Country Profile - Lithuania      IFs Version 7.24
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Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
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     Forecast Categories for Lithuania
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Lithuania -
Population - Million People - -
     2016: 2.881
     2030: 2.653
     2060: 2.281
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2016: -0.658
     2030: -0.563
     2060: -0.531
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2016: 10.46
     2030: 8.921
     2060: 8.971
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2016: 15.63
     2030: 14.41
     2060: 14.28
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2016: 3.596
     2030: 2.741
     2060: 1.616
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2016: 74.18
     2030: 76.84
     2060: 82.52
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2016: 68.02
     2030: 70.52
     2060: 75.70
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2016: 79.42
     2030: 82.22
     2060: 88.39
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2016: 1.625
     2030: 1.654
     2060: 1.743
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2016: 0.048
     2030: 0.042
     2060: 0.015
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2016: 0.154
     2030: 0.126
     2060: 0.106
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2016: 0.423
     2030: 0.416
     2060: 0.336
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2016: 1.922
     2030: 1.625
     2060: 1.261
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2016: 0.536
     2030: 0.613
     2060: 0.684
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2016: 1.950
     2030: 1.925
     2060: 1.768
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2016: 0.526
     2030: 0.482
     2060: 0.435
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2016: 50.09
     2030: 50.09
     2060: 50.09

Health Forecast for Lithuania -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2016: 21.16
     2030: 22.58
     2060: 23.10
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2016: 30.31
     2030: 30.17
     2060: 28.50
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2016: 10.46
     2030: 8.476
     2060: 5.430
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2016: 10.55
     2030: 10.50
     2060: 10.35
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2016: 4.582
     2030: 3.169
     2060: 1.898

Education Forecast for Lithuania -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2016: 103.1
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2016: 99.02
     2030: 100.00
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 105.5
     2030: 103.0
     2060: 100.9
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 111.5
     2030: 106.3
     2060: 100.0
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 68.91
     2030: 74.35
     2060: 92.42
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2016: 11.32
     2030: 12.34
     2060: 13.93
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2016: 99.99
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Lithuania
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2016: 0.002
     2030: 0.001
     2060: 0.000
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2016: 0.003
     2030: 0.001
     2060: 0.000
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2016: 0.917
     2030: 0.952
     2060: 1.000
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2016: 4.791
     2030: 3.836
     2060: 1.940
Calories per capita available - Total - Available per Person per Day - -
     2016: 3,609
     2030: 3,711
     2060: 3,746
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2016: 0.835
     2030: 0.939
     2060: 0.786
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2016: -0.989
     2030: -0.799
     2060: -0.222

Economy Forecast for Lithuania
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 76.33
     2030: 100.3
     2060: 188.8
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 50.20
     2030: 79.54
     2060: 164.5
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 26.50
     2030: 37.81
     2060: 82.77
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2016: 0.355
     2030: 0.376
     2060: 0.390
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2016: 33.66
     2030: 32.26
     2060: 29.65
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2016: 58.65
     2030: 69.05
     2060: 74.73

Energy Forecast for Lithuania
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2016: 0.001
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Lithuania
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2016: 0.004
     2030: 0.005
     2060: 0.006

International Politics Forecast for Lithuania
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2016: 0.048
     2030: 0.046
     2060: 0.059

Domestic Government Forecast for Lithuania
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2016: 14.00
     2030: 14.00
     2060: 14.00
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2016: 19.97
     2030: 19.93
     2060: 20.00
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2016: 4.932
     2030: 6.567
     2060: 10.00
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2016: 3.513
     2030: 3.753
     2060: 4.268
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2016: 7.621
     2030: 7.800
     2060: 8.181