Country Profile - Niger      IFs Version 7.26
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Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
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     Forecast Categories for Niger
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Niger -
Population - Million People - -
     2016: 20.64
     2030: 34.32
     2060: 79.10
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2016: 3.916
     2030: 3.459
     2060: 2.080
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2016: 48.34
     2030: 40.32
     2060: 24.59
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2016: 8.902
     2030: 5.563
     2060: 3.748
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2016: 52.98
     2030: 29.74
     2060: 11.95
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2016: 63.06
     2030: 69.48
     2060: 75.87
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2016: 62.07
     2030: 68.08
     2060: 74.52
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2016: 64.07
     2030: 70.93
     2060: 77.28
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2016: 7.423
     2030: 5.655
     2060: 3.106
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2016: 0.271
     2030: 0.224
     2060: 0.083
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2016: 4.302
     2030: 6.218
     2060: 9.515
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2016: 10.39
     2030: 16.04
     2060: 27.34
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2016: 9.709
     2030: 17.21
     2060: 48.62
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2016: 0.541
     2030: 1.075
     2060: 3.142
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2016: 3.891
     2030: 7.558
     2060: 26.03
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2016: 0.323
     2030: 0.356
     2060: 0.459
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2016: 31.76
     2030: 35.43
     2060: 41.00

Health Forecast for Niger -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2016: 3.060
     2030: 3.684
     2060: 4.941
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2016: 8.596
     2030: 9.309
     2060: 10.29
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2016: 36.81
     2030: 24.94
     2060: 10.71
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2016: 37.16
     2030: 32.07
     2060: 20.06
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2016: 9.254
     2030: 7.208
     2060: 5.094

Education Forecast for Niger -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2016: 74.86
     2030: 84.31
     2060: 102.1
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2016: 61.61
     2030: 73.55
     2060: 99.81
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 26.01
     2030: 38.99
     2060: 80.27
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 10.20
     2030: 15.50
     2060: 49.53
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 1.911
     2030: 4.529
     2060: 12.97
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2016: 1.948
     2030: 2.874
     2060: 5.614
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2016: 17.72
     2030: 57.95
     2060: 92.23

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Niger
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2016: 7.693
     2030: 9.739
     2060: 7.433
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2016: 14.92
     2030: 21.16
     2060: 24.02
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2016: 0.395
     2030: 0.580
     2060: 0.765
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2016: 59.21
     2030: 32.38
     2060: 11.76
Calories per capita available - Total - Available per Person per Day - -
     2016: 2,601
     2030: 2,749
     2060: 2,980
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2016: -0.429
     2030: -0.513
     2060: -0.655
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2016: -1.132
     2030: -0.993
     2060: -0.790

Economy Forecast for Niger
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 19.28
     2030: 42.15
     2060: 184.4
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 8.808
     2030: 18.65
     2060: 81.82
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 0.934
     2030: 1.228
     2060: 2.331
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2016: 0.312
     2030: 0.328
     2060: 0.353
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2016: 30.74
     2030: 34.46
     2060: 35.23
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2016: 1.789
     2030: 2.375
     2060: 6.654

Energy Forecast for Niger
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2016: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.001

Environment Forecast for Niger
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2016: 0.001
     2030: 0.003
     2060: 0.009

International Politics Forecast for Niger
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2016: 0.080
     2030: 0.117
     2060: 0.237

Domestic Government Forecast for Niger
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2016: 9.183
     2030: 10.62
     2060: 14.00
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2016: 15.76
     2030: 14.50
     2060: 15.73
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2016: 2.497
     2030: 2.438
     2060: 2.847
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2016: 1.771
     2030: 1.880
     2060: 2.240
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2016: 5.803
     2030: 5.908
     2060: 6.256