Country Profile - Latvia      IFs Version 7.24
  Continue    Change Country    Display Options    Map Source    Help  


Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
www.ifs.du.edu


Sign up for our monthly newsletter.

     Forecast Categories for Latvia
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Latvia -
Population - Million People - -
     2016: 1.970
     2030: 1.798
     2060: 1.488
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2016: -0.565
     2030: -0.649
     2060: -0.672
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2016: 10.11
     2030: 8.257
     2060: 8.506
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2016: 14.88
     2030: 14.82
     2060: 15.23
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2016: 6.245
     2030: 4.864
     2060: 3.257
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2016: 74.63
     2030: 77.15
     2060: 82.56
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2016: 69.28
     2030: 71.26
     2060: 77.38
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2016: 79.17
     2030: 82.22
     2060: 87.13
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2016: 1.540
     2030: 1.590
     2060: 1.702
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2016: 0.458
     2030: 0.396
     2060: 0.147
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2016: 0.094
     2030: 0.076
     2060: 0.064
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2016: 0.297
     2030: 0.259
     2060: 0.206
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2016: 1.289
     2030: 1.111
     2060: 0.815
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2016: 0.384
     2030: 0.428
     2060: 0.467
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2016: 1.344
     2030: 1.319
     2060: 1.165
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2016: 0.516
     2030: 0.487
     2060: 0.432
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2016: 49.94
     2030: 49.94
     2060: 49.94

Health Forecast for Latvia -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2016: 18.20
     2030: 19.76
     2060: 20.29
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2016: 36.21
     2030: 36.53
     2060: 34.17
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2016: 1.250
     2030: 1.319
     2060: 1.653
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2016: 1.245
     2030: 1.077
     2060: 4.272
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2016: 4.424
     2030: 2.970
     2060: 1.927

Education Forecast for Latvia -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2016: 100.8
     2030: 100.8
     2060: 99.64
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2016: 95.37
     2030: 99.52
     2060: 99.60
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 115.2
     2030: 110.3
     2060: 104.8
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 113.2
     2030: 101.3
     2060: 96.63
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 66.11
     2030: 67.52
     2060: 72.61
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2016: 10.78
     2030: 11.47
     2060: 13.12
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2016: 100.0
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Latvia
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2016: 0.002
     2030: 0.001
     2060: 0.000
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2016: 0.004
     2030: 0.001
     2060: 0.000
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2016: 0.912
     2030: 0.948
     2060: 1.000
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2016: 1.667
     2030: 1.115
     2060: 0.737
Calories per capita available - Total - Available per Person per Day - -
     2016: 3,473
     2030: 3,598
     2060: 3,642
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2016: 1.034
     2030: 1.108
     2060: 0.917
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2016: -0.893
     2030: -0.673
     2060: -0.107

Economy Forecast for Latvia
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 45.27
     2030: 61.79
     2060: 83.19
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 32.99
     2030: 52.27
     2060: 77.69
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 22.98
     2030: 34.37
     2060: 55.92
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2016: 0.361
     2030: 0.390
     2060: 0.423
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2016: 32.31
     2030: 33.52
     2060: 32.51
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2016: 34.64
     2030: 44.97
     2060: 64.49

Energy Forecast for Latvia
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2016: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Latvia
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2016: 0.002
     2030: 0.003
     2060: 0.003

International Politics Forecast for Latvia
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2016: 0.030
     2030: 0.029
     2060: 0.024

Domestic Government Forecast for Latvia
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2016: 12.07
     2030: 12.64
     2060: 13.85
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2016: 18.17
     2030: 18.93
     2060: 19.52
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2016: 4.376
     2030: 6.053
     2060: 9.228
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2016: 3.508
     2030: 3.787
     2060: 4.124
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2016: 7.443
     2030: 7.654
     2060: 7.896