Country Profile - Kazakhstan      IFs Version 7.15
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     Forecast Categories for Kazakhstan
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Kazakhstan -
Population - Million People - -
     2015: 16.87
     2030: 18.63
     2060: 20.64
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2015: 1.047
     2030: 0.410
     2060: 0.064
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2015: 19.83
     2030: 13.08
     2060: 11.16
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2015: 9.373
     2030: 8.978
     2060: 10.52
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2015: 22.90
     2030: 15.82
     2060: 9.485
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2015: 68.24
     2030: 72.44
     2060: 78.78
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2015: 62.49
     2030: 66.59
     2060: 72.45
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2015: 73.58
     2030: 77.81
     2060: 84.52
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2015: 2.420
     2030: 1.900
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2015: 0.010
     2030: 0.008
     2060: 0.003
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2015: 2.040
     2030: 1.471
     2060: 1.392
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2015: 4.477
     2030: 4.078
     2060: 3.700
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2015: 11.22
     2030: 12.47
     2060: 12.74
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2015: 1.175
     2030: 2.089
     2060: 4.203
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2015: 9.510
     2030: 11.58
     2060: 14.50
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2015: 0.535
     2030: 0.538
     2060: 0.496
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2015: 49.42
     2030: 49.42
     2060: 49.42

Health Forecast for Kazakhstan -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2015: 14.48
     2030: 15.47
     2060: 15.92
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2015: 24.15
     2030: 25.47
     2060: 25.45
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2015: 4.572
     2030: 3.837
     2060: 3.271
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2015: 3.956
     2030: 4.297
     2060: 2.930
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2015: 4.138
     2030: 2.534
     2060: 1.442

Education Forecast for Kazakhstan -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2015: 107.6
     2030: 101.1
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2015: 95.23
     2030: 100.00
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2015: 106.6
     2030: 101.5
     2060: 100.0
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2015: 80.74
     2030: 86.03
     2060: 107.0
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2015: 37.86
     2030: 47.22
     2060: 72.10
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2015: 10.55
     2030: 11.20
     2060: 12.91
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2015: 100.0
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Kazakhstan
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2015: 0.003
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2015: 0.049
     2030: 0.004
     2060: 0.000
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2015: 0.877
     2030: 0.928
     2060: 1.000
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2015: 5.065
     2030: 3.278
     2060: 2.375
Calories per capita available - Available per Person per Day - -
     2015: 3,327
     2030: 3,410
     2060: 3,446
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2015: 0.322
     2030: 0.433
     2060: 0.550
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2015: 0.730
     2030: 0.842
     2060: 1.013

Economy Forecast for Kazakhstan
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2015: 393.3
     2030: 718.8
     2060: 1,575
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2015: 235.1
     2030: 545.6
     2060: 1,365
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2015: 23.31
     2030: 38.58
     2060: 76.29
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2015: 0.293
     2030: 0.346
     2060: 0.341
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2015: 25.56
     2030: 17.28
     2060: 12.63
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2015: 33.14
     2030: 50.98
     2060: 68.09

Energy Forecast for Kazakhstan
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2015: 0.730
     2030: 1.190
     2060: 0.487

Environment Forecast for Kazakhstan
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2015: 0.076
     2030: 0.098
     2060: 0.132

International Politics Forecast for Kazakhstan
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2015: 0.263
     2030: 0.315
     2060: 0.321

Domestic Government Forecast for Kazakhstan
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2015: 5.089
     2030: 5.330
     2060: 5.941
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2015: 4.625
     2030: 6.168
     2060: 9.950
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2015: 3.459
     2030: 5.701
     2060: 10.00
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2015: 2.229
     2030: 2.675
     2060: 3.404
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2015: 6.896
     2030: 7.133
     2060: 7.470