Country Profile - Nicaragua      IFs Version 7.00
  Continue    Change Country    Display Options    Map Source  


Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
www.ifs.du.edu


Sign up for our monthly newsletter.

     Forecast Categories for Nicaragua
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Nicaragua -
Population - Million People - -
     2014: 6.265
     2030: 7.868
     2060: 9.599
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2014: 1.774
     2030: 1.040
     2060: 0.275
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2014: 22.81
     2030: 16.06
     2060: 11.75
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2014: 4.796
     2030: 5.438
     2060: 8.812
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2014: 19.26
     2030: 14.20
     2060: 8.229
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2014: 74.36
     2030: 76.58
     2060: 79.80
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2014: 71.14
     2030: 72.89
     2060: 75.23
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2014: 77.51
     2030: 80.21
     2060: 84.19
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2014: 2.486
     2030: 1.963
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2014: 0.132
     2030: 0.106
     2060: 0.035
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2014: 0.834
     2030: 0.776
     2060: 0.682
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2014: 2.017
     2030: 2.009
     2060: 1.741
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2014: 3.958
     2030: 5.265
     2060: 6.063
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2014: 0.290
     2030: 0.594
     2060: 1.795
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2014: 3.559
     2030: 4.598
     2060: 6.184
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2014: 0.428
     2030: 0.468
     2060: 0.457
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2014: 39.03
     2030: 42.66
     2060: 46.54

Health Forecast for Nicaragua -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2014: 36.84
     2030: 39.89
     2060: 46.78
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2014: 22.32
     2030: 21.63
     2060: 21.16
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2014: 5.626
     2030: 4.865
     2060: 3.360
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2014: 4.215
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2014: 19.04
     2030: 15.34
     2060: 9.125

Education Forecast for Nicaragua -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2014: 116.9
     2030: 105.2
     2060: 100.8
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2014: 91.20
     2030: 96.68
     2060: 100.00
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2014: 83.36
     2030: 90.77
     2060: 97.55
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2014: 56.32
     2030: 66.23
     2060: 81.89
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2014: 18.32
     2030: 22.51
     2060: 30.48
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2014: 6.208
     2030: 7.625
     2060: 9.446
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2014: 80.30
     2030: 87.16
     2060: 98.77

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Nicaragua
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation - Million People - -
     2014: 0.614
     2030: 0.841
     2060: 0.686
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation - Million People - -
     2014: 1.719
     2030: 2.161
     2060: 1.843
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2014: 0.740
     2030: 0.792
     2060: 0.882
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2014: 14.27
     2030: 9.580
     2060: 2.465
Calories per capita available - Available per Person per Day - -
     2014: 2,552
     2030: 2,690
     2060: 2,968
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2014: -0.120
     2030: -0.101
     2060: -0.095
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2014: -0.354
     2030: -0.246
     2060: -0.090

Economy Forecast for Nicaragua
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2005 Dollars - -
     2014: 22.01
     2030: 37.56
     2060: 83.16
Gross domestic product - Billion 2005 Dollars - -
     2014: 8.751
     2030: 16.92
     2060: 48.08
GDP per capita at PPP - Thousand 2005 Dollars - -
     2014: 3.513
     2030: 4.773
     2060: 8.663
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2014: 0.420
     2030: 0.448
     2060: 0.482
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2014: 55.77
     2030: 65.08
     2060: 68.22
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2014: 11.86
     2030: 15.72
     2060: 23.45

Energy Forecast for Nicaragua
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2014: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Nicaragua
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2014: 0.001
     2030: 0.003
     2060: 0.005

International Politics Forecast for Nicaragua
Power index (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2014: 0.034
     2030: 0.037
     2060: 0.040

Domestic Government Forecast for Nicaragua
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2014: 8.195
     2030: 9.073
     2060: 10.35
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2014: 19.30
     2030: 19.62
     2060: 19.84
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2014: 2.625
     2030: 3.154
     2060: 4.189
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2014: 1.642
     2030: 1.987
     2060: 2.633
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2014: 7.308
     2030: 7.487
     2060: 7.827