Country Profile - Niger      IFs Version 7.08
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Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
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     Forecast Categories for Niger
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Niger -
Population - Million People - -
     2014: 18.25
     2030: 31.21
     2060: 66.28
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2014: 3.545
     2030: 3.183
     2060: 1.835
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2014: 48.95
     2030: 40.36
     2060: 23.27
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2014: 13.20
     2030: 8.364
     2060: 4.881
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2014: 62.22
     2030: 38.88
     2060: 15.01
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2014: 56.25
     2030: 63.45
     2060: 72.45
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2014: 55.51
     2030: 62.16
     2060: 71.01
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2014: 57.01
     2030: 64.78
     2060: 73.95
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2014: 7.377
     2030: 5.553
     2060: 2.898
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2014: 0.376
     2030: 0.302
     2060: 0.099
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2014: 4.328
     2030: 6.582
     2060: 8.970
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2014: 9.024
     2030: 14.26
     2060: 21.76
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2014: 8.746
     2030: 16.02
     2060: 41.81
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2014: 0.482
     2030: 0.924
     2060: 2.717
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2014: 3.389
     2030: 7.127
     2060: 23.28
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2014: 0.331
     2030: 0.367
     2060: 0.473
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2014: 32.21
     2030: 36.22
     2060: 41.46

Health Forecast for Niger -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2014: 3.065
     2030: 2.864
     2060: 2.865
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2014: 5.094
     2030: 5.644
     2060: 6.531
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2014: 38.36
     2030: 29.53
     2060: 15.10
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2014: 38.49
     2030: 34.26
     2060: 25.70
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2014: 12.42
     2030: 13.55
     2060: 14.28

Education Forecast for Niger -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2014: 71.94
     2030: 97.55
     2060: 106.2
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2014: 57.56
     2030: 69.91
     2060: 95.29
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2014: 22.00
     2030: 39.19
     2060: 77.78
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2014: 5.518
     2030: 9.298
     2060: 35.35
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2014: 2.234
     2030: 5.400
     2060: 14.54
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2014: 1.798
     2030: 2.573
     2060: 5.524
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2014: 31.92
     2030: 63.66
     2060: 93.37

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Niger
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2014: 9.280
     2030: 13.03
     2060: 11.36
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2014: 14.53
     2030: 23.74
     2060: 31.83
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2014: 0.404
     2030: 0.561
     2060: 0.744
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2014: 52.14
     2030: 31.82
     2060: 14.24
Calories per capita available - Available per Person per Day - -
     2014: 2,511
     2030: 2,460
     2060: 2,463
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2014: -0.452
     2030: -0.567
     2060: -0.709
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2014: -1.142
     2030: -1.023
     2060: -0.830

Economy Forecast for Niger
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2014: 17.04
     2030: 35.43
     2060: 138.9
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2014: 7.803
     2030: 14.77
     2060: 57.14
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2014: 0.933
     2030: 1.135
     2060: 2.095
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2014: 0.384
     2030: 0.341
     2060: 0.347
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2014: 900,539,088,896
     2030: 913,457,020,928
     2060: 864,477,642,752
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2014: 2.136
     2030: 4.441
     2060: 11.07

Energy Forecast for Niger
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2014: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Niger
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2014: 0.001
     2030: 0.002
     2060: 0.006

International Politics Forecast for Niger
Power index, Global Power Index (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2014: 0.072
     2030: 0.105
     2060: 0.190

Domestic Government Forecast for Niger
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2014: 7.172
     2030: 8.249
     2060: 11.40
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2014: 12.65
     2030: 11.92
     2060: 13.51
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2014: 2.576
     2030: 2.510
     2060: 2.857
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2014: 1.868
     2030: 1.906
     2060: 2.174
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2014: 5.582
     2030: 5.652
     2060: 5.959