Country Profile - Nicaragua      IFs Version 7.15
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     Forecast Categories for Nicaragua
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Nicaragua -
Population - Million People - -
     2015: 6.274
     2030: 7.413
     2060: 8.508
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2015: 1.398
     2030: 0.772
     2060: 0.113
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2015: 22.47
     2030: 15.81
     2060: 11.47
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2015: 4.847
     2030: 5.451
     2060: 8.633
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2015: 19.06
     2030: 14.56
     2060: 7.278
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2015: 74.48
     2030: 76.67
     2060: 80.93
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2015: 71.27
     2030: 73.14
     2060: 76.88
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2015: 77.63
     2030: 80.17
     2060: 84.88
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2015: 2.472
     2030: 1.948
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2015: 0.131
     2030: 0.106
     2060: 0.035
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2015: 0.830
     2030: 0.730
     2060: 0.595
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2015: 2.004
     2030: 1.909
     2060: 1.527
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2015: 3.974
     2030: 4.935
     2060: 5.332
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2015: 0.296
     2030: 0.570
     2060: 1.648
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2015: 3.645
     2030: 4.599
     2060: 5.926
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2015: 0.433
     2030: 0.468
     2060: 0.456
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2015: 39.23
     2030: 42.59
     2060: 46.49

Health Forecast for Nicaragua -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2015: 37.14
     2030: 39.14
     2060: 45.52
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2015: 16.72
     2030: 16.52
     2060: 17.11
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2015: 5.546
     2030: 5.001
     2060: 2.697
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2015: 4.115
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2015: 18.66
     2030: 15.97
     2060: 9.891

Education Forecast for Nicaragua -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2015: 119.9
     2030: 113.6
     2060: 100.3
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2015: 91.44
     2030: 97.70
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2015: 83.55
     2030: 97.82
     2060: 101.1
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2015: 55.08
     2030: 66.80
     2060: 88.17
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2015: 18.66
     2030: 23.03
     2060: 36.57
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2015: 6.710
     2030: 7.823
     2060: 10.11
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2015: 80.53
     2030: 87.20
     2060: 99.03

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Nicaragua
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2015: 0.468
     2030: 0.366
     2060: 0.101
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2015: 1.154
     2030: 0.966
     2060: 0.338
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2015: 0.754
     2030: 0.806
     2060: 0.909
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2015: 14.10
     2030: 9.580
     2060: 1.858
Calories per capita available - Available per Person per Day - -
     2015: 2,567
     2030: 2,659
     2060: 2,922
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2015: -0.076
     2030: -0.083
     2060: -0.129
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2015: -0.233
     2030: -0.163
     2060: -0.052

Economy Forecast for Nicaragua
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2015: 27.75
     2030: 44.45
     2060: 105.6
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2015: 11.58
     2030: 21.26
     2060: 70.40
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2015: 4.424
     2030: 5.997
     2060: 12.42
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2015: 0.472
     2030: 0.484
     2060: 0.499
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2015: 44.74
     2030: 44.71
     2060: 44.27
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2015: 11.76
     2030: 15.93
     2060: 27.87

Energy Forecast for Nicaragua
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2015: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Nicaragua
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2015: 0.001
     2030: 0.002
     2060: 0.001

International Politics Forecast for Nicaragua
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2015: 0.033
     2030: 0.034
     2060: 0.035

Domestic Government Forecast for Nicaragua
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2015: 8.216
     2030: 9.026
     2060: 10.60
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2015: 19.42
     2030: 19.62
     2060: 19.92
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2015: 2.678
     2030: 3.228
     2060: 4.612
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2015: 1.680
     2030: 2.028
     2060: 2.770
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2015: 7.326
     2030: 7.498
     2060: 7.884