Country Profile - St. Lucia      IFs Version 7.30
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     Forecast Categories for St. Lucia
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for St. Lucia -
Population - Million People - -
     2017: 0.188
     2030: 0.205
     2060: 0.219
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2017: 0.755
     2030: 0.551
     2060: -0.057
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2017: 14.67
     2030: 13.45
     2060: 10.91
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2017: 7.216
     2030: 7.944
     2060: 11.48
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2017: 10.00
     2030: 6.408
     2060: 2.644
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2017: 75.65
     2030: 77.49
     2060: 80.78
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2017: 72.79
     2030: 74.26
     2060: 76.81
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2017: 78.40
     2030: 80.59
     2060: 84.55
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2017: 1.828
     2030: 1.855
     2060: 1.871
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2017: 0.010
     2030: 0.008
     2060: 0.003
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2017: 0.014
     2030: 0.014
     2060: 0.012
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2017: 0.043
     2030: 0.041
     2060: 0.037
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2017: 0.128
     2030: 0.137
     2060: 0.133
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2017: 0.017
     2030: 0.026
     2060: 0.050
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2017: 0.034
     2030: 0.036
     2060: 0.038
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2017: 0.533
     2030: 0.534
     2060: 0.486
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2017: 47.12
     2030: 49.11
     2060: 49.94

Health Forecast for St. Lucia -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2017: 37.78
     2030: 42.27
     2060: 53.29
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2017: 19.85
     2030: 20.09
     2060: 20.70
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2017: 2.798
     2030: 2.499
     2060: 2.270
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2017: 1.958
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2017: 15.41
     2030: 9.281
     2060: 3.444

Education Forecast for St. Lucia -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2017: 100.6
     2030: 101.9
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2017: 89.68
     2030: 98.70
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2017: 88.99
     2030: 94.88
     2060: 98.59
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2017: 83.00
     2030: 87.96
     2060: 94.76
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2017: 16.98
     2030: 24.92
     2060: 40.61
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2017: 7.702
     2030: 8.676
     2060: 10.59
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2017: 92.88
     2030: 94.89
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for St. Lucia
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2017: 0.036
     2030: 0.034
     2060: 0.030
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2017: 0.071
     2030: 0.068
     2060: 0.059
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2017: 0.850
     2030: 0.875
     2060: 0.930
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2017: 5.381
     2030: 3.894
     2060: 1.690
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2017: 2,592
     2030: 2,788
     2060: 3,209
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2017: 0.143
     2030: 0.222
     2060: 0.337
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2017: 0.309
     2030: 0.399
     2060: 0.556

Economy Forecast for St. Lucia
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2017: 1.969
     2030: 2.512
     2060: 3.796
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2017: 1.330
     2030: 1.794
     2060: 3.084
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2017: 10.48
     2030: 12.25
     2060: 17.33
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2017: 0.427
     2030: 0.448
     2060: 0.508
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2017: 58.04
     2030: 56.55
     2060: 35.30
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2017: 14.76
     2030: 20.81
     2060: 36.21

Energy Forecast for St. Lucia
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2017: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for St. Lucia
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2017: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

International Politics Forecast for St. Lucia
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2017: 0.002
     2030: 0.002
     2060: 0.002

Domestic Government Forecast for St. Lucia
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2017: 14.00
     2030: 14.00
     2060: 14.00
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2017: 15.58
     2030: 16.70
     2060: 18.03
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2017: 6.947
     2030: 6.950
     2060: 6.936
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2017: 2.509
     2030: 2.718
     2060: 3.145
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2017: 6.813
     2030: 6.909
     2060: 7.100