Country Profile - Nicaragua      IFs Version 6.69
  Continue    Change Country    Display Options    Map Source  


Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
www.ifs.du.edu


Sign up for our monthly newsletter.

     Forecast Categories for Nicaragua
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Nicaragua -
Population - Million People - -
     2013: 6.106
     2030: 7.825
     2060: 9.543
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2013: 1.764
     2030: 1.083
     2060: 0.259
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2013: 23.20
     2030: 16.59
     2060: 11.88
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2013: 4.764
     2030: 5.479
     2060: 8.992
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2013: 19.01
     2030: 14.20
     2060: 8.553
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2013: 74.13
     2030: 76.23
     2060: 79.30
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2013: 71.04
     2030: 73.03
     2060: 75.74
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2013: 77.17
     2030: 79.39
     2060: 82.79
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2013: 2.530
     2030: 2.038
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2013: 0.133
     2030: 0.106
     2060: 0.035
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2013: 0.823
     2030: 0.791
     2060: 0.686
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2013: 1.995
     2030: 2.028
     2060: 1.751
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2013: 3.830
     2030: 5.219
     2060: 6.098
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2013: 0.282
     2030: 0.578
     2060: 1.694
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2013: 3.503
     2030: 4.646
     2060: 6.269
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2013: 0.409
     2030: 0.451
     2060: 0.447
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2013: 38.68
     2030: 42.59
     2060: 46.49

Health Forecast for Nicaragua -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2013: 36.60
     2030: 38.54
     2060: 42.41
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2013: 22.25
     2030: 21.45
     2060: 20.60
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2013: 5.711
     2030: 5.148
     2060: 4.036
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2013: 5.067
     2030: 1.147
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2013: 20.39
     2030: 16.33
     2060: 9.857

Education Forecast for Nicaragua -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2013: 118.8
     2030: 109.4
     2060: 101.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2013: 90.04
     2030: 96.06
     2060: 99.15
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2013: 79.40
     2030: 92.24
     2060: 94.71
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2013: 54.23
     2030: 67.09
     2060: 74.73
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2013: 18.10
     2030: 20.88
     2060: 25.74
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2013: 6.059
     2030: 7.469
     2060: 9.200
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2013: 81.03
     2030: 88.14
     2060: 98.40

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Nicaragua
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation - Million People - -
     2013: 0.954
     2030: 1.436
     2060: 1.798
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation - Million People - -
     2013: 1.914
     2030: 2.639
     2060: 3.077
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2013: 0.722
     2030: 0.772
     2060: 0.846
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2013: 13.84
     2030: 9.012
     2060: 2.548
Calories per capita available - Available per Person per Day - -
     2013: 2,541
     2030: 2,631
     2060: 2,796
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2013: -0.262
     2030: -0.260
     2060: -0.260
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2013: -0.717
     2030: -0.589
     2060: -0.418

Economy Forecast for Nicaragua
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2005 Dollars - -
     2013: 15.15
     2030: 25.21
     2060: 46.88
Gross domestic product - Billion 2005 Dollars - -
     2013: 6.281
     2030: 11.13
     2060: 22.83
GDP per capita at PPP - Thousand 2005 Dollars - -
     2013: 2.481
     2030: 3.222
     2060: 4.913
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2013: 0.437
     2030: 0.470
     2060: 0.526
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2013: 55.99
     2030: 63.21
     2060: 63.85
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2013: 12.37
     2030: 15.71
     2060: 21.61

Energy Forecast for Nicaragua
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2013: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Nicaragua
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2013: 0.001
     2030: 0.002
     2060: 0.003

International Politics Forecast for Nicaragua
Power index (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2013: 0.030
     2030: 0.033
     2060: 0.034

Domestic Government Forecast for Nicaragua
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2013: 8.103
     2030: 8.668
     2060: 9.499
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2013: 19.18
     2030: 19.62
     2060: 19.77
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2013: 2.580
     2030: 3.052
     2060: 3.778
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2013: 1.608
     2030: 1.904
     2060: 2.384
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2013: 6.996
     2030: 7.161
     2060: 7.415