Country Profile - Nicaragua      IFs Version 7.53
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     Forecast Categories for Nicaragua
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Nicaragua -
Population - Million People - -
     2020: 6.591
     2030: 7.270
     2060: 8.474
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2020: 1.053
     2030: 0.843
     2060: 0.124
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2020: 18.14
     2030: 14.86
     2060: 11.14
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2020: 4.240
     2030: 5.100
     2060: 9.046
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Live Births - -
     2020: 15.47
     2030: 14.48
     2060: 9.570
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2020: 78.40
     2030: 79.21
     2060: 82.16
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2020: 75.42
     2030: 76.10
     2060: 78.87
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2020: 81.32
     2030: 82.26
     2060: 85.39
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2020: 2.123
     2030: 1.904
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2020: 0.193
     2030: 0.279
     2060: 0.272
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2020: 0.602
     2030: 0.550
     2060: 0.474
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2020: 1.831
     2030: 1.712
     2060: 1.456
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2020: 4.347
     2030: 4.911
     2060: 5.219
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2020: 0.412
     2030: 0.648
     2060: 1.799
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2020: 3.781
     2030: 4.295
     2060: 5.485
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2020: 0.453
     2030: 0.449
     2060: 0.399
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2020: 39.97
     2030: 42.31
     2060: 46.53

Health Forecast for Nicaragua -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2020: 42.91
     2030: 44.89
     2060: 50.46
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2020: 15.24
     2030: 14.87
     2060: 14.67
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2020: 4.400
     2030: 4.212
     2060: 2.373
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2020: 3.859
     2030: 1.638
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2020: 14.97
     2030: 12.51
     2060: 7.244

Education Forecast for Nicaragua -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2020: 127.4
     2030: 124.5
     2060: 107.7
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2020: 95.68
     2030: 96.99
     2060: 98.92
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2020: 87.25
     2030: 96.07
     2060: 98.45
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2020: 59.61
     2030: 63.92
     2060: 73.73
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2020: 21.25
     2030: 23.30
     2060: 32.49
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2020: 6.618
     2030: 7.171
     2060: 8.481
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2020: 79.90
     2030: 83.88
     2060: 97.72

Social/Human Forecast for Nicaragua
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2020: 1.425
     2030: 1.623
     2060: 0.965
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2020: 2.422
     2030: 2.759
     2060: 1.897
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2020: 0.774
     2030: 0.793
     2060: 0.872
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2020: 14.51
     2030: 11.91
     2060: 1.990
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2020: 2,544
     2030: 2,624
     2060: 2,833
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2020: -0.040
     2030: -0.051
     2060: -0.135
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2020: -0.152
     2030: -0.157
     2060: -0.209

Economy Forecast for Nicaragua
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2020: 28.97
     2030: 33.19
     2060: 51.60
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2020: 11.41
     2030: 12.91
     2060: 23.32
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2020: 4.396
     2030: 4.564
     2060: 6.089
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2020: 0.452
     2030: 0.446
     2060: 0.452
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2020: 45.37
     2030: 45.53
     2060: 45.26
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2020: 12.67
     2030: 13.35
     2060: 18.05

Energy Forecast for Nicaragua
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2020: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Nicaragua
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2020: 0.001
     2030: 0.001
     2060: 0.001

International Politics Forecast for Nicaragua
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2020: 0.033
     2030: 0.032
     2060: 0.031

Domestic Government Forecast for Nicaragua
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2020: 9.108
     2030: 9.451
     2060: 10.27
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2020: 19.54
     2030: 19.69
     2060: 19.65
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2020: 2.532
     2030: 2.830
     2060: 3.579
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2020: 1.693
     2030: 1.830
     2060: 2.311
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2020: 7.013
     2030: 7.069
     2060: 7.221