Country Profile - Nepal      IFs Version 7.30
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     Forecast Categories for Nepal
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Nepal -
Population - Million People - -
     2017: 29.16
     2030: 33.20
     2060: 38.14
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2017: 1.063
     2030: 0.826
     2060: 0.101
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2017: 19.48
     2030: 16.94
     2060: 11.84
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2017: 6.219
     2030: 6.541
     2060: 9.646
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2017: 28.21
     2030: 17.60
     2060: 9.056
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2017: 70.60
     2030: 73.33
     2060: 76.64
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2017: 69.01
     2030: 71.49
     2060: 74.57
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2017: 72.09
     2030: 75.09
     2060: 78.70
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2017: 2.071
     2030: 1.900
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2017: 0.134
     2030: 0.106
     2060: 0.032
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2017: 2.797
     2030: 2.799
     2060: 2.282
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2017: 9.240
     2030: 8.246
     2060: 6.964
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2017: 18.24
     2030: 22.57
     2060: 25.56
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2017: 1.670
     2030: 2.389
     2060: 5.620
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2017: 5.640
     2030: 8.221
     2060: 15.72
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2017: 0.560
     2030: 0.608
     2060: 0.599
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2017: 50.85
     2030: 50.85
     2060: 50.85

Health Forecast for Nepal -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2017: 0.611
     2030: 0.747
     2060: 1.330
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2017: 24.88
     2030: 24.59
     2060: 24.40
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2017: 20.24
     2030: 13.67
     2060: 5.344
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2017: 20.70
     2030: 17.83
     2060: 13.04
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2017: 7.103
     2030: 5.204
     2060: 3.157

Education Forecast for Nepal -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2017: 129.1
     2030: 107.1
     2060: 100.8
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2017: 98.60
     2030: 99.75
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2017: 92.82
     2030: 90.11
     2060: 95.36
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2017: 50.53
     2030: 62.08
     2060: 72.81
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2017: 15.32
     2030: 26.00
     2060: 36.67
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2017: 4.812
     2030: 6.667
     2060: 8.951
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2017: 61.64
     2030: 78.71
     2060: 99.34

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Nepal
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2017: 6.075
     2030: 4.104
     2060: 3.587
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2017: 15.02
     2030: 11.73
     2060: 8.947
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2017: 0.635
     2030: 0.717
     2060: 0.831
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2017: 27.08
     2030: 15.14
     2060: 2.466
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2017: 2,768
     2030: 2,904
     2060: 3,179
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2017: -0.193
     2030: -0.103
     2060: 0.107
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2017: -0.581
     2030: -0.508
     2060: -0.446

Economy Forecast for Nepal
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2017: 68.98
     2030: 94.20
     2060: 174.5
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2017: 23.50
     2030: 34.45
     2060: 76.44
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2017: 2.366
     2030: 2.837
     2060: 4.576
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2017: 0.331
     2030: 0.358
     2060: 0.461
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2017: 39.56
     2030: 41.45
     2060: 43.00
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2017: 16.26
     2030: 23.72
     2060: 32.56

Energy Forecast for Nepal
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2017: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Nepal
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2017: 0.002
     2030: 0.001
     2060: 0.001

International Politics Forecast for Nepal
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2017: 0.128
     2030: 0.130
     2060: 0.134

Domestic Government Forecast for Nepal
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2017: 9.172
     2030: 10.43
     2060: 12.31
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2017: 15.94
     2030: 17.02
     2060: 19.33
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2017: 2.229
     2030: 2.557
     2060: 3.418
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2017: 1.695
     2030: 1.902
     2060: 2.334
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2017: 6.572
     2030: 6.711
     2060: 6.996