Country Profile - Nepal      IFs Version 7.53
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     Forecast Categories for Nepal
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Nepal -
Population - Million People - -
     2020: 28.64
     2030: 31.70
     2060: 36.16
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2020: 1.126
     2030: 0.848
     2060: 0.059
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2020: 19.12
     2030: 16.63
     2060: 11.81
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2020: 6.345
     2030: 6.608
     2060: 9.785
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Live Births - -
     2020: 23.26
     2030: 13.78
     2060: 4.905
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2020: 71.29
     2030: 73.63
     2060: 77.07
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2020: 69.85
     2030: 71.73
     2060: 74.71
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2020: 72.65
     2030: 75.47
     2060: 79.40
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2020: 2.006
     2030: 1.900
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2020: 0.112
     2030: 0.092
     2060: 0.027
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2020: 2.651
     2030: 2.638
     2060: 2.165
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2020: 8.192
     2030: 7.861
     2060: 6.616
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2020: 18.62
     2030: 21.48
     2060: 23.99
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2020: 1.830
     2030: 2.365
     2060: 5.548
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2020: 6.209
     2030: 8.259
     2060: 15.69
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2020: 0.597
     2030: 0.584
     2060: 0.521
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2020: 51.66
     2030: 51.66
     2060: 51.66

Health Forecast for Nepal -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2020: 0.629
     2030: 0.727
     2060: 1.108
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2020: 24.70
     2030: 24.62
     2060: 25.10
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2020: 23.00
     2030: 13.31
     2060: 7.026
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2020: 25.94
     2030: 23.11
     2060: 18.49
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2020: 7.545
     2030: 5.947
     2060: 3.233

Education Forecast for Nepal -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2020: 122.3
     2030: 109.6
     2060: 100.1
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2020: 98.83
     2030: 99.43
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2020: 101.2
     2030: 93.66
     2060: 96.99
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2020: 55.77
     2030: 66.81
     2060: 82.77
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2020: 19.25
     2030: 29.36
     2060: 47.32
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2020: 5.073
     2030: 6.473
     2060: 9.072
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2020: 63.71
     2030: 79.09
     2060: 99.57

Social/Human Forecast for Nepal
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2020: 6.454
     2030: 4.551
     2060: 0.331
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2020: 11.18
     2030: 8.635
     2060: 0.980
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2020: 0.654
     2030: 0.732
     2060: 0.868
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2020: 25.79
     2030: 14.73
     2060: 2.733
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2020: 2,853
     2030: 2,949
     2060: 3,155
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2020: -0.169
     2030: -0.119
     2060: 0.037
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2020: -0.516
     2030: -0.443
     2060: -0.270

Economy Forecast for Nepal
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2020: 79.00
     2030: 112.7
     2060: 305.5
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2020: 28.62
     2030: 44.85
     2060: 176.8
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2020: 2.758
     2030: 3.554
     2060: 8.448
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2020: 0.333
     2030: 0.345
     2060: 0.363
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2020: 39.40
     2030: 40.63
     2060: 42.88
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2020: 18.55
     2030: 24.97
     2060: 36.69

Energy Forecast for Nepal
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2020: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Nepal
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2020: 0.003
     2030: 0.003
     2060: 0.000

International Politics Forecast for Nepal
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2020: 0.128
     2030: 0.136
     2060: 0.162

Domestic Government Forecast for Nepal
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2020: 9.548
     2030: 10.52
     2060: 12.81
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2020: 16.02
     2030: 17.19
     2060: 19.51
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2020: 2.300
     2030: 2.656
     2060: 3.892
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2020: 1.562
     2030: 1.829
     2060: 2.652
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2020: 6.476
     2030: 6.654
     2060: 7.202