Country Profile - Madagascar      IFs Version 7.15
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     Forecast Categories for Madagascar
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Madagascar -
Population - Million People - -
     2015: 24.28
     2030: 35.88
     2060: 62.18
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2015: 2.843
     2030: 2.345
     2060: 1.331
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2015: 34.36
     2030: 28.75
     2060: 19.31
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2015: 5.896
     2030: 5.272
     2060: 5.987
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2015: 31.65
     2030: 23.98
     2060: 14.04
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2015: 68.42
     2030: 71.94
     2060: 75.92
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2015: 66.61
     2030: 69.88
     2060: 73.74
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2015: 70.22
     2030: 74.05
     2060: 78.15
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2015: 4.406
     2030: 3.618
     2060: 2.544
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2015: 0.066
     2030: 0.053
     2060: 0.017
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2015: 4.464
     2030: 5.795
     2060: 7.088
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2015: 10.06
     2030: 13.42
     2060: 17.42
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2015: 13.48
     2030: 20.90
     2060: 39.66
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2015: 0.739
     2030: 1.567
     2060: 5.094
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2015: 8.523
     2030: 16.47
     2060: 40.30
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2015: 0.520
     2030: 0.546
     2060: 0.598
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2015: 49.49
     2030: 49.49
     2060: 49.49

Health Forecast for Madagascar -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2015: 3.169
     2030: 3.230
     2060: 3.897
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2015: 9.895
     2030: 10.12
     2060: 10.86
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2015: 34.68
     2030: 29.28
     2060: 9.517
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2015: 34.87
     2030: 32.51
     2060: 25.59
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2015: 32.22
     2030: 30.07
     2060: 23.41

Education Forecast for Madagascar -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2015: 138.8
     2030: 114.8
     2060: 107.2
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2015: 97.76
     2030: 98.99
     2060: 99.45
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2015: 47.62
     2030: 48.30
     2060: 58.50
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2015: 17.72
     2030: 20.40
     2060: 29.88
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2015: 3.849
     2030: 6.193
     2060: 13.05
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2015: 3.831
     2030: 4.979
     2060: 5.895
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2015: 68.30
     2030: 83.73
     2060: 96.65

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Madagascar
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2015: 21.85
     2030: 32.29
     2060: 50.45
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2015: 23.07
     2030: 34.08
     2060: 56.67
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2015: 0.615
     2030: 0.690
     2060: 0.774
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2015: 33.20
     2030: 26.54
     2060: 6.553
Calories per capita available - Available per Person per Day - -
     2015: 2,134
     2030: 2,150
     2060: 2,289
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2015: -0.349
     2030: -0.460
     2060: -0.673
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2015: -0.868
     2030: -0.838
     2060: -0.813

Economy Forecast for Madagascar
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2015: 33.86
     2030: 52.95
     2060: 129.5
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2015: 10.96
     2030: 16.60
     2060: 42.58
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2015: 1.395
     2030: 1.476
     2060: 2.083
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2015: 0.390
     2030: 0.393
     2060: 0.431
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2015: 31.46
     2030: 31.47
     2060: 22.80
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2015: 4.101
     2030: 5.775
     2060: 10.75

Energy Forecast for Madagascar
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2015: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Madagascar
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2015: 0.001
     2030: 0.003
     2060: 0.008

International Politics Forecast for Madagascar
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2015: 0.099
     2030: 0.123
     2060: 0.179

Domestic Government Forecast for Madagascar
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2015: 6.206
     2030: 6.728
     2060: 7.425
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2015: 10.07
     2030: 11.01
     2060: 12.98
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2015: 2.614
     2030: 2.765
     2060: 3.115
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2015: 1.565
     2030: 1.644
     2060: 1.800
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2015: 6.392
     2030: 6.435
     2060: 6.510