Country Profile - Kazakhstan      IFs Version 7.31
  Continue    Change Country    Display Options    Map Source    Help  


Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
www.ifs.du.edu


Sign up for our monthly newsletter.

     Forecast Categories for Kazakhstan
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Kazakhstan -
Population - Million People - -
     2017: 18.20
     2030: 20.13
     2060: 22.41
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2017: 1.189
     2030: 0.475
     2060: 0.063
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2017: 20.82
     2030: 13.84
     2060: 11.78
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2017: 8.922
     2030: 9.093
     2060: 11.15
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2017: 12.83
     2030: 10.07
     2060: 6.350
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2017: 69.91
     2030: 71.96
     2060: 75.86
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2017: 64.92
     2030: 66.86
     2060: 70.54
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2017: 74.59
     2030: 76.74
     2060: 80.82
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2017: 2.618
     2030: 2.100
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2017: 0.127
     2030: 0.243
     2060: 0.505
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2017: 1.971
     2030: 1.414
     2060: 1.344
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2017: 5.086
     2030: 4.841
     2060: 4.346
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2017: 11.84
     2030: 13.15
     2060: 14.23
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2017: 1.272
     2030: 2.140
     2060: 3.834
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2017: 9.654
     2030: 11.58
     2060: 14.97
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2017: 0.505
     2030: 0.507
     2060: 0.493
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2017: 49.01
     2030: 49.01
     2060: 49.01

Health Forecast for Kazakhstan -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2017: 14.05
     2030: 15.60
     2060: 18.20
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2017: 26.91
     2030: 28.10
     2060: 28.02
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2017: 2.203
     2030: 1.964
     2060: 1.889
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2017: 2.135
     2030: 2.847
     2060: 1.828
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2017: 1.436
     2030: 1.150
     2060: 0.826

Education Forecast for Kazakhstan -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2017: 106.2
     2030: 101.6
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2017: 91.51
     2030: 98.18
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2017: 111.3
     2030: 101.9
     2060: 99.75
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2017: 103.2
     2030: 96.61
     2060: 98.92
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2017: 46.00
     2030: 54.78
     2060: 88.43
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2017: 10.74
     2030: 12.07
     2060: 14.67
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2017: 99.97
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Kazakhstan
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2017: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2017: 0.002
     2030: 0.001
     2060: 0.000
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2017: 0.886
     2030: 0.911
     2060: 0.963
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2017: 3.861
     2030: 2.478
     2060: 1.838
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2017: 3,312
     2030: 3,444
     2060: 3,647
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2017: 0.322
     2030: 0.412
     2060: 0.485
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2017: 0.788
     2030: 0.844
     2060: 0.878

Economy Forecast for Kazakhstan
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2017: 424.4
     2030: 603.2
     2060: 1,151
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2017: 228.4
     2030: 384.6
     2060: 940.9
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2017: 23.32
     2030: 29.97
     2060: 51.33
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2017: 0.255
     2030: 0.291
     2060: 0.331
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2017: 36.38
     2030: 31.03
     2060: 29.50
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2017: 37.66
     2030: 50.22
     2060: 69.51

Energy Forecast for Kazakhstan
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2017: 0.597
     2030: 0.578
     2060: 0.823

Environment Forecast for Kazakhstan
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2017: 0.074
     2030: 0.078
     2060: 0.092

International Politics Forecast for Kazakhstan
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2017: 0.266
     2030: 0.292
     2060: 0.357

Domestic Government Forecast for Kazakhstan
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2017: 5.040
     2030: 5.325
     2060: 6.080
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2017: 4.308
     2030: 5.494
     2060: 8.778
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2017: 2.778
     2030: 3.995
     2060: 7.538
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2017: 2.501
     2030: 2.779
     2060: 3.320
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2017: 7.255
     2030: 7.411
     2060: 7.674