Country Profile - Niger      IFs Version 7.00
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Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
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     Forecast Categories for Niger
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Niger -
Population - Million People - -
     2014: 18.06
     2030: 30.32
     2060: 70.43
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2014: 3.300
     2030: 3.204
     2060: 2.443
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2014: 45.71
     2030: 41.08
     2060: 30.40
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2014: 12.71
     2030: 9.039
     2060: 5.969
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2014: 61.23
     2030: 44.10
     2060: 25.70
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2014: 56.40
     2030: 62.63
     2060: 70.23
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2014: 55.67
     2030: 61.36
     2060: 68.56
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2014: 57.15
     2030: 63.95
     2060: 71.98
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2014: 6.801
     2030: 5.542
     2060: 4.053
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2014: 0.376
     2030: 0.302
     2060: 0.099
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2014: 4.108
     2030: 6.327
     2060: 11.64
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2014: 8.816
     2030: 13.53
     2060: 26.36
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2014: 8.762
     2030: 15.86
     2060: 41.30
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2014: 0.482
     2030: 0.928
     2060: 2.775
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2014: 3.278
     2030: 6.703
     2060: 22.35
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2014: 0.332
     2030: 0.371
     2060: 0.436
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2014: 32.37
     2030: 36.37
     2060: 41.59

Health Forecast for Niger -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2014: 3.111
     2030: 2.069
     2060: 2.187
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2014: 10.71
     2030: 11.12
     2060: 11.74
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2014: 38.40
     2030: 37.25
     2060: 34.21
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2014: 38.40
     2030: 38.72
     2060: 41.55
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2014: 12.25
     2030: 17.72
     2060: 30.61

Education Forecast for Niger -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2014: 71.21
     2030: 95.25
     2060: 100.6
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2014: 57.08
     2030: 66.68
     2060: 82.76
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2014: 21.94
     2030: 37.41
     2060: 50.50
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2014: 5.839
     2030: 8.740
     2060: 16.28
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2014: 1.880
     2030: 2.351
     2060: 2.679
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2014: 1.588
     2030: 2.334
     2060: 4.429
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2014: 31.90
     2030: 63.16
     2060: 89.70

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Niger
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation - Million People - -
     2014: 7.702
     2030: 16.85
     2060: 36.36
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation - Million People - -
     2014: 13.77
     2030: 26.04
     2060: 56.88
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2014: 0.383
     2030: 0.522
     2060: 0.655
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2014: 52.17
     2030: 34.01
     2060: 23.52
Calories per capita available - Available per Person per Day - -
     2014: 2,522
     2030: 2,090
     2060: 1,613
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2014: -0.550
     2030: -0.691
     2060: -0.953
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2014: -1.387
     2030: -1.284
     2060: -1.312

Economy Forecast for Niger
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2005 Dollars - -
     2014: 11.27
     2030: 19.03
     2060: 46.55
Gross domestic product - Billion 2005 Dollars - -
     2014: 4.740
     2030: 6.475
     2060: 11.48
GDP per capita at PPP - Thousand 2005 Dollars - -
     2014: 0.624
     2030: 0.628
     2060: 0.661
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2014: 0.347
     2030: 0.335
     2060: 0.375
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2014: 46.08
     2030: 53.71
     2060: 52.99
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2014: 1.419
     2030: 1.516
     2060: 2.004

Energy Forecast for Niger
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2014: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Niger
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2014: 0.001
     2030: 0.002
     2060: 0.004

International Politics Forecast for Niger
Power index (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2014: 0.070
     2030: 0.100
     2060: 0.198

Domestic Government Forecast for Niger
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2014: 7.218
     2030: 8.150
     2060: 10.12
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2014: 12.65
     2030: 12.04
     2060: 13.22
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2014: 2.573
     2030: 2.470
     2060: 2.675
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2014: 1.876
     2030: 1.756
     2060: 1.623
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2014: 5.601
     2030: 5.569
     2060: 5.630