Country Profile - St. Lucia      IFs Version 7.37
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     Forecast Categories for St. Lucia
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for St. Lucia -
Population - Million People - -
     2018: 0.179
     2030: 0.186
     2060: 0.176
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2018: 0.355
     2030: 0.168
     2060: -0.487
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2018: 12.19
     2030: 10.72
     2060: 8.726
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2018: 7.602
     2030: 8.752
     2060: 13.64
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2018: 9.112
     2030: 6.056
     2060: 2.454
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2018: 75.90
     2030: 77.55
     2060: 81.28
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2018: 73.02
     2030: 74.39
     2060: 77.76
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2018: 78.67
     2030: 80.57
     2060: 84.57
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2018: 1.465
     2030: 1.544
     2060: 1.671
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2018: 0.010
     2030: 0.008
     2060: 0.003
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2018: 0.011
     2030: 0.010
     2060: 0.008
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2018: 0.033
     2030: 0.032
     2060: 0.024
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2018: 0.129
     2030: 0.127
     2060: 0.103
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2018: 0.018
     2030: 0.027
     2060: 0.049
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2018: 0.033
     2030: 0.033
     2060: 0.033
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2018: 0.528
     2030: 0.349
     2060: 0.153
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2018: 46.64
     2030: 48.62
     2060: 49.85

Health Forecast for St. Lucia -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2018: 38.23
     2030: 41.81
     2060: 49.87
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2018: 19.86
     2030: 20.08
     2060: 20.83
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2018: 2.772
     2030: 2.668
     2060: 2.559
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2018: 1.500
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2018: 14.34
     2030: 9.324
     2060: 4.026

Education Forecast for St. Lucia -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2018: 100.7
     2030: 101.3
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2018: 90.62
     2030: 99.04
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2018: 89.87
     2030: 95.64
     2060: 99.38
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2018: 85.00
     2030: 90.01
     2060: 96.69
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2018: 17.91
     2030: 28.21
     2060: 48.68
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2018: 8.099
     2030: 8.965
     2060: 10.75
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2018: 94.79
     2030: 96.29
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Forecast for St. Lucia
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2018: 0.004
     2030: 0.004
     2060: 0.001
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2018: 0.017
     2030: 0.016
     2060: 0.007
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2018: 0.867
     2030: 0.888
     2060: 0.941
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2018: 4.157
     2030: 3.136
     2060: 1.692
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2018: 2,610
     2030: 2,765
     2060: 3,077
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2018: 0.184
     2030: 0.252
     2060: 0.362
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2018: 0.404
     2030: 0.476
     2060: 0.617

Economy Forecast for St. Lucia
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2018: 2.209
     2030: 2.634
     2060: 3.550
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2018: 1.413
     2030: 1.808
     2060: 2.892
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2018: 12.31
     2030: 14.14
     2060: 20.13
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2018: 0.425
     2030: 0.427
     2060: 0.450
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2018: 55.78
     2030: 46.98
     2060: 32.56
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2018: 16.76
     2030: 22.25
     2060: 40.12

Energy Forecast for St. Lucia
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2018: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for St. Lucia
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2018: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

International Politics Forecast for St. Lucia
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2018: 0.002
     2030: 0.002
     2060: 0.001

Domestic Government Forecast for St. Lucia
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2018: 14.00
     2030: 14.00
     2060: 14.00
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2018: 16.03
     2030: 17.63
     2060: 18.86
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2018: 6.963
     2030: 7.077
     2060: 7.219
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2018: 2.531
     2030: 2.747
     2060: 3.204
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2018: 6.908
     2030: 7.002
     2060: 7.193