Country Profile - Panama      IFs Version 7.24
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Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
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     Forecast Categories for Panama
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Panama -
Population - Million People - -
     2016: 3.988
     2030: 4.729
     2060: 5.686
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2016: 1.518
     2030: 0.941
     2060: 0.250
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2016: 18.55
     2030: 14.00
     2060: 11.08
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2016: 5.003
     2030: 5.764
     2060: 9.031
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2016: 13.76
     2030: 8.295
     2060: 3.695
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2016: 78.38
     2030: 80.97
     2060: 84.28
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2016: 75.36
     2030: 77.66
     2060: 80.41
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2016: 81.42
     2030: 84.26
     2060: 88.07
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2016: 2.361
     2030: 1.900
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2016: 0.433
     2030: 0.344
     2060: 0.128
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2016: 0.368
     2030: 0.334
     2060: 0.317
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2016: 1.073
     2030: 1.046
     2060: 0.978
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2016: 2.603
     2030: 3.116
     2060: 3.432
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2016: 0.313
     2030: 0.567
     2060: 1.276
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2016: 2.675
     2030: 3.482
     2060: 4.718
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2016: 0.479
     2030: 0.496
     2060: 0.470
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2016: 38.20
     2030: 41.63
     2060: 45.99

Health Forecast for Panama -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2016: 21.48
     2030: 24.71
     2060: 30.04
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2016: 7.476
     2030: 9.729
     2060: 10.22
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2016: 3.825
     2030: 3.343
     2060: 2.648
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2016: 3.152
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2016: 8.919
     2030: 5.118
     2060: 2.326

Education Forecast for Panama -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2016: 105.1
     2030: 100.2
     2060: 99.67
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2016: 93.80
     2030: 96.86
     2060: 99.58
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 96.64
     2030: 101.3
     2060: 118.2
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 58.02
     2030: 67.06
     2060: 90.06
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 38.59
     2030: 40.17
     2060: 51.92
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2016: 9.916
     2030: 10.33
     2060: 11.56
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2016: 94.52
     2030: 96.55
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Panama
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2016: 0.103
     2030: 0.079
     2060: 0.065
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2016: 0.276
     2030: 0.217
     2060: 0.177
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2016: 0.909
     2030: 0.951
     2060: 1.000
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2016: 4.727
     2030: 3.437
     2060: 1.873
Calories per capita available - Total - Available per Person per Day - -
     2016: 2,826
     2030: 3,034
     2060: 3,336
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2016: 0.290
     2030: 0.365
     2060: 0.343
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2016: 0.699
     2030: 0.785
     2060: 0.837

Economy Forecast for Panama
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 83.96
     2030: 143.6
     2060: 266.6
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 46.49
     2030: 99.74
     2060: 226.6
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 21.05
     2030: 30.37
     2060: 46.88
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2016: 0.525
     2030: 0.553
     2060: 0.580
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2016: 26.84
     2030: 32.40
     2060: 36.33
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2016: 22.84
     2030: 29.58
     2060: 52.16

Energy Forecast for Panama
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2016: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Panama
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2016: 0.003
     2030: 0.006
     2060: 0.010

International Politics Forecast for Panama
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2016: 0.047
     2030: 0.057
     2060: 0.065

Domestic Government Forecast for Panama
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2016: 12.07
     2030: 12.53
     2060: 13.60
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2016: 19.08
     2030: 19.78
     2060: 19.98
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2016: 3.496
     2030: 5.034
     2060: 7.866
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2016: 2.830
     2030: 3.187
     2060: 3.702
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2016: 7.296
     2030: 7.488
     2060: 7.708