Country Profile - Nepal      IFs Version 7.08
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     Forecast Categories for Nepal
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Nepal -
Population - Million People - -
     2014: 28.31
     2030: 34.51
     2060: 40.52
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2014: 1.342
     2030: 0.870
     2060: 0.202
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2014: 22.38
     2030: 17.45
     2060: 11.98
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2014: 6.538
     2030: 6.612
     2060: 8.765
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2014: 34.27
     2030: 21.60
     2060: 6.200
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2014: 69.12
     2030: 72.43
     2060: 77.80
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2014: 68.16
     2030: 71.29
     2060: 75.84
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2014: 70.03
     2030: 73.56
     2060: 79.78
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2014: 2.477
     2030: 2.083
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2014: 0.259
     2030: 0.209
     2060: 0.068
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2014: 3.592
     2030: 3.760
     2060: 2.974
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2014: 9.609
     2030: 9.514
     2060: 7.661
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2014: 17.20
     2030: 22.60
     2060: 27.00
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2014: 1.503
     2030: 2.404
     2060: 5.858
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2014: 5.040
     2030: 7.936
     2060: 15.00
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2014: 0.550
     2030: 0.593
     2060: 0.604
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2014: 50.45
     2030: 50.45
     2060: 50.45

Health Forecast for Nepal -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2014: 0.395
     2030: 0.397
     2060: 0.741
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2014: 31.79
     2030: 30.09
     2060: 27.99
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2014: 25.64
     2030: 16.68
     2060: 5.824
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2014: 27.91
     2030: 22.18
     2060: 8.291
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2014: 17.31
     2030: 16.47
     2060: 10.64

Education Forecast for Nepal -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2014: 124.1
     2030: 118.5
     2060: 100.4
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2014: 80.79
     2030: 97.29
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2014: 73.30
     2030: 100.1
     2060: 108.8
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2014: 26.52
     2030: 54.55
     2060: 99.36
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2014: 8.273
     2030: 14.07
     2060: 36.98
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2014: 4.128
     2030: 5.425
     2060: 8.849
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2014: 60.44
     2030: 83.25
     2060: 99.19

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Nepal
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2014: 6.603
     2030: 5.703
     2060: 0.832
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2014: 15.10
     2030: 14.58
     2060: 3.024
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2014: 0.618
     2030: 0.727
     2060: 0.878
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2014: 28.55
     2030: 12.97
     2060: 2.547
Calories per capita available - Available per Person per Day - -
     2014: 2,473
     2030: 2,501
     2060: 2,811
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2014: -0.211
     2030: -0.086
     2060: 0.247
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2014: -0.643
     2030: -0.540
     2060: -0.278

Economy Forecast for Nepal
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2014: 61.78
     2030: 98.31
     2060: 392.5
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2014: 21.47
     2030: 37.61
     2060: 250.2
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2014: 2.182
     2030: 2.848
     2060: 9.688
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2014: 0.348
     2030: 0.362
     2060: 0.457
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2014: 835,981,606,912
     2030: 853,551,022,080
     2060: 733,626,892,288
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2014: 11.69
     2030: 16.21
     2060: 34.50

Energy Forecast for Nepal
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2014: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Nepal
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2014: 0.001
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

International Politics Forecast for Nepal
Power index, Global Power Index (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2014: 0.128
     2030: 0.133
     2060: 0.160

Domestic Government Forecast for Nepal
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2014: 8.185
     2030: 9.429
     2060: 12.69
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2014: 15.81
     2030: 17.05
     2060: 19.53
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2014: 2.246
     2030: 2.652
     2060: 4.154
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2014: 1.707
     2030: 1.976
     2060: 2.871
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2014: 6.302
     2030: 6.487
     2060: 7.179