Country Profile - Malawi      IFs Version 7.08
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     Forecast Categories for Malawi
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Malawi -
Population - Million People - -
     2014: 16.79
     2030: 25.81
     2060: 44.88
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2014: 2.875
     2030: 2.448
     2060: 1.177
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2014: 39.98
     2030: 32.33
     2060: 18.29
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2014: 11.07
     2030: 7.852
     2060: 6.512
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2014: 78.25
     2030: 51.73
     2060: 27.05
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2014: 57.09
     2030: 63.98
     2060: 71.16
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2014: 56.77
     2030: 63.23
     2060: 70.17
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2014: 57.42
     2030: 64.76
     2060: 72.21
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2014: 5.401
     2030: 4.098
     2060: 2.317
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2014: 6.108
     2030: 4.913
     2060: 1.608
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2014: 3.465
     2030: 4.533
     2060: 4.925
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2014: 7.522
     2030: 10.35
     2060: 12.44
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2014: 8.706
     2030: 14.58
     2060: 29.55
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2014: 0.557
     2030: 0.874
     2060: 2.886
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2014: 2.698
     2030: 4.750
     2060: 11.75
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2014: 0.457
     2030: 0.498
     2060: 0.580
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2014: 51.58
     2030: 51.58
     2060: 51.58

Health Forecast for Malawi -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2014: 2.181
     2030: 2.300
     2060: 3.077
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2014: 15.08
     2030: 15.40
     2060: 16.12
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2014: 13.88
     2030: 10.43
     2060: 6.260
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2014: 10.97
     2030: 7.035
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2014: 22.65
     2030: 21.18
     2060: 16.62

Education Forecast for Malawi -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2014: 122.7
     2030: 99.71
     2060: 100.9
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2014: 87.74
     2030: 90.94
     2060: 99.98
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2014: 48.41
     2030: 52.45
     2060: 86.85
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2014: 19.19
     2030: 22.00
     2060: 62.05
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2014: 1.194
     2030: 5.578
     2060: 17.12
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2014: 5.328
     2030: 7.074
     2060: 8.824
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2014: 67.86
     2030: 78.42
     2060: 96.12

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Malawi
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2014: 10.04
     2030: 12.74
     2060: 7.972
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2014: 13.20
     2030: 18.82
     2060: 17.40
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2014: 0.519
     2030: 0.612
     2060: 0.765
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2014: 29.62
     2030: 19.19
     2060: 7.562
Calories per capita available - Available per Person per Day - -
     2014: 2,327
     2030: 2,358
     2060: 2,517
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2014: -0.490
     2030: -0.578
     2060: -0.649
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2014: -1.230
     2030: -1.077
     2060: -0.773

Economy Forecast for Malawi
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2014: 13.14
     2030: 28.89
     2060: 132.1
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2014: 6.152
     2030: 12.79
     2060: 66.10
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2014: 0.783
     2030: 1.119
     2060: 2.943
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2014: 0.498
     2030: 0.442
     2060: 0.434
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2014: 684,084,232,192
     2030: 743,073,447,936
     2060: 771,299,344,384
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2014: 1.548
     2030: 4.795
     2060: 13.32

Energy Forecast for Malawi
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2014: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Malawi
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2014: 0.001
     2030: 0.002
     2060: 0.005

International Politics Forecast for Malawi
Power index, Global Power Index (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2014: 0.065
     2030: 0.087
     2060: 0.133

Domestic Government Forecast for Malawi
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2014: 9.373
     2030: 10.44
     2060: 12.78
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2014: 15.79
     2030: 15.89
     2060: 17.11
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2014: 3.358
     2030: 3.317
     2060: 3.460
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2014: 2.080
     2030: 2.211
     2060: 2.627
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2014: 6.640
     2030: 6.862
     2060: 7.429