Country Profile - Nepal      IFs Version 7.37
  Continue    Change Country    Display Options    Map Source    Help  


Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
www.ifs.du.edu


Sign up for our monthly newsletter.

     Forecast Categories for Nepal
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Nepal -
Population - Million People - -
     2018: 29.69
     2030: 33.69
     2060: 38.56
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2018: 1.170
     2030: 0.863
     2060: 0.052
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2018: 19.37
     2030: 16.64
     2060: 11.81
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2018: 6.308
     2030: 6.482
     2060: 9.849
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2018: 24.88
     2030: 13.82
     2060: 6.463
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2018: 70.88
     2030: 73.72
     2060: 76.87
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2018: 69.22
     2030: 71.62
     2060: 74.52
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2018: 72.46
     2030: 75.73
     2060: 79.18
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2018: 2.050
     2030: 1.900
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2018: 0.132
     2030: 0.105
     2060: 0.031
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2018: 2.774
     2030: 2.806
     2060: 2.308
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2018: 8.930
     2030: 8.371
     2060: 7.060
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2018: 18.98
     2030: 22.88
     2060: 25.70
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2018: 1.778
     2030: 2.435
     2060: 5.798
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2018: 5.842
     2030: 8.258
     2060: 15.71
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2018: 0.535
     2030: 0.466
     2060: 0.212
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2018: 51.66
     2030: 51.66
     2060: 51.66

Health Forecast for Nepal -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2018: 0.622
     2030: 0.699
     2060: 0.910
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2018: 24.82
     2030: 24.48
     2060: 24.18
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2018: 24.32
     2030: 13.72
     2060: 7.336
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2018: 25.91
     2030: 23.27
     2060: 19.87
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2018: 7.022
     2030: 5.854
     2060: 4.309

Education Forecast for Nepal -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2018: 125.1
     2030: 106.4
     2060: 100.4
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2018: 98.92
     2030: 99.78
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2018: 95.27
     2030: 90.25
     2060: 95.79
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2018: 52.99
     2030: 63.34
     2060: 73.78
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2018: 16.97
     2030: 32.13
     2060: 55.84
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2018: 4.595
     2030: 6.420
     2060: 9.136
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2018: 62.29
     2030: 79.33
     2060: 99.69

Social/Human Forecast for Nepal
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2018: 8.160
     2030: 8.238
     2060: 3.405
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2018: 13.46
     2030: 13.71
     2060: 6.777
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2018: 0.641
     2030: 0.723
     2060: 0.840
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2018: 26.87
     2030: 14.59
     2060: 2.730
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2018: 2,785
     2030: 2,866
     2060: 3,001
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2018: -0.184
     2030: -0.098
     2060: 0.126
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2018: -0.568
     2030: -0.497
     2060: -0.409

Economy Forecast for Nepal
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2018: 73.38
     2030: 99.28
     2060: 199.1
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2018: 25.60
     2030: 36.98
     2060: 92.42
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2018: 2.472
     2030: 2.947
     2060: 5.165
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2018: 0.334
     2030: 0.351
     2060: 0.379
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2018: 38.97
     2030: 40.54
     2060: 42.06
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2018: 18.16
     2030: 29.91
     2060: 54.55

Energy Forecast for Nepal
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2018: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Nepal
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2018: 0.002
     2030: 0.002
     2060: 0.000

International Politics Forecast for Nepal
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2018: 0.129
     2030: 0.133
     2060: 0.136

Domestic Government Forecast for Nepal
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2018: 9.310
     2030: 10.48
     2060: 12.64
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2018: 15.97
     2030: 17.16
     2060: 19.33
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2018: 2.255
     2030: 2.592
     2060: 3.491
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2018: 1.727
     2030: 1.930
     2060: 2.462
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2018: 6.526
     2030: 6.664
     2060: 7.035