Country Profile - Nepal      IFs Version 7.45
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     Forecast Categories for Nepal
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Nepal -
Population - Million People - -
     2020: 28.65
     2030: 31.72
     2060: 36.14
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2020: 1.132
     2030: 0.852
     2060: 0.049
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2020: 19.09
     2030: 16.63
     2060: 11.80
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2020: 6.287
     2030: 6.591
     2060: 9.874
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Live Births - -
     2020: 22.76
     2030: 13.72
     2060: 6.167
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2020: 71.44
     2030: 73.68
     2060: 76.88
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2020: 69.89
     2030: 71.78
     2060: 74.64
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2020: 72.91
     2030: 75.51
     2060: 79.10
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2020: 2.003
     2030: 1.900
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2020: 0.112
     2030: 0.092
     2060: 0.027
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2020: 2.651
     2030: 2.640
     2060: 2.161
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2020: 8.194
     2030: 7.861
     2060: 6.604
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2020: 18.62
     2030: 21.49
     2060: 23.99
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2020: 1.830
     2030: 2.367
     2060: 5.545
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2020: 6.211
     2030: 8.262
     2060: 15.69
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2020: 0.541
     2030: 0.484
     2060: 0.230
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2020: 51.66
     2030: 51.66
     2060: 51.66

Health Forecast for Nepal -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2020: 0.632
     2030: 0.675
     2060: 0.793
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2020: 24.71
     2030: 24.61
     2060: 24.62
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2020: 22.99
     2030: 13.09
     2060: 7.915
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2020: 25.41
     2030: 23.46
     2060: 20.14
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2020: 7.613
     2030: 6.842
     2060: 5.115

Education Forecast for Nepal -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2020: 115.6
     2030: 105.6
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2020: 99.42
     2030: 99.83
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2020: 99.10
     2030: 91.72
     2060: 96.80
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2020: 57.06
     2030: 67.59
     2060: 80.80
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2020: 18.48
     2030: 27.73
     2060: 42.67
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2020: 5.084
     2030: 6.526
     2060: 9.005
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2020: 63.68
     2030: 79.31
     2060: 99.70

Social/Human Forecast for Nepal
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2020: 7.555
     2030: 7.931
     2060: 2.449
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2020: 12.24
     2030: 12.66
     2060: 4.997
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2020: 0.657
     2030: 0.732
     2060: 0.854
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2020: 25.80
     2030: 14.56
     2060: 3.041
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2020: 2,797
     2030: 2,843
     2060: 2,932
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2020: -0.153
     2030: -0.077
     2060: 0.149
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2020: -0.485
     2030: -0.362
     2060: -0.058

Economy Forecast for Nepal
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2020: 82.38
     2030: 110.4
     2060: 241.6
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2020: 29.52
     2030: 43.50
     2060: 125.0
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2020: 2.876
     2030: 3.480
     2060: 6.684
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2020: 0.352
     2030: 0.375
     2060: 0.387
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2020: 39.72
     2030: 40.93
     2060: 42.95
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2020: 19.86
     2030: 24.99
     2060: 33.99

Energy Forecast for Nepal
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2020: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Nepal
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2020: 0.003
     2030: 0.003
     2060: 0.000

International Politics Forecast for Nepal
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2020: 0.126
     2030: 0.132
     2060: 0.136

Domestic Government Forecast for Nepal
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2020: 9.563
     2030: 10.52
     2060: 12.57
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2020: 16.02
     2030: 17.19
     2060: 19.40
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2020: 2.313
     2030: 2.641
     2060: 3.670
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2020: 1.588
     2030: 1.815
     2060: 2.474
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2020: 6.578
     2030: 6.720
     2060: 7.133