Country Profile - Nicaragua      IFs Version 7.08
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     Forecast Categories for Nicaragua
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Nicaragua -
Population - Million People - -
     2014: 6.183
     2030: 7.399
     2060: 8.491
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2014: 1.440
     2030: 0.757
     2060: 0.112
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2014: 22.76
     2030: 15.63
     2060: 11.43
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2014: 4.795
     2030: 5.414
     2060: 8.580
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2014: 19.21
     2030: 14.01
     2060: 6.896
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2014: 74.39
     2030: 76.83
     2060: 81.16
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2014: 71.20
     2030: 73.31
     2060: 77.15
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2014: 77.52
     2030: 80.31
     2060: 85.08
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2014: 2.495
     2030: 1.922
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2014: 0.132
     2030: 0.106
     2060: 0.035
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2014: 0.831
     2030: 0.721
     2060: 0.591
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2014: 2.002
     2030: 1.892
     2060: 1.518
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2014: 3.894
     2030: 4.936
     2060: 5.317
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2014: 0.287
     2030: 0.570
     2060: 1.657
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2014: 3.581
     2030: 4.595
     2060: 5.920
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2014: 0.429
     2030: 0.470
     2060: 0.456
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2014: 38.96
     2030: 42.59
     2060: 46.49

Health Forecast for Nicaragua -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2014: 36.95
     2030: 39.17
     2060: 45.31
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2014: 16.68
     2030: 16.55
     2060: 17.23
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2014: 5.599
     2030: 4.904
     2060: 2.712
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2014: 4.232
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2014: 18.92
     2030: 15.94
     2060: 10.03

Education Forecast for Nicaragua -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2014: 117.0
     2030: 107.6
     2060: 100.3
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2014: 91.18
     2030: 97.67
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2014: 83.32
     2030: 92.66
     2060: 99.65
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2014: 55.61
     2030: 65.20
     2060: 89.11
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2014: 18.44
     2030: 23.61
     2060: 37.46
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2014: 6.717
     2030: 8.089
     2060: 10.33
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2014: 80.35
     2030: 87.23
     2060: 99.05

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Nicaragua
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2014: 0.573
     2030: 0.300
     2060: 0.028
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2014: 1.620
     2030: 1.091
     2060: 0.193
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2014: 0.752
     2030: 0.809
     2060: 0.914
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2014: 14.23
     2030: 9.488
     2060: 1.815
Calories per capita available - Available per Person per Day - -
     2014: 2,557
     2030: 2,660
     2060: 2,914
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2014: -0.078
     2030: -0.078
     2060: -0.116
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2014: -0.240
     2030: -0.154
     2060: -0.028

Economy Forecast for Nicaragua
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2014: 26.85
     2030: 46.04
     2060: 112.9
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2014: 11.13
     2030: 22.41
     2060: 77.78
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2014: 4.343
     2030: 6.223
     2060: 13.30
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2014: 0.423
     2030: 0.418
     2060: 0.408
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2014: 1,057,481,883,6
     2030: 1,059,175,268,3
     2060: 1,044,257,439,7
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2014: 11.59
     2030: 16.45
     2060: 28.82

Energy Forecast for Nicaragua
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2014: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Nicaragua
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2014: 0.001
     2030: 0.002
     2060: 0.001

International Politics Forecast for Nicaragua
Power index, Global Power Index (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2014: 0.033
     2030: 0.034
     2060: 0.035

Domestic Government Forecast for Nicaragua
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2014: 8.191
     2030: 9.076
     2060: 10.66
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2014: 19.31
     2030: 19.62
     2060: 19.94
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2014: 2.642
     2030: 3.256
     2060: 4.723
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2014: 1.655
     2030: 2.051
     2060: 2.817
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2014: 7.314
     2030: 7.519
     2060: 7.928