Country Profile - Nigeria      IFs Version 6.69
  Continue    Change Country    Display Options    Map Source  


Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
www.ifs.du.edu


Sign up for our monthly newsletter.

     Forecast Categories for Nigeria
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Nigeria -
Population - Million People - -
     2013: 170.5
     2030: 251.8
     2060: 407.9
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2013: 2.465
     2030: 2.115
     2060: 1.057
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2013: 38.50
     2030: 29.56
     2060: 17.07
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2013: 13.71
     2030: 8.298
     2060: 6.383
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2013: 84.38
     2030: 40.38
     2060: 8.520
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2013: 53.59
     2030: 63.35
     2060: 73.99
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2013: 52.67
     2030: 61.83
     2060: 71.70
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2013: 54.53
     2030: 64.92
     2060: 76.36
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2013: 5.314
     2030: 3.877
     2060: 2.193
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2013: 1.626
     2030: 1.302
     2060: 0.426
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2013: 33.47
     2030: 41.11
     2060: 42.01
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2013: 72.50
     2030: 95.06
     2060: 106.4
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2013: 92.10
     2030: 147.2
     2060: 270.3
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2013: 5.900
     2030: 9.545
     2060: 31.20
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2013: 88.73
     2030: 163.4
     2060: 322.3
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2013: 0.311
     2030: 0.352
     2060: 0.419
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2013: 35.78
     2030: 39.89
     2060: 44.46

Health Forecast for Nigeria -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2013: 7.840
     2030: 9.412
     2060: 11.29
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2013: 6.427
     2030: 7.580
     2060: 9.167
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2013: 24.90
     2030: 13.35
     2060: 5.093
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2013: 25.45
     2030: 16.69
     2060: 3.130
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2013: 7.516
     2030: 3.913
     2060: 0.112

Education Forecast for Nigeria -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2013: 97.64
     2030: 109.8
     2060: 101.5
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2013: 62.98
     2030: 80.51
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2013: 37.95
     2030: 61.69
     2060: 95.94
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2013: 27.38
     2030: 40.88
     2060: 87.51
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2013: 11.17
     2030: 19.70
     2060: 36.94
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2013: 4.264
     2030: 5.288
     2060: 8.256
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2013: 62.60
     2030: 84.78
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Nigeria
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation - Million People - -
     2013: 91.29
     2030: 21.75
     2060: 39.33
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation - Million People - -
     2013: 123.9
     2030: 47.14
     2060: 82.62
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2013: 0.542
     2030: 0.708
     2060: 0.866
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2013: 35.56
     2030: 18.73
     2060: 5.633
Calories per capita available - Available per Person per Day - -
     2013: 2,744
     2030: 2,944
     2060: 3,145
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2013: 1.061
     2030: 0.845
     2060: 0.301
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2013: 1.480
     2030: 1.295
     2060: 0.858

Economy Forecast for Nigeria
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2005 Dollars - -
     2013: 390.9
     2030: 1,152
     2060: 4,390
Gross domestic product - Billion 2005 Dollars - -
     2013: 189.5
     2030: 706.1
     2060: 3,395
GDP per capita at PPP - Thousand 2005 Dollars - -
     2013: 2.293
     2030: 4.575
     2060: 10.76
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2013: 0.445
     2030: 0.477
     2060: 0.482
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2013: 40.08
     2030: 42.96
     2060: 28.15
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2013: 7.222
     2030: 15.28
     2060: 32.70

Energy Forecast for Nigeria
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2013: 0.923
     2030: 1.875
     2060: 0.718

Environment Forecast for Nigeria
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2013: 0.024
     2030: 0.088
     2060: 0.115

International Politics Forecast for Nigeria
Power index (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2013: 0.850
     2030: 1.224
     2060: 1.986

Domestic Government Forecast for Nigeria
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2013: 8.185
     2030: 9.461
     2060: 11.22
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2013: 14.02
     2030: 14.01
     2060: 15.37
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2013: 2.438
     2030: 2.777
     2060: 3.732
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2013: 1.405
     2030: 1.856
     2060: 2.743
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2013: 6.378
     2030: 6.768
     2060: 7.476