Country Profile - New Zealand      IFs Version 7.07
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Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
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     Forecast Categories for New Zealand
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for New Zealand -
Population - Million People - -
     2014: 4.548
     2030: 5.139
     2060: 5.818
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2014: 0.976
     2030: 0.644
     2060: 0.239
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2014: 13.61
     2030: 11.99
     2060: 10.89
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2014: 7.264
     2030: 8.461
     2060: 10.33
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2014: 4.432
     2030: 2.798
     2060: 1.267
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2014: 81.00
     2030: 82.99
     2060: 86.09
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2014: 78.92
     2030: 80.77
     2060: 83.52
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2014: 83.01
     2030: 85.14
     2060: 88.60
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2014: 2.028
     2030: 1.900
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2014: 0.032
     2030: 0.026
     2060: 0.008
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2014: 0.380
     2030: 0.368
     2060: 0.379
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2014: 0.914
     2030: 0.924
     2060: 0.959
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2014: 2.982
     2030: 3.184
     2060: 3.431
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2014: 0.652
     2030: 1.031
     2060: 1.428
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2014: 3.944
     2030: 4.627
     2060: 5.353
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2014: 0.535
     2030: 0.514
     2060: 0.491
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2014: 47.79
     2030: 49.53
     2060: 49.97

Health Forecast for New Zealand -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2014: 43.46
     2030: 44.69
     2060: 46.47
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2014: 24.57
     2030: 23.40
     2060: 23.07
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2014: 4.739
     2030: 4.303
     2060: 3.519
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2014: 4.756
     2030: 5.861
     2060: 6.684
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2014: 4.581
     2030: 3.872
     2060: 2.884

Education Forecast for New Zealand -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2014: 102.0
     2030: 100.4
     2060: 100.1
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2014: 99.78
     2030: 99.98
     2060: 99.98
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2014: 104.3
     2030: 100.8
     2060: 100.2
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2014: 134.4
     2030: 120.8
     2060: 107.0
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2014: 77.18
     2030: 84.38
     2060: 83.34
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2014: 12.70
     2030: 13.35
     2060: 14.85
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2014: 100.0
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for New Zealand
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation - Million People - -
     2014: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation - Million People - -
     2014: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2014: 0.968
     2030: 0.996
     2060: 1.000
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2014: 1.909
     2030: 1.741
     2060: 1.299
Calories per capita available - Available per Person per Day - -
     2014: 3,203
     2030: 3,256
     2060: 3,331
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2014: 1.207
     2030: 0.974
     2060: 0.287
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2014: 1.808
     2030: 1.942
     2060: 2.156

Economy Forecast for New Zealand
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2014: 152.5
     2030: 234.6
     2060: 489.7
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2014: 177.5
     2030: 265.7
     2060: 528.1
GDP per capita at PPP - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2014: 33.54
     2030: 45.65
     2060: 84.18
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2014: 0.364
     2030: 0.355
     2060: 0.356
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2014: 775,414,611,968
     2030: 778,613,882,880
     2060: 836,284,383,232
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2014: 53.11
     2030: 73.01
     2060: 77.90

Energy Forecast for New Zealand
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2014: 0.018
     2030: 0.024
     2060: 0.012

Environment Forecast for New Zealand
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2014: 0.008
     2030: 0.005
     2060: 0.002

International Politics Forecast for New Zealand
Power index, Global Power Index (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2014: 0.119
     2030: 0.109
     2060: 0.093

Domestic Government Forecast for New Zealand
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2014: 14.00
     2030: 14.00
     2060: 14.00
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2014: 20.00
     2030: 20.00
     2060: 20.00
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2014: 9.491
     2030: 10.00
     2060: 10.00
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2014: 4.329
     2030: 4.439
     2060: 4.665
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2014: 8.439
     2030: 8.603
     2060: 8.929