Country Profile - Kenya      IFs Version 7.31
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     Forecast Categories for Kenya
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Kenya -
Population - Million People - -
     2018: 50.82
     2030: 66.28
     2060: 99.59
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2018: 2.392
     2030: 2.031
     2060: 0.819
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2018: 29.96
     2030: 25.64
     2060: 14.50
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2018: 5.832
     2030: 5.181
     2060: 6.247
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2018: 34.58
     2030: 25.50
     2060: 8.935
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2018: 67.62
     2030: 71.15
     2060: 77.61
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2018: 65.28
     2030: 68.81
     2060: 75.08
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2018: 69.97
     2030: 73.51
     2060: 80.17
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2018: 3.745
     2030: 3.082
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2018: 2.772
     2030: 1.935
     2060: 0.408
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2018: 7.381
     2030: 8.090
     2060: 7.060
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2018: 20.75
     2030: 22.70
     2060: 21.60
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2018: 28.55
     2030: 40.96
     2060: 67.65
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2018: 1.521
     2030: 2.622
     2060: 10.33
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2018: 13.41
     2030: 21.82
     2060: 53.40
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2018: 0.391
     2030: 0.439
     2060: 0.488
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2018: 47.36
     2030: 49.11
     2060: 49.94

Health Forecast for Kenya -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2018: 2.059
     2030: 2.783
     2060: 6.026
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2018: 13.74
     2030: 14.33
     2060: 16.02
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2018: 9.538
     2030: 7.623
     2060: 3.027
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2018: 9.010
     2030: 5.223
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2018: 18.48
     2030: 11.11
     2060: 3.357

Education Forecast for Kenya -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2018: 110.1
     2030: 110.0
     2060: 102.9
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2018: 62.95
     2030: 71.82
     2060: 96.57
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2018: 97.83
     2030: 102.0
     2060: 102.8
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2018: 53.56
     2030: 61.95
     2060: 84.66
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2018: 4.395
     2030: 8.739
     2060: 29.73
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2018: 7.234
     2030: 8.274
     2060: 10.01
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2018: 79.47
     2030: 87.34
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Kenya
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2018: 19.40
     2030: 23.37
     2060: 11.51
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2018: 26.18
     2030: 31.24
     2060: 18.44
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2018: 0.693
     2030: 0.755
     2060: 0.881
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2018: 19.13
     2030: 14.20
     2060: 2.728
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2018: 2,288
     2030: 2,496
     2060: 3,044
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2018: -0.155
     2030: -0.171
     2060: -0.237
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2018: -0.431
     2030: -0.322
     2060: -0.071

Economy Forecast for Kenya
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2018: 158.2
     2030: 275.0
     2060: 984.2
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2018: 60.96
     2030: 119.8
     2060: 620.3
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2018: 3.114
     2030: 4.148
     2060: 9.883
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2018: 0.497
     2030: 0.542
     2060: 0.549
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2018: 34.14
     2030: 38.77
     2060: 39.75
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2018: 7.057
     2030: 8.070
     2060: 18.51

Energy Forecast for Kenya
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2018: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Kenya
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2018: 0.004
     2030: 0.006
     2060: 0.001

International Politics Forecast for Kenya
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2018: 0.235
     2030: 0.284
     2060: 0.456

Domestic Government Forecast for Kenya
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2018: 8.132
     2030: 8.738
     2060: 10.06
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2018: 19.20
     2030: 19.23
     2060: 18.44
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2018: 2.280
     2030: 2.544
     2060: 3.610
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2018: 2.253
     2030: 2.454
     2060: 3.020
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2018: 7.204
     2030: 7.367
     2060: 7.843