Country Profile - Madagascar      IFs Version 7.31
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     Forecast Categories for Madagascar
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Madagascar -
Population - Million People - -
     2017: 25.53
     2030: 35.24
     2060: 59.28
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2017: 2.627
     2030: 2.306
     2060: 1.193
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2017: 32.70
     2030: 28.81
     2060: 18.41
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2017: 6.394
     2030: 5.718
     2060: 6.476
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2017: 31.62
     2030: 22.55
     2060: 11.73
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2017: 66.24
     2030: 69.29
     2060: 73.62
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2017: 64.63
     2030: 67.47
     2060: 71.58
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2017: 67.84
     2030: 71.14
     2060: 75.71
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2017: 4.129
     2030: 3.505
     2060: 2.365
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2017: 0.164
     2030: 0.183
     2060: 0.208
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2017: 3.921
     2030: 4.786
     2060: 5.418
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2017: 10.53
     2030: 13.05
     2060: 16.13
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2017: 14.26
     2030: 20.84
     2060: 38.78
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2017: 0.744
     2030: 1.354
     2060: 4.377
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2017: 9.359
     2030: 16.82
     2060: 41.47
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2017: 0.510
     2030: 0.540
     2060: 0.598
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2017: 49.01
     2030: 49.01
     2060: 49.01

Health Forecast for Madagascar -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2017: 4.718
     2030: 6.071
     2060: 10.50
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2017: 12.25
     2030: 12.69
     2060: 13.34
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2017: 35.75
     2030: 26.71
     2060: 8.933
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2017: 35.77
     2030: 30.89
     2060: 22.10
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2017: 30.38
     2030: 18.16
     2060: 7.013

Education Forecast for Madagascar -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2017: 144.1
     2030: 124.8
     2060: 116.8
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2017: 57.10
     2030: 65.69
     2060: 81.52
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2017: 52.71
     2030: 60.39
     2060: 68.33
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2017: 22.33
     2030: 30.97
     2060: 39.13
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2017: 4.844
     2030: 7.406
     2060: 13.44
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2017: 3.405
     2030: 4.106
     2060: 5.378
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2017: 66.23
     2030: 77.67
     2060: 96.41

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Madagascar
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2017: 22.32
     2030: 31.43
     2060: 46.96
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2017: 23.00
     2030: 32.25
     2060: 49.01
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2017: 0.598
     2030: 0.662
     2060: 0.774
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2017: 33.47
     2030: 25.89
     2060: 9.460
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2017: 2,125
     2030: 2,334
     2060: 2,823
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2017: -0.330
     2030: -0.394
     2060: -0.571
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2017: -0.884
     2030: -0.797
     2060: -0.700

Economy Forecast for Madagascar
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2017: 36.34
     2030: 59.80
     2060: 156.6
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2017: 12.09
     2030: 20.55
     2060: 58.93
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2017: 1.423
     2030: 1.697
     2060: 2.641
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2017: 0.428
     2030: 0.434
     2060: 0.463
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2017: 39.54
     2030: 44.08
     2060: 44.15
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2017: 3.812
     2030: 4.728
     2060: 6.612

Energy Forecast for Madagascar
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2017: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Madagascar
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2017: 0.001
     2030: 0.003
     2060: 0.007

International Politics Forecast for Madagascar
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2017: 0.100
     2030: 0.123
     2060: 0.178

Domestic Government Forecast for Madagascar
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2017: 8.157
     2030: 8.774
     2060: 10.04
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2017: 15.95
     2030: 16.49
     2060: 17.90
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2017: 3.006
     2030: 3.122
     2060: 3.452
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2017: 1.260
     2030: 1.471
     2060: 1.922
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2017: 6.728
     2030: 6.843
     2060: 7.070