Country Profile - Lithuania      IFs Version 7.07
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Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
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     Forecast Categories for Lithuania
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Lithuania -
Population - Million People - -
     2014: 3.018
     2030: 2.821
     2060: 2.407
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2014: -0.291
     2030: -0.485
     2060: -0.683
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2014: 11.14
     2030: 8.411
     2060: 8.310
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2014: 13.32
     2030: 13.11
     2060: 15.14
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2014: 5.358
     2030: 3.865
     2060: 2.531
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2014: 73.24
     2030: 76.71
     2060: 81.69
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2014: 67.08
     2030: 70.47
     2060: 74.98
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2014: 78.51
     2030: 82.07
     2060: 87.43
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2014: 1.509
     2030: 1.555
     2060: 1.686
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2014: 0.071
     2030: 0.057
     2060: 0.019
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2014: 0.202
     2030: 0.152
     2060: 0.125
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2014: 0.460
     2030: 0.425
     2060: 0.332
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2014: 2.079
     2030: 1.800
     2060: 1.309
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2014: 0.479
     2030: 0.595
     2060: 0.766
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2014: 2.100
     2030: 2.130
     2060: 1.927
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2014: 0.500
     2030: 0.464
     2060: 0.395
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2014: 50.56
     2030: 50.56
     2060: 50.56

Health Forecast for Lithuania -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2014: 21.42
     2030: 22.13
     2060: 21.62
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2014: 34.99
     2030: 34.97
     2060: 33.15
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2014: 1.008
     2030: 1.207
     2060: 1.670
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2014: 0.341
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.630
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2014: 3.904
     2030: 1.438
     2060: 0.732

Education Forecast for Lithuania -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2014: 105.6
     2030: 100.8
     2060: 99.76
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2014: 97.27
     2030: 99.86
     2060: 99.60
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2014: 98.25
     2030: 102.4
     2060: 98.24
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2014: 105.7
     2030: 111.2
     2060: 104.6
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2014: 74.60
     2030: 81.52
     2060: 80.43
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2014: 11.05
     2030: 11.87
     2060: 13.44
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2014: 100.0
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Lithuania
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation - Million People - -
     2014: 0.035
     2030: 0.002
     2060: 0.000
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation - Million People - -
     2014: 0.055
     2030: 0.003
     2060: 0.000
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2014: 0.904
     2030: 0.952
     2060: 1.000
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2014: 2.316
     2030: 1.817
     2060: 1.356
Calories per capita available - Available per Person per Day - -
     2014: 3,506
     2030: 3,557
     2060: 3,521
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2014: 0.860
     2030: 0.944
     2060: 0.739
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2014: -0.953
     2030: -0.717
     2060: -0.189

Economy Forecast for Lithuania
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2014: 70.11
     2030: 108.8
     2060: 175.8
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2014: 47.41
     2030: 89.68
     2060: 159.8
GDP per capita at PPP - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2014: 23.23
     2030: 38.56
     2060: 73.06
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2014: 0.368
     2030: 0.358
     2060: 0.349
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2014: 733,046,439,936
     2030: 695,160,733,696
     2060: 696,387,174,400
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2014: 45.91
     2030: 67.58
     2060: 72.77

Energy Forecast for Lithuania
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2014: 0.001
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Lithuania
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2014: 0.004
     2030: 0.006
     2060: 0.006

International Politics Forecast for Lithuania
Power index, Global Power Index (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2014: 0.049
     2030: 0.047
     2060: 0.032

Domestic Government Forecast for Lithuania
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2014: 14.00
     2030: 14.00
     2060: 14.00
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2014: 19.94
     2030: 19.96
     2060: 20.00
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2014: 5.339
     2030: 7.403
     2060: 10.00
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2014: 3.333
     2030: 3.692
     2060: 4.087
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2014: 7.622
     2030: 7.888
     2060: 8.143