Country Profile - Nepal      IFs Version 7.15
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     Forecast Categories for Nepal
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Nepal -
Population - Million People - -
     2015: 28.69
     2030: 34.50
     2060: 40.48
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2015: 1.352
     2030: 0.863
     2060: 0.203
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2015: 22.63
     2030: 17.39
     2060: 11.97
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2015: 6.595
     2030: 6.617
     2060: 8.759
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2015: 33.41
     2030: 21.55
     2060: 6.010
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2015: 69.28
     2030: 72.42
     2060: 77.83
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2015: 68.30
     2030: 71.27
     2060: 75.85
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2015: 70.21
     2030: 73.55
     2060: 79.83
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2015: 2.487
     2030: 2.074
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2015: 0.258
     2030: 0.209
     2060: 0.068
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2015: 3.588
     2030: 3.752
     2060: 2.968
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2015: 9.516
     2030: 9.502
     2060: 7.649
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2015: 17.63
     2030: 22.59
     2060: 26.97
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2015: 1.551
     2030: 2.402
     2060: 5.857
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2015: 5.192
     2030: 7.935
     2060: 15.00
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2015: 0.557
     2030: 0.593
     2060: 0.604
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2015: 50.45
     2030: 50.45
     2060: 50.45

Health Forecast for Nepal -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2015: 0.395
     2030: 0.401
     2060: 0.838
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2015: 31.68
     2030: 30.11
     2060: 28.03
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2015: 24.89
     2030: 16.77
     2060: 5.655
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2015: 27.62
     2030: 20.61
     2060: 7.424
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2015: 17.12
     2030: 16.00
     2060: 9.938

Education Forecast for Nepal -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2015: 129.6
     2030: 122.1
     2060: 100.5
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2015: 77.71
     2030: 95.25
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2015: 74.63
     2030: 104.7
     2060: 110.9
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2015: 27.14
     2030: 55.28
     2060: 99.58
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2015: 8.477
     2030: 14.32
     2060: 37.44
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2015: 4.166
     2030: 5.368
     2060: 8.895
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2015: 61.07
     2030: 83.18
     2060: 99.21

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Nepal
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2015: 6.302
     2030: 6.265
     2060: 1.568
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2015: 14.68
     2030: 14.87
     2060: 4.431
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2015: 0.622
     2030: 0.729
     2060: 0.880
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2015: 28.07
     2030: 13.08
     2060: 2.497
Calories per capita available - Available per Person per Day - -
     2015: 2,482
     2030: 2,526
     2060: 2,856
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2015: -0.203
     2030: -0.080
     2060: 0.258
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2015: -0.633
     2030: -0.529
     2060: -0.256

Economy Forecast for Nepal
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2015: 64.03
     2030: 101.9
     2060: 404.0
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2015: 22.45
     2030: 39.67
     2060: 262.4
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2015: 2.231
     2030: 2.954
     2060: 9.979
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2015: 0.352
     2030: 0.381
     2060: 0.506
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2015: 39.34
     2030: 39.76
     2060: 32.69
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2015: 11.72
     2030: 16.88
     2060: 36.24

Energy Forecast for Nepal
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2015: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Nepal
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2015: 0.001
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

International Politics Forecast for Nepal
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2015: 0.129
     2030: 0.135
     2060: 0.167

Domestic Government Forecast for Nepal
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2015: 8.235
     2030: 9.462
     2060: 12.78
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2015: 15.77
     2030: 17.05
     2060: 19.54
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2015: 2.256
     2030: 2.666
     2060: 4.192
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2015: 1.724
     2030: 1.998
     2060: 2.901
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2015: 6.313
     2030: 6.507
     2060: 7.205