Country Profile - Nepal      IFs Version 6.69
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     Forecast Categories for Nepal
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Nepal -
Population - Million People - -
     2013: 31.42
     2030: 40.00
     2060: 48.11
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2013: 1.587
     2030: 1.082
     2060: 0.188
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2013: 22.68
     2030: 17.77
     2060: 12.34
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2013: 5.935
     2030: 6.189
     2060: 9.688
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2013: 32.11
     2030: 19.10
     2060: 7.606
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2013: 68.96
     2030: 72.10
     2060: 76.10
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2013: 68.03
     2030: 71.05
     2060: 74.75
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2013: 69.88
     2030: 73.16
     2060: 77.50
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2013: 2.521
     2030: 2.155
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2013: 0.234
     2030: 0.187
     2060: 0.061
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2013: 4.078
     2030: 4.333
     2060: 3.608
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2013: 10.65
     2030: 10.82
     2060: 9.165
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2013: 19.40
     2030: 26.79
     2060: 32.12
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2013: 1.367
     2030: 2.394
     2060: 6.824
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2013: 6.231
     2030: 12.61
     2060: 27.96
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2013: 0.451
     2030: 0.502
     2060: 0.506
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2013: 46.24
     2030: 48.81
     2060: 49.84

Health Forecast for Nepal -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2013: 0.397
     2030: 0.409
     2060: 0.641
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2013: 25.97
     2030: 24.69
     2060: 22.69
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2013: 36.01
     2030: 24.95
     2060: 10.48
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2013: 37.78
     2030: 33.15
     2060: 26.18
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2013: 17.88
     2030: 15.61
     2060: 9.565

Education Forecast for Nepal -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2013: 117.7
     2030: 119.5
     2060: 107.5
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2013: 73.04
     2030: 87.28
     2060: 98.10
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2013: 70.45
     2030: 90.42
     2060: 98.77
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2013: 25.57
     2030: 38.50
     2060: 59.63
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2013: 6.357
     2030: 11.94
     2060: 21.42
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2013: 3.455
     2030: 4.591
     2060: 6.607
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2013: 61.33
     2030: 82.33
     2060: 98.17

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Nepal
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation - Million People - -
     2013: 16.05
     2030: 18.45
     2060: 12.32
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation - Million People - -
     2013: 22.80
     2030: 26.48
     2060: 19.36
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2013: 0.584
     2030: 0.690
     2060: 0.812
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2013: 28.72
     2030: 14.78
     2060: 3.823
Calories per capita available - Available per Person per Day - -
     2013: 2,461
     2030: 2,541
     2060: 2,758
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2013: 0.088
     2030: 0.175
     2060: 0.316
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2013: -1.322
     2030: -1.068
     2060: -0.859

Economy Forecast for Nepal
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2005 Dollars - -
     2013: 35.57
     2030: 63.92
     2060: 177.9
Gross domestic product - Billion 2005 Dollars - -
     2013: 11.36
     2030: 22.14
     2060: 79.72
GDP per capita at PPP - Thousand 2005 Dollars - -
     2013: 1.132
     2030: 1.598
     2060: 3.697
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2013: 0.480
     2030: 0.525
     2060: 0.634
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2013: 47.96
     2030: 57.09
     2060: 55.29
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2013: 11.12
     2030: 14.81
     2060: 24.03

Energy Forecast for Nepal
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2013: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Nepal
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2013: 0.001
     2030: 0.003
     2060: 0.007

International Politics Forecast for Nepal
Power index (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2013: 0.134
     2030: 0.147
     2060: 0.164

Domestic Government Forecast for Nepal
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2013: 8.139
     2030: 8.956
     2060: 10.83
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2013: 16.07
     2030: 17.86
     2060: 19.51
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2013: 2.250
     2030: 2.721
     2060: 3.543
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2013: 1.771
     2030: 2.030
     2060: 2.578
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2013: 5.617
     2030: 5.870
     2060: 6.395