Country Profile - Kyrgyz Republic      IFs Version 7.00
  Continue    Change Country    Display Options    Map Source  


Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
www.ifs.du.edu


Sign up for our monthly newsletter.

     Forecast Categories for Kyrgyz Republic
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Kyrgyz Republic -
Population - Million People - -
     2014: 5.736
     2030: 7.031
     2060: 8.135
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2014: 1.794
     2030: 0.837
     2060: 0.111
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2014: 25.96
     2030: 16.66
     2060: 12.59
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2014: 7.311
     2030: 7.679
     2060: 10.92
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2014: 33.42
     2030: 28.91
     2060: 18.69
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2014: 68.02
     2030: 69.72
     2060: 73.26
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2014: 63.89
     2030: 65.54
     2060: 68.91
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2014: 72.06
     2030: 73.78
     2060: 77.41
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2014: 2.868
     2030: 2.215
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2014: 0.078
     2030: 0.063
     2060: 0.021
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2014: 0.822
     2030: 0.695
     2060: 0.616
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2014: 1.727
     2030: 1.865
     2060: 1.585
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2014: 3.769
     2030: 4.645
     2060: 5.324
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2014: 0.240
     2030: 0.521
     2060: 1.227
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2014: 2.075
     2030: 2.505
     2060: 3.141
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2014: 0.481
     2030: 0.496
     2060: 0.501
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2014: 43.83
     2030: 46.84
     2060: 49.10

Health Forecast for Kyrgyz Republic -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2014: 14.56
     2030: 14.66
     2060: 15.65
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2014: 23.38
     2030: 23.97
     2060: 24.85
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2014: 2.747
     2030: 2.809
     2060: 2.886
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2014: 1.817
     2030: 1.259
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2014: 6.403
     2030: 6.923
     2060: 7.094

Education Forecast for Kyrgyz Republic -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2014: 105.6
     2030: 101.7
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2014: 90.17
     2030: 97.08
     2060: 99.97
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2014: 97.27
     2030: 96.12
     2060: 98.62
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2014: 63.54
     2030: 65.44
     2060: 75.19
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2014: 42.22
     2030: 42.18
     2060: 44.20
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2014: 9.531
     2030: 10.28
     2060: 11.49
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2014: 99.62
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Kyrgyz Republic
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation - Million People - -
     2014: 0.371
     2030: 1.017
     2060: 0.786
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation - Million People - -
     2014: 1.204
     2030: 2.373
     2060: 1.799
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2014: 0.744
     2030: 0.765
     2060: 0.815
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2014: 5.938
     2030: 4.919
     2060: 2.924
Calories per capita available - Available per Person per Day - -
     2014: 2,811
     2030: 2,819
     2060: 2,898
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2014: -0.227
     2030: -0.220
     2060: -0.201
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2014: -0.637
     2030: -0.569
     2060: -0.461

Economy Forecast for Kyrgyz Republic
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2005 Dollars - -
     2014: 12.82
     2030: 18.90
     2060: 37.98
Gross domestic product - Billion 2005 Dollars - -
     2014: 3.709
     2030: 6.073
     2060: 15.72
GDP per capita at PPP - Thousand 2005 Dollars - -
     2014: 2.235
     2030: 2.689
     2060: 4.668
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2014: 0.381
     2030: 0.419
     2060: 0.492
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2014: 59.10
     2030: 65.87
     2060: 66.58
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2014: 28.28
     2030: 29.41
     2060: 33.98

Energy Forecast for Kyrgyz Republic
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2014: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Kyrgyz Republic
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2014: 0.002
     2030: 0.003
     2060: 0.003

International Politics Forecast for Kyrgyz Republic
Power index (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2014: 0.029
     2030: 0.030
     2060: 0.031

Domestic Government Forecast for Kyrgyz Republic
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2014: 6.113
     2030: 6.455
     2060: 7.133
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2014: 17.21
     2030: 18.89
     2060: 19.66
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2014: 2.106
     2030: 2.630
     2060: 3.485
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2014: 1.940
     2030: 2.148
     2060: 2.578
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2014: 6.615
     2030: 6.757
     2060: 7.067