Country Profile - Panama      IFs Version 7.30
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     Forecast Categories for Panama
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Panama -
Population - Million People - -
     2017: 4.050
     2030: 4.746
     2060: 5.737
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2017: 1.506
     2030: 0.950
     2060: 0.267
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2017: 18.45
     2030: 14.08
     2060: 11.13
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2017: 5.033
     2030: 5.749
     2060: 8.908
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2017: 13.79
     2030: 8.632
     2060: 3.714
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2017: 78.30
     2030: 80.67
     2060: 84.44
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2017: 75.27
     2030: 77.40
     2060: 81.03
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2017: 81.34
     2030: 83.92
     2060: 87.78
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2017: 2.348
     2030: 1.900
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2017: 0.453
     2030: 0.574
     2060: 0.739
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2017: 0.373
     2030: 0.339
     2060: 0.321
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2017: 1.089
     2030: 1.063
     2060: 0.993
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2017: 2.644
     2030: 3.132
     2060: 3.481
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2017: 0.318
     2030: 0.552
     2060: 1.263
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2017: 2.730
     2030: 3.492
     2060: 4.777
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2017: 0.471
     2030: 0.489
     2060: 0.465
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2017: 38.20
     2030: 41.42
     2060: 45.89

Health Forecast for Panama -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2017: 23.78
     2030: 27.07
     2060: 33.80
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2017: 7.475
     2030: 9.457
     2060: 10.05
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2017: 3.823
     2030: 3.318
     2060: 2.500
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2017: 3.165
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2017: 8.462
     2030: 4.977
     2060: 2.016

Education Forecast for Panama -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2017: 104.8
     2030: 100.7
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2017: 98.62
     2030: 99.99
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2017: 95.68
     2030: 98.25
     2060: 98.61
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2017: 58.46
     2030: 77.10
     2060: 92.84
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2017: 38.71
     2030: 42.49
     2060: 60.54
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2017: 9.985
     2030: 10.45
     2060: 12.21
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2017: 94.52
     2030: 96.50
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Panama
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2017: 0.078
     2030: 0.090
     2060: 0.085
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2017: 0.248
     2030: 0.265
     2060: 0.241
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2017: 0.911
     2030: 0.949
     2060: 1.000
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2017: 4.704
     2030: 3.375
     2060: 1.723
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2017: 2,879
     2030: 3,079
     2060: 3,441
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2017: 0.299
     2030: 0.371
     2060: 0.358
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2017: 0.722
     2030: 0.801
     2060: 0.858

Economy Forecast for Panama
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2017: 88.19
     2030: 144.8
     2060: 277.5
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2017: 48.75
     2030: 98.72
     2060: 233.4
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2017: 21.77
     2030: 30.51
     2060: 48.38
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2017: 0.528
     2030: 0.562
     2060: 0.603
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2017: 31.06
     2030: 33.74
     2060: 37.74
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2017: 23.03
     2030: 31.69
     2060: 60.22

Energy Forecast for Panama
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2017: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Panama
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2017: 0.003
     2030: 0.005
     2060: 0.009

International Politics Forecast for Panama
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2017: 0.048
     2030: 0.060
     2060: 0.076

Domestic Government Forecast for Panama
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2017: 12.06
     2030: 12.57
     2060: 13.93
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2017: 19.07
     2030: 19.78
     2060: 19.98
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2017: 3.486
     2030: 4.937
     2060: 7.961
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2017: 2.827
     2030: 3.161
     2060: 3.699
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2017: 7.292
     2030: 7.470
     2060: 7.703