Country Profile - New Zealand      IFs Version 7.15
  Continue    Change Country    Display Options    Map Source    Help  


Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
www.ifs.du.edu


Sign up for our monthly newsletter.

     Forecast Categories for New Zealand
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for New Zealand -
Population - Million People - -
     2015: 4.591
     2030: 5.139
     2060: 5.815
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2015: 0.927
     2030: 0.644
     2060: 0.241
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2015: 13.29
     2030: 11.99
     2060: 10.90
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2015: 7.340
     2030: 8.458
     2060: 10.36
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2015: 4.296
     2030: 2.770
     2060: 1.296
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2015: 81.13
     2030: 83.00
     2060: 86.01
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2015: 79.04
     2030: 80.78
     2060: 83.44
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2015: 83.14
     2030: 85.16
     2060: 88.53
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2015: 1.983
     2030: 1.900
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2015: 0.032
     2030: 0.026
     2060: 0.008
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2015: 0.377
     2030: 0.368
     2060: 0.379
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2015: 0.920
     2030: 0.924
     2060: 0.959
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2015: 2.998
     2030: 3.184
     2060: 3.431
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2015: 0.673
     2030: 1.031
     2060: 1.425
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2015: 3.988
     2030: 4.627
     2060: 5.349
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2015: 0.534
     2030: 0.514
     2060: 0.491
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2015: 47.99
     2030: 49.53
     2060: 49.97

Health Forecast for New Zealand -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2015: 43.68
     2030: 45.17
     2060: 47.45
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2015: 24.44
     2030: 23.35
     2060: 23.07
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2015: 4.699
     2030: 4.282
     2060: 3.479
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2015: 4.647
     2030: 6.025
     2060: 6.705
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2015: 4.454
     2030: 3.607
     2060: 2.382

Education Forecast for New Zealand -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2015: 101.9
     2030: 100.5
     2060: 100.2
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2015: 99.89
     2030: 99.88
     2060: 99.75
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2015: 104.7
     2030: 99.59
     2060: 99.22
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2015: 134.3
     2030: 119.2
     2060: 104.5
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2015: 77.96
     2030: 83.73
     2060: 81.39
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2015: 12.73
     2030: 13.34
     2060: 14.76
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2015: 100.0
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for New Zealand
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2015: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2015: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2015: 0.970
     2030: 0.997
     2060: 1.000
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2015: 1.909
     2030: 1.808
     2060: 1.411
Calories per capita available - Available per Person per Day - -
     2015: 3,212
     2030: 3,276
     2060: 3,371
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2015: 1.196
     2030: 0.975
     2060: 0.286
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2015: 1.813
     2030: 1.944
     2060: 2.154

Economy Forecast for New Zealand
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2015: 157.4
     2030: 238.4
     2060: 472.1
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2015: 182.8
     2030: 270.0
     2060: 509.0
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2015: 34.28
     2030: 46.38
     2060: 81.19
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2015: 0.366
     2030: 0.370
     2060: 0.386
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2015: 25.01
     2030: 24.24
     2060: 26.13
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2015: 54.85
     2030: 71.42
     2060: 76.84

Energy Forecast for New Zealand
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2015: 0.017
     2030: 0.024
     2060: 0.012

Environment Forecast for New Zealand
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2015: 0.007
     2030: 0.005
     2060: 0.002

International Politics Forecast for New Zealand
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2015: 0.119
     2030: 0.110
     2060: 0.094

Domestic Government Forecast for New Zealand
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2015: 14.00
     2030: 14.00
     2060: 14.00
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2015: 20.00
     2030: 20.00
     2060: 20.00
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2015: 9.567
     2030: 10.00
     2060: 10.00
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2015: 4.338
     2030: 4.449
     2060: 4.646
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2015: 8.451
     2030: 8.613
     2060: 8.912