Country Profile - Nicaragua      IFs Version 7.30
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     Forecast Categories for Nicaragua
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Nicaragua -
Population - Million People - -
     2017: 6.224
     2030: 6.967
     2060: 7.715
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2017: 1.063
     2030: 0.693
     2060: -0.030
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2017: 19.09
     2030: 15.20
     2060: 11.13
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2017: 4.732
     2030: 5.622
     2060: 9.702
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2017: 18.13
     2030: 13.70
     2060: 8.690
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2017: 75.57
     2030: 77.33
     2060: 80.40
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2017: 72.51
     2030: 73.94
     2060: 76.27
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2017: 78.54
     2030: 80.65
     2060: 84.44
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2017: 2.145
     2030: 1.900
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2017: 0.183
     2030: 0.288
     2060: 0.276
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2017: 0.605
     2030: 0.523
     2060: 0.433
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2017: 1.838
     2030: 1.620
     2060: 1.326
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2017: 4.059
     2030: 4.754
     2060: 4.748
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2017: 0.327
     2030: 0.593
     2060: 1.641
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2017: 3.700
     2030: 4.507
     2060: 5.628
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2017: 0.444
     2030: 0.477
     2060: 0.446
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2017: 39.30
     2030: 42.46
     2060: 46.64

Health Forecast for Nicaragua -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2017: 43.18
     2030: 47.31
     2060: 57.39
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2017: 15.12
     2030: 15.36
     2060: 15.80
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2017: 5.560
     2030: 3.510
     2060: 2.555
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2017: 5.016
     2030: 1.180
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2017: 14.82
     2030: 9.369
     2060: 3.710

Education Forecast for Nicaragua -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2017: 122.5
     2030: 113.5
     2060: 102.2
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2017: 82.44
     2030: 91.64
     2060: 98.99
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2017: 86.88
     2030: 91.31
     2060: 92.59
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2017: 59.36
     2030: 70.94
     2060: 80.15
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2017: 18.03
     2030: 28.01
     2060: 45.47
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2017: 7.055
     2030: 8.193
     2060: 10.16
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2017: 79.08
     2030: 84.65
     2060: 98.41

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Nicaragua
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2017: 0.297
     2030: 0.254
     2060: 0.108
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2017: 0.953
     2030: 0.855
     2060: 0.411
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2017: 0.764
     2030: 0.802
     2060: 0.892
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2017: 14.92
     2030: 10.73
     2060: 2.036
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2017: 2,684
     2030: 2,850
     2060: 3,210
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2017: -0.035
     2030: -0.031
     2060: -0.117
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2017: -0.139
     2030: -0.094
     2060: -0.086

Economy Forecast for Nicaragua
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2017: 31.88
     2030: 42.87
     2060: 77.51
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2017: 12.89
     2030: 19.18
     2060: 44.41
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2017: 5.122
     2030: 6.153
     2060: 10.05
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2017: 0.462
     2030: 0.470
     2060: 0.503
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2017: 45.80
     2030: 47.58
     2060: 48.27
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2017: 13.52
     2030: 20.65
     2060: 38.45

Energy Forecast for Nicaragua
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2017: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Nicaragua
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2017: 0.001
     2030: 0.002
     2060: 0.001

International Politics Forecast for Nicaragua
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2017: 0.033
     2030: 0.034
     2060: 0.034

Domestic Government Forecast for Nicaragua
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2017: 9.095
     2030: 9.820
     2060: 11.15
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2017: 19.18
     2030: 19.69
     2060: 19.74
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2017: 2.586
     2030: 3.030
     2060: 4.089
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2017: 1.731
     2030: 1.994
     2060: 2.608
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2017: 7.430
     2030: 7.541
     2060: 7.814