Country Profile - Oman      IFs Version 6.69
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Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
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     Forecast Categories for Oman
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Oman -
Population - Million People - -
     2013: 2.899
     2030: 3.523
     2060: 3.940
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2013: 1.390
     2030: 0.878
     2060: -0.141
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2013: 16.77
     2030: 13.38
     2060: 10.96
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2013: 3.473
     2030: 4.860
     2060: 12.63
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2013: 8.470
     2030: 6.404
     2060: 4.135
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2013: 73.52
     2030: 75.97
     2060: 79.68
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2013: 71.63
     2030: 73.89
     2060: 77.42
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2013: 76.17
     2030: 78.66
     2060: 82.12
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2013: 2.083
     2030: 1.900
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2013: 0.010
     2030: 0.008
     2060: 0.003
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2013: 0.313
     2030: 0.279
     2060: 0.259
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2013: 0.759
     2030: 0.715
     2060: 0.660
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2013: 2.061
     2030: 2.605
     2060: 2.368
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2013: 0.079
     2030: 0.202
     2060: 0.912
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2013: 2.161
     2030: 3.155
     2060: 3.625
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2013: 0.384
     2030: 0.408
     2060: 0.340
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2013: 19.19
     2030: 23.52
     2060: 28.91

Health Forecast for Oman -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2013: 15.90
     2030: 18.13
     2060: 22.23
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2013: 15.06
     2030: 16.90
     2060: 16.63
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2013: 8.010
     2030: 5.842
     2060: 4.104
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2013: 7.732
     2030: 0.174
     2060: 1.597
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2013: 6.124
     2030: 2.566
     2060: 0.000

Education Forecast for Oman -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2013: 93.26
     2030: 105.5
     2060: 100.2
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2013: 77.56
     2030: 99.98
     2060: 99.93
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2013: 91.31
     2030: 113.2
     2060: 99.72
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2013: 88.82
     2030: 110.0
     2060: 99.09
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2013: 15.91
     2030: 29.25
     2060: 49.49
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2013: 9.383
     2030: 9.792
     2060: 11.62
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2013: 87.39
     2030: 94.37
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Oman
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation - Million People - -
     2013: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation - Million People - -
     2013: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2013: 0.869
     2030: 0.921
     2060: 0.981
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2013: 9.552
     2030: 4.126
     2060: 1.544
Calories per capita available - Available per Person per Day - -
     2013: 2,898
     2030: 3,056
     2060: 3,315
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2013: -0.469
     2030: -0.365
     2060: -0.062
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2013: -1.281
     2030: -0.988
     2060: -0.301

Economy Forecast for Oman
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2005 Dollars - -
     2013: 73.63
     2030: 117.2
     2060: 190.5
Gross domestic product - Billion 2005 Dollars - -
     2013: 47.66
     2030: 92.47
     2060: 168.6
GDP per capita at PPP - Thousand 2005 Dollars - -
     2013: 25.40
     2030: 33.27
     2060: 48.34
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2013: 0.423
     2030: 0.435
     2060: 0.425
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2013: 40.07
     2030: 51.07
     2060: 49.28
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2013: 32.67
     2030: 51.40
     2060: 79.66

Energy Forecast for Oman
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2013: 0.265
     2030: 0.241
     2060: 0.068

Environment Forecast for Oman
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2013: 0.011
     2030: 0.014
     2060: 0.003

International Politics Forecast for Oman
Power index (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2013: 0.138
     2030: 0.164
     2060: 0.124

Domestic Government Forecast for Oman
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2013: 5.045
     2030: 5.256
     2060: 5.581
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2013: 2.474
     2030: 4.589
     2060: 8.131
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2013: 5.560
     2030: 6.751
     2060: 8.724
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2013: 3.129
     2030: 3.419
     2060: 3.752
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2013: 7.408
     2030: 7.688
     2060: 8.037