Country Profile - Niger      IFs Version 7.24
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Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
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     Forecast Categories for Niger
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Niger -
Population - Million People - -
     2016: 20.64
     2030: 34.16
     2060: 75.38
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2016: 3.914
     2030: 3.367
     2060: 1.865
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2016: 48.34
     2030: 38.94
     2060: 22.36
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2016: 8.917
     2030: 5.107
     2060: 3.664
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2016: 52.98
     2030: 25.72
     2060: 8.718
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2016: 63.02
     2030: 70.38
     2060: 76.47
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2016: 62.04
     2030: 68.96
     2060: 75.18
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2016: 64.02
     2030: 71.84
     2060: 77.83
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2016: 7.423
     2030: 5.434
     2060: 2.782
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2016: 0.271
     2030: 0.224
     2060: 0.083
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2016: 4.302
     2030: 6.057
     2060: 8.389
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2016: 10.39
     2030: 15.86
     2060: 24.71
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2016: 9.709
     2030: 17.21
     2060: 47.50
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2016: 0.541
     2030: 1.080
     2060: 3.167
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2016: 3.891
     2030: 7.545
     2060: 25.41
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2016: 0.323
     2030: 0.358
     2060: 0.471
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2016: 31.76
     2030: 35.43
     2060: 41.00

Health Forecast for Niger -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2016: 3.060
     2030: 3.704
     2060: 5.315
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2016: 8.596
     2030: 9.314
     2060: 10.40
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2016: 36.81
     2030: 20.49
     2060: 4.012
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2016: 37.05
     2030: 29.76
     2060: 14.93
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2016: 9.251
     2030: 7.132
     2060: 4.398

Education Forecast for Niger -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2016: 76.92
     2030: 90.20
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2016: 63.04
     2030: 81.60
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 26.84
     2030: 48.11
     2060: 92.44
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 10.36
     2030: 21.70
     2060: 66.97
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 1.952
     2030: 5.034
     2060: 17.55
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2016: 1.938
     2030: 3.084
     2060: 6.606
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2016: 17.72
     2030: 60.45
     2060: 94.91

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Niger
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2016: 7.662
     2030: 9.878
     2060: 4.518
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2016: 14.88
     2030: 21.27
     2060: 15.41
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2016: 0.395
     2030: 0.594
     2060: 0.793
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2016: 59.20
     2030: 29.41
     2060: 3.886
Calories per capita available - Total - Available per Person per Day - -
     2016: 2,601
     2030: 2,753
     2060: 3,039
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2016: -0.429
     2030: -0.509
     2060: -0.597
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2016: -1.132
     2030: -0.987
     2060: -0.684

Economy Forecast for Niger
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 19.28
     2030: 42.97
     2060: 230.6
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 8.808
     2030: 19.23
     2060: 116.5
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 0.934
     2030: 1.258
     2060: 3.059
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2016: 0.312
     2030: 0.328
     2060: 0.386
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2016: 30.74
     2030: 34.40
     2060: 35.12
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2016: 1.892
     2030: 2.671
     2060: 9.613

Energy Forecast for Niger
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2016: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.001

Environment Forecast for Niger
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2016: 0.001
     2030: 0.003
     2060: 0.011

International Politics Forecast for Niger
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2016: 0.080
     2030: 0.117
     2060: 0.241

Domestic Government Forecast for Niger
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2016: 9.183
     2030: 11.11
     2060: 14.00
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2016: 15.76
     2030: 14.51
     2060: 16.00
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2016: 2.497
     2030: 2.442
     2060: 2.959
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2016: 1.771
     2030: 1.895
     2060: 2.419
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2016: 5.803
     2030: 5.920
     2060: 6.403