Country Profile - New Zealand      IFs Version 7.00
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Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
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     Forecast Categories for New Zealand
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for New Zealand -
Population - Million People - -
     2014: 4.517
     2030: 4.933
     2060: 5.229
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2014: 0.759
     2030: 0.409
     2060: 0.061
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2014: 13.71
     2030: 11.72
     2060: 10.62
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2014: 7.314
     2030: 8.752
     2060: 11.03
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2014: 4.480
     2030: 2.889
     2060: 1.386
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2014: 80.98
     2030: 82.90
     2060: 85.88
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2014: 78.90
     2030: 80.66
     2060: 83.28
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2014: 82.99
     2030: 85.09
     2060: 88.44
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2014: 2.065
     2030: 1.900
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2014: 0.032
     2030: 0.026
     2060: 0.008
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2014: 0.384
     2030: 0.347
     2060: 0.334
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2014: 0.913
     2030: 0.877
     2060: 0.848
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2014: 2.953
     2030: 3.037
     2060: 3.050
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2014: 0.650
     2030: 1.019
     2060: 1.331
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2014: 3.939
     2030: 4.538
     2060: 4.810
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2014: 0.534
     2030: 0.510
     2060: 0.485
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2014: 47.79
     2030: 49.53
     2060: 49.97

Health Forecast for New Zealand -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2014: 43.23
     2030: 45.71
     2060: 51.09
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2014: 24.48
     2030: 23.68
     2060: 22.49
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2014: 4.749
     2030: 4.068
     2060: 3.068
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2014: 5.273
     2030: 6.981
     2060: 5.421
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2014: 4.710
     2030: 3.315
     2060: 0.971

Education Forecast for New Zealand -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2014: 101.9
     2030: 100.1
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2014: 99.78
     2030: 100.00
     2060: 100.00
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2014: 104.2
     2030: 99.85
     2060: 99.57
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2014: 130.2
     2030: 109.2
     2060: 104.4
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2014: 80.22
     2030: 81.99
     2060: 82.02
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2014: 12.78
     2030: 13.74
     2060: 15.10
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2014: 100.0
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for New Zealand
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation - Million People - -
     2014: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation - Million People - -
     2014: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2014: 0.954
     2030: 0.980
     2060: 1.000
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2014: 1.851
     2030: 1.550
     2060: 1.166
Calories per capita available - Available per Person per Day - -
     2014: 3,193
     2030: 3,299
     2060: 3,515
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2014: 1.214
     2030: 1.026
     2060: 0.485
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2014: 1.800
     2030: 1.900
     2060: 2.075

Economy Forecast for New Zealand
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2005 Dollars - -
     2014: 118.5
     2030: 170.2
     2060: 318.4
Gross domestic product - Billion 2005 Dollars - -
     2014: 129.7
     2030: 186.6
     2060: 336.7
GDP per capita at PPP - Thousand 2005 Dollars - -
     2014: 26.23
     2030: 34.50
     2060: 60.90
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2014: 0.366
     2030: 0.364
     2060: 0.376
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2014: 55.43
     2030: 53.69
     2060: 56.54
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2014: 57.92
     2030: 70.43
     2060: 82.54

Energy Forecast for New Zealand
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2014: 0.018
     2030: 0.024
     2060: 0.012

Environment Forecast for New Zealand
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2014: 0.007
     2030: 0.005
     2060: 0.002

International Politics Forecast for New Zealand
Power index (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2014: 0.118
     2030: 0.108
     2060: 0.095

Domestic Government Forecast for New Zealand
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2014: 14.00
     2030: 14.00
     2060: 14.00
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2014: 20.00
     2030: 20.00
     2060: 20.00
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2014: 9.324
     2030: 9.987
     2060: 10.00
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2014: 4.306
     2030: 4.374
     2060: 4.526
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2014: 8.425
     2030: 8.573
     2060: 8.873