Country Profile - Nicaragua      IFs Version 7.31
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     Forecast Categories for Nicaragua
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Nicaragua -
Population - Million People - -
     2017: 6.225
     2030: 6.951
     2060: 7.652
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2017: 1.056
     2030: 0.660
     2060: -0.045
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2017: 19.11
     2030: 14.97
     2060: 11.11
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2017: 4.851
     2030: 5.744
     2060: 9.834
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2017: 17.45
     2030: 12.98
     2060: 8.138
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2017: 75.49
     2030: 77.29
     2060: 80.40
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2017: 72.30
     2030: 73.76
     2060: 76.13
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2017: 78.61
     2030: 80.75
     2060: 84.57
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2017: 2.170
     2030: 1.900
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2017: 0.183
     2030: 0.288
     2060: 0.276
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2017: 0.597
     2030: 0.516
     2060: 0.429
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2017: 1.815
     2030: 1.615
     2060: 1.315
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2017: 4.072
     2030: 4.730
     2060: 4.694
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2017: 0.338
     2030: 0.606
     2060: 1.643
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2017: 3.699
     2030: 4.501
     2060: 5.627
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2017: 0.456
     2030: 0.487
     2060: 0.454
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2017: 40.05
     2030: 43.16
     2060: 47.12

Health Forecast for Nicaragua -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2017: 43.19
     2030: 47.51
     2060: 57.75
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2017: 15.13
     2030: 15.41
     2060: 15.92
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2017: 5.557
     2030: 3.546
     2060: 2.539
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2017: 4.754
     2030: 0.930
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2017: 14.82
     2030: 9.108
     2060: 3.569

Education Forecast for Nicaragua -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2017: 122.6
     2030: 113.4
     2060: 102.4
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2017: 82.48
     2030: 91.65
     2060: 98.90
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2017: 86.99
     2030: 90.66
     2060: 92.37
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2017: 59.44
     2030: 71.04
     2060: 79.76
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2017: 18.06
     2030: 26.88
     2060: 44.64
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2017: 7.051
     2030: 8.154
     2060: 10.04
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2017: 83.45
     2030: 88.51
     2060: 98.39

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Nicaragua
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2017: 0.296
     2030: 0.230
     2060: 0.115
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2017: 0.991
     2030: 0.829
     2060: 0.443
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2017: 0.778
     2030: 0.817
     2060: 0.896
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2017: 12.12
     2030: 8.117
     2060: 1.979
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2017: 2,685
     2030: 2,858
     2060: 3,222
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2017: -0.034
     2030: -0.025
     2060: -0.102
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2017: -0.138
     2030: -0.083
     2060: -0.054

Economy Forecast for Nicaragua
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2017: 31.98
     2030: 44.68
     2060: 82.79
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2017: 12.94
     2030: 20.41
     2060: 49.15
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2017: 5.138
     2030: 6.429
     2060: 10.82
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2017: 0.475
     2030: 0.483
     2060: 0.526
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2017: 45.32
     2030: 47.01
     2060: 47.89
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2017: 13.54
     2030: 18.86
     2060: 34.11

Energy Forecast for Nicaragua
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2017: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Nicaragua
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2017: 0.001
     2030: 0.002
     2060: 0.001

International Politics Forecast for Nicaragua
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2017: 0.033
     2030: 0.034
     2060: 0.034

Domestic Government Forecast for Nicaragua
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2017: 9.095
     2030: 9.821
     2060: 11.13
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2017: 19.18
     2030: 19.69
     2060: 19.73
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2017: 2.588
     2030: 3.058
     2060: 4.169
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2017: 1.733
     2030: 2.021
     2060: 2.653
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2017: 7.431
     2030: 7.566
     2060: 7.855