Country Profile - Papua New Guinea      IFs Version 7.31
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     Forecast Categories for Papua New Guinea
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Papua New Guinea -
Population - Million People - -
     2018: 8.417
     2030: 10.50
     2060: 14.50
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2018: 2.016
     2030: 1.633
     2060: 0.623
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2018: 27.09
     2030: 22.75
     2060: 14.06
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2018: 6.934
     2030: 6.424
     2060: 7.831
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2018: 42.80
     2030: 27.35
     2060: 10.65
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2018: 66.64
     2030: 70.26
     2060: 75.99
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2018: 64.05
     2030: 67.26
     2060: 72.19
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2018: 69.32
     2030: 73.36
     2060: 79.80
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2018: 3.575
     2030: 2.941
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2018: 0.484
     2030: 0.543
     2060: 0.633
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2018: 1.059
     2030: 1.157
     2060: 1.001
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2018: 2.990
     2030: 3.323
     2060: 3.071
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2018: 5.096
     2030: 6.624
     2060: 9.828
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2018: 0.331
     2030: 0.555
     2060: 1.604
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2018: 1.057
     2030: 1.357
     2060: 2.309
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2018: 0.431
     2030: 0.449
     2060: 0.482
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2018: 48.97
     2030: 48.97
     2060: 48.97

Health Forecast for Papua New Guinea -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2018: 4.071
     2030: 5.045
     2060: 8.247
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2018: 41.02
     2030: 39.84
     2060: 37.51
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2018: 26.51
     2030: 17.14
     2060: 3.434
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2018: 26.41
     2030: 19.56
     2060: 5.892
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2018: 12.99
     2030: 8.982
     2060: 3.406

Education Forecast for Papua New Guinea -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2018: 115.1
     2030: 105.2
     2060: 102.6
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2018: 30.59
     2030: 58.66
     2060: 95.07
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2018: 76.00
     2030: 81.74
     2060: 92.22
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2018: 24.72
     2030: 43.78
     2060: 73.69
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2018: 3.040
     2030: 9.311
     2060: 32.48
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2018: 4.749
     2030: 6.212
     2060: 8.974
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2018: 65.68
     2030: 79.93
     2060: 99.77

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Papua New Guinea
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2018: 1.925
     2030: 1.380
     2060: 0.236
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2018: 3.261
     2030: 2.609
     2060: 0.651
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2018: 0.643
     2030: 0.723
     2060: 0.865
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2018: 33.80
     2030: 23.65
     2060: 2.698
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2018: 2,685
     2030: 2,833
     2060: 3,219
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2018: -0.127
     2030: -0.075
     2060: 0.095
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2018: -0.391
     2030: -0.278
     2060: 0.066

Economy Forecast for Papua New Guinea
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2018: 27.11
     2030: 41.96
     2060: 128.9
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2018: 17.32
     2030: 27.31
     2060: 99.32
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2018: 3.221
     2030: 3.995
     2060: 8.886
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2018: 0.442
     2030: 0.457
     2060: 0.456
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2018: 30.80
     2030: 34.21
     2060: 37.49
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2018: 3.978
     2030: 5.782
     2060: 16.96

Energy Forecast for Papua New Guinea
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2018: 0.050
     2030: 0.050
     2060: 0.021

Environment Forecast for Papua New Guinea
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2018: 0.002
     2030: 0.003
     2060: 0.005

International Politics Forecast for Papua New Guinea
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2018: 0.039
     2030: 0.044
     2060: 0.063

Domestic Government Forecast for Papua New Guinea
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2018: 9.227
     2030: 10.35
     2060: 12.80
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2018: 14.98
     2030: 15.24
     2060: 16.32
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2018: 2.241
     2030: 2.462
     2060: 3.344
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2018: 1.909
     2030: 2.113
     2060: 2.606
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2018: 7.132
     2030: 7.283
     2060: 7.610