Country Profile - Nigeria      IFs Version 7.31
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     Forecast Categories for Nigeria
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Nigeria -
Population - Million People - -
     2017: 190.5
     2030: 262.2
     2060: 482.7
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2017: 2.526
     2030: 2.430
     2060: 1.566
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2017: 38.64
     2030: 35.21
     2060: 23.16
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2017: 13.07
     2030: 10.70
     2060: 7.422
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2017: 71.32
     2030: 60.94
     2060: 29.30
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2017: 53.38
     2030: 57.96
     2060: 67.87
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2017: 52.55
     2030: 56.62
     2060: 65.78
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2017: 54.24
     2030: 59.36
     2060: 70.02
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2017: 5.491
     2030: 4.802
     2060: 3.026
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2017: 1.819
     2030: 1.344
     2060: 0.343
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2017: 32.58
     2030: 40.80
     2060: 53.65
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2017: 83.48
     2030: 106.3
     2060: 154.0
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2017: 101.8
     2030: 147.9
     2060: 301.8
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2017: 5.260
     2030: 8.081
     2060: 26.90
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2017: 95.60
     2030: 169.2
     2060: 406.3
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2017: 0.321
     2030: 0.352
     2060: 0.405
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2017: 42.99
     2030: 45.84
     2060: 48.76

Health Forecast for Nigeria -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2017: 10.33
     2030: 11.65
     2060: 15.41
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2017: 8.925
     2030: 9.521
     2060: 11.10
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2017: 23.53
     2030: 19.74
     2060: 5.255
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2017: 23.55
     2030: 19.13
     2060: 9.128
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2017: 6.667
     2030: 5.208
     2060: 2.796

Education Forecast for Nigeria -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2017: 96.35
     2030: 102.4
     2060: 103.2
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2017: 65.46
     2030: 72.66
     2060: 94.91
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2017: 55.07
     2030: 68.08
     2060: 86.08
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2017: 59.14
     2030: 60.42
     2060: 73.22
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2017: 10.31
     2030: 13.58
     2060: 33.12
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2017: 6.348
     2030: 6.928
     2060: 8.523
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2017: 60.78
     2030: 80.16
     2060: 99.75

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Nigeria
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2017: 119.3
     2030: 154.3
     2060: 208.2
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2017: 142.5
     2030: 186.6
     2060: 268.6
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2017: 0.582
     2030: 0.675
     2060: 0.815
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2017: 34.22
     2030: 24.18
     2060: 8.490
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2017: 2,710
     2030: 2,855
     2060: 3,200
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2017: -1.632
     2030: -1.509
     2060: -0.964
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2017: -0.378
     2030: -0.256
     2060: 0.037

Economy Forecast for Nigeria
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2017: 1,026
     2030: 1,484
     2060: 3,929
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2017: 504.7
     2030: 727.4
     2060: 2,214
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2017: 5.385
     2030: 5.658
     2060: 8.139
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2017: 0.431
     2030: 0.445
     2060: 0.469
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2017: 39.92
     2030: 42.83
     2060: 44.35
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2017: 8.472
     2030: 9.126
     2060: 20.32

Energy Forecast for Nigeria
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2017: 1.204
     2030: 1.410
     2060: 0.696

Environment Forecast for Nigeria
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2017: 0.033
     2030: 0.059
     2060: 0.139

International Politics Forecast for Nigeria
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2017: 1.026
     2030: 1.206
     2060: 1.999

Domestic Government Forecast for Nigeria
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2017: 7.019
     2030: 7.337
     2060: 8.282
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2017: 16.89
     2030: 16.35
     2060: 16.59
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2017: 2.357
     2030: 2.459
     2060: 3.002
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2017: 1.307
     2030: 1.487
     2060: 2.159
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2017: 6.396
     2030: 6.419
     2060: 6.673