Country Profile - St. Lucia      IFs Version 7.15
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     Forecast Categories for St. Lucia
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for St. Lucia -
Population - Million People - -
     2015: 0.185
     2030: 0.205
     2060: 0.220
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2015: 0.780
     2030: 0.539
     2060: -0.028
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2015: 15.34
     2030: 13.52
     2060: 11.18
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2015: 7.350
     2030: 8.130
     2060: 11.47
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2015: 9.281
     2030: 7.112
     2060: 4.235
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2015: 75.20
     2030: 77.05
     2060: 80.33
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2015: 72.43
     2030: 73.94
     2060: 76.58
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2015: 77.87
     2030: 80.06
     2060: 83.92
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2015: 1.899
     2030: 1.900
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2015: 0.010
     2030: 0.008
     2060: 0.003
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2015: 0.017
     2030: 0.017
     2060: 0.015
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2015: 0.043
     2030: 0.042
     2060: 0.038
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2015: 0.125
     2030: 0.136
     2060: 0.133
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2015: 0.016
     2030: 0.027
     2060: 0.049
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2015: 0.033
     2030: 0.035
     2060: 0.037
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2015: 0.535
     2030: 0.532
     2060: 0.487
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2015: 47.66
     2030: 49.36
     2060: 49.95

Health Forecast for St. Lucia -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2015: 31.81
     2030: 32.86
     2060: 35.99
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2015: 19.91
     2030: 19.90
     2060: 20.59
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2015: 11.35
     2030: 9.181
     2060: 5.600
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2015: 11.94
     2030: 9.896
     2060: 7.723
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2015: 14.06
     2030: 12.59
     2060: 9.188

Education Forecast for St. Lucia -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2015: 98.03
     2030: 100.8
     2060: 100.3
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2015: 91.79
     2030: 99.99
     2060: 100.00
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2015: 97.49
     2030: 99.94
     2060: 98.72
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2015: 94.06
     2030: 99.27
     2060: 100.6
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2015: 12.20
     2030: 17.91
     2060: 31.07
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2015: 7.906
     2030: 8.847
     2060: 10.50
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2015: 93.67
     2030: 96.22
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for St. Lucia
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2015: 0.038
     2030: 0.049
     2060: 0.034
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2015: 0.074
     2030: 0.090
     2060: 0.066
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2015: 0.849
     2030: 0.873
     2060: 0.924
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2015: 6.844
     2030: 5.195
     2060: 2.560
Calories per capita available - Available per Person per Day - -
     2015: 2,728
     2030: 2,784
     2060: 2,938
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2015: 0.168
     2030: 0.237
     2060: 0.322
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2015: 0.337
     2030: 0.406
     2060: 0.526

Economy Forecast for St. Lucia
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2015: 1.891
     2030: 2.316
     2060: 3.568
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2015: 1.272
     2030: 1.587
     2060: 2.801
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2015: 10.24
     2030: 11.28
     2060: 16.24
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2015: 0.430
     2030: 0.440
     2060: 0.476
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2015: 57.96
     2030: 56.96
     2060: 30.21
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2015: 12.54
     2030: 16.51
     2060: 26.83

Energy Forecast for St. Lucia
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2015: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for St. Lucia
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2015: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

International Politics Forecast for St. Lucia
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2015: 0.002
     2030: 0.002
     2060: 0.001

Domestic Government Forecast for St. Lucia
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2015: 14.00
     2030: 14.00
     2060: 14.00
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2015: 15.78
     2030: 17.01
     2060: 18.20
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2015: 6.832
     2030: 6.718
     2060: 6.684
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2015: 3.280
     2030: 3.344
     2060: 3.524
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2015: 6.805
     2030: 6.873
     2060: 7.060