Country Profile - Lithuania      IFs Version 7.37
  Continue    Change Country    Display Options    Map Source    Help  


Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
www.ifs.du.edu


Sign up for our monthly newsletter.

     Forecast Categories for Lithuania
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Lithuania -
Population - Million People - -
     2019: 2.785
     2030: 2.535
     2060: 2.042
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2019: -1.106
     2030: -0.839
     2060: -0.778
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2019: 10.26
     2030: 8.440
     2060: 8.681
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2019: 14.62
     2030: 14.76
     2060: 15.70
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2019: 3.817
     2030: 3.100
     2060: 1.978
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2019: 75.47
     2030: 77.67
     2060: 83.11
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2019: 69.71
     2030: 71.95
     2060: 77.86
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2019: 80.40
     2030: 82.60
     2060: 87.80
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2019: 1.668
     2030: 1.671
     2060: 1.753
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2019: 0.046
     2030: 0.039
     2060: 0.013
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2019: 0.149
     2030: 0.115
     2060: 0.092
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2019: 0.419
     2030: 0.387
     2060: 0.296
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2019: 1.812
     2030: 1.511
     2060: 1.103
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2019: 0.554
     2030: 0.637
     2060: 0.643
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2019: 1.943
     2030: 2.012
     2060: 1.844
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2019: 0.459
     2030: 0.335
     2060: 0.253
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2019: 50.47
     2030: 50.47
     2060: 50.47

Health Forecast for Lithuania -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2019: 21.91
     2030: 23.62
     2060: 24.93
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2019: 30.42
     2030: 29.75
     2060: 27.48
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2019: 2.004
     2030: 1.901
     2060: 1.860
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2019: 1.919
     2030: 1.744
     2060: 3.449
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2019: 2.045
     2030: 1.478
     2060: 0.990

Education Forecast for Lithuania -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2019: 103.6
     2030: 102.8
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2019: 91.41
     2030: 98.98
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2019: 105.3
     2030: 103.8
     2060: 99.71
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2019: 112.5
     2030: 107.5
     2060: 99.42
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2019: 73.46
     2030: 82.73
     2060: 94.20
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2019: 11.94
     2030: 12.55
     2060: 14.08
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2019: 100.0
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Forecast for Lithuania
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2019: 0.001
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2019: 0.012
     2030: 0.002
     2060: 0.000
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2019: 0.931
     2030: 0.961
     2060: 1.000
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2019: 1.866
     2030: 1.587
     2060: 1.016
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2019: 3,450
     2030: 3,566
     2060: 3,649
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2019: 0.853
     2030: 0.918
     2060: 0.789
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2019: -0.968
     2030: -0.829
     2060: -0.266

Economy Forecast for Lithuania
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2019: 83.68
     2030: 104.1
     2060: 170.7
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2019: 55.76
     2030: 80.91
     2060: 145.1
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2019: 30.04
     2030: 41.07
     2060: 83.62
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2019: 0.372
     2030: 0.373
     2060: 0.374
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2019: 31.66
     2030: 31.00
     2060: 28.85
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2019: 64.10
     2030: 75.80
     2060: 76.99

Energy Forecast for Lithuania
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2019: 0.001
     2030: 0.001
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Lithuania
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2019: 0.004
     2030: 0.004
     2060: 0.004

International Politics Forecast for Lithuania
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2019: 0.050
     2030: 0.050
     2060: 0.049

Domestic Government Forecast for Lithuania
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2019: 14.00
     2030: 14.00
     2060: 14.00
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2019: 19.96
     2030: 19.95
     2060: 20.00
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2019: 5.260
     2030: 6.819
     2060: 10.00
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2019: 3.567
     2030: 3.787
     2060: 4.282
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2019: 7.974
     2030: 8.144
     2060: 8.513