Country Profile - Madagascar      IFs Version 7.24
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     Forecast Categories for Madagascar
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Madagascar -
Population - Million People - -
     2016: 24.86
     2030: 35.26
     2060: 59.49
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2016: 2.691
     2030: 2.294
     2060: 1.220
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2016: 33.39
     2030: 28.54
     2060: 18.61
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2016: 6.443
     2030: 5.582
     2060: 6.404
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2016: 33.07
     2030: 21.89
     2060: 11.47
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2016: 66.30
     2030: 69.97
     2060: 74.09
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2016: 64.66
     2030: 68.09
     2060: 72.03
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2016: 67.93
     2030: 71.86
     2060: 76.19
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2016: 4.229
     2030: 3.508
     2060: 2.410
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2016: 0.165
     2030: 0.143
     2060: 0.053
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2016: 3.841
     2030: 4.754
     2060: 5.489
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2016: 10.26
     2030: 13.06
     2060: 16.29
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2016: 13.87
     2030: 20.80
     2060: 38.68
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2016: 0.727
     2030: 1.406
     2060: 4.522
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2016: 8.938
     2030: 16.77
     2060: 41.11
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2016: 0.518
     2030: 0.548
     2060: 0.604
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2016: 49.38
     2030: 49.38
     2060: 49.38

Health Forecast for Madagascar -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2016: 3.259
     2030: 4.359
     2060: 7.758
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2016: 12.23
     2030: 12.66
     2060: 13.36
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2016: 35.81
     2030: 22.86
     2060: 4.607
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2016: 35.74
     2030: 31.27
     2060: 22.08
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2016: 30.36
     2030: 18.50
     2060: 7.766

Education Forecast for Madagascar -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2016: 141.4
     2030: 112.7
     2060: 103.4
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2016: 79.07
     2030: 87.24
     2060: 94.23
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 52.44
     2030: 52.76
     2060: 61.68
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 21.86
     2030: 26.71
     2060: 32.87
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 4.307
     2030: 6.907
     2060: 12.61
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2016: 3.410
     2030: 4.277
     2060: 5.192
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2016: 66.09
     2030: 78.69
     2060: 95.63

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Madagascar
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2016: 21.73
     2030: 31.49
     2060: 44.34
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2016: 23.62
     2030: 33.50
     2060: 51.82
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2016: 0.597
     2030: 0.668
     2060: 0.775
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2016: 33.80
     2030: 22.78
     2060: 4.287
Calories per capita available - Total - Available per Person per Day - -
     2016: 2,090
     2030: 2,306
     2060: 2,759
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2016: -0.333
     2030: -0.407
     2060: -0.580
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2016: -0.888
     2030: -0.808
     2060: -0.703

Economy Forecast for Madagascar
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 34.84
     2030: 58.16
     2060: 162.0
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 11.55
     2030: 19.68
     2060: 61.72
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 1.401
     2030: 1.649
     2060: 2.723
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2016: 0.408
     2030: 0.419
     2060: 0.445
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2016: 39.68
     2030: 43.95
     2060: 41.41
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2016: 3.785
     2030: 4.826
     2060: 7.120

Energy Forecast for Madagascar
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2016: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Madagascar
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2016: 0.001
     2030: 0.003
     2060: 0.009

International Politics Forecast for Madagascar
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2016: 0.099
     2030: 0.123
     2060: 0.182

Domestic Government Forecast for Madagascar
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2016: 8.173
     2030: 8.826
     2060: 9.841
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2016: 15.95
     2030: 16.57
     2060: 17.90
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2016: 3.005
     2030: 3.127
     2060: 3.466
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2016: 1.253
     2030: 1.462
     2060: 1.948
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2016: 6.722
     2030: 6.829
     2060: 7.089