Country Profile - Niger      IFs Version 7.37
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Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
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     Forecast Categories for Niger
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Niger -
Population - Million People - -
     2018: 22.32
     2030: 34.42
     2060: 73.99
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2018: 3.914
     2030: 3.362
     2060: 1.764
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2018: 47.28
     2030: 38.68
     2060: 21.68
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2018: 9.166
     2030: 5.270
     2060: 3.981
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2018: 52.41
     2030: 24.34
     2060: 6.899
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2018: 62.19
     2030: 69.50
     2060: 74.96
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2018: 61.00
     2030: 67.93
     2060: 73.55
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2018: 63.40
     2030: 71.11
     2060: 76.42
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2018: 7.047
     2030: 5.329
     2060: 2.666
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2018: 0.249
     2030: 0.187
     2060: 0.048
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2018: 4.505
     2030: 6.098
     2060: 8.005
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2018: 11.09
     2030: 15.91
     2060: 23.74
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2018: 10.65
     2030: 17.46
     2060: 47.19
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2018: 0.581
     2030: 1.051
     2060: 3.055
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2018: 4.310
     2030: 7.591
     2060: 25.22
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2018: 0.392
     2030: 0.361
     2060: 0.332
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2018: 44.33
     2030: 46.77
     2060: 49.21

Health Forecast for Niger -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2018: 4.452
     2030: 4.922
     2060: 6.325
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2018: 8.569
     2030: 8.943
     2060: 10.03
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2018: 34.79
     2030: 19.52
     2060: 4.175
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2018: 35.46
     2030: 28.95
     2060: 19.55
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2018: 10.70
     2030: 8.676
     2060: 4.988

Education Forecast for Niger -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2018: 79.19
     2030: 93.54
     2060: 106.4
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2018: 44.14
     2030: 59.01
     2060: 84.16
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2018: 31.29
     2030: 48.56
     2060: 76.23
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2018: 11.33
     2030: 22.16
     2060: 47.44
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2018: 2.187
     2030: 6.122
     2060: 21.52
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2018: 1.842
     2030: 3.026
     2060: 6.452
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2018: 19.30
     2030: 56.44
     2060: 93.83

Social/Human Forecast for Niger
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2018: 10.52
     2030: 16.26
     2060: 3.390
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2018: 16.05
     2030: 25.12
     2060: 11.06
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2018: 0.396
     2030: 0.573
     2060: 0.782
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2018: 58.16
     2030: 31.30
     2060: 4.491
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2018: 2,621
     2030: 2,714
     2060: 2,940
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2018: -0.435
     2030: -0.509
     2060: -0.592
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2018: -1.120
     2030: -1.007
     2060: -0.692

Economy Forecast for Niger
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2018: 21.10
     2030: 41.14
     2060: 231.8
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2018: 9.660
     2030: 18.15
     2060: 119.5
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2018: 0.946
     2030: 1.195
     2060: 3.133
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2018: 0.353
     2030: 0.339
     2060: 0.355
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2018: 34.44
     2030: 42.55
     2060: 36.61
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2018: 2.153
     2030: 3.629
     2060: 9.927

Energy Forecast for Niger
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2018: 0.010
     2030: 0.007
     2060: 0.003

Environment Forecast for Niger
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2018: 0.001
     2030: 0.002
     2060: 0.010

International Politics Forecast for Niger
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2018: 0.084
     2030: 0.117
     2060: 0.236

Domestic Government Forecast for Niger
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2018: 9.311
     2030: 10.92
     2060: 14.00
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2018: 15.64
     2030: 14.72
     2060: 16.18
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2018: 2.488
     2030: 2.457
     2060: 2.978
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2018: 1.773
     2030: 1.870
     2060: 2.428
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2018: 5.755
     2030: 5.848
     2060: 6.353