Country Profile - Madagascar      IFs Version 7.08
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     Forecast Categories for Madagascar
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Madagascar -
Population - Million People - -
     2014: 23.61
     2030: 35.96
     2060: 62.81
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2014: 2.856
     2030: 2.371
     2060: 1.347
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2014: 34.52
     2030: 28.97
     2060: 19.37
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2014: 5.921
     2030: 5.234
     2060: 5.892
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2014: 32.15
     2030: 23.85
     2060: 13.35
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2014: 68.24
     2030: 72.12
     2060: 76.18
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2014: 66.45
     2030: 70.03
     2060: 73.99
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2014: 70.02
     2030: 74.24
     2060: 78.42
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2014: 4.450
     2030: 3.652
     2060: 2.550
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2014: 0.066
     2030: 0.053
     2060: 0.017
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2014: 4.370
     2030: 5.842
     2060: 7.202
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2014: 9.869
     2030: 13.48
     2060: 17.72
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2014: 13.04
     2030: 20.91
     2060: 39.96
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2014: 0.705
     2030: 1.576
     2060: 5.137
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2014: 8.134
     2030: 16.47
     2060: 40.59
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2014: 0.517
     2030: 0.545
     2060: 0.596
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2014: 49.49
     2030: 49.49
     2060: 49.49

Health Forecast for Madagascar -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2014: 3.142
     2030: 3.126
     2060: 3.671
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2014: 9.838
     2030: 10.11
     2060: 10.84
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2014: 35.32
     2030: 29.38
     2060: 7.740
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2014: 34.96
     2030: 32.91
     2060: 24.61
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2014: 32.53
     2030: 30.76
     2060: 24.43

Education Forecast for Madagascar -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2014: 131.6
     2030: 103.1
     2060: 102.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2014: 98.08
     2030: 98.95
     2060: 99.65
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2014: 47.71
     2030: 43.29
     2060: 58.35
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2014: 17.67
     2030: 19.39
     2060: 31.56
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2014: 3.727
     2030: 6.007
     2060: 12.98
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2014: 3.798
     2030: 5.096
     2060: 5.946
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2014: 68.04
     2030: 83.16
     2060: 96.76

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Madagascar
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2014: 19.62
     2030: 32.37
     2060: 46.48
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2014: 22.00
     2030: 34.17
     2060: 55.70
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2014: 0.613
     2030: 0.686
     2060: 0.773
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2014: 33.66
     2030: 26.41
     2060: 4.620
Calories per capita available - Available per Person per Day - -
     2014: 2,127
     2030: 2,125
     2060: 2,245
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2014: -0.344
     2030: -0.468
     2060: -0.692
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2014: -0.874
     2030: -0.854
     2060: -0.848

Economy Forecast for Madagascar
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2014: 32.61
     2030: 50.80
     2060: 124.2
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2014: 10.59
     2030: 15.60
     2060: 39.84
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2014: 1.381
     2030: 1.413
     2060: 1.977
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2014: 0.461
     2030: 0.424
     2060: 0.437
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2014: 765,841,506,304
     2030: 771,939,434,496
     2060: 635,514,781,696
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2014: 3.998
     2030: 5.626
     2060: 10.69

Energy Forecast for Madagascar
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2014: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Madagascar
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2014: 0.001
     2030: 0.003
     2060: 0.007

International Politics Forecast for Madagascar
Power index, Global Power Index (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2014: 0.097
     2030: 0.123
     2060: 0.179

Domestic Government Forecast for Madagascar
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2014: 6.163
     2030: 6.628
     2060: 7.361
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2014: 10.06
     2030: 11.01
     2060: 12.94
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2014: 2.610
     2030: 2.757
     2060: 3.098
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2014: 1.557
     2030: 1.616
     2060: 1.775
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2014: 6.387
     2030: 6.410
     2060: 6.488