Country Profile - Latvia      IFs Version 7.31
  Continue    Change Country    Display Options    Map Source    Help  


Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
www.ifs.du.edu


Sign up for our monthly newsletter.

     Forecast Categories for Latvia
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Latvia -
Population - Million People - -
     2017: 1.972
     2030: 1.817
     2060: 1.517
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2017: -0.587
     2030: -0.625
     2060: -0.649
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2017: 10.05
     2030: 8.366
     2060: 8.555
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2017: 14.74
     2030: 14.68
     2060: 15.05
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2017: 5.725
     2030: 4.282
     2060: 2.705
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2017: 74.91
     2030: 77.49
     2060: 82.58
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2017: 69.63
     2030: 72.02
     2060: 77.42
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2017: 79.41
     2030: 82.23
     2060: 87.18
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2017: 1.548
     2030: 1.592
     2060: 1.702
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2017: 0.473
     2030: 0.561
     2060: 0.603
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2017: 0.098
     2030: 0.078
     2060: 0.066
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2017: 0.305
     2030: 0.264
     2060: 0.211
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2017: 1.281
     2030: 1.128
     2060: 0.841
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2017: 0.386
     2030: 0.424
     2060: 0.465
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2017: 1.332
     2030: 1.311
     2060: 1.170
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2017: 0.505
     2030: 0.483
     2060: 0.431
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2017: 49.60
     2030: 49.60
     2060: 49.60

Health Forecast for Latvia -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2017: 18.33
     2030: 20.63
     2060: 24.49
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2017: 36.22
     2030: 36.51
     2060: 34.23
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2017: 5.040
     2030: 3.902
     2060: 2.865
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2017: 5.396
     2030: 4.758
     2060: 5.998
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2017: 1.391
     2030: 1.038
     2060: 0.741

Education Forecast for Latvia -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2017: 100.5
     2030: 100.6
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2017: 95.15
     2030: 99.94
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2017: 113.9
     2030: 109.3
     2060: 99.81
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2017: 113.6
     2030: 109.0
     2060: 99.61
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2017: 66.53
     2030: 75.32
     2060: 95.35
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2017: 10.89
     2030: 11.94
     2060: 14.16
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2017: 100.0
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Latvia
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2017: 0.002
     2030: 0.001
     2060: 0.000
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2017: 0.005
     2030: 0.003
     2060: 0.001
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2017: 0.915
     2030: 0.950
     2060: 1.000
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2017: 2.165
     2030: 1.495
     2060: 1.055
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2017: 3,170
     2030: 3,345
     2060: 3,607
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2017: 1.033
     2030: 1.103
     2060: 0.915
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2017: -0.894
     2030: -0.687
     2060: -0.111

Economy Forecast for Latvia
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2017: 47.12
     2030: 62.24
     2060: 90.65
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2017: 33.39
     2030: 51.32
     2060: 82.99
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2017: 23.89
     2030: 34.26
     2060: 59.77
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2017: 0.360
     2030: 0.394
     2060: 0.432
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2017: 32.10
     2030: 33.62
     2060: 32.26
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2017: 34.49
     2030: 50.40
     2060: 73.50

Energy Forecast for Latvia
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2017: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Latvia
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2017: 0.002
     2030: 0.002
     2060: 0.003

International Politics Forecast for Latvia
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2017: 0.030
     2030: 0.031
     2060: 0.028

Domestic Government Forecast for Latvia
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2017: 12.09
     2030: 12.81
     2060: 14.00
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2017: 18.16
     2030: 18.75
     2060: 19.48
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2017: 4.363
     2030: 5.898
     2060: 9.588
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2017: 3.503
     2030: 3.753
     2060: 4.133
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2017: 7.439
     2030: 7.625
     2060: 7.896