Country Profile - Lithuania      IFs Version 7.31
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Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
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     Forecast Categories for Lithuania
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Lithuania -
Population - Million People - -
     2017: 2.904
     2030: 2.718
     2060: 2.324
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2017: -0.516
     2030: -0.543
     2060: -0.559
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2017: 10.65
     2030: 9.066
     2060: 9.151
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2017: 14.17
     2030: 14.35
     2060: 14.74
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2017: 4.005
     2030: 3.283
     2060: 2.153
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2017: 75.02
     2030: 77.23
     2060: 81.99
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2017: 69.25
     2030: 71.43
     2060: 75.91
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2017: 79.96
     2030: 82.24
     2060: 87.36
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2017: 1.663
     2030: 1.671
     2060: 1.753
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2017: 0.047
     2030: 0.039
     2060: 0.013
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2017: 0.153
     2030: 0.131
     2060: 0.110
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2017: 0.430
     2030: 0.429
     2060: 0.347
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2017: 1.923
     2030: 1.647
     2060: 1.291
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2017: 0.551
     2030: 0.642
     2060: 0.687
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2017: 1.931
     2030: 1.907
     2060: 1.735
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2017: 0.497
     2030: 0.455
     2060: 0.417
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2017: 50.00
     2030: 50.00
     2060: 50.00

Health Forecast for Lithuania -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2017: 21.30
     2030: 23.31
     2060: 26.26
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2017: 30.33
     2030: 30.22
     2060: 28.63
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2017: 2.060
     2030: 1.957
     2060: 1.731
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2017: 2.101
     2030: 1.616
     2060: 0.795
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2017: 1.369
     2030: 1.037
     2060: 0.725

Education Forecast for Lithuania -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2017: 102.4
     2030: 102.1
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2017: 90.14
     2030: 98.66
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2017: 104.0
     2030: 103.5
     2060: 99.80
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2017: 111.5
     2030: 106.0
     2060: 99.59
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2017: 69.10
     2030: 77.88
     2060: 90.05
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2017: 11.32
     2030: 12.05
     2060: 13.61
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2017: 100.00
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Lithuania
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2017: 0.002
     2030: 0.001
     2060: 0.000
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2017: 0.005
     2030: 0.003
     2060: 0.001
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2017: 0.924
     2030: 0.951
     2060: 1.000
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2017: 2.138
     2030: 1.825
     2060: 1.053
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2017: 3,407
     2030: 3,546
     2060: 3,733
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2017: 0.833
     2030: 0.925
     2060: 0.757
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2017: -0.990
     2030: -0.823
     2060: -0.302

Economy Forecast for Lithuania
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2017: 80.73
     2030: 98.69
     2060: 153.5
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2017: 51.69
     2030: 75.19
     2060: 130.7
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2017: 27.80
     2030: 36.31
     2060: 66.06
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2017: 0.355
     2030: 0.381
     2060: 0.410
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2017: 31.04
     2030: 30.71
     2060: 29.79
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2017: 55.44
     2030: 68.06
     2060: 73.86

Energy Forecast for Lithuania
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2017: 0.001
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Lithuania
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2017: 0.004
     2030: 0.004
     2060: 0.004

International Politics Forecast for Lithuania
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2017: 0.051
     2030: 0.047
     2060: 0.046

Domestic Government Forecast for Lithuania
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2017: 14.00
     2030: 14.00
     2060: 14.00
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2017: 19.97
     2030: 19.92
     2060: 20.00
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2017: 4.951
     2030: 6.251
     2060: 10.00
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2017: 3.517
     2030: 3.708
     2060: 4.124
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2017: 7.624
     2030: 7.759
     2060: 8.046