Country Profile - Lithuania      IFs Version 7.30
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Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
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     Forecast Categories for Lithuania
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Lithuania -
Population - Million People - -
     2017: 2.841
     2030: 2.639
     2060: 2.277
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2017: -0.670
     2030: -0.539
     2060: -0.527
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2017: 10.54
     2030: 9.115
     2060: 9.085
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2017: 15.60
     2030: 14.36
     2060: 14.35
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2017: 3.594
     2030: 2.797
     2060: 1.676
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2017: 74.21
     2030: 76.73
     2060: 82.21
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2017: 68.06
     2030: 70.44
     2060: 75.30
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2017: 79.45
     2030: 82.09
     2060: 88.16
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2017: 1.639
     2030: 1.663
     2060: 1.747
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2017: 0.048
     2030: 0.039
     2060: 0.013
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2017: 0.152
     2030: 0.128
     2060: 0.107
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2017: 0.417
     2030: 0.419
     2060: 0.338
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2017: 1.895
     2030: 1.621
     2060: 1.263
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2017: 0.529
     2030: 0.600
     2060: 0.676
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2017: 1.934
     2030: 1.922
     2060: 1.780
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2017: 0.532
     2030: 0.490
     2060: 0.443
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2017: 50.09
     2030: 50.09
     2060: 50.09

Health Forecast for Lithuania -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2017: 21.30
     2030: 23.39
     2060: 26.55
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2017: 30.32
     2030: 30.10
     2060: 28.48
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2017: 2.058
     2030: 1.886
     2060: 1.708
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2017: 1.937
     2030: 1.218
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2017: 1.396
     2030: 1.033
     2060: 0.683

Education Forecast for Lithuania -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2017: 102.4
     2030: 102.3
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2017: 90.16
     2030: 99.28
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2017: 104.0
     2030: 103.5
     2060: 99.82
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2017: 111.6
     2030: 106.5
     2060: 99.65
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2017: 68.86
     2030: 76.37
     2060: 92.39
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2017: 11.32
     2030: 12.08
     2060: 13.67
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2017: 99.99
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Lithuania
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2017: 0.002
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2017: 0.003
     2030: 0.001
     2060: 0.000
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2017: 0.919
     2030: 0.953
     2060: 1.000
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2017: 2.109
     2030: 1.515
     2060: 0.996
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2017: 3,407
     2030: 3,551
     2060: 3,753
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2017: 0.835
     2030: 0.938
     2060: 0.795
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2017: -0.989
     2030: -0.812
     2060: -0.234

Economy Forecast for Lithuania
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2017: 77.76
     2030: 102.7
     2060: 192.2
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2017: 51.65
     2030: 81.25
     2060: 166.7
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2017: 27.37
     2030: 38.92
     2060: 84.39
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2017: 0.354
     2030: 0.372
     2060: 0.384
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2017: 31.40
     2030: 31.67
     2060: 30.11
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2017: 55.51
     2030: 68.63
     2060: 75.01

Energy Forecast for Lithuania
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2017: 0.001
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Lithuania
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2017: 0.004
     2030: 0.004
     2060: 0.005

International Politics Forecast for Lithuania
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2017: 0.050
     2030: 0.051
     2060: 0.068

Domestic Government Forecast for Lithuania
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2017: 14.00
     2030: 14.00
     2060: 14.00
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2017: 19.97
     2030: 19.93
     2060: 20.00
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2017: 4.966
     2030: 6.623
     2060: 10.00
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2017: 3.520
     2030: 3.766
     2060: 4.291
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2017: 7.627
     2030: 7.810
     2060: 8.194