Country Profile - Papua New Guinea      IFs Version 7.08
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     Forecast Categories for Papua New Guinea
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Papua New Guinea -
Population - Million People - -
     2014: 7.482
     2030: 10.25
     2060: 14.30
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2014: 2.145
     2030: 1.704
     2060: 0.762
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2014: 29.06
     2030: 23.90
     2060: 14.41
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2014: 7.614
     2030: 6.855
     2060: 6.790
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2014: 44.51
     2030: 26.36
     2060: 2.874
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2014: 63.27
     2030: 67.71
     2060: 77.90
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2014: 61.13
     2030: 65.19
     2060: 74.26
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2014: 65.50
     2030: 70.34
     2060: 81.58
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2014: 3.815
     2030: 3.075
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2014: 0.783
     2030: 0.630
     2060: 0.206
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2014: 1.197
     2030: 1.429
     2060: 1.230
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2014: 2.808
     2030: 3.405
     2060: 3.005
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2014: 4.448
     2030: 6.400
     2060: 9.796
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2014: 0.227
     2030: 0.443
     2060: 1.500
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2014: 0.927
     2030: 1.278
     2060: 2.114
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2014: 0.455
     2030: 0.483
     2060: 0.529
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2014: 49.19
     2030: 49.96
     2060: 50.00

Health Forecast for Papua New Guinea -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2014: 3.098
     2030: 4.796
     2060: 10.12
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2014: 44.20
     2030: 42.44
     2060: 41.08
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2014: 17.37
     2030: 10.75
     2060: 2.683
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2014: 16.13
     2030: 4.050
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2014: 28.59
     2030: 21.18
     2060: 8.869

Education Forecast for Papua New Guinea -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2014: 68.05
     2030: 115.6
     2060: 106.1
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2014: 31.84
     2030: 69.38
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2014: 29.65
     2030: 64.40
     2060: 112.3
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2014: 6.173
     2030: 21.86
     2060: 97.39
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2014: 2.422
     2030: 13.12
     2060: 45.76
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2014: 4.066
     2030: 4.486
     2060: 8.196
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2014: 63.91
     2030: 82.12
     2060: 98.67

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Papua New Guinea
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2014: 2.102
     2030: 0.706
     2060: 0.011
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2014: 3.662
     2030: 1.808
     2060: 0.072
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2014: 0.606
     2030: 0.729
     2060: 0.927
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2014: 32.44
     2030: 18.69
     2060: 1.745
Calories per capita available - Available per Person per Day - -
     2014: 2,182
     2030: 2,434
     2060: 2,990
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2014: -0.200
     2030: -0.079
     2060: 0.281
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2014: -0.581
     2030: -0.299
     2060: 0.410

Economy Forecast for Papua New Guinea
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2014: 18.98
     2030: 51.82
     2060: 336.5
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2014: 15.02
     2030: 44.77
     2060: 325.5
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2014: 2.537
     2030: 5.056
     2060: 23.53
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2014: 0.514
     2030: 0.512
     2060: 0.486
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2014: 1,026,246,639,6
     2030: 1,001,028,517,8
     2060: 704,580,616,192
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2014: 2.496
     2030: 12.38
     2060: 41.20

Energy Forecast for Papua New Guinea
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2014: 0.051
     2030: 0.041
     2060: 0.016

Environment Forecast for Papua New Guinea
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2014: 0.002
     2030: 0.005
     2060: 0.007

International Politics Forecast for Papua New Guinea
Power index, Global Power Index (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2014: 0.035
     2030: 0.045
     2060: 0.077

Domestic Government Forecast for Papua New Guinea
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2014: 9.144
     2030: 10.23
     2060: 14.00
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2014: 14.03
     2030: 14.38
     2060: 16.23
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2014: 2.181
     2030: 2.623
     2060: 5.176
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2014: 1.889
     2030: 2.378
     2060: 3.440
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2014: 7.060
     2030: 7.501
     2060: 8.462