Country Profile - St. Lucia      IFs Version 7.31
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     Forecast Categories for St. Lucia
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for St. Lucia -
Population - Million People - -
     2018: 0.180
     2030: 0.188
     2060: 0.178
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2018: 0.470
     2030: 0.203
     2060: -0.514
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2018: 12.20
     2030: 10.76
     2060: 8.731
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2018: 7.599
     2030: 8.729
     2060: 13.87
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2018: 9.216
     2030: 6.227
     2060: 2.628
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2018: 75.88
     2030: 77.49
     2060: 80.65
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2018: 72.98
     2030: 74.24
     2060: 76.60
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2018: 78.67
     2030: 80.59
     2060: 84.42
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2018: 1.465
     2030: 1.544
     2060: 1.671
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2018: 0.010
     2030: 0.008
     2060: 0.003
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2018: 0.011
     2030: 0.010
     2060: 0.008
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2018: 0.033
     2030: 0.032
     2060: 0.024
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2018: 0.129
     2030: 0.129
     2060: 0.104
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2018: 0.018
     2030: 0.027
     2060: 0.050
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2018: 0.034
     2030: 0.035
     2060: 0.035
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2018: 0.569
     2030: 0.551
     2060: 0.473
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2018: 47.39
     2030: 49.13
     2060: 49.94

Health Forecast for St. Lucia -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2018: 38.17
     2030: 42.29
     2060: 53.30
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2018: 19.86
     2030: 19.99
     2060: 20.47
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2018: 2.772
     2030: 2.518
     2060: 2.283
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2018: 1.517
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2018: 14.59
     2030: 9.359
     2060: 3.494

Education Forecast for St. Lucia -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2018: 100.8
     2030: 101.7
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2018: 90.33
     2030: 98.77
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2018: 89.59
     2030: 94.54
     2060: 98.15
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2018: 84.78
     2030: 88.02
     2060: 93.77
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2018: 17.70
     2030: 25.55
     2060: 42.70
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2018: 7.783
     2030: 8.641
     2060: 10.39
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2018: 92.94
     2030: 94.68
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for St. Lucia
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2018: 0.032
     2030: 0.032
     2060: 0.028
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2018: 0.103
     2030: 0.102
     2060: 0.084
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2018: 0.851
     2030: 0.872
     2060: 0.925
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2018: 5.320
     2030: 4.027
     2060: 1.708
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2018: 2,607
     2030: 2,785
     2060: 3,201
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2018: 0.147
     2030: 0.210
     2060: 0.308
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2018: 0.313
     2030: 0.380
     2060: 0.507

Economy Forecast for St. Lucia
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2018: 1.868
     2030: 2.197
     2060: 2.840
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2018: 1.312
     2030: 1.594
     2060: 2.272
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2018: 10.40
     2030: 11.69
     2060: 15.97
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2018: 0.427
     2030: 0.442
     2060: 0.498
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2018: 57.80
     2030: 55.88
     2060: 30.70
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2018: 15.75
     2030: 19.24
     2060: 32.31

Energy Forecast for St. Lucia
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2018: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for St. Lucia
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2018: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

International Politics Forecast for St. Lucia
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2018: 0.002
     2030: 0.001
     2060: 0.001

Domestic Government Forecast for St. Lucia
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2018: 14.00
     2030: 14.00
     2060: 14.00
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2018: 15.65
     2030: 17.23
     2060: 18.48
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2018: 6.926
     2030: 6.953
     2060: 6.832
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2018: 2.516
     2030: 2.707
     2060: 3.110
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2018: 6.809
     2030: 6.893
     2060: 7.065