59.03
     2030: 77.08
     2060: 98.88

Social/Human Forecast for Papua New Guinea
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2018: 1.340
     2030: 0.488
     2060: 0.011
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2018: 2.502
     2030: 1.257
     2060: 0.078
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2018: 0.630
     2030: 0.716
     2060: 0.852
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2018: 36.85
     2030: 24.94
     2060: 3.015
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2018: 2,482
     2030: 2,616
     2060: 2,926
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2018: -0.076
     2030: -0.024
     2060: 0.110
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2018: -0.263
     2030: -0.164
     2060: 0.102

Economy Forecast for Papua New Guinea
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2018: 33.35
     2030: 49.55
     2060: 123.6
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2018: 17.45
     2030: 27.00
     2060: 79.74
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2018: 3.963
     2030: 4.704
     2060: 8.351
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2018: 0.403
     2030: 0.375
     2060: 0.304
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2018: 30.45
     2030: 34.09
     2060: 36.71
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2018: 4.901
     2030: 6.921
     2060: 20.26

Energy Forecast for Papua New Guinea
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2018: 0.050
     2030: 0.048
     2060: 0.020

Environment Forecast for Papua New Guinea
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2018: 0.002
     2030: 0.003
     2060: 0.004

International Politics Forecast for Papua New Guinea
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2018: 0.041
     2030: 0.046
     2060: 0.060

Domestic Government Forecast for Papua New Guinea
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2018: 9.131
     2030: 9.970
     2060: 12.28
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2018: 14.98
     2030: 15.22
     2060: 16.10
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2018: 2.242
     2030: 2.464
     2060: 3.213
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2018: 1.907
     2030: 2.097
     2060: 2.486
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2018: 6.432
     2030: 6.541
     2060: 6.714