Country Profile - Comoros      IFs Version 7.26
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Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
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     Forecast Categories for Comoros
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Comoros -
Population - Million People - -
     2016: 0.806
     2030: 1.078
     2060: 1.624
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2016: 2.262
     2030: 1.840
     2060: 0.841
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2016: 32.30
     2030: 26.12
     2060: 16.37
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2016: 7.175
     2030: 5.851
     2060: 7.110
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2016: 52.32
     2030: 32.00
     2060: 16.46
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2016: 64.60
     2030: 69.35
     2060: 73.98
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2016: 62.80
     2030: 67.18
     2060: 71.58
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2016: 66.44
     2030: 71.58
     2060: 76.44
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2016: 4.283
     2030: 3.437
     2060: 2.188
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2016: 0.065
     2030: 0.056
     2060: 0.021
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2016: 0.121
     2030: 0.134
     2060: 0.134
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2016: 0.323
     2030: 0.380
     2060: 0.407
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2016: 0.460
     2030: 0.653
     2060: 1.074
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2016: 0.023
     2030: 0.044
     2060: 0.142
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2016: 0.228
     2030: 0.322
     2060: 0.587
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2016: 0.347
     2030: 0.380
     2060: 0.435
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2016: 31.25
     2030: 34.93
     2060: 40.57

Health Forecast for Comoros -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2016: 7.290
     2030: 8.367
     2060: 10.68
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2016: 15.40
     2030: 15.48
     2060: 15.64
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2016: 16.43
     2030: 11.04
     2060: 6.054
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2016: 15.18
     2030: 11.84
     2060: 4.622
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2016: 61.71
     2030: 39.59
     2060: 14.94

Education Forecast for Comoros -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2016: 107.5
     2030: 100.3
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2016: 89.61
     2030: 99.74
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 71.41
     2030: 70.82
     2060: 84.28
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 54.52
     2030: 57.91
     2060: 80.70
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 9.313
     2030: 11.39
     2060: 19.35
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2016: 3.481
     2030: 5.035
     2060: 7.360
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2016: 77.99
     2030: 85.09
     2060: 98.14

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Comoros
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2016: 0.383
     2030: 0.452
     2060: 0.538
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2016: 0.536
     2030: 0.661
     2060: 0.789
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2016: 0.626
     2030: 0.689
     2060: 0.792
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2016: 17.38
     2030: 11.36
     2060: 3.673
Calories per capita available - Total - Available per Person per Day - -
     2016: 2,539
     2030: 2,697
     2060: 2,972
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2016: -0.322
     2030: -0.295
     2060: -0.178
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2016: -0.888
     2030: -0.752
     2060: -0.479

Economy Forecast for Comoros
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 1.115
     2030: 1.869
     2060: 5.164
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 0.654
     2030: 1.016
     2060: 2.715
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 1.384
     2030: 1.734
     2060: 3.180
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2016: 0.561
     2030: 0.556
     2060: 0.652
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2016: 38.74
     2030: 41.98
     2060: 43.50
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2016: 5.849
     2030: 6.801
     2060: 11.98

Energy Forecast for Comoros
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2016: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Comoros
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2016: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

International Politics Forecast for Comoros
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2016: 0.003
     2030: 0.004
     2060: 0.005

Domestic Government Forecast for Comoros
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2016: 9.135
     2030: 10.49
     2060: 12.91
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2016: 19.03
     2030: 19.17
     2060: 18.23
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2016: 2.424
     2030: 2.585
     2060: 3.002
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2016: 0.877
     2030: 1.176
     2060: 1.837
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2016: 5.602
     2030: 5.714
     2060: 5.978