Country Profile - Niger      IFs Version 7.45
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Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
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     Forecast Categories for Niger
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Niger -
Population - Million People - -
     2019: 23.35
     2030: 34.76
     2060: 74.50
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2019: 3.925
     2030: 3.391
     2060: 1.699
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2019: 46.71
     2030: 38.74
     2060: 20.88
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2019: 8.390
     2030: 5.034
     2060: 3.837
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Live Births - -
     2019: 42.98
     2030: 20.30
     2060: 5.344
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2019: 64.48
     2030: 70.99
     2060: 76.29
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2019: 63.19
     2030: 69.56
     2060: 75.08
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2019: 65.79
     2030: 72.46
     2060: 77.55
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2019: 6.912
     2030: 5.324
     2060: 2.560
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2019: 0.168
     2030: 0.129
     2060: 0.033
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2019: 4.653
     2030: 6.160
     2060: 7.836
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2019: 11.53
     2030: 16.00
     2060: 23.50
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2019: 11.19
     2030: 17.66
     2060: 47.74
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2019: 0.627
     2030: 1.102
     2060: 3.259
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2019: 3.787
     2030: 5.824
     2060: 17.19
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2019: 0.380
     2030: 0.350
     2060: 0.328
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2019: 44.59
     2030: 46.77
     2060: 49.21

Health Forecast for Niger -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2019: 4.446
     2030: 5.017
     2060: 6.884
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2019: 8.594
     2030: 8.975
     2060: 10.49
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2019: 30.59
     2030: 16.18
     2060: 3.728
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2019: 31.58
     2030: 25.97
     2060: 15.86
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2019: 11.67
     2030: 9.068
     2060: 4.283

Education Forecast for Niger -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2019: 79.05
     2030: 86.33
     2060: 101.9
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2019: 64.97
     2030: 74.17
     2060: 95.85
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2019: 33.03
     2030: 47.15
     2060: 75.57
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2019: 12.50
     2030: 23.50
     2060: 50.15
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2019: 2.558
     2030: 7.837
     2060: 26.07
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2019: 1.935
     2030: 3.074
     2060: 6.577
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2019: 21.25
     2030: 55.90
     2060: 92.00

Social/Human Forecast for Niger
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2019: 10.89
     2030: 14.39
     2060: 0.043
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2019: 16.65
     2030: 23.45
     2060: 0.597
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2019: 0.417
     2030: 0.584
     2060: 0.805
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2019: 56.43
     2030: 31.37
     2060: 5.658
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2019: 2,620
     2030: 2,731
     2060: 3,017
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2019: -0.437
     2030: -0.478
     2060: -0.447
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2019: -1.099
     2030: -0.935
     2060: -0.378

Economy Forecast for Niger
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2019: 22.73
     2030: 45.04
     2060: 346.8
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2019: 10.43
     2030: 20.65
     2060: 216.1
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2019: 0.973
     2030: 1.296
     2060: 4.654
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2019: 0.355
     2030: 0.344
     2060: 0.278
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2019: 36.77
     2030: 42.43
     2060: 36.79
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2019: 2.665
     2030: 5.863
     2060: 19.83

Energy Forecast for Niger
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2019: 0.010
     2030: 0.007
     2060: 0.003

Environment Forecast for Niger
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2019: 0.001
     2030: 0.002
     2060: 0.013

International Politics Forecast for Niger
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2019: 0.089
     2030: 0.124
     2060: 0.271

Domestic Government Forecast for Niger
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2019: 9.428
     2030: 10.91
     2060: 14.00
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2019: 15.52
     2030: 14.77
     2060: 16.32
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2019: 2.481
     2030: 2.472
     2060: 3.172
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2019: 1.912
     2030: 2.035
     2060: 2.764
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2019: 5.767
     2030: 5.892
     2060: 6.572