Country Profile - Papua New Guinea      IFs Version 7.31
  Continue    Change Country    Display Options    Map Source    Help  


Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
www.ifs.du.edu


Sign up for our monthly newsletter.

     Forecast Categories for Papua New Guinea
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Papua New Guinea -
Population - Million People - -
     2017: 8.249
     2030: 10.50
     2060: 14.50
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2017: 2.033
     2030: 1.633
     2060: 0.623
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2017: 27.36
     2030: 22.75
     2060: 14.06
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2017: 7.027
     2030: 6.424
     2060: 7.831
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2017: 44.51
     2030: 27.35
     2060: 10.65
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2017: 66.26
     2030: 70.26
     2060: 75.99
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2017: 63.71
     2030: 67.26
     2060: 72.19
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2017: 68.89
     2030: 73.36
     2060: 79.80
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2017: 3.620
     2030: 2.941
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2017: 0.478
     2030: 0.543
     2060: 0.633
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2017: 1.050
     2030: 1.157
     2060: 1.001
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2017: 2.960
     2030: 3.323
     2060: 3.071
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2017: 4.974
     2030: 6.624
     2060: 9.828
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2017: 0.316
     2030: 0.555
     2060: 1.604
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2017: 1.034
     2030: 1.357
     2060: 2.309
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2017: 0.429
     2030: 0.449
     2060: 0.482
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2017: 48.97
     2030: 48.97
     2060: 48.97

Health Forecast for Papua New Guinea -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2017: 3.979
     2030: 5.045
     2060: 8.247
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2017: 41.10
     2030: 39.84
     2060: 37.51
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2017: 27.25
     2030: 17.14
     2060: 3.434
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2017: 26.92
     2030: 19.56
     2060: 5.892
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2017: 13.44
     2030: 8.982
     2060: 3.406

Education Forecast for Papua New Guinea -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2017: 115.0
     2030: 105.2
     2060: 102.6
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2017: 29.16
     2030: 58.66
     2060: 95.07
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2017: 75.17
     2030: 81.74
     2060: 92.22
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2017: 23.56
     2030: 43.78
     2060: 73.69
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2017: 2.683
     2030: 9.311
     2060: 32.48
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2017: 4.609
     2030: 6.212
     2060: 8.974
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2017: 65.03
     2030: 79.93
     2060: 99.77

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Papua New Guinea
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2017: 1.983
     2030: 1.380
     2060: 0.236
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2017: 3.326
     2030: 2.609
     2060: 0.651
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2017: 0.638
     2030: 0.723
     2060: 0.865
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2017: 34.47
     2030: 23.65
     2060: 2.698
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2017: 2,670
     2030: 2,833
     2060: 3,219
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2017: -0.131
     2030: -0.075
     2060: 0.095
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2017: -0.401
     2030: -0.278
     2060: 0.066

Economy Forecast for Papua New Guinea
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2017: 26.22
     2030: 41.96
     2060: 128.9
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2017: 16.78
     2030: 27.31
     2060: 99.32
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2017: 3.178
     2030: 3.995
     2060: 8.886
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2017: 0.440
     2030: 0.457
     2060: 0.456
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2017: 30.35
     2030: 34.21
     2060: 37.49
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2017: 3.846
     2030: 5.782
     2060: 16.96

Energy Forecast for Papua New Guinea
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2017: 0.050
     2030: 0.050
     2060: 0.021

Environment Forecast for Papua New Guinea
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2017: 0.002
     2030: 0.003
     2060: 0.005

International Politics Forecast for Papua New Guinea
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2017: 0.038
     2030: 0.044
     2060: 0.063

Domestic Government Forecast for Papua New Guinea
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2017: 9.134
     2030: 10.35
     2060: 12.80
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2017: 14.98
     2030: 15.24
     2060: 16.32
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2017: 2.228
     2030: 2.462
     2060: 3.344
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2017: 1.896
     2030: 2.113
     2060: 2.606
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2017: 7.123
     2030: 7.283
     2060: 7.610