Country Profile - Lithuania      IFs Version 7.15
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Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
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     Forecast Categories for Lithuania
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Lithuania -
Population - Million People - -
     2015: 3.009
     2030: 2.818
     2060: 2.399
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2015: -0.335
     2030: -0.493
     2060: -0.696
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2015: 11.06
     2030: 8.411
     2060: 8.330
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2015: 13.37
     2030: 13.20
     2060: 15.29
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2015: 5.278
     2030: 3.937
     2060: 2.615
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2015: 73.41
     2030: 76.58
     2060: 81.44
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2015: 67.24
     2030: 70.32
     2060: 74.71
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2015: 78.70
     2030: 81.95
     2060: 87.20
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2015: 1.507
     2030: 1.555
     2060: 1.686
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2015: 0.071
     2030: 0.057
     2060: 0.019
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2015: 0.202
     2030: 0.152
     2060: 0.124
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2015: 0.463
     2030: 0.425
     2060: 0.332
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2015: 2.066
     2030: 1.800
     2060: 1.307
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2015: 0.480
     2030: 0.594
     2060: 0.760
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2015: 2.106
     2030: 2.128
     2060: 1.921
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2015: 0.499
     2030: 0.464
     2060: 0.396
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2015: 50.56
     2030: 50.56
     2060: 50.56

Health Forecast for Lithuania -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2015: 21.49
     2030: 22.14
     2060: 22.07
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2015: 35.04
     2030: 35.05
     2060: 33.15
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2015: 1.023
     2030: 1.211
     2060: 1.640
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2015: 0.031
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.390
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2015: 3.675
     2030: 1.436
     2060: 0.353

Education Forecast for Lithuania -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2015: 106.3
     2030: 100.9
     2060: 99.66
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2015: 98.27
     2030: 99.88
     2060: 99.52
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2015: 99.86
     2030: 102.5
     2060: 98.01
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2015: 105.9
     2030: 111.2
     2060: 104.0
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2015: 74.70
     2030: 80.84
     2060: 79.50
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2015: 11.10
     2030: 11.86
     2060: 13.43
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2015: 100.0
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Lithuania
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2015: 0.024
     2030: 0.004
     2060: 0.000
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2015: 0.042
     2030: 0.009
     2060: 0.001
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2015: 0.907
     2030: 0.949
     2060: 1.000
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2015: 2.301
     2030: 1.844
     2060: 1.370
Calories per capita available - Available per Person per Day - -
     2015: 3,512
     2030: 3,558
     2060: 3,553
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2015: 0.873
     2030: 0.942
     2060: 0.731
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2015: -0.938
     2030: -0.720
     2060: -0.201

Economy Forecast for Lithuania
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2015: 71.55
     2030: 105.3
     2060: 165.0
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2015: 49.03
     2030: 86.66
     2060: 149.9
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2015: 23.78
     2030: 37.36
     2060: 68.76
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2015: 0.339
     2030: 0.359
     2060: 0.367
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2015: 19.25
     2030: 16.84
     2060: 14.30
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2015: 46.20
     2030: 65.94
     2060: 72.52

Energy Forecast for Lithuania
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2015: 0.001
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Lithuania
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2015: 0.004
     2030: 0.005
     2060: 0.006

International Politics Forecast for Lithuania
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2015: 0.049
     2030: 0.046
     2060: 0.033

Domestic Government Forecast for Lithuania
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2015: 14.00
     2030: 14.00
     2060: 14.00
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2015: 19.93
     2030: 19.95
     2060: 20.00
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2015: 5.420
     2030: 7.259
     2060: 10.00
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2015: 3.349
     2030: 3.673
     2060: 4.064
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2015: 7.633
     2030: 7.871
     2060: 8.124