Country Profile - Kosovo      IFs Version 7.37
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Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
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     Forecast Categories for Kosovo
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Kosovo -
Population - Million People - -
     2018: 1.822
     2030: 1.753
     2060: 1.581
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2018: -0.233
     2030: -0.363
     2060: -0.382
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2018: 14.03
     2030: 11.67
     2060: 11.90
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2018: 16.36
     2030: 15.30
     2060: 15.72
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2018: 2.496
     2030: 1.317
     2060: 0.417
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2018: 68.60
     2030: 69.63
     2060: 71.86
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2018: 67.80
     2030: 68.40
     2060: 70.11
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2018: 69.38
     2030: 70.86
     2060: 73.64
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2018: 2.010
     2030: 1.900
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2018: 0.010
     2030: 0.008
     2060: 0.003
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2018: 0.119
     2030: 0.106
     2060: 0.096
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2018: 0.337
     2030: 0.349
     2060: 0.300
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2018: 1.231
     2030: 1.129
     2060: 0.990
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2018: 0.254
     2030: 0.274
     2060: 0.291
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2018: 1.320
     2030: 1.548
     2060: 1.455
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2018: 0.441
     2030: 0.384
     2060: 0.332
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2018: 38.89
     2030: 41.81
     2060: 46.17

Health Forecast for Kosovo -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2018: 17.66
     2030: 19.48
     2060: 23.02
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2018: 21.83
     2030: 22.22
     2060: 22.90
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2018: 10.72
     2030: 8.785
     2060: 5.727
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2018: 14.24
     2030: 11.60
     2060: 7.311
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2018: 11.26
     2030: 7.087
     2060: 3.415

Education Forecast for Kosovo -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2018: 104.2
     2030: 103.5
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2018: 90.71
     2030: 94.94
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2018: 91.26
     2030: 91.15
     2060: 95.34
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2018: 81.77
     2030: 83.45
     2060: 89.49
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2018: 37.82
     2030: 39.52
     2060: 53.57
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2018: 7.488
     2030: 8.290
     2060: 9.951
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2018: 91.59
     2030: 94.05
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Forecast for Kosovo
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2018: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2018: 0.008
     2030: 0.003
     2060: 0.005
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2018: 0.802
     2030: 0.830
     2060: 0.887
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2018: 8.337
     2030: 6.889
     2060: 5.216
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2018: 2,765
     2030: 2,919
     2060: 3,181
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2018: 0.120
     2030: 0.210
     2060: 0.391
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2018: 0.247
     2030: 0.355
     2060: 0.620

Economy Forecast for Kosovo
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2018: 17.73
     2030: 21.70
     2060: 30.84
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2018: 8.312
     2030: 11.72
     2060: 22.04
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2018: 9.735
     2030: 12.38
     2060: 19.50
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2018: 0.256
     2030: 0.256
     2060: 0.331
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2018: 50.00
     2030: 49.65
     2060: 50.39
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2018: 21.66
     2030: 23.74
     2060: 39.89

Energy Forecast for Kosovo
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2018: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Kosovo
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2018: 0.001
     2030: 0.001
     2060: 0.001

International Politics Forecast for Kosovo
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2018: 0.013
     2030: 0.012
     2060: 0.010

Domestic Government Forecast for Kosovo
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2018: 9.110
     2030: 9.667
     2060: 10.80
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2018: 18.07
     2030: 18.32
     2060: 17.82
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2018: 4.179
     2030: 4.514
     2060: 5.281
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2018: 2.259
     2030: 2.522
     2060: 3.046
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2018: 6.767
     2030: 6.898
     2060: 7.107