Country Profile - Malawi      IFs Version 7.15
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     Forecast Categories for Malawi
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Malawi -
Population - Million People - -
     2015: 17.27
     2030: 25.79
     2060: 45.06
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2015: 2.890
     2030: 2.444
     2060: 1.227
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2015: 39.71
     2030: 32.34
     2060: 18.87
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2015: 10.73
     2030: 7.905
     2060: 6.603
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2015: 75.48
     2030: 52.22
     2060: 28.96
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2015: 57.74
     2030: 63.82
     2060: 70.83
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2015: 57.39
     2030: 63.09
     2060: 69.84
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2015: 58.10
     2030: 64.59
     2060: 71.88
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2015: 5.340
     2030: 4.098
     2060: 2.401
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2015: 6.071
     2030: 4.913
     2060: 1.608
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2015: 3.505
     2030: 4.525
     2060: 5.047
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2015: 7.703
     2030: 10.34
     2060: 12.64
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2015: 8.985
     2030: 14.58
     2060: 29.54
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2015: 0.579
     2030: 0.870
     2060: 2.875
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2015: 2.798
     2030: 4.748
     2060: 11.77
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2015: 0.458
     2030: 0.498
     2060: 0.578
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2015: 51.58
     2030: 51.58
     2060: 51.58

Health Forecast for Malawi -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2015: 2.230
     2030: 2.382
     2060: 3.050
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2015: 15.12
     2030: 15.41
     2060: 16.07
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2015: 13.39
     2030: 10.32
     2060: 6.511
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2015: 10.64
     2030: 7.084
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2015: 22.33
     2030: 20.78
     2060: 16.71

Education Forecast for Malawi -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2015: 123.0
     2030: 103.3
     2060: 101.3
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2015: 87.75
     2030: 90.61
     2060: 96.87
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2015: 48.79
     2030: 51.31
     2060: 82.89
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2015: 19.50
     2030: 22.21
     2060: 57.56
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2015: 1.431
     2030: 5.767
     2060: 16.28
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2015: 5.421
     2030: 6.927
     2060: 8.485
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2015: 68.45
     2030: 77.89
     2060: 94.23

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Malawi
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2015: 11.37
     2030: 16.74
     2060: 18.53
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2015: 14.45
     2030: 21.49
     2060: 28.26
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2015: 0.527
     2030: 0.611
     2060: 0.751
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2015: 28.70
     2030: 19.47
     2060: 8.149
Calories per capita available - Available per Person per Day - -
     2015: 2,339
     2030: 2,376
     2060: 2,512
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2015: -0.495
     2030: -0.572
     2060: -0.661
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2015: -1.216
     2030: -1.066
     2060: -0.796

Economy Forecast for Malawi
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2015: 14.00
     2030: 29.39
     2060: 119.3
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2015: 6.558
     2030: 13.13
     2060: 56.75
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2015: 0.811
     2030: 1.140
     2060: 2.647
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2015: 0.476
     2030: 0.468
     2060: 0.495
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2015: 29.11
     2030: 30.48
     2060: 31.33
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2015: 1.851
     2030: 4.877
     2060: 12.52

Energy Forecast for Malawi
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2015: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Malawi
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2015: 0.001
     2030: 0.002
     2060: 0.005

International Politics Forecast for Malawi
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2015: 0.067
     2030: 0.087
     2060: 0.133

Domestic Government Forecast for Malawi
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2015: 9.469
     2030: 10.45
     2060: 12.50
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2015: 15.75
     2030: 15.89
     2060: 17.08
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2015: 3.352
     2030: 3.319
     2060: 3.424
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2015: 2.095
     2030: 2.222
     2060: 2.563
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2015: 6.661
     2030: 6.873
     2060: 7.367