Country Profile - Papua New Guinea      IFs Version 7.24
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     Forecast Categories for Papua New Guinea
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Papua New Guinea -
Population - Million People - -
     2016: 7.769
     2030: 10.02
     2060: 13.65
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2016: 2.001
     2030: 1.585
     2060: 0.611
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2016: 27.43
     2030: 22.63
     2060: 14.10
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2016: 7.420
     2030: 6.775
     2060: 7.996
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2016: 43.14
     2030: 25.81
     2060: 7.896
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2016: 63.76
     2030: 68.26
     2060: 75.25
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2016: 61.54
     2030: 65.57
     2060: 71.68
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2016: 66.07
     2030: 71.04
     2060: 78.87
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2016: 3.604
     2030: 2.876
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2016: 0.496
     2030: 0.429
     2060: 0.159
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2016: 1.004
     2030: 1.099
     2060: 0.950
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2016: 2.850
     2030: 3.166
     2060: 2.880
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2016: 4.675
     2030: 6.399
     2060: 9.352
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2016: 0.243
     2030: 0.451
     2060: 1.419
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2016: 1.012
     2030: 1.355
     2060: 2.296
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2016: 0.459
     2030: 0.493
     2060: 0.529
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2016: 48.80
     2030: 49.91
     2060: 50.00

Health Forecast for Papua New Guinea -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2016: 2.797
     2030: 3.743
     2060: 6.158
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2016: 41.14
     2030: 39.80
     2060: 37.58
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2016: 27.16
     2030: 16.11
     2060: 3.389
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2016: 26.98
     2030: 20.58
     2060: 7.059
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2016: 11.69
     2030: 7.789
     2060: 3.381

Education Forecast for Papua New Guinea -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2016: 114.9
     2030: 112.2
     2060: 100.1
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2016: 29.06
     2030: 65.63
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 75.53
     2030: 85.84
     2060: 96.04
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 23.26
     2030: 35.21
     2060: 71.99
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 3.453
     2030: 14.14
     2060: 32.41
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2016: 4.486
     2030: 5.948
     2060: 8.685
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2016: 64.99
     2030: 81.66
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Papua New Guinea
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2016: 2.156
     2030: 1.572
     2060: 0.351
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2016: 3.644
     2030: 3.034
     2060: 0.982
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2016: 0.620
     2030: 0.716
     2060: 0.867
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2016: 34.47
     2030: 22.20
     2060: 2.679
Calories per capita available - Total - Available per Person per Day - -
     2016: 2,656
     2030: 2,825
     2060: 3,161
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2016: -0.156
     2030: -0.091
     2060: 0.104
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2016: -0.468
     2030: -0.315
     2060: 0.081

Economy Forecast for Papua New Guinea
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 22.87
     2030: 39.14
     2060: 132.4
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 17.94
     2030: 30.35
     2060: 116.3
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 2.944
     2030: 3.908
     2060: 9.702
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2016: 0.447
     2030: 0.464
     2060: 0.468
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2016: 30.52
     2030: 34.39
     2060: 37.62
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2016: 3.555
     2030: 5.991
     2060: 20.12

Energy Forecast for Papua New Guinea
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2016: 0.050
     2030: 0.050
     2060: 0.019

Environment Forecast for Papua New Guinea
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2016: 0.001
     2030: 0.003
     2060: 0.005

International Politics Forecast for Papua New Guinea
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2016: 0.037
     2030: 0.042
     2060: 0.061

Domestic Government Forecast for Papua New Guinea
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2016: 9.179
     2030: 10.40
     2060: 12.92
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2016: 14.97
     2030: 15.25
     2060: 16.54
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2016: 2.242
     2030: 2.495
     2060: 3.509
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2016: 1.927
     2030: 2.170
     2060: 2.825
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2016: 7.154
     2030: 7.350
     2060: 7.872