Country Profile - Lithuania      IFs Version 7.00
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Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
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     Forecast Categories for Lithuania
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Lithuania -
Population - Million People - -
     2014: 3.053
     2030: 2.919
     2060: 2.530
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2014: -0.112
     2030: -0.435
     2060: -0.614
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2014: 12.19
     2030: 8.841
     2060: 8.846
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2014: 13.31
     2030: 13.19
     2060: 14.99
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2014: 5.350
     2030: 4.072
     2060: 2.797
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2014: 73.16
     2030: 76.02
     2060: 80.36
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2014: 67.03
     2030: 69.78
     2060: 73.66
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2014: 78.43
     2030: 81.40
     2060: 86.13
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2014: 1.645
     2030: 1.623
     2060: 1.729
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2014: 0.071
     2030: 0.057
     2060: 0.019
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2014: 0.214
     2030: 0.164
     2060: 0.139
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2014: 0.476
     2030: 0.462
     2060: 0.370
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2014: 2.097
     2030: 1.867
     2060: 1.410
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2014: 0.480
     2030: 0.590
     2060: 0.750
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2014: 2.206
     2030: 2.175
     2060: 1.962
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2014: 0.526
     2030: 0.490
     2060: 0.427
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2014: 50.35
     2030: 50.35
     2060: 50.35

Health Forecast for Lithuania -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2014: 21.38
     2030: 22.42
     2060: 22.80
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2014: 30.12
     2030: 31.00
     2060: 29.95
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2014: 1.014
     2030: 1.209
     2060: 1.557
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2014: 0.480
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2014: 3.906
     2030: 1.540
     2060: 0.010

Education Forecast for Lithuania -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2014: 103.1
     2030: 101.0
     2060: 100.2
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2014: 95.20
     2030: 99.98
     2060: 99.98
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2014: 97.71
     2030: 102.8
     2060: 99.47
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2014: 104.8
     2030: 109.5
     2060: 105.0
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2014: 73.12
     2030: 73.62
     2060: 76.54
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2014: 11.28
     2030: 12.40
     2060: 14.10
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2014: 100.0
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Lithuania
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation - Million People - -
     2014: 0.043
     2030: 0.009
     2060: 0.002
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation - Million People - -
     2014: 0.066
     2030: 0.015
     2060: 0.004
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2014: 0.887
     2030: 0.925
     2060: 0.979
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2014: 2.865
     2030: 2.316
     2060: 1.346
Calories per capita available - Available per Person per Day - -
     2014: 3,503
     2030: 3,577
     2060: 3,603
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2014: 0.865
     2030: 0.960
     2060: 0.778
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2014: -0.951
     2030: -0.717
     2060: -0.190

Economy Forecast for Lithuania
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2005 Dollars - -
     2014: 52.41
     2030: 74.32
     2060: 109.3
Gross domestic product - Billion 2005 Dollars - -
     2014: 31.95
     2030: 56.35
     2060: 101.0
GDP per capita at PPP - Thousand 2005 Dollars - -
     2014: 17.17
     2030: 25.47
     2060: 43.22
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2014: 0.366
     2030: 0.371
     2060: 0.392
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2014: 33.91
     2030: 47.09
     2060: 52.67
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2014: 45.37
     2030: 52.56
     2060: 75.67

Energy Forecast for Lithuania
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2014: 0.001
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Lithuania
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2014: 0.004
     2030: 0.005
     2060: 0.004

International Politics Forecast for Lithuania
Power index (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2014: 0.046
     2030: 0.042
     2060: 0.031

Domestic Government Forecast for Lithuania
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2014: 14.00
     2030: 14.00
     2060: 14.00
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2014: 19.94
     2030: 19.91
     2060: 20.00
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2014: 5.221
     2030: 6.340
     2060: 8.582
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2014: 3.316
     2030: 3.582
     2060: 3.834
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2014: 7.618
     2030: 7.841
     2060: 8.034