Country Profile - Mozambique      IFs Version 7.58
  Continue    Change Country    Display Options    Map Source    Help  


Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
www.ifs.du.edu


Sign up for our monthly newsletter.

     Forecast Categories for Mozambique
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Mozambique -
Population - Million People - -
     2020: 31.33
     2030: 41.43
     2060: 73.64
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2020: 2.950
     2030: 2.630
     2060: 1.188
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2020: 37.72
     2030: 32.54
     2060: 17.03
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2020: 8.027
     2030: 6.098
     2060: 5.094
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Live Births - -
     2020: 48.85
     2030: 33.92
     2060: 10.06
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2020: 62.47
     2030: 67.44
     2060: 75.57
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2020: 59.29
     2030: 64.23
     2060: 72.24
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2020: 65.51
     2030: 70.58
     2060: 78.93
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2020: 4.878
     2030: 4.068
     2060: 2.094
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2020: 6.132
     2030: 5.245
     2060: 1.771
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2020: 5.280
     2030: 6.293
     2060: 6.377
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2020: 13.79
     2030: 17.02
     2060: 19.72
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2020: 16.59
     2030: 23.09
     2060: 49.38
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2020: 0.949
     2030: 1.325
     2060: 4.544
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2020: 11.50
     2030: 17.08
     2060: 42.54
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2020: 0.430
     2030: 0.430
     2060: 0.419
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2020: 52.23
     2030: 52.23
     2060: 52.23

Health Forecast for Mozambique -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2020: 3.203
     2030: 3.615
     2060: 5.963
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2020: 19.14
     2030: 19.19
     2060: 20.13
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2020: 14.10
     2030: 10.95
     2060: 4.152
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2020: 14.09
     2030: 9.479
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2020: 24.69
     2030: 18.94
     2060: 6.337

Education Forecast for Mozambique -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2020: 118.1
     2030: 124.7
     2060: 111.5
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2020: 93.25
     2030: 95.68
     2060: 98.71
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2020: 45.15
     2030: 63.35
     2060: 84.42
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2020: 25.55
     2030: 34.34
     2060: 60.86
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2020: 7.058
     2030: 9.697
     2060: 26.68
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2020: 2.524
     2030: 3.312
     2060: 6.529
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2020: 59.73
     2030: 69.29
     2060: 92.84

Social/Human Forecast for Mozambique
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2020: 15.71
     2030: 20.06
     2060: 3.585
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2020: 22.82
     2030: 29.87
     2060: 11.33
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2020: 0.550
     2030: 0.621
     2060: 0.813
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2020: 30.54
     2030: 23.32
     2060: 6.082
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2020: 2,374
     2030: 2,479
     2060: 2,884
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2020: -0.374
     2030: -0.440
     2060: -0.499
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2020: -0.919
     2030: -0.858
     2060: -0.504

Economy Forecast for Mozambique
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2020: 40.62
     2030: 66.49
     2060: 400.8
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2020: 21.43
     2030: 33.83
     2060: 269.7
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2020: 1.297
     2030: 1.605
     2060: 5.442
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2020: 0.527
     2030: 0.512
     2060: 0.504
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2020: 39.86
     2030: 40.65
     2060: 41.94
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2020: 5.177
     2030: 7.649
     2060: 19.46

Energy Forecast for Mozambique
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2020: 0.000
     2030: 0.001
     2060: 0.009

Environment Forecast for Mozambique
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2020: 0.003
     2030: 0.006
     2060: 0.032

International Politics Forecast for Mozambique
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2020: 0.120
     2030: 0.147
     2060: 0.276

Domestic Government Forecast for Mozambique
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2020: 8.406
     2030: 9.364
     2060: 12.69
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2020: 14.86
     2030: 14.96
     2060: 17.00
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2020: 2.708
     2030: 2.787
     2060: 3.555
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2020: 1.752
     2030: 1.854
     2060: 2.457
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2020: 5.467
     2030: 5.555
     2060: 6.028