Country Profile - Malawi      IFs Version 7.26
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     Forecast Categories for Malawi
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Malawi -
Population - Million People - -
     2017: 18.26
     2030: 26.08
     2060: 44.78
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2017: 3.014
     2030: 2.505
     2060: 1.030
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2017: 37.09
     2030: 30.42
     2060: 15.45
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2017: 6.988
     2030: 5.373
     2060: 5.155
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2017: 48.20
     2030: 33.16
     2060: 16.63
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2017: 65.83
     2030: 70.92
     2060: 76.98
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2017: 64.74
     2030: 69.55
     2060: 75.46
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2017: 66.93
     2030: 72.33
     2060: 78.57
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2017: 4.825
     2030: 3.787
     2060: 1.972
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2017: 6.530
     2030: 5.655
     2060: 2.096
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2017: 3.068
     2030: 3.720
     2060: 3.568
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2017: 8.126
     2030: 10.24
     2060: 11.26
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2017: 9.495
     2030: 14.95
     2060: 29.90
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2017: 0.640
     2030: 0.890
     2060: 3.633
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2017: 3.004
     2030: 4.787
     2060: 11.91
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2017: 0.460
     2030: 0.508
     2060: 0.591
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2017: 51.37
     2030: 51.37
     2060: 51.37

Health Forecast for Malawi -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2017: 2.311
     2030: 3.100
     2060: 5.561
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2017: 16.46
     2030: 16.58
     2060: 16.88
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2017: 15.66
     2030: 11.01
     2060: 4.460
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2017: 14.19
     2030: 11.74
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2017: 18.82
     2030: 13.56
     2060: 6.198

Education Forecast for Malawi -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2017: 132.1
     2030: 101.4
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2017: 93.07
     2030: 96.80
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2017: 58.14
     2030: 51.87
     2060: 88.87
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2017: 25.83
     2030: 35.63
     2060: 92.27
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2017: 1.117
     2030: 4.345
     2060: 22.34
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2017: 5.648
     2030: 7.357
     2060: 9.700
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2017: 65.63
     2030: 76.05
     2060: 96.01

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Malawi
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2017: 12.36
     2030: 18.13
     2060: 21.20
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2017: 15.46
     2030: 22.31
     2060: 30.30
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2017: 0.580
     2030: 0.655
     2060: 0.802
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2017: 25.84
     2030: 17.75
     2060: 4.792
Calories per capita available - Total - Available per Person per Day - -
     2017: 2,374
     2030: 2,537
     2060: 2,908
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2017: -0.390
     2030: -0.470
     2060: -0.578
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2017: -1.007
     2030: -0.927
     2060: -0.708

Economy Forecast for Malawi
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2017: 20.50
     2030: 36.23
     2060: 144.8
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2017: 6.970
     2030: 12.55
     2060: 63.67
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2017: 1.123
     2030: 1.389
     2060: 3.234
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2017: 0.459
     2030: 0.469
     2060: 0.489
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2017: 31.15
     2030: 34.39
     2060: 35.37
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2017: 1.870
     2030: 3.281
     2060: 15.44

Energy Forecast for Malawi
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2017: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Malawi
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2017: 0.001
     2030: 0.002
     2060: 0.006

International Politics Forecast for Malawi
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2017: 0.070
     2030: 0.090
     2060: 0.141

Domestic Government Forecast for Malawi
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2017: 9.308
     2030: 10.34
     2060: 12.75
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2017: 16.06
     2030: 16.45
     2060: 17.94
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2017: 2.999
     2030: 3.044
     2060: 3.345
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2017: 1.816
     2030: 1.952
     2060: 2.478
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2017: 5.875
     2030: 5.994
     2060: 6.440