Country Profile - Malawi      IFs Version 7.31
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     Forecast Categories for Malawi
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Malawi -
Population - Million People - -
     2017: 18.58
     2030: 26.33
     2060: 45.05
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2017: 2.807
     2030: 2.524
     2060: 1.021
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2017: 35.58
     2030: 30.78
     2060: 15.69
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2017: 7.545
     2030: 5.533
     2060: 5.481
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2017: 60.13
     2030: 42.31
     2060: 21.18
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2017: 63.63
     2030: 69.58
     2060: 75.26
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2017: 61.05
     2030: 66.81
     2060: 72.47
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2017: 66.20
     2030: 72.39
     2060: 78.08
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2017: 4.495
     2030: 3.645
     2060: 1.980
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2017: 6.030
     2030: 4.281
     2060: 0.993
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2017: 3.105
     2030: 3.758
     2060: 3.592
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2017: 8.287
     2030: 10.14
     2060: 11.22
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2017: 9.657
     2030: 15.37
     2060: 30.41
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2017: 0.639
     2030: 0.819
     2060: 3.419
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2017: 3.016
     2030: 4.829
     2060: 12.14
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2017: 0.441
     2030: 0.496
     2060: 0.573
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2017: 50.57
     2030: 50.57
     2060: 50.57

Health Forecast for Malawi -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2017: 2.671
     2030: 3.550
     2060: 6.547
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2017: 16.41
     2030: 16.54
     2060: 16.78
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2017: 15.20
     2030: 10.96
     2060: 4.891
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2017: 14.97
     2030: 12.11
     2060: 4.305
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2017: 18.90
     2030: 13.21
     2060: 5.322

Education Forecast for Malawi -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2017: 137.5
     2030: 122.4
     2060: 109.5
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2017: 95.87
     2030: 97.50
     2060: 99.42
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2017: 55.23
     2030: 60.71
     2060: 76.39
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2017: 22.16
     2030: 27.29
     2060: 47.00
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2017: 0.970
     2030: 3.971
     2060: 16.74
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2017: 5.580
     2030: 6.903
     2060: 8.933
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2017: 68.13
     2030: 77.68
     2060: 95.17

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Malawi
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2017: 13.02
     2030: 17.53
     2060: 21.04
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2017: 15.91
     2030: 21.87
     2060: 29.79
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2017: 0.577
     2030: 0.654
     2060: 0.791
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2017: 23.52
     2030: 16.17
     2060: 4.331
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2017: 2,447
     2030: 2,615
     2060: 3,032
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2017: -0.382
     2030: -0.458
     2060: -0.561
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2017: -1.012
     2030: -0.918
     2060: -0.693

Economy Forecast for Malawi
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2017: 21.15
     2030: 37.07
     2060: 148.4
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2017: 7.070
     2030: 12.84
     2060: 65.64
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2017: 1.138
     2030: 1.408
     2060: 3.295
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2017: 0.462
     2030: 0.470
     2060: 0.494
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2017: 30.32
     2030: 35.21
     2060: 35.97
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2017: 1.743
     2030: 2.859
     2060: 7.698

Energy Forecast for Malawi
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2017: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Malawi
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2017: 0.001
     2030: 0.002
     2060: 0.006

International Politics Forecast for Malawi
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2017: 0.071
     2030: 0.090
     2060: 0.142

Domestic Government Forecast for Malawi
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2017: 9.209
     2030: 10.20
     2060: 12.28
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2017: 16.00
     2030: 16.34
     2060: 18.02
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2017: 2.997
     2030: 3.039
     2060: 3.358
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2017: 1.825
     2030: 1.960
     2060: 2.498
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2017: 5.882
     2030: 6.002
     2060: 6.456