Country Profile - Nigeria      IFs Version 7.58
  Continue    Change Country    Display Options    Map Source    Help  


Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
www.ifs.du.edu


Sign up for our monthly newsletter.

     Forecast Categories for Nigeria
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Nigeria -
Population - Million People - -
     2021: 216.9
     2030: 281.0
     2060: 556.3
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2021: 2.973
     2030: 2.822
     2060: 1.643
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2021: 38.61
     2030: 35.89
     2060: 20.94
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2021: 8.447
     2030: 7.378
     2060: 4.402
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Live Births - -
     2021: 69.76
     2030: 58.73
     2060: 19.81
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2021: 65.02
     2030: 68.30
     2060: 78.86
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2021: 63.55
     2030: 66.66
     2060: 77.17
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2021: 66.54
     2030: 70.00
     2060: 80.61
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2021: 5.492
     2030: 4.981
     2060: 2.739
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2021: 1.490
     2030: 1.186
     2060: 0.302
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2021: 35.93
     2030: 44.21
     2060: 57.41
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2021: 92.83
     2030: 113.8
     2060: 169.7
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2021: 116.9
     2030: 155.9
     2060: 348.1
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2021: 7.241
     2030: 11.27
     2060: 38.56
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2021: 112.2
     2030: 159.7
     2060: 391.3
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2021: 0.306
     2030: 0.310
     2060: 0.309
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2021: 46.59
     2030: 48.05
     2060: 49.70

Health Forecast for Nigeria -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2021: 10.43
     2030: 11.24
     2060: 16.37
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2021: 8.977
     2030: 9.226
     2060: 12.76
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2021: 17.91
     2030: 15.58
     2060: 6.187
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2021: 16.74
     2030: 13.85
     2060: 2.855
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2021: 9.196
     2030: 7.732
     2060: 2.715

Education Forecast for Nigeria -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2021: 95.51
     2030: 101.1
     2060: 102.4
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2021: 67.89
     2030: 73.61
     2060: 99.57
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2021: 59.57
     2030: 68.65
     2060: 94.61
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2021: 49.30
     2030: 55.52
     2060: 83.15
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2021: 10.66
     2030: 14.81
     2060: 40.04
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2021: 7.529
     2030: 7.862
     2060: 9.487
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2021: 65.91
     2030: 80.92
     2060: 99.93

Social/Human Forecast for Nigeria
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2021: 41.65
     2030: 45.27
     2060: 8.536
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2021: 71.93
     2030: 79.41
     2060: 22.92
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2021: 0.659
     2030: 0.736
     2060: 0.919
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2021: 26.13
     2030: 17.65
     2060: 5.640
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2021: 2,548
     2030: 2,636
     2060: 3,093
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2021: -1.624
     2030: -1.528
     2060: -0.895
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2021: -0.365
     2030: -0.280
     2060: 0.222

Economy Forecast for Nigeria
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2021: 1,072
     2030: 1,629
     2060: 9,535
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2021: 500.7
     2030: 807.7
     2060: 7,345
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2021: 4.940
     2030: 5.798
     2060: 17.14
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2021: 0.430
     2030: 0.449
     2060: 0.440
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2021: 40.91
     2030: 40.76
     2060: 19.46
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2021: 5.840
     2030: 8.451
     2060: 31.44

Energy Forecast for Nigeria
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2021: 0.789
     2030: 0.695
     2060: 1.128

Environment Forecast for Nigeria
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2021: 0.046
     2030: 0.084
     2060: 0.475

International Politics Forecast for Nigeria
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2021: 1.083
     2030: 1.316
     2060: 4.246

Domestic Government Forecast for Nigeria
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2021: 7.024
     2030: 7.204
     2060: 8.238
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2021: 16.79
     2030: 16.53
     2060: 16.96
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2021: 2.270
     2030: 2.484
     2060: 4.069
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2021: 1.515
     2030: 1.728
     2060: 2.811
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2021: 6.564
     2030: 6.703
     2060: 7.380