Country Profile - Lithuania      IFs Version 6.69
  Continue    Change Country    Display Options    Map Source  


Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
www.ifs.du.edu


Sign up for our monthly newsletter.

     Forecast Categories for Lithuania
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Lithuania -
Population - Million People - -
     2013: 3.293
     2030: 3.065
     2060: 2.515
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2013: -0.298
     2030: -0.576
     2060: -0.778
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2013: 10.56
     2030: 8.259
     2060: 8.272
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2013: 13.54
     2030: 14.02
     2060: 16.05
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2013: 5.949
     2030: 4.941
     2060: 3.588
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2013: 73.02
     2030: 75.54
     2060: 79.71
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2013: 66.91
     2030: 69.30
     2060: 73.04
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2013: 78.31
     2030: 80.93
     2060: 85.42
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2013: 1.435
     2030: 1.518
     2060: 1.663
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2013: 0.066
     2030: 0.053
     2060: 0.017
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2013: 0.207
     2030: 0.161
     2060: 0.129
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2013: 0.483
     2030: 0.452
     2060: 0.343
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2013: 2.273
     2030: 1.963
     2060: 1.386
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2013: 0.537
     2030: 0.649
     2060: 0.786
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2013: 2.231
     2030: 2.187
     2060: 1.904
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2013: 0.485
     2030: 0.450
     2060: 0.387
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2013: 48.90
     2030: 48.90
     2060: 48.90

Health Forecast for Lithuania -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2013: 21.32
     2030: 21.41
     2060: 21.39
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2013: 30.13
     2030: 30.51
     2060: 30.77
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2013: 0.696
     2030: 1.103
     2060: 1.624
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2013: 0.674
     2030: 0.108
     2060: 0.218
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2013: 0.042
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

Education Forecast for Lithuania -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2013: 100.4
     2030: 100.6
     2060: 100.2
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2013: 96.33
     2030: 99.95
     2060: 99.99
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2013: 99.84
     2030: 101.3
     2060: 99.43
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2013: 97.64
     2030: 100.6
     2060: 98.70
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2013: 77.40
     2030: 74.35
     2060: 71.35
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2013: 11.14
     2030: 12.09
     2060: 13.29
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2013: 99.93
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Lithuania
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation - Million People - -
     2013: 0.001
     2030: 0.001
     2060: 0.001
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation - Million People - -
     2013: 0.111
     2030: 0.077
     2060: 0.057
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2013: 0.882
     2030: 0.911
     2060: 0.959
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2013: 2.992
     2030: 2.547
     2060: 1.557
Calories per capita available - Available per Person per Day - -
     2013: 3,499
     2030: 3,505
     2060: 3,505
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2013: -0.032
     2030: 0.024
     2060: 0.082
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2013: -0.142
     2030: -0.038
     2060: 0.130

Economy Forecast for Lithuania
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2005 Dollars - -
     2013: 52.93
     2030: 63.84
     2060: 81.59
Gross domestic product - Billion 2005 Dollars - -
     2013: 30.35
     2030: 43.38
     2060: 72.33
GDP per capita at PPP - Thousand 2005 Dollars - -
     2013: 16.07
     2030: 20.83
     2060: 32.44
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2013: 0.369
     2030: 0.382
     2060: 0.417
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2013: 27.54
     2030: 35.47
     2060: 39.82
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2013: 51.11
     2030: 55.44
     2060: 75.47

Energy Forecast for Lithuania
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2013: 0.001
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Lithuania
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2013: 0.004
     2030: 0.004
     2060: 0.004

International Politics Forecast for Lithuania
Power index (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2013: 0.049
     2030: 0.038
     2060: 0.025

Domestic Government Forecast for Lithuania
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2013: 14.00
     2030: 14.00
     2060: 14.00
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2013: 19.95
     2030: 19.91
     2060: 20.00
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2013: 5.142
     2030: 5.843
     2060: 7.335
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2013: 3.262
     2030: 3.435
     2060: 3.730
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2013: 7.414
     2030: 7.557
     2060: 7.796