Country Profile - Sri Lanka      IFs Version 7.15
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     Forecast Categories for Sri Lanka
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Sri Lanka -
Population - Million People - -
     2016: 21.82
     2030: 23.04
     2060: 23.22
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2016: 0.648
     2030: 0.220
     2060: -0.198
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2016: 15.70
     2030: 12.89
     2060: 10.65
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2016: 6.906
     2030: 8.563
     2060: 11.08
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2016: 8.403
     2030: 5.909
     2060: 3.097
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2016: 75.75
     2030: 77.89
     2060: 82.55
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2016: 72.40
     2030: 74.59
     2060: 79.30
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2016: 78.98
     2030: 81.06
     2060: 85.72
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2016: 2.145
     2030: 1.900
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2016: 0.018
     2030: 0.015
     2060: 0.005
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2016: 2.200
     2030: 1.747
     2060: 1.485
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2016: 5.406
     2030: 4.524
     2060: 3.833
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2016: 14.33
     2030: 15.12
     2060: 14.00
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2016: 2.079
     2030: 3.390
     2060: 5.385
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2016: 3.284
     2030: 3.665
     2060: 4.376
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2016: 0.407
     2030: 0.417
     2060: 0.398
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2016: 34.31
     2030: 37.69
     2060: 42.69

Health Forecast for Sri Lanka -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2016: 0.337
     2030: 0.750
     2060: 2.343
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2016: 13.98
     2030: 16.74
     2060: 17.64
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2016: 18.19
     2030: 13.53
     2060: 7.147
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2016: 20.67
     2030: 18.85
     2060: 15.54
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2016: 20.75
     2030: 15.25
     2060: 5.533

Education Forecast for Sri Lanka -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2016: 99.07
     2030: 101.7
     2060: 100.2
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2016: 94.94
     2030: 99.54
     2060: 99.98
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 102.0
     2030: 105.8
     2060: 99.54
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 93.43
     2030: 90.23
     2060: 95.32
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 17.50
     2030: 25.10
     2060: 47.71
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2016: 11.13
     2030: 11.43
     2060: 12.65
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2016: 92.15
     2030: 94.62
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Sri Lanka
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2016: 0.585
     2030: 0.148
     2060: 0.030
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2016: 3.734
     2030: 1.384
     2060: 0.289
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2016: 0.842
     2030: 0.893
     2060: 0.991
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2016: 9.420
     2030: 6.804
     2060: 3.274
Calories per capita available - Available per Person per Day - -
     2016: 2,536
     2030: 2,742
     2060: 3,206
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2016: 0.104
     2030: 0.222
     2060: 0.463
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2016: 0.171
     2030: 0.351
     2060: 0.774

Economy Forecast for Sri Lanka
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 205.9
     2030: 374.9
     2060: 1,009
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 82.11
     2030: 203.6
     2060: 853.8
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 9.439
     2030: 16.27
     2060: 43.44
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2016: 0.380
     2030: 0.397
     2060: 0.474
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2016: 45.38
     2030: 42.82
     2060: 15.52
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2016: 14.77
     2030: 22.27
     2060: 56.20

Energy Forecast for Sri Lanka
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2016: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Sri Lanka
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2016: 0.004
     2030: 0.001
     2060: 0.001

International Politics Forecast for Sri Lanka
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2016: 0.183
     2030: 0.207
     2060: 0.234

Domestic Government Forecast for Sri Lanka
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2016: 7.113
     2030: 7.396
     2060: 8.169
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2016: 14.46
     2030: 14.85
     2060: 16.42
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2016: 3.476
     2030: 4.320
     2060: 7.674
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2016: 2.502
     2030: 2.911
     2060: 3.651
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2016: 6.620
     2030: 6.908
     2060: 7.412