Country Profile - Sri Lanka      IFs Version 7.26
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     Forecast Categories for Sri Lanka
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Sri Lanka -
Population - Million People - -
     2016: 20.89
     2030: 22.10
     2060: 21.84
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2016: 0.602
     2030: 0.225
     2060: -0.244
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2016: 15.17
     2030: 13.29
     2060: 11.06
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2016: 6.862
     2030: 8.919
     2060: 11.94
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2016: 7.684
     2030: 6.076
     2060: 4.160
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2016: 75.50
     2030: 77.29
     2060: 80.25
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2016: 72.00
     2030: 73.57
     2060: 76.36
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2016: 78.76
     2030: 80.76
     2060: 83.93
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2016: 2.022
     2030: 1.900
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2016: 0.016
     2030: 0.014
     2060: 0.005
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2016: 1.622
     2030: 1.451
     2060: 1.207
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2016: 5.075
     2030: 4.382
     2060: 3.689
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2016: 13.80
     2030: 14.38
     2060: 13.29
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2016: 2.021
     2030: 3.333
     2060: 4.859
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2016: 3.857
     2030: 4.193
     2060: 4.707
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2016: 0.416
     2030: 0.422
     2060: 0.411
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2016: 34.13
     2030: 37.73
     2060: 42.93

Health Forecast for Sri Lanka -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2016: 0.268
     2030: 0.597
     2060: 1.671
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2016: 14.19
     2030: 16.58
     2060: 18.86
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2016: 24.79
     2030: 18.72
     2060: 10.08
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2016: 26.08
     2030: 26.14
     2060: 20.66
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2016: 20.37
     2030: 10.20
     2060: 3.753

Education Forecast for Sri Lanka -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2016: 101.0
     2030: 99.91
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2016: 97.26
     2030: 98.68
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 99.39
     2030: 91.47
     2060: 99.97
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 98.13
     2030: 83.87
     2060: 96.01
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 20.69
     2030: 24.04
     2060: 38.97
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2016: 11.36
     2030: 11.81
     2060: 12.33
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2016: 91.66
     2030: 94.04
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Sri Lanka
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2016: 0.078
     2030: 0.022
     2060: 0.050
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2016: 3.546
     2030: 1.871
     2060: 1.465
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2016: 0.849
     2030: 0.884
     2060: 0.948
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2016: 10.61
     2030: 7.900
     2060: 3.550
Calories per capita available - Total - Available per Person per Day - -
     2016: 2,574
     2030: 2,797
     2060: 3,170
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2016: 0.149
     2030: 0.259
     2060: 0.426
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2016: 0.329
     2030: 0.460
     2060: 0.707

Economy Forecast for Sri Lanka
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 233.8
     2030: 341.9
     2060: 547.8
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 77.22
     2030: 142.6
     2060: 343.1
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 11.19
     2030: 15.47
     2060: 25.09
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2016: 0.391
     2030: 0.393
     2060: 0.489
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2016: 46.07
     2030: 43.33
     2060: 32.72
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2016: 14.29
     2030: 17.11
     2060: 36.22

Energy Forecast for Sri Lanka
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2016: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Sri Lanka
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2016: 0.004
     2030: 0.001
     2060: 0.001

International Politics Forecast for Sri Lanka
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2016: 0.189
     2030: 0.184
     2060: 0.178

Domestic Government Forecast for Sri Lanka
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2016: 6.028
     2030: 6.222
     2060: 6.533
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2016: 13.09
     2030: 13.58
     2060: 14.77
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2016: 3.380
     2030: 3.974
     2060: 5.317
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2016: 2.634
     2030: 2.901
     2060: 3.256
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2016: 6.597
     2030: 6.771
     2060: 6.968