Country Profile - Sri Lanka      IFs Version 7.31
  Continue    Change Country    Display Options    Map Source    Help  


Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
www.ifs.du.edu


Sign up for our monthly newsletter.

     Forecast Categories for Sri Lanka
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Sri Lanka -
Population - Million People - -
     2017: 20.98
     2030: 22.02
     2060: 21.63
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2017: 0.576
     2030: 0.202
     2060: -0.273
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2017: 14.97
     2030: 13.31
     2060: 11.16
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2017: 7.060
     2030: 9.189
     2060: 12.33
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2017: 7.354
     2030: 5.928
     2060: 4.129
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2017: 75.42
     2030: 76.80
     2060: 79.22
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2017: 71.89
     2030: 73.13
     2060: 75.23
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2017: 78.71
     2030: 80.21
     2060: 82.98
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2017: 2.020
     2030: 1.900
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2017: 0.017
     2030: 0.025
     2060: 0.035
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2017: 1.597
     2030: 1.448
     2060: 1.207
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2017: 5.044
     2030: 4.398
     2060: 3.697
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2017: 13.83
     2030: 14.33
     2060: 13.28
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2017: 2.112
     2030: 3.300
     2060: 4.660
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2017: 3.901
     2030: 4.214
     2060: 4.729
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2017: 0.396
     2030: 0.401
     2060: 0.395
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2017: 31.27
     2030: 34.72
     2060: 40.44

Health Forecast for Sri Lanka -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2017: 0.380
     2030: 0.711
     2060: 2.229
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2017: 14.17
     2030: 16.24
     2060: 18.58
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2017: 27.48
     2030: 20.89
     2060: 10.68
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2017: 28.84
     2030: 27.35
     2060: 23.38
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2017: 19.55
     2030: 10.03
     2060: 3.244

Education Forecast for Sri Lanka -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2017: 101.4
     2030: 100.1
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2017: 98.14
     2030: 100.00
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2017: 99.79
     2030: 99.97
     2060: 99.66
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2017: 97.76
     2030: 90.54
     2060: 88.52
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2017: 19.89
     2030: 25.29
     2060: 43.91
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2017: 11.38
     2030: 11.59
     2060: 12.25
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2017: 93.05
     2030: 95.08
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Sri Lanka
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2017: 0.078
     2030: 0.029
     2060: 0.057
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2017: 2.343
     2030: 1.291
     2060: 1.137
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2017: 0.854
     2030: 0.885
     2060: 0.937
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2017: 11.24
     2030: 8.479
     2060: 4.097
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2017: 2,609
     2030: 2,831
     2060: 3,284
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2017: 0.157
     2030: 0.260
     2060: 0.423
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2017: 0.350
     2030: 0.470
     2060: 0.700

Economy Forecast for Sri Lanka
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2017: 241.2
     2030: 339.7
     2060: 500.2
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2017: 80.15
     2030: 139.6
     2060: 298.2
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2017: 11.49
     2030: 15.43
     2060: 23.12
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2017: 0.395
     2030: 0.399
     2060: 0.481
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2017: 43.45
     2030: 21.53
     2060: 24.16
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2017: 14.52
     2030: 17.23
     2060: 33.09

Energy Forecast for Sri Lanka
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2017: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Sri Lanka
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2017: 0.005
     2030: 0.004
     2060: 0.001

International Politics Forecast for Sri Lanka
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2017: 0.183
     2030: 0.176
     2060: 0.158

Domestic Government Forecast for Sri Lanka
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2017: 6.016
     2030: 6.161
     2060: 6.485
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2017: 16.03
     2030: 16.23
     2060: 16.88
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2017: 3.369
     2030: 3.918
     2060: 5.051
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2017: 2.629
     2030: 2.879
     2060: 3.206
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2017: 6.590
     2030: 6.741
     2060: 6.889