Country Profile - Niger      IFs Version 7.31
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Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
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     Forecast Categories for Niger
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Niger -
Population - Million People - -
     2017: 21.41
     2030: 33.80
     2060: 73.38
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2017: 3.757
     2030: 3.307
     2060: 1.854
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2017: 47.66
     2030: 39.24
     2060: 22.99
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2017: 9.824
     2030: 6.006
     2060: 4.405
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2017: 56.49
     2030: 28.81
     2060: 9.265
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2017: 61.06
     2030: 67.93
     2060: 73.65
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2017: 59.94
     2030: 66.37
     2060: 72.13
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2017: 62.19
     2030: 69.54
     2060: 75.22
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2017: 7.151
     2030: 5.407
     2060: 2.848
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2017: 0.253
     2030: 0.187
     2060: 0.048
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2017: 4.371
     2030: 6.017
     2060: 8.308
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2017: 10.70
     2030: 15.64
     2060: 24.25
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2017: 10.16
     2030: 17.13
     2060: 46.19
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2017: 0.552
     2030: 1.028
     2060: 2.944
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2017: 4.109
     2030: 7.615
     2060: 25.69
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2017: 0.324
     2030: 0.357
     2060: 0.467
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2017: 31.86
     2030: 35.30
     2060: 40.94

Health Forecast for Niger -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2017: 4.453
     2030: 5.240
     2060: 7.528
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2017: 8.550
     2030: 9.193
     2060: 10.30
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2017: 35.79
     2030: 22.89
     2060: 4.475
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2017: 35.97
     2030: 30.00
     2060: 19.79
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2017: 9.044
     2030: 6.957
     2060: 3.949

Education Forecast for Niger -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2017: 76.57
     2030: 92.50
     2060: 106.9
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2017: 42.63
     2030: 56.10
     2060: 78.35
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2017: 29.57
     2030: 45.48
     2060: 70.28
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2017: 10.61
     2030: 20.46
     2060: 40.84
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2017: 1.946
     2030: 5.276
     2060: 16.39
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2017: 2.028
     2030: 3.207
     2060: 6.276
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2017: 21.23
     2030: 56.70
     2060: 92.92

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Niger
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2017: 7.951
     2030: 10.84
     2060: 6.837
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2017: 15.77
     2030: 22.80
     2060: 21.45
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2017: 0.396
     2030: 0.567
     2060: 0.765
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2017: 56.95
     2030: 32.56
     2060: 5.526
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2017: 2,621
     2030: 2,769
     2060: 3,100
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2017: -0.429
     2030: -0.508
     2060: -0.613
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2017: -1.132
     2030: -1.004
     2060: -0.731

Economy Forecast for Niger
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2017: 20.10
     2030: 41.26
     2060: 202.8
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2017: 9.199
     2030: 18.43
     2060: 98.60
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2017: 0.939
     2030: 1.221
     2060: 2.764
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2017: 0.344
     2030: 0.359
     2060: 0.419
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2017: 30.20
     2030: 34.52
     2060: 35.29
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2017: 1.834
     2030: 3.051
     2060: 7.448

Energy Forecast for Niger
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2017: 0.015
     2030: 0.007
     2060: 0.002

Environment Forecast for Niger
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2017: 0.001
     2030: 0.002
     2060: 0.009

International Politics Forecast for Niger
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2017: 0.081
     2030: 0.115
     2060: 0.227

Domestic Government Forecast for Niger
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2017: 9.222
     2030: 10.87
     2060: 14.00
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2017: 15.77
     2030: 14.64
     2060: 16.10
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2017: 2.498
     2030: 2.451
     2060: 2.930
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2017: 1.778
     2030: 1.889
     2060: 2.377
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2017: 5.808
     2030: 5.916
     2060: 6.370