Country Profile - Nicaragua      IFs Version 7.45
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     Forecast Categories for Nicaragua
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Nicaragua -
Population - Million People - -
     2020: 6.590
     2030: 7.257
     2060: 8.471
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2020: 1.045
     2030: 0.849
     2060: 0.133
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2020: 18.03
     2030: 14.86
     2060: 11.10
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2020: 4.209
     2030: 5.052
     2060: 8.906
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Live Births - -
     2020: 14.92
     2030: 13.55
     2060: 8.470
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2020: 78.56
     2030: 79.48
     2060: 82.66
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2020: 75.60
     2030: 76.39
     2060: 79.43
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2020: 81.47
     2030: 82.51
     2060: 85.84
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2020: 2.110
     2030: 1.900
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2020: 0.193
     2030: 0.279
     2060: 0.272
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2020: 0.601
     2030: 0.542
     2060: 0.473
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2020: 1.831
     2030: 1.696
     2060: 1.449
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2020: 4.347
     2030: 4.912
     2060: 5.210
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2020: 0.412
     2030: 0.649
     2060: 1.812
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2020: 3.781
     2030: 4.292
     2060: 5.487
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2020: 0.379
     2030: 0.278
     2060: 0.109
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2020: 39.97
     2030: 42.31
     2060: 46.53

Health Forecast for Nicaragua -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2020: 43.35
     2030: 44.81
     2060: 49.18
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2020: 15.25
     2030: 14.95
     2060: 15.03
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2020: 4.310
     2030: 3.617
     2060: 2.383
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2020: 3.803
     2030: 2.394
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2020: 14.06
     2030: 11.91
     2060: 6.808

Education Forecast for Nicaragua -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2020: 124.3
     2030: 123.3
     2060: 105.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2020: 97.47
     2030: 98.49
     2060: 99.67
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2020: 86.30
     2030: 91.34
     2060: 90.06
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2020: 60.27
     2030: 64.18
     2060: 75.06
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2020: 18.54
     2030: 20.97
     2060: 33.09
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2020: 6.700
     2030: 7.378
     2060: 8.845
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2020: 80.19
     2030: 84.46
     2060: 98.55

Social/Human Forecast for Nicaragua
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2020: 1.298
     2030: 1.443
     2060: 0.443
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2020: 2.254
     2030: 2.512
     2060: 1.053
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2020: 0.778
     2030: 0.800
     2060: 0.888
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2020: 14.28
     2030: 11.07
     2060: 1.623
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2020: 2,693
     2030: 2,753
     2060: 2,921
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2020: -0.032
     2030: -0.030
     2060: -0.061
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2020: -0.138
     2030: -0.117
     2060: -0.069

Economy Forecast for Nicaragua
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2020: 30.56
     2030: 34.98
     2060: 62.23
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2020: 12.11
     2030: 14.09
     2060: 30.94
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2020: 4.638
     2030: 4.820
     2060: 7.346
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2020: 0.453
     2030: 0.449
     2060: 0.433
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2020: 46.38
     2030: 46.50
     2060: 46.36
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2020: 13.84
     2030: 14.96
     2060: 21.80

Energy Forecast for Nicaragua
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2020: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Nicaragua
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2020: 0.001
     2030: 0.001
     2060: 0.001

International Politics Forecast for Nicaragua
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2020: 0.033
     2030: 0.032
     2060: 0.031

Domestic Government Forecast for Nicaragua
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2020: 9.166
     2030: 9.572
     2060: 10.55
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2020: 19.54
     2030: 19.69
     2060: 19.67
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2020: 2.547
     2030: 2.861
     2060: 3.731
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2020: 1.723
     2030: 1.862
     2060: 2.400
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2020: 7.220
     2030: 7.285
     2060: 7.490