Country Profile - Nicaragua      IFs Version 7.37
  Continue    Change Country    Display Options    Map Source    Help  


Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
www.ifs.du.edu


Sign up for our monthly newsletter.

     Forecast Categories for Nicaragua
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Nicaragua -
Population - Million People - -
     2019: 6.348
     2030: 6.988
     2060: 8.044
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2019: 0.965
     2030: 0.797
     2060: 0.097
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2019: 18.18
     2030: 15.03
     2060: 11.25
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2019: 4.958
     2030: 5.740
     2060: 9.410
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2019: 16.48
     2030: 12.81
     2060: 7.842
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2019: 75.79
     2030: 77.26
     2060: 80.96
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2019: 72.55
     2030: 73.75
     2060: 77.17
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2019: 78.96
     2030: 80.69
     2060: 84.65
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2019: 2.103
     2030: 1.900
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2019: 0.201
     2030: 0.288
     2060: 0.276
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2019: 0.587
     2030: 0.518
     2060: 0.455
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2019: 1.796
     2030: 1.623
     2060: 1.392
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2019: 4.178
     2030: 4.759
     2060: 4.980
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2019: 0.374
     2030: 0.606
     2060: 1.672
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2019: 3.825
     2030: 4.527
     2060: 5.929
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2019: 0.409
     2030: 0.292
     2060: 0.111
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2019: 39.70
     2030: 42.31
     2060: 46.53

Health Forecast for Nicaragua -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2019: 44.02
     2030: 46.79
     2060: 53.46
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2019: 15.25
     2030: 15.37
     2060: 16.03
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2019: 5.282
     2030: 3.500
     2060: 2.808
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2019: 3.907
     2030: 0.840
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2019: 13.58
     2030: 9.886
     2060: 4.680

Education Forecast for Nicaragua -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2019: 121.7
     2030: 119.2
     2060: 103.7
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2019: 82.86
     2030: 89.40
     2060: 98.81
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2019: 87.27
     2030: 93.11
     2060: 93.27
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2019: 62.05
     2030: 70.72
     2060: 81.34
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2019: 19.12
     2030: 26.61
     2060: 46.23
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2019: 6.658
     2030: 7.564
     2060: 9.557
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2019: 79.80
     2030: 84.56
     2060: 98.68

Social/Human Forecast for Nicaragua
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2019: 1.090
     2030: 0.932
     2060: 0.323
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2019: 1.930
     2030: 1.716
     2060: 0.730
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2019: 0.771
     2030: 0.804
     2060: 0.903
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2019: 14.60
     2030: 10.79
     2060: 1.920
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2019: 2,719
     2030: 2,830
     2060: 3,075
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2019: -0.025
     2030: -0.022
     2060: -0.098
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2019: -0.116
     2030: -0.075
     2060: -0.044

Economy Forecast for Nicaragua
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2019: 34.63
     2030: 45.39
     2060: 90.72
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2019: 14.46
     2030: 20.89
     2060: 55.03
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2019: 5.455
     2030: 6.496
     2060: 11.28
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2019: 0.463
     2030: 0.475
     2060: 0.485
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2019: 45.50
     2030: 46.57
     2060: 47.55
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2019: 16.15
     2030: 20.04
     2060: 36.76

Energy Forecast for Nicaragua
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2019: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Nicaragua
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2019: 0.001
     2030: 0.001
     2060: 0.000

International Politics Forecast for Nicaragua
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2019: 0.033
     2030: 0.034
     2060: 0.036

Domestic Government Forecast for Nicaragua
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2019: 9.230
     2030: 9.870
     2060: 11.27
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2019: 19.44
     2030: 19.69
     2060: 19.70
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2019: 2.673
     2030: 3.051
     2060: 4.201
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2019: 1.789
     2030: 2.018
     2060: 2.662
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2019: 7.340
     2030: 7.439
     2060: 7.731