Country Profile - Kenya      IFs Version 7.30
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     Forecast Categories for Kenya
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Kenya -
Population - Million People - -
     2017: 48.36
     2030: 64.50
     2060: 96.80
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2017: 2.432
     2030: 2.006
     2060: 0.802
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2017: 32.47
     2030: 26.70
     2060: 14.74
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2017: 7.932
     2030: 6.498
     2060: 6.653
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2017: 47.14
     2030: 33.71
     2060: 11.06
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2017: 63.04
     2030: 67.78
     2060: 75.82
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2017: 61.14
     2030: 65.70
     2060: 73.23
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2017: 64.93
     2030: 69.89
     2060: 78.44
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2017: 4.085
     2030: 3.269
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2017: 2.911
     2030: 1.985
     2060: 0.419
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2017: 7.375
     2030: 8.131
     2060: 6.941
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2017: 20.05
     2030: 22.81
     2060: 21.61
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2017: 26.90
     2030: 39.16
     2060: 65.52
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2017: 1.403
     2030: 2.533
     2060: 9.675
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2017: 12.85
     2030: 21.81
     2060: 53.03
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2017: 0.386
     2030: 0.432
     2060: 0.486
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2017: 47.11
     2030: 49.11
     2060: 49.94

Health Forecast for Kenya -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2017: 2.006
     2030: 2.789
     2060: 6.108
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2017: 13.72
     2030: 14.35
     2060: 16.12
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2017: 10.34
     2030: 7.937
     2060: 3.065
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2017: 9.875
     2030: 5.263
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2017: 19.36
     2030: 11.00
     2060: 3.232

Education Forecast for Kenya -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2017: 110.0
     2030: 109.5
     2060: 102.9
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2017: 62.49
     2030: 71.95
     2060: 96.97
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2017: 97.30
     2030: 100.9
     2060: 102.8
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2017: 52.99
     2030: 62.12
     2060: 85.35
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2017: 4.368
     2030: 9.935
     2060: 34.50
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2017: 7.122
     2030: 8.281
     2060: 10.12
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2017: 73.34
     2030: 85.79
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Kenya
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2017: 18.51
     2030: 22.53
     2060: 10.35
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2017: 28.97
     2030: 34.91
     2060: 21.72
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2017: 0.646
     2030: 0.732
     2060: 0.875
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2017: 23.61
     2030: 15.77
     2060: 4.343
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2017: 2,269
     2030: 2,497
     2060: 3,055
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2017: -0.155
     2030: -0.169
     2060: -0.226
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2017: -0.440
     2030: -0.316
     2060: -0.039

Economy Forecast for Kenya
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2017: 148.3
     2030: 272.2
     2060: 1,026
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2017: 58.11
     2030: 122.1
     2060: 677.0
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2017: 3.067
     2030: 4.220
     2060: 10.59
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2017: 0.495
     2030: 0.544
     2060: 0.549
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2017: 33.78
     2030: 39.02
     2060: 35.52
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2017: 7.098
     2030: 8.364
     2060: 24.87

Energy Forecast for Kenya
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2017: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Kenya
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2017: 0.004
     2030: 0.007
     2060: 0.003

International Politics Forecast for Kenya
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2017: 0.228
     2030: 0.280
     2060: 0.477

Domestic Government Forecast for Kenya
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2017: 8.081
     2030: 8.751
     2060: 10.14
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2017: 19.10
     2030: 19.23
     2060: 18.41
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2017: 2.256
     2030: 2.551
     2060: 3.686
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2017: 2.239
     2030: 2.465
     2060: 3.063
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2017: 7.194
     2030: 7.377
     2060: 7.883