Country Profile - Oman      IFs Version 7.26
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Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
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     Forecast Categories for Oman
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Oman -
Population - Million People - -
     2016: 4.619
     2030: 5.352
     2060: 5.210
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2016: 2.219
     2030: 0.355
     2060: -0.546
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2016: 19.09
     2030: 11.80
     2060: 9.663
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2016: 2.731
     2030: 4.152
     2060: 13.26
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2016: 6.958
     2030: 5.898
     2060: 4.613
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2016: 76.88
     2030: 78.76
     2060: 82.25
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2016: 75.42
     2030: 77.03
     2060: 80.07
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2016: 79.51
     2030: 81.57
     2060: 85.17
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2016: 2.583
     2030: 2.255
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2016: 0.057
     2030: 0.049
     2060: 0.018
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2016: 0.400
     2030: 0.342
     2060: 0.264
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2016: 1.011
     2030: 1.160
     2060: 0.829
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2016: 3.477
     2030: 3.872
     2060: 2.644
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2016: 0.131
     2030: 0.321
     2060: 1.738
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2016: 3.571
     2030: 4.924
     2060: 4.793
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2016: 0.516
     2030: 0.501
     2060: 0.357
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2016: 14.01
     2030: 17.71
     2060: 23.43

Health Forecast for Oman -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2016: 14.68
     2030: 16.41
     2060: 18.41
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2016: 13.02
     2030: 12.42
     2060: 10.81
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2016: 8.399
     2030: 6.862
     2060: 4.679
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2016: 8.108
     2030: 8.671
     2060: 6.726
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2016: 4.611
     2030: 3.356
     2060: 2.031

Education Forecast for Oman -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2016: 108.7
     2030: 99.64
     2060: 99.32
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2016: 91.84
     2030: 99.24
     2060: 99.16
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 110.0
     2030: 99.64
     2060: 97.86
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 103.6
     2030: 96.78
     2060: 96.18
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 28.68
     2030: 34.19
     2060: 47.94
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2016: 10.54
     2030: 11.08
     2060: 12.19
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2016: 92.37
     2030: 94.43
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Oman
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2016: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2016: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2016: 0.923
     2030: 0.946
     2060: 0.990
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2016: 7.122
     2030: 5.485
     2060: 2.432
Calories per capita available - Total - Available per Person per Day - -
     2016: 3,190
     2030: 3,310
     2060: 3,424
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2016: 0.424
     2030: 0.465
     2060: 0.440
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2016: 1.048
     2030: 1.061
     2060: 0.948

Economy Forecast for Oman
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 163.8
     2030: 211.1
     2060: 229.8
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 86.32
     2030: 126.1
     2060: 171.0
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 35.46
     2030: 39.44
     2060: 44.10
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2016: 0.450
     2030: 0.472
     2060: 0.493
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2016: 31.69
     2030: 33.31
     2060: 34.60
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2016: 50.34
     2030: 56.19
     2060: 69.65

Energy Forecast for Oman
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2016: 0.344
     2030: 0.219
     2060: 0.064

Environment Forecast for Oman
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2016: 0.016
     2030: 0.018
     2060: 0.010

International Politics Forecast for Oman
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2016: 0.278
     2030: 0.273
     2060: 0.141

Domestic Government Forecast for Oman
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2016: 5.006
     2030: 5.129
     2060: 5.437
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2016: 2.351
     2030: 4.116
     2060: 7.383
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2016: 4.733
     2030: 5.690
     2060: 6.978
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2016: 2.780
     2030: 2.952
     2060: 3.313
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2016: 7.190
     2030: 7.265
     2060: 7.429