Country Profile - Kosovo      IFs Version 7.31
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Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
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     Forecast Categories for Kosovo
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Kosovo -
Population - Million People - -
     2018: 1.829
     2030: 1.799
     2060: 1.675
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2018: -0.035
     2030: -0.199
     2060: -0.339
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2018: 14.09
     2030: 11.48
     2060: 11.31
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2018: 14.44
     2030: 13.47
     2060: 14.70
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2018: 12.84
     2030: 9.299
     2060: 5.040
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2018: 72.21
     2030: 73.25
     2060: 75.37
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2018: 69.55
     2030: 70.42
     2060: 72.22
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2018: 74.83
     2030: 76.01
     2060: 78.45
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2018: 2.017
     2030: 1.900
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2018: 0.010
     2030: 0.008
     2060: 0.003
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2018: 0.119
     2030: 0.106
     2060: 0.096
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2018: 0.336
     2030: 0.350
     2060: 0.300
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2018: 1.238
     2030: 1.169
     2060: 1.045
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2018: 0.255
     2030: 0.281
     2060: 0.329
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2018: 1.324
     2030: 1.573
     2060: 1.541
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2018: 0.429
     2030: 0.422
     2060: 0.421
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2018: 38.89
     2030: 41.80
     2060: 46.17

Health Forecast for Kosovo -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2018: 19.00
     2030: 20.98
     2060: 25.92
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2018: 21.82
     2030: 22.06
     2060: 22.65
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2018: 9.353
     2030: 7.719
     2060: 4.837
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2018: 9.068
     2030: 7.190
     2060: 2.834
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2018: 9.510
     2030: 6.041
     2060: 2.614

Education Forecast for Kosovo -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2018: 104.2
     2030: 103.5
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2018: 90.65
     2030: 94.81
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2018: 91.19
     2030: 90.90
     2060: 95.33
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2018: 81.69
     2030: 82.97
     2060: 89.60
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2018: 37.34
     2030: 38.16
     2060: 52.30
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2018: 7.497
     2030: 8.282
     2060: 9.869
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2018: 91.65
     2030: 94.06
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Kosovo
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2018: 0.002
     2030: 0.001
     2060: 0.004
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2018: 0.037
     2030: 0.023
     2060: 0.028
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2018: 0.823
     2030: 0.850
     2060: 0.908
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2018: 6.208
     2030: 4.576
     2060: 1.994
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2018: 2,858
     2030: 3,013
     2060: 3,351
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2018: 0.121
     2030: 0.212
     2060: 0.390
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2018: 0.250
     2030: 0.358
     2060: 0.620

Economy Forecast for Kosovo
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2018: 17.87
     2030: 22.49
     2060: 33.71
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2018: 8.340
     2030: 12.13
     2060: 24.36
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2018: 9.773
     2030: 12.50
     2060: 20.13
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2018: 0.272
     2030: 0.283
     2060: 0.374
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2018: 50.28
     2030: 49.88
     2060: 51.13
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2018: 20.77
     2030: 22.24
     2060: 37.87

Energy Forecast for Kosovo
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2018: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Kosovo
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2018: 0.001
     2030: 0.002
     2060: 0.002

International Politics Forecast for Kosovo
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2018: 0.013
     2030: 0.012
     2060: 0.011

Domestic Government Forecast for Kosovo
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2018: 8.096
     2030: 8.581
     2060: 9.569
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2018: 18.09
     2030: 18.41
     2060: 18.05
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2018: 4.182
     2030: 4.537
     2060: 5.378
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2018: 2.258
     2030: 2.526
     2060: 3.028
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2018: 6.767
     2030: 6.902
     2060: 7.093