Country Profile - Mexico      IFs Version 7.37
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Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
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     Forecast Categories for Mexico
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Mexico -
Population - Million People - -
     2018: 130.7
     2030: 146.9
     2060: 168.2
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2018: 1.167
     2030: 0.786
     2060: 0.093
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2018: 17.62
     2030: 14.31
     2060: 11.11
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2018: 5.022
     2030: 5.958
     2060: 9.918
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2018: 16.43
     2030: 11.71
     2060: 5.537
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2018: 77.35
     2030: 78.84
     2060: 82.19
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2018: 74.84
     2030: 76.17
     2060: 79.39
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2018: 79.84
     2030: 81.51
     2060: 84.98
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2018: 2.140
     2030: 1.900
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2018: 0.162
     2030: 0.202
     2060: 0.269
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2018: 11.52
     2030: 10.43
     2060: 9.387
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2018: 34.29
     2030: 32.50
     2060: 28.75
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2018: 87.08
     2030: 99.38
     2060: 103.2
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2018: 9.299
     2030: 15.00
     2060: 36.27
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2018: 105.6
     2030: 128.1
     2060: 154.8
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2018: 0.412
     2030: 0.298
     2060: 0.131
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2018: 37.18
     2030: 40.17
     2060: 44.94

Health Forecast for Mexico -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2018: 51.42
     2030: 54.24
     2060: 58.57
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2018: 14.99
     2030: 15.65
     2060: 17.33
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2018: 2.463
     2030: 2.427
     2060: 2.320
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2018: 2.095
     2030: 1.589
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2018: 3.691
     2030: 2.942
     2060: 1.996

Education Forecast for Mexico -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2018: 103.4
     2030: 101.2
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2018: 96.31
     2030: 99.38
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2018: 113.7
     2030: 104.0
     2060: 97.20
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2018: 67.10
     2030: 73.17
     2060: 84.37
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2018: 30.12
     2030: 35.10
     2060: 54.36
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2018: 8.843
     2030: 9.615
     2060: 11.44
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2018: 95.17
     2030: 97.28
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Forecast for Mexico
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2018: 3.941
     2030: 2.239
     2060: 0.662
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2018: 13.95
     2030: 9.834
     2060: 4.213
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2018: 0.893
     2030: 0.915
     2060: 0.959
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2018: 3.800
     2030: 2.612
     2060: 1.373
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2018: 3,059
     2030: 3,159
     2060: 3,307
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2018: 0.493
     2030: 0.520
     2060: 0.395
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2018: 0.317
     2030: 0.387
     2060: 0.446

Economy Forecast for Mexico
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2018: 2,202
     2030: 2,791
     2060: 4,266
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2018: 1,379
     2030: 1,889
     2060: 3,505
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2018: 16.85
     2030: 19.00
     2060: 25.36
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2018: 0.431
     2030: 0.413
     2060: 0.394
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2018: 28.85
     2030: 25.03
     2060: 21.89
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2018: 22.36
     2030: 25.37
     2060: 45.07

Energy Forecast for Mexico
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2018: 0.793
     2030: 0.594
     2060: 0.266

Environment Forecast for Mexico
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2018: 0.138
     2030: 0.160
     2060: 0.155

International Politics Forecast for Mexico
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2018: 1.357
     2030: 1.318
     2060: 1.273

Domestic Government Forecast for Mexico
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2018: 10.09
     2030: 10.56
     2060: 11.66
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2018: 18.18
     2030: 19.19
     2060: 19.93
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2018: 3.129
     2030: 3.795
     2060: 5.397
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2018: 2.729
     2030: 2.926
     2060: 3.342
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2018: 6.960
     2030: 7.062
     2060: 7.245