Country Profile - Comoros      IFs Version 7.24
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Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
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     Forecast Categories for Comoros
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Comoros -
Population - Million People - -
     2016: 0.806
     2030: 1.077
     2060: 1.614
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2016: 2.262
     2030: 1.832
     2060: 0.817
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2016: 32.30
     2030: 25.97
     2060: 16.14
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2016: 7.177
     2030: 5.780
     2060: 7.119
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2016: 52.31
     2030: 30.69
     2060: 15.07
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2016: 64.59
     2030: 69.52
     2060: 74.12
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2016: 62.79
     2030: 67.35
     2060: 71.72
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2016: 66.43
     2030: 71.75
     2060: 76.58
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2016: 4.283
     2030: 3.416
     2060: 2.153
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2016: 0.065
     2030: 0.056
     2060: 0.021
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2016: 0.121
     2030: 0.133
     2060: 0.131
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2016: 0.323
     2030: 0.379
     2060: 0.400
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2016: 0.460
     2030: 0.653
     2060: 1.071
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2016: 0.023
     2030: 0.045
     2060: 0.142
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2016: 0.228
     2030: 0.322
     2060: 0.585
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2016: 0.347
     2030: 0.381
     2060: 0.437
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2016: 31.25
     2030: 34.93
     2060: 40.57

Health Forecast for Comoros -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2016: 7.290
     2030: 8.375
     2060: 10.91
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2016: 15.40
     2030: 15.48
     2060: 15.67
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2016: 16.43
     2030: 9.818
     2060: 3.822
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2016: 15.03
     2030: 11.34
     2060: 6.792
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2016: 61.71
     2030: 39.53
     2060: 14.21

Education Forecast for Comoros -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2016: 107.7
     2030: 100.3
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2016: 89.61
     2030: 99.79
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 72.04
     2030: 72.41
     2060: 78.42
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 55.06
     2030: 60.40
     2060: 69.48
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 9.348
     2030: 11.59
     2060: 17.73
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2016: 3.478
     2030: 5.074
     2060: 7.387
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2016: 77.99
     2030: 85.31
     2060: 98.22

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Comoros
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2016: 0.383
     2030: 0.455
     2060: 0.562
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2016: 0.536
     2030: 0.661
     2060: 0.806
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2016: 0.626
     2030: 0.691
     2060: 0.796
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2016: 17.37
     2030: 11.09
     2060: 3.347
Calories per capita available - Total - Available per Person per Day - -
     2016: 2,539
     2030: 2,698
     2060: 2,996
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2016: -0.322
     2030: -0.294
     2060: -0.168
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2016: -0.888
     2030: -0.750
     2060: -0.461

Economy Forecast for Comoros
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 1.115
     2030: 1.878
     2060: 5.433
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 0.654
     2030: 1.023
     2060: 2.936
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 1.384
     2030: 1.744
     2060: 3.367
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2016: 0.561
     2030: 0.561
     2060: 0.667
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2016: 38.74
     2030: 41.95
     2060: 43.60
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2016: 5.963
     2030: 7.034
     2060: 10.40

Energy Forecast for Comoros
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2016: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Comoros
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2016: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

International Politics Forecast for Comoros
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2016: 0.003
     2030: 0.004
     2060: 0.006

Domestic Government Forecast for Comoros
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2016: 9.135
     2030: 10.55
     2060: 12.94
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2016: 19.03
     2030: 19.17
     2060: 18.24
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2016: 2.424
     2030: 2.586
     2060: 3.027
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2016: 0.877
     2030: 1.179
     2060: 1.872
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2016: 5.602
     2030: 5.716
     2060: 6.005