Country Profile - Papua New Guinea      IFs Version 7.00
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     Forecast Categories for Papua New Guinea
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Papua New Guinea -
Population - Million People - -
     2014: 7.478
     2030: 10.09
     2060: 13.90
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2014: 2.096
     2030: 1.620
     2060: 0.662
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2014: 28.62
     2030: 23.64
     2060: 14.35
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2014: 7.663
     2030: 7.443
     2060: 7.736
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2014: 45.21
     2030: 32.08
     2060: 6.624
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2014: 63.12
     2030: 66.43
     2060: 75.23
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2014: 60.96
     2030: 63.91
     2060: 71.47
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2014: 65.37
     2030: 69.04
     2060: 79.03
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2014: 3.755
     2030: 3.001
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2014: 0.783
     2030: 0.630
     2060: 0.206
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2014: 1.192
     2030: 1.371
     2060: 1.179
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2014: 2.804
     2030: 3.272
     2060: 2.984
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2014: 4.447
     2030: 6.382
     2060: 9.543
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2014: 0.227
     2030: 0.437
     2060: 1.376
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2014: 0.926
     2030: 1.273
     2060: 2.099
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2014: 0.456
     2030: 0.489
     2060: 0.530
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2014: 49.19
     2030: 49.96
     2060: 50.00

Health Forecast for Papua New Guinea -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2014: 3.030
     2030: 4.478
     2060: 9.553
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2014: 29.62
     2030: 30.39
     2060: 31.75
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2014: 17.48
     2030: 12.27
     2060: 4.618
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2014: 16.16
     2030: 5.837
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2014: 28.85
     2030: 22.11
     2060: 9.669

Education Forecast for Papua New Guinea -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2014: 68.70
     2030: 115.4
     2060: 107.2
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2014: 31.58
     2030: 65.63
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2014: 30.72
     2030: 64.09
     2060: 118.5
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2014: 6.284
     2030: 17.56
     2060: 86.84
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2014: 2.539
     2030: 10.34
     2060: 34.08
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2014: 4.345
     2030: 4.730
     2060: 7.782
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2014: 63.90
     2030: 81.87
     2060: 98.55

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Papua New Guinea
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation - Million People - -
     2014: 2.521
     2030: 1.990
     2060: 0.545
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation - Million People - -
     2014: 4.087
     2030: 3.788
     2060: 1.523
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2014: 0.605
     2030: 0.706
     2060: 0.872
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2014: 32.30
     2030: 20.67
     2060: 6.695
Calories per capita available - Available per Person per Day - -
     2014: 2,172
     2030: 2,393
     2060: 2,943
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2014: -0.193
     2030: -0.110
     2060: 0.146
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2014: -0.561
     2030: -0.356
     2060: 0.156

Economy Forecast for Papua New Guinea
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2005 Dollars - -
     2014: 19.05
     2030: 38.66
     2060: 162.3
Gross domestic product - Billion 2005 Dollars - -
     2014: 8.535
     2030: 19.90
     2060: 123.6
GDP per capita at PPP - Thousand 2005 Dollars - -
     2014: 2.548
     2030: 3.831
     2060: 11.68
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2014: 0.527
     2030: 0.530
     2060: 0.532
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2014: 39.39
     2030: 50.27
     2060: 45.19
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2014: 2.827
     2030: 9.971
     2060: 29.02

Energy Forecast for Papua New Guinea
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2014: 0.051
     2030: 0.045
     2060: 0.016

Environment Forecast for Papua New Guinea
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2014: 0.001
     2030: 0.003
     2060: 0.004

International Politics Forecast for Papua New Guinea
Power index (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2014: 0.037
     2030: 0.044
     2060: 0.065

Domestic Government Forecast for Papua New Guinea
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2014: 9.110
     2030: 9.885
     2060: 12.94
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2014: 14.03
     2030: 14.37
     2060: 15.74
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2014: 2.169
     2030: 2.463
     2060: 3.713
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2014: 1.865
     2030: 2.233
     2060: 2.900
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2014: 7.040
     2030: 7.377
     2060: 7.972