Country Profile - Nicaragua      IFs Version 7.26
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     Forecast Categories for Nicaragua
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Nicaragua -
Population - Million People - -
     2016: 6.158
     2030: 6.950
     2060: 7.665
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2016: 1.090
     2030: 0.673
     2060: -0.031
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2016: 19.31
     2030: 15.01
     2060: 11.04
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2016: 4.713
     2030: 5.641
     2060: 9.621
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2016: 18.04
     2030: 13.89
     2060: 8.666
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2016: 75.64
     2030: 77.62
     2060: 81.01
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2016: 72.50
     2030: 74.18
     2060: 77.00
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2016: 78.69
     2030: 80.99
     2060: 84.93
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2016: 2.172
     2030: 1.900
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2016: 0.165
     2030: 0.134
     2060: 0.049
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2016: 0.601
     2030: 0.516
     2060: 0.427
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2016: 1.820
     2030: 1.600
     2060: 1.307
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2016: 4.014
     2030: 4.741
     2060: 4.687
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2016: 0.324
     2030: 0.608
     2060: 1.671
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2016: 3.638
     2030: 4.491
     2060: 5.573
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2016: 0.449
     2030: 0.483
     2060: 0.448
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2016: 39.30
     2030: 42.66
     2060: 46.73

Health Forecast for Nicaragua -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2016: 36.79
     2030: 40.66
     2060: 47.97
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2016: 15.12
     2030: 15.35
     2060: 15.81
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2016: 5.581
     2030: 4.675
     2060: 3.409
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2016: 4.910
     2030: 3.268
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2016: 15.30
     2030: 9.382
     2060: 4.203

Education Forecast for Nicaragua -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2016: 120.4
     2030: 102.3
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2016: 97.04
     2030: 98.77
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 86.77
     2030: 83.99
     2060: 95.35
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 58.21
     2030: 56.53
     2060: 73.48
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 17.31
     2030: 22.12
     2060: 35.17
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2016: 6.952
     2030: 8.116
     2060: 9.851
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2016: 79.15
     2030: 84.61
     2060: 98.09

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Nicaragua
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2016: 0.345
     2030: 0.272
     2060: 0.088
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2016: 1.020
     2030: 0.850
     2060: 0.339
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2016: 0.762
     2030: 0.804
     2060: 0.895
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2016: 14.89
     2030: 11.08
     2060: 3.110
Calories per capita available - Total - Available per Person per Day - -
     2016: 2,626
     2030: 2,803
     2060: 3,101
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2016: -0.043
     2030: -0.041
     2060: -0.127
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2016: -0.160
     2030: -0.109
     2060: -0.097

Economy Forecast for Nicaragua
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 30.42
     2030: 42.90
     2060: 77.22
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 12.27
     2030: 19.46
     2060: 44.67
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 4.939
     2030: 6.173
     2060: 10.07
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2016: 0.464
     2030: 0.478
     2060: 0.496
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2016: 45.43
     2030: 46.87
     2060: 47.83
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2016: 12.77
     2030: 17.33
     2060: 31.15

Energy Forecast for Nicaragua
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2016: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Nicaragua
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2016: 0.001
     2030: 0.002
     2060: 0.002

International Politics Forecast for Nicaragua
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2016: 0.033
     2030: 0.033
     2060: 0.032

Domestic Government Forecast for Nicaragua
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2016: 9.102
     2030: 9.781
     2060: 11.07
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2016: 19.18
     2030: 19.68
     2060: 19.75
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2016: 2.585
     2030: 3.074
     2060: 4.125
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2016: 1.730
     2030: 2.024
     2060: 2.627
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2016: 7.430
     2030: 7.563
     2060: 7.833