Country Profile - Madagascar      IFs Version 7.26
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     Forecast Categories for Madagascar
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Madagascar -
Population - Million People - -
     2016: 24.86
     2030: 35.30
     2060: 60.32
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2016: 2.691
     2030: 2.314
     2060: 1.292
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2016: 33.39
     2030: 28.86
     2060: 19.37
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2016: 6.443
     2030: 5.697
     2060: 6.441
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2016: 33.11
     2030: 23.55
     2060: 13.06
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2016: 66.30
     2030: 69.69
     2060: 73.74
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2016: 64.66
     2030: 67.82
     2060: 71.67
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2016: 67.93
     2030: 71.59
     2060: 75.86
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2016: 4.229
     2030: 3.550
     2060: 2.516
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2016: 0.165
     2030: 0.143
     2060: 0.053
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2016: 3.841
     2030: 4.790
     2060: 5.751
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2016: 10.26
     2030: 13.09
     2060: 16.90
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2016: 13.87
     2030: 20.80
     2060: 38.90
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2016: 0.727
     2030: 1.405
     2060: 4.513
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2016: 8.938
     2030: 16.77
     2060: 41.58
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2016: 0.518
     2030: 0.548
     2060: 0.599
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2016: 49.38
     2030: 49.38
     2060: 49.38

Health Forecast for Madagascar -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2016: 3.259
     2030: 4.350
     2060: 7.450
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2016: 12.23
     2030: 12.65
     2060: 13.30
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2016: 35.80
     2030: 26.37
     2060: 6.496
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2016: 35.76
     2030: 32.55
     2060: 23.61
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2016: 30.36
     2030: 18.63
     2060: 8.565

Education Forecast for Madagascar -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2016: 141.3
     2030: 113.2
     2060: 104.9
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2016: 79.00
     2030: 85.74
     2060: 92.27
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 52.30
     2030: 48.91
     2060: 57.89
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 21.82
     2030: 23.37
     2060: 29.23
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 4.302
     2030: 6.564
     2060: 11.24
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2016: 3.411
     2030: 4.211
     2060: 4.977
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2016: 66.08
     2030: 78.31
     2060: 95.14

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Madagascar
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2016: 21.75
     2030: 31.56
     2060: 50.30
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2016: 23.62
     2030: 33.53
     2060: 55.95
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2016: 0.597
     2030: 0.665
     2060: 0.764
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2016: 33.80
     2030: 25.63
     2060: 5.616
Calories per capita available - Total - Available per Person per Day - -
     2016: 2,090
     2030: 2,304
     2060: 2,725
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2016: -0.333
     2030: -0.409
     2060: -0.605
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2016: -0.888
     2030: -0.810
     2060: -0.748

Economy Forecast for Madagascar
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 34.84
     2030: 57.67
     2060: 142.8
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 11.55
     2030: 19.43
     2060: 50.92
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 1.401
     2030: 1.634
     2060: 2.368
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2016: 0.407
     2030: 0.418
     2060: 0.432
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2016: 39.68
     2030: 43.97
     2060: 43.08
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2016: 3.756
     2030: 4.531
     2060: 6.374

Energy Forecast for Madagascar
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2016: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Madagascar
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2016: 0.001
     2030: 0.003
     2060: 0.008

International Politics Forecast for Madagascar
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2016: 0.099
     2030: 0.123
     2060: 0.179

Domestic Government Forecast for Madagascar
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2016: 8.173
     2030: 8.724
     2060: 9.574
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2016: 15.95
     2030: 16.57
     2060: 17.81
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2016: 3.005
     2030: 3.125
     2060: 3.415
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2016: 1.253
     2030: 1.456
     2060: 1.869
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2016: 6.722
     2030: 6.823
     2060: 7.017