Country Profile - Nepal      IFs Version 7.31
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     Forecast Categories for Nepal
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Nepal -
Population - Million People - -
     2017: 29.32
     2030: 33.32
     2060: 37.94
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2017: 1.064
     2030: 0.781
     2060: 0.065
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2017: 19.58
     2030: 16.61
     2060: 11.82
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2017: 6.328
     2030: 6.670
     2060: 9.975
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2017: 27.21
     2030: 16.87
     2060: 8.909
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2017: 70.53
     2030: 73.16
     2060: 76.30
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2017: 68.86
     2030: 71.27
     2060: 74.21
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2017: 72.11
     2030: 74.98
     2060: 78.37
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2017: 2.086
     2030: 1.900
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2017: 0.133
     2030: 0.105
     2060: 0.031
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2017: 2.774
     2030: 2.772
     2060: 2.267
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2017: 9.057
     2030: 8.306
     2060: 6.943
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2017: 18.55
     2030: 22.61
     2060: 25.35
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2017: 1.705
     2030: 2.403
     2060: 5.650
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2017: 5.640
     2030: 8.205
     2060: 15.61
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2017: 0.568
     2030: 0.609
     2060: 0.600
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2017: 50.79
     2030: 50.79
     2060: 50.79

Health Forecast for Nepal -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2017: 0.613
     2030: 0.752
     2060: 1.315
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2017: 24.90
     2030: 24.62
     2060: 24.39
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2017: 25.68
     2030: 17.36
     2060: 6.449
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2017: 26.63
     2030: 24.09
     2060: 19.91
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2017: 7.103
     2030: 5.132
     2060: 3.183

Education Forecast for Nepal -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2017: 129.1
     2030: 107.4
     2060: 101.3
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2017: 98.61
     2030: 99.73
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2017: 92.82
     2030: 89.00
     2060: 93.59
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2017: 50.51
     2030: 60.36
     2060: 67.96
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2017: 15.22
     2030: 24.55
     2060: 34.56
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2017: 4.809
     2030: 6.613
     2060: 8.752
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2017: 66.60
     2030: 79.90
     2060: 99.26

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Nepal
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2017: 6.125
     2030: 4.067
     2060: 3.205
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2017: 12.90
     2030: 9.525
     2060: 6.977
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2017: 0.652
     2030: 0.721
     2060: 0.827
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2017: 24.15
     2030: 14.63
     2060: 2.657
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2017: 2,770
     2030: 2,908
     2060: 3,173
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2017: -0.192
     2030: -0.101
     2060: 0.107
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2017: -0.579
     2030: -0.501
     2060: -0.445

Economy Forecast for Nepal
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2017: 70.32
     2030: 96.67
     2060: 169.1
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2017: 23.84
     2030: 35.60
     2060: 72.96
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2017: 2.399
     2030: 2.901
     2060: 4.457
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2017: 0.334
     2030: 0.365
     2060: 0.451
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2017: 39.12
     2030: 41.00
     2060: 42.51
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2017: 16.05
     2030: 22.14
     2060: 29.77

Energy Forecast for Nepal
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2017: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Nepal
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2017: 0.002
     2030: 0.001
     2060: 0.001

International Politics Forecast for Nepal
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2017: 0.128
     2030: 0.130
     2060: 0.129

Domestic Government Forecast for Nepal
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2017: 9.176
     2030: 10.39
     2060: 12.13
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2017: 15.97
     2030: 17.16
     2060: 19.30
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2017: 2.235
     2030: 2.582
     2060: 3.399
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2017: 1.705
     2030: 1.920
     2060: 2.307
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2017: 6.580
     2030: 6.726
     2060: 6.971