Country Profile - Nigeria      IFs Version 7.26
  Continue    Change Country    Display Options    Map Source    Help  


Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
www.ifs.du.edu


Sign up for our monthly newsletter.

     Forecast Categories for Nigeria
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Nigeria -
Population - Million People - -
     2016: 186.5
     2030: 261.8
     2060: 467.5
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2016: 2.494
     2030: 2.381
     2060: 1.377
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2016: 38.20
     2030: 34.52
     2060: 21.02
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2016: 12.94
     2030: 10.49
     2060: 7.173
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2016: 74.27
     2030: 58.84
     2060: 24.70
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2016: 53.65
     2030: 58.21
     2060: 68.55
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2016: 53.21
     2030: 57.06
     2060: 66.16
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2016: 54.10
     2030: 59.42
     2060: 71.02
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2016: 5.453
     2030: 4.700
     2060: 2.722
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2016: 1.906
     2030: 1.644
     2060: 0.609
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2016: 31.69
     2030: 40.12
     2060: 48.41
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2016: 81.55
     2030: 104.7
     2060: 143.9
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2016: 99.76
     2030: 149.0
     2060: 297.1
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2016: 5.177
     2030: 8.092
     2060: 26.44
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2016: 91.50
     2030: 168.8
     2060: 392.0
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2016: 0.319
     2030: 0.353
     2060: 0.408
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2016: 42.99
     2030: 46.01
     2060: 48.81

Health Forecast for Nigeria -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2016: 7.728
     2030: 8.979
     2060: 11.64
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2016: 8.970
     2030: 9.822
     2060: 11.71
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2016: 19.17
     2030: 14.42
     2060: 3.914
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2016: 19.07
     2030: 14.60
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2016: 6.262
     2030: 4.584
     2060: 2.598

Education Forecast for Nigeria -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2016: 89.60
     2030: 94.24
     2060: 100.1
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2016: 63.53
     2030: 73.90
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 48.72
     2030: 55.96
     2060: 98.66
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 40.58
     2030: 39.07
     2060: 100.3
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 10.49
     2030: 13.23
     2060: 49.80
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2016: 6.274
     2030: 6.452
     2060: 8.641
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2016: 52.50
     2030: 80.31
     2060: 99.54

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Nigeria
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2016: 111.7
     2030: 128.4
     2060: 125.0
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2016: 148.2
     2030: 183.7
     2060: 218.5
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2016: 0.558
     2030: 0.688
     2060: 0.842
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2016: 37.99
     2030: 22.50
     2060: 7.682
Calories per capita available - Total - Available per Person per Day - -
     2016: 2,721
     2030: 2,884
     2060: 3,171
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2016: -1.628
     2030: -1.460
     2060: -0.846
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2016: -0.370
     2030: -0.181
     2060: 0.231

Economy Forecast for Nigeria
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 1,047
     2030: 1,800
     2060: 5,809
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 514.7
     2030: 953.5
     2060: 3,968
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 5.612
     2030: 6.874
     2060: 12.43
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2016: 0.431
     2030: 0.444
     2060: 0.454
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2016: 34.39
     2030: 28.33
     2060: 19.11
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2016: 8.672
     2030: 9.624
     2060: 48.69

Energy Forecast for Nigeria
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2016: 1.445
     2030: 1.804
     2060: 0.540

Environment Forecast for Nigeria
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2016: 0.029
     2030: 0.081
     2060: 0.133

International Politics Forecast for Nigeria
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2016: 1.044
     2030: 1.273
     2060: 2.265

Domestic Government Forecast for Nigeria
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2016: 7.008
     2030: 7.235
     2060: 8.710
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2016: 13.96
     2030: 13.71
     2060: 14.45
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2016: 2.409
     2030: 2.612
     2060: 3.522
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2016: 1.336
     2030: 1.609
     2060: 2.425
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2016: 6.434
     2030: 6.524
     2060: 6.927