Country Profile - St. Lucia      IFs Version 7.08
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     Forecast Categories for St. Lucia
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for St. Lucia -
Population - Million People - -
     2014: 0.183
     2030: 0.205
     2060: 0.220
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2014: 0.781
     2030: 0.540
     2060: -0.026
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2014: 15.50
     2030: 13.52
     2060: 11.18
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2014: 7.321
     2030: 8.117
     2060: 11.44
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2014: 9.443
     2030: 7.052
     2060: 4.176
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2014: 75.07
     2030: 77.09
     2060: 80.40
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2014: 72.33
     2030: 73.97
     2060: 76.64
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2014: 77.73
     2030: 80.10
     2060: 83.99
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2014: 1.915
     2030: 1.900
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2014: 0.010
     2030: 0.008
     2060: 0.003
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2014: 0.017
     2030: 0.017
     2060: 0.015
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2014: 0.043
     2030: 0.042
     2060: 0.038
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2014: 0.124
     2030: 0.136
     2060: 0.133
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2014: 0.016
     2030: 0.027
     2060: 0.049
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2014: 0.033
     2030: 0.035
     2060: 0.038
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2014: 0.532
     2030: 0.532
     2060: 0.487
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2014: 47.45
     2030: 49.36
     2060: 49.95

Health Forecast for St. Lucia -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2014: 31.74
     2030: 33.03
     2060: 35.93
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2014: 19.90
     2030: 19.93
     2060: 20.64
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2014: 11.59
     2030: 9.078
     2060: 5.562
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2014: 11.92
     2030: 9.808
     2060: 7.714
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2014: 14.17
     2030: 12.43
     2060: 9.233

Education Forecast for St. Lucia -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2014: 97.57
     2030: 100.7
     2060: 100.3
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2014: 91.10
     2030: 99.99
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2014: 98.07
     2030: 100.1
     2060: 98.78
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2014: 94.20
     2030: 99.46
     2060: 100.5
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2014: 11.92
     2030: 18.12
     2060: 31.32
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2014: 7.839
     2030: 8.856
     2060: 10.52
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2014: 93.52
     2030: 96.23
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for St. Lucia
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2014: 0.042
     2030: 0.040
     2060: 0.017
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2014: 0.077
     2030: 0.077
     2060: 0.043
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2014: 0.847
     2030: 0.874
     2060: 0.926
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2014: 7.037
     2030: 5.096
     2060: 2.508
Calories per capita available - Available per Person per Day - -
     2014: 2,724
     2030: 2,793
     2060: 2,936
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2014: 0.162
     2030: 0.239
     2060: 0.327
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2014: 0.331
     2030: 0.410
     2060: 0.535

Economy Forecast for St. Lucia
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2014: 1.874
     2030: 2.360
     2060: 3.668
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2014: 1.265
     2030: 1.632
     2060: 2.916
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2014: 10.22
     2030: 11.50
     2060: 16.69
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2014: 0.445
     2030: 0.441
     2060: 0.427
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2014: 1,513,083,371,5
     2030: 1,490,726,944,7
     2060: 944,450,568,192
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2014: 12.47
     2030: 16.93
     2060: 27.12

Energy Forecast for St. Lucia
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2014: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for St. Lucia
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2014: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

International Politics Forecast for St. Lucia
Power index, Global Power Index (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2014: 0.002
     2030: 0.002
     2060: 0.001

Domestic Government Forecast for St. Lucia
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2014: 14.00
     2030: 14.00
     2060: 14.00
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2014: 15.73
     2030: 17.02
     2060: 18.22
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2014: 6.849
     2030: 6.744
     2060: 6.738
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2014: 3.279
     2030: 3.356
     2060: 3.538
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2014: 6.803
     2030: 6.883
     2060: 7.071