Country Profile - Papua New Guinea      IFs Version 6.69
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     Forecast Categories for Papua New Guinea
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Papua New Guinea -
Population - Million People - -
     2013: 7.325
     2030: 10.17
     2060: 14.26
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2013: 2.152
     2030: 1.652
     2060: 0.669
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2013: 29.23
     2030: 23.82
     2060: 14.48
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2013: 7.712
     2030: 7.292
     2060: 7.785
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2013: 45.87
     2030: 28.09
     2060: 6.285
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2013: 62.86
     2030: 66.64
     2060: 74.18
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2013: 60.69
     2030: 63.92
     2060: 70.24
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2013: 65.13
     2030: 69.44
     2060: 78.15
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2013: 3.839
     2030: 3.037
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2013: 0.787
     2030: 0.630
     2060: 0.206
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2013: 1.188
     2030: 1.398
     2060: 1.234
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2013: 2.780
     2030: 3.343
     2060: 3.208
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2013: 4.329
     2030: 6.395
     2060: 9.761
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2013: 0.216
     2030: 0.427
     2060: 1.292
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2013: 0.914
     2030: 1.296
     2060: 2.180
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2013: 0.423
     2030: 0.450
     2060: 0.490
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2013: 48.90
     2030: 48.90
     2060: 48.90

Health Forecast for Papua New Guinea -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2013: 2.932
     2030: 4.767
     2060: 8.945
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2013: 29.65
     2030: 30.46
     2060: 31.67
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2013: 17.39
     2030: 10.65
     2060: 4.586
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2013: 16.59
     2030: 5.757
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2013: 27.22
     2030: 17.84
     2060: 5.456

Education Forecast for Papua New Guinea -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2013: 61.75
     2030: 111.1
     2060: 119.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2013: 29.12
     2030: 61.41
     2060: 99.81
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2013: 22.11
     2030: 51.11
     2060: 109.1
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2013: 17.14
     2030: 26.96
     2060: 75.82
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2013: 3.257
     2030: 14.73
     2060: 29.31
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2013: 4.347
     2030: 4.836
     2060: 7.835
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2013: 61.34
     2030: 81.20
     2060: 98.24

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Papua New Guinea
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation - Million People - -
     2013: 2.426
     2030: 1.085
     2060: 0.058
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation - Million People - -
     2013: 3.987
     2030: 2.503
     2060: 0.291
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2013: 0.591
     2030: 0.713
     2060: 0.864
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2013: 33.62
     2030: 19.64
     2060: 7.034
Calories per capita available - Available per Person per Day - -
     2013: 2,211
     2030: 2,490
     2060: 2,949
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2013: 0.277
     2030: 0.385
     2060: 0.428
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2013: 0.307
     2030: 0.419
     2060: 0.569

Economy Forecast for Papua New Guinea
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2005 Dollars - -
     2013: 17.24
     2030: 44.84
     2060: 160.8
Gross domestic product - Billion 2005 Dollars - -
     2013: 7.989
     2030: 25.57
     2060: 122.7
GDP per capita at PPP - Thousand 2005 Dollars - -
     2013: 2.354
     2030: 4.411
     2060: 11.28
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2013: 0.523
     2030: 0.515
     2060: 0.484
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2013: 43.11
     2030: 51.19
     2060: 47.98
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2013: 3.251
     2030: 11.49
     2060: 29.45

Energy Forecast for Papua New Guinea
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2013: 0.046
     2030: 0.022
     2060: 0.008

Environment Forecast for Papua New Guinea
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2013: 0.001
     2030: 0.003
     2060: 0.003

International Politics Forecast for Papua New Guinea
Power index (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2013: 0.036
     2030: 0.047
     2060: 0.066

Domestic Government Forecast for Papua New Guinea
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2013: 9.192
     2030: 10.43
     2060: 12.54
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2013: 14.02
     2030: 14.36
     2060: 15.59
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2013: 2.155
     2030: 2.537
     2060: 3.674
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2013: 1.829
     2030: 2.315
     2060: 2.980
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2013: 6.781
     2030: 7.232
     2060: 7.869