Country Profile - Kyrgyz Republic      IFs Version 7.24
  Continue    Change Country    Display Options    Map Source    Help  


Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
www.ifs.du.edu


Sign up for our monthly newsletter.

     Forecast Categories for Kyrgyz Republic
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Kyrgyz Republic -
Population - Million People - -
     2016: 6.023
     2030: 7.115
     2060: 8.208
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2016: 1.596
     2030: 0.794
     2060: 0.150
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2016: 25.03
     2030: 16.68
     2060: 12.47
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2016: 6.282
     2030: 6.582
     2060: 9.492
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2016: 18.47
     2030: 14.28
     2060: 8.086
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2016: 70.95
     2030: 72.69
     2060: 76.46
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2016: 66.89
     2030: 68.51
     2060: 71.97
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2016: 74.93
     2030: 76.79
     2060: 80.81
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2016: 2.946
     2030: 2.298
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2016: 0.159
     2030: 0.138
     2060: 0.051
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2016: 0.782
     2030: 0.596
     2060: 0.518
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2016: 1.907
     2030: 1.949
     2060: 1.614
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2016: 3.855
     2030: 4.605
     2060: 5.338
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2016: 0.261
     2030: 0.562
     2060: 1.256
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2016: 2.131
     2030: 2.505
     2060: 3.175
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2016: 0.464
     2030: 0.482
     2060: 0.496
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2016: 43.16
     2030: 46.16
     2060: 48.88

Health Forecast for Kyrgyz Republic -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2016: 14.52
     2030: 16.15
     2060: 19.39
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2016: 26.88
     2030: 27.36
     2060: 28.65
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2016: 2.786
     2030: 2.359
     2060: 2.344
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2016: 1.636
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2016: 5.469
     2030: 4.103
     2060: 2.529

Education Forecast for Kyrgyz Republic -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2016: 109.2
     2030: 100.1
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2016: 93.87
     2030: 99.99
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 99.11
     2030: 97.84
     2060: 100.0
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 86.12
     2030: 91.90
     2060: 94.01
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 47.78
     2030: 63.19
     2060: 81.16
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2016: 9.474
     2030: 11.32
     2060: 14.21
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2016: 99.51
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Kyrgyz Republic
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2016: 0.295
     2030: 0.669
     2060: 0.202
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2016: 1.311
     2030: 1.991
     2060: 0.721
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2016: 0.781
     2030: 0.806
     2060: 0.870
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2016: 4.855
     2030: 2.579
     2060: 1.571
Calories per capita available - Total - Available per Person per Day - -
     2016: 2,852
     2030: 2,990
     2060: 3,233
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2016: -0.131
     2030: -0.110
     2060: -0.085
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2016: -0.395
     2030: -0.341
     2060: -0.251

Economy Forecast for Kyrgyz Republic
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 19.78
     2030: 29.75
     2060: 74.06
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 7.537
     2030: 12.58
     2060: 43.74
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 3.284
     2030: 4.181
     2060: 9.023
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2016: 0.287
     2030: 0.340
     2060: 0.401
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2016: 48.00
     2030: 46.87
     2060: 48.06
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2016: 35.74
     2030: 51.26
     2060: 63.09

Energy Forecast for Kyrgyz Republic
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2016: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Kyrgyz Republic
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2016: 0.002
     2030: 0.003
     2060: 0.004

International Politics Forecast for Kyrgyz Republic
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2016: 0.032
     2030: 0.035
     2060: 0.042

Domestic Government Forecast for Kyrgyz Republic
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2016: 6.067
     2030: 6.716
     2060: 7.987
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2016: 17.25
     2030: 18.28
     2060: 19.64
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2016: 2.180
     2030: 2.639
     2060: 3.871
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2016: 1.712
     2030: 1.991
     2060: 2.718
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2016: 6.750
     2030: 6.895
     2060: 7.325