Key Development Forecasts for New Zealand

Population Forecast for New Zealand -

Population - Million People -

     2013: 4.489
     2030: 4.965
     2060: 5.316
Population growth rate - Annual Percent -

     2013: 0.847
     2030: 0.423
     2060: 0.102
Crude birthrate - per Thousand -

     2013: 14.33
     2030: 11.71
     2060: 10.64
Crude death rate - per Thousand -

     2013: 7.183
     2030: 8.717
     2060: 10.83
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants -

     2013: 4.580
     2030: 2.981
     2060: 1.393
Life expectancy - Total - Years -

     2013: 80.89
     2030: 82.87
     2060: 85.97
Life expectancy - Male - Years -

     2013: 78.84
     2030: 80.63
     2060: 83.34
Life expectancy - Female - Years -

     2013: 82.88
     2030: 85.05
     2060: 88.56
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman -

     2013: 2.149
     2030: 1.900
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent -

     2013: 0.032
     2030: 0.026
     2060: 0.008
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People -

     2013: 0.389
     2030: 0.349
     2060: 0.340
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People -

     2013: 0.914
     2030: 0.892
     2060: 0.868
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People -

     2013: 2.947
     2030: 3.054
     2060: 3.111
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People -

     2013: 0.629
     2030: 1.019
     2060: 1.338
Population in urban areas - Million People -

     2013: 3.935
     2030: 4.568
     2060: 4.891
Labor participation rate - Ratio -

     2013: 0.526
     2030: 0.503
     2060: 0.481
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force -

     2013: 47.03
     2030: 49.27
     2060: 49.94

Health Forecast for New Zealand -

Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older -

     2013: 43.23
     2030: 45.16
     2060: 50.47
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults -

     2013: 24.60
     2030: 25.00
     2060: 22.61
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children -

     2013: 4.354
     2030: 3.781
     2060: 2.949
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population -

     2013: 4.776
     2030: 6.830
     2060: 5.192
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population -

     2013: 2.938
     2030: 1.687
     2060: 0.000

Education Forecast for New Zealand -

Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate -

     2013: 101.3
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled -

     2013: 99.84
     2030: 100.00
     2060: 100.00
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent -

     2013: 104.2
     2030: 99.41
     2060: 99.22
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent -

     2013: 131.0
     2030: 108.7
     2060: 103.9
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent -

     2013: 77.76
     2030: 76.97
     2060: 79.08
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed -

     2013: 12.70
     2030: 13.64
     2060: 14.99
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older -

     2013: 100.0
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for New Zealand

Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation - Million People -

     2013: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation - Million People -

     2013: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index -

     2013: 0.951
     2030: 0.975
     2060: 1.000
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index -

     2013: 1.756
     2030: 1.478
     2060: 1.126
Calories per capita available - Available per Person per Day -

     2013: 3,193
     2030: 3,276
     2060: 3,491
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index -

     2013: -0.631
     2030: -0.669
     2060: -0.663
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index -

     2013: -1.660
     2030: -1.365
     2060: -0.499

Economy Forecast for New Zealand

Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2005 Dollars -

     2013: 112.5
     2030: 155.9
     2060: 297.5
Gross domestic product - Billion 2005 Dollars -

     2013: 125.4
     2030: 174.9
     2060: 319.0
GDP per capita at PPP - Thousand 2005 Dollars -

     2013: 25.06
     2030: 31.40
     2060: 55.97
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index -

     2013: 0.366
     2030: 0.379
     2060: 0.398
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index -

     2013: 48.51
     2030: 47.12
     2060: 51.97
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index -

     2013: 55.32
     2030: 67.59
     2060: 92.46

Energy Forecast for New Zealand

Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent -

     2013: 0.012
     2030: 0.003
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for New Zealand

Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons -

     2013: 0.009
     2030: 0.011
     2060: 0.012

International Politics Forecast for New Zealand

Power index (percent of global total) - Index -

     2013: 0.118
     2030: 0.106
     2060: 0.097

Domestic Government Forecast for New Zealand

Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index -

     2013: 14.00
     2030: 14.00
     2060: 14.00
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index -

     2013: 20.00
     2030: 20.00
     2060: 20.00
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index -

     2013: 9.307
     2030: 9.696
     2060: 10.00
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index -

     2013: 4.363
     2030: 4.385
     2060: 4.498
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index -

     2013: 8.321
     2030: 8.452
     2060: 8.760