Country Profile - Panama      IFs Version 7.15
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Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
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     Forecast Categories for Panama
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Panama -
Population - Million People - -
     2016: 4.037
     2030: 4.773
     2060: 5.723
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2016: 1.472
     2030: 0.944
     2060: 0.244
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2016: 18.46
     2030: 14.25
     2060: 11.26
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2016: 5.363
     2030: 5.970
     2060: 9.311
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2016: 12.85
     2030: 7.261
     2060: 3.271
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2016: 77.06
     2030: 79.77
     2060: 82.90
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2016: 74.16
     2030: 76.37
     2060: 79.00
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2016: 80.02
     2030: 83.19
     2060: 86.74
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2016: 2.368
     2030: 1.900
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2016: 0.534
     2030: 0.435
     2060: 0.142
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2016: 0.442
     2030: 0.410
     2060: 0.389
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2016: 1.103
     2030: 1.063
     2060: 0.996
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2016: 2.624
     2030: 3.153
     2060: 3.499
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2016: 0.310
     2030: 0.557
     2060: 1.228
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2016: 3.215
     2030: 4.344
     2060: 5.265
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2016: 0.477
     2030: 0.497
     2060: 0.475
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2016: 38.71
     2030: 41.86
     2060: 45.96

Health Forecast for Panama -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2016: 22.91
     2030: 26.61
     2060: 31.87
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2016: 11.04
     2030: 13.77
     2060: 13.22
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2016: 3.560
     2030: 3.177
     2060: 2.682
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2016: 1.885
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2016: 8.833
     2030: 6.514
     2060: 3.692

Education Forecast for Panama -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2016: 106.9
     2030: 99.74
     2060: 100.1
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2016: 99.83
     2030: 98.60
     2060: 99.86
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 98.37
     2030: 102.1
     2060: 106.5
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 47.37
     2030: 57.13
     2060: 77.97
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 44.28
     2030: 47.19
     2060: 51.48
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2016: 9.634
     2030: 9.712
     2060: 10.14
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2016: 95.21
     2030: 97.24
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Panama
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2016: 0.070
     2030: 0.024
     2060: 0.011
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2016: 0.192
     2030: 0.076
     2060: 0.040
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2016: 0.900
     2030: 0.952
     2060: 1.000
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2016: 4.347
     2030: 3.049
     2060: 1.708
Calories per capita available - Available per Person per Day - -
     2016: 2,733
     2030: 2,953
     2060: 3,230
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2016: 0.262
     2030: 0.341
     2060: 0.359
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2016: 0.578
     2030: 0.719
     2060: 0.888

Economy Forecast for Panama
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 78.37
     2030: 159.3
     2060: 323.0
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 48.64
     2030: 122.7
     2060: 295.3
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 19.41
     2030: 33.38
     2060: 56.44
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2016: 0.529
     2030: 0.538
     2060: 0.532
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2016: 32.44
     2030: 26.37
     2060: 20.97
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2016: 21.52
     2030: 32.51
     2060: 45.17

Energy Forecast for Panama
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2016: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Panama
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2016: 0.004
     2030: 0.008
     2060: 0.013

International Politics Forecast for Panama
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2016: 0.046
     2030: 0.059
     2060: 0.055

Domestic Government Forecast for Panama
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2016: 13.13
     2030: 13.56
     2060: 14.00
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2016: 19.39
     2030: 19.77
     2060: 20.00
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2016: 4.280
     2030: 6.248
     2060: 9.630
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2016: 2.858
     2030: 3.308
     2060: 3.867
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2016: 7.604
     2030: 7.893
     2060: 8.172