Country Profile - Nicaragua      IFs Version 7.24
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     Forecast Categories for Nicaragua
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Nicaragua -
Population - Million People - -
     2016: 6.158
     2030: 6.949
     2060: 7.661
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2016: 1.090
     2030: 0.674
     2060: -0.035
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2016: 19.31
     2030: 15.01
     2060: 11.05
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2016: 4.713
     2030: 5.633
     2060: 9.670
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2016: 18.03
     2030: 13.78
     2060: 8.775
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2016: 75.64
     2030: 77.65
     2060: 80.93
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2016: 72.50
     2030: 74.21
     2060: 76.91
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2016: 78.69
     2030: 81.02
     2060: 84.85
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2016: 2.172
     2030: 1.900
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2016: 0.165
     2030: 0.134
     2060: 0.049
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2016: 0.601
     2030: 0.517
     2060: 0.426
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2016: 1.820
     2030: 1.599
     2060: 1.306
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2016: 4.014
     2030: 4.742
     2060: 4.686
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2016: 0.324
     2030: 0.608
     2060: 1.669
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2016: 3.638
     2030: 4.490
     2060: 5.570
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2016: 0.449
     2030: 0.484
     2060: 0.448
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2016: 39.30
     2030: 42.66
     2060: 46.73

Health Forecast for Nicaragua -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2016: 36.79
     2030: 40.67
     2060: 48.35
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2016: 15.12
     2030: 15.35
     2060: 15.79
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2016: 5.582
     2030: 4.636
     2060: 3.425
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2016: 4.910
     2030: 2.922
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2016: 15.30
     2030: 9.361
     2060: 4.120

Education Forecast for Nicaragua -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2016: 120.3
     2030: 102.6
     2060: 98.95
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2016: 97.03
     2030: 98.97
     2060: 98.87
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 86.77
     2030: 84.98
     2060: 92.03
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 58.21
     2030: 58.41
     2060: 70.52
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 17.30
     2030: 22.78
     2060: 33.41
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2016: 6.952
     2030: 8.176
     2060: 9.891
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2016: 79.15
     2030: 84.83
     2060: 98.16

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Nicaragua
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2016: 0.346
     2030: 0.274
     2060: 0.086
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2016: 1.019
     2030: 0.851
     2060: 0.335
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2016: 0.762
     2030: 0.805
     2060: 0.894
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2016: 14.89
     2030: 10.93
     2060: 3.219
Calories per capita available - Total - Available per Person per Day - -
     2016: 2,626
     2030: 2,804
     2060: 3,116
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2016: -0.043
     2030: -0.041
     2060: -0.128
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2016: -0.160
     2030: -0.109
     2060: -0.098

Economy Forecast for Nicaragua
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 30.41
     2030: 42.97
     2060: 76.57
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 12.27
     2030: 19.51
     2060: 44.12
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 4.939
     2030: 6.184
     2060: 9.994
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2016: 0.465
     2030: 0.479
     2060: 0.494
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2016: 45.43
     2030: 46.87
     2060: 47.79
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2016: 12.78
     2030: 18.08
     2060: 29.13

Energy Forecast for Nicaragua
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2016: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Nicaragua
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2016: 0.001
     2030: 0.002
     2060: 0.002

International Politics Forecast for Nicaragua
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2016: 0.033
     2030: 0.033
     2060: 0.033

Domestic Government Forecast for Nicaragua
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2016: 9.102
     2030: 9.835
     2060: 11.07
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2016: 19.18
     2030: 19.68
     2060: 19.75
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2016: 2.585
     2030: 3.075
     2060: 4.115
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2016: 1.730
     2030: 2.025
     2060: 2.620
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2016: 7.430
     2030: 7.564
     2060: 7.826