Country Profile - Mexico      IFs Version 7.15
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Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
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     Forecast Categories for Mexico
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Mexico -
Population - Million People - -
     2016: 126.9
     2030: 143.9
     2060: 159.8
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2016: 1.089
     2030: 0.706
     2060: 0.013
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2016: 17.64
     2030: 14.34
     2060: 10.97
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2016: 4.821
     2030: 5.904
     2060: 9.908
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2016: 13.73
     2030: 9.096
     2060: 4.393
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2016: 77.60
     2030: 79.64
     2060: 82.88
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2016: 75.00
     2030: 76.86
     2060: 79.65
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2016: 80.06
     2030: 82.32
     2060: 86.04
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2016: 2.122
     2030: 1.900
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2016: 0.167
     2030: 0.136
     2060: 0.044
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2016: 13.43
     2030: 12.32
     2060: 10.60
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2016: 34.21
     2030: 31.31
     2060: 26.89
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2016: 83.77
     2030: 96.81
     2060: 97.23
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2016: 8.895
     2030: 15.77
     2060: 35.66
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2016: 100.9
     2030: 121.4
     2060: 141.4
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2016: 0.448
     2030: 0.469
     2060: 0.438
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2016: 39.56
     2030: 42.64
     2060: 46.53

Health Forecast for Mexico -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2016: 44.77
     2030: 45.59
     2060: 47.26
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2016: 16.04
     2030: 17.33
     2060: 18.83
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2016: 3.330
     2030: 3.149
     2060: 2.856
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2016: 2.591
     2030: 2.385
     2060: 1.111
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2016: 4.731
     2030: 4.303
     2060: 3.465

Education Forecast for Mexico -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2016: 105.6
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 99.70
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2016: 99.51
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 99.58
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 118.4
     2030: 108.4
     2060: 103.7
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 65.18
     2030: 74.16
     2060: 80.70
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 28.64
     2030: 32.92
     2060: 45.57
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2016: 9.297
     2030: 10.15
     2060: 11.64
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2016: 94.43
     2030: 96.68
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Mexico
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2016: 0.802
     2030: 0.581
     2060: 0.743
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2016: 5.108
     2030: 3.847
     2060: 3.887
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2016: 0.891
     2030: 0.924
     2060: 0.979
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2016: 4.673
     2030: 3.214
     2060: 1.826
Calories per capita available - Available per Person per Day - -
     2016: 3,169
     2030: 3,205
     2060: 3,277
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2016: 0.511
     2030: 0.529
     2060: 0.425
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2016: 0.349
     2030: 0.447
     2060: 0.576

Economy Forecast for Mexico
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 2,108
     2030: 3,074
     2060: 5,417
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 1,359
     2030: 2,285
     2060: 5,020
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 16.61
     2030: 21.37
     2060: 33.90
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2016: 0.477
     2030: 0.493
     2060: 0.551
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2016: 16.04
     2030: 13.61
     2060: 9.630
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2016: 21.77
     2030: 26.94
     2060: 47.11

Energy Forecast for Mexico
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2016: 0.924
     2030: 0.567
     2060: 0.145

Environment Forecast for Mexico
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2016: 0.142
     2030: 0.185
     2060: 0.189

International Politics Forecast for Mexico
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2016: 1.381
     2030: 1.357
     2060: 1.170

Domestic Government Forecast for Mexico
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2016: 10.21
     2030: 10.79
     2060: 11.82
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2016: 18.27
     2030: 19.51
     2060: 20.00
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2016: 3.418
     2030: 4.451
     2060: 6.767
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2016: 2.748
     2030: 3.048
     2060: 3.510
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2016: 6.755
     2030: 6.921
     2060: 7.129