Country Profile - Latvia      IFs Version 7.37
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Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
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     Forecast Categories for Latvia
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Latvia -
Population - Million People - -
     2019: 1.906
     2030: 1.720
     2060: 1.381
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2019: -1.099
     2030: -0.794
     2060: -0.799
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2019: 9.563
     2030: 7.850
     2060: 8.168
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2019: 15.06
     2030: 15.13
     2060: 15.54
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2019: 5.422
     2030: 4.202
     2060: 2.566
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2019: 75.35
     2030: 77.61
     2060: 83.19
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2019: 70.04
     2030: 72.24
     2060: 78.29
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2019: 79.87
     2030: 82.25
     2060: 87.58
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2019: 1.556
     2030: 1.592
     2060: 1.702
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2019: 0.489
     2030: 0.561
     2060: 0.603
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2019: 0.095
     2030: 0.070
     2060: 0.058
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2019: 0.297
     2030: 0.244
     2060: 0.188
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2019: 1.222
     2030: 1.055
     2060: 0.748
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2019: 0.388
     2030: 0.421
     2060: 0.446
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2019: 1.331
     2030: 1.330
     2060: 1.190
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2019: 0.470
     2030: 0.376
     2060: 0.263
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2019: 49.59
     2030: 49.59
     2060: 49.59

Health Forecast for Latvia -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2019: 18.98
     2030: 21.07
     2060: 23.68
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2019: 36.33
     2030: 36.28
     2060: 33.30
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2019: 4.808
     2030: 3.738
     2060: 2.965
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2019: 5.387
     2030: 5.385
     2060: 7.869
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2019: 2.040
     2030: 1.408
     2060: 0.902

Education Forecast for Latvia -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2019: 100.4
     2030: 100.3
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2019: 96.95
     2030: 99.95
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2019: 113.3
     2030: 108.5
     2060: 100.0
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2019: 119.4
     2030: 112.2
     2060: 100.0
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2019: 67.68
     2030: 79.17
     2060: 97.61
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2019: 11.39
     2030: 12.18
     2060: 14.18
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2019: 100.0
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Forecast for Latvia
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2019: 0.001
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2019: 0.009
     2030: 0.001
     2060: 0.000
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2019: 0.922
     2030: 0.954
     2060: 1.000
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2019: 2.036
     2030: 1.530
     2060: 1.145
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2019: 3,221
     2030: 3,376
     2060: 3,556
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2019: 1.051
     2030: 1.100
     2060: 0.941
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2019: -0.871
     2030: -0.694
     2060: -0.087

Economy Forecast for Latvia
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2019: 49.33
     2030: 63.20
     2060: 104.9
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2019: 36.23
     2030: 52.41
     2060: 96.15
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2019: 25.88
     2030: 36.74
     2060: 75.95
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2019: 0.340
     2030: 0.330
     2060: 0.300
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2019: 32.30
     2030: 34.30
     2060: 31.09
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2019: 39.25
     2030: 59.29
     2060: 74.21

Energy Forecast for Latvia
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2019: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Latvia
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2019: 0.002
     2030: 0.003
     2060: 0.003

International Politics Forecast for Latvia
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2019: 0.030
     2030: 0.031
     2060: 0.031

Domestic Government Forecast for Latvia
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2019: 12.19
     2030: 12.76
     2060: 14.00
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2019: 18.47
     2030: 18.91
     2060: 19.48
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2019: 4.672
     2030: 6.211
     2060: 10.00
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2019: 3.564
     2030: 3.802
     2060: 4.291
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2019: 7.818
     2030: 8.006
     2060: 8.387