Country Profile - Kenya      IFs Version 7.15
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     Forecast Categories for Kenya
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Kenya -
Population - Million People - -
     2015: 46.32
     2030: 65.01
     2060: 97.98
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2015: 2.489
     2030: 2.027
     2060: 0.883
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2015: 34.50
     2030: 27.98
     2060: 15.05
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2015: 9.440
     2030: 7.559
     2060: 6.152
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2015: 56.03
     2030: 41.48
     2060: 8.657
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2015: 59.77
     2030: 64.92
     2060: 76.68
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2015: 58.56
     2030: 63.45
     2060: 74.12
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2015: 60.98
     2030: 66.41
     2060: 79.30
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2015: 4.395
     2030: 3.502
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2015: 3.369
     2030: 2.644
     2060: 0.866
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2015: 8.524
     2030: 10.13
     2060: 8.558
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2015: 19.32
     2030: 23.63
     2060: 21.91
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2015: 25.71
     2030: 38.91
     2060: 67.00
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2015: 1.289
     2030: 2.465
     2060: 9.064
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2015: 11.94
     2030: 21.79
     2060: 51.97
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2015: 0.393
     2030: 0.432
     2060: 0.496
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2015: 47.86
     2030: 49.46
     2060: 49.97

Health Forecast for Kenya -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2015: 1.807
     2030: 2.224
     2060: 5.151
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2015: 13.64
     2030: 14.46
     2060: 16.59
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2015: 15.17
     2030: 11.49
     2060: 3.412
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2015: 14.82
     2030: 8.870
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2015: 28.22
     2030: 23.78
     2060: 11.24

Education Forecast for Kenya -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2015: 114.6
     2030: 111.8
     2060: 100.1
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2015: 84.48
     2030: 94.88
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2015: 93.42
     2030: 106.2
     2060: 120.5
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2015: 45.24
     2030: 58.84
     2060: 99.79
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2015: 5.165
     2030: 12.07
     2060: 46.01
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2015: 6.939
     2030: 7.819
     2060: 10.96
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2015: 74.21
     2030: 89.67
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Kenya
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2015: 18.73
     2030: 21.81
     2060: 5.548
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2015: 29.27
     2030: 35.76
     2060: 13.75
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2015: 0.616
     2030: 0.714
     2060: 0.890
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2015: 26.19
     2030: 16.92
     2060: 3.194
Calories per capita available - Available per Person per Day - -
     2015: 2,156
     2030: 2,293
     2060: 2,840
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2015: -0.237
     2030: -0.282
     2060: -0.275
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2015: -0.608
     2030: -0.478
     2060: -0.058

Economy Forecast for Kenya
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2015: 107.7
     2030: 210.3
     2060: 1,248
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2015: 42.50
     2030: 92.87
     2060: 904.3
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2015: 2.325
     2030: 3.234
     2060: 12.74
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2015: 0.486
     2030: 0.507
     2060: 0.546
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2015: 39.96
     2030: 35.76
     2060: 27.85
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2015: 7.929
     2030: 13.11
     2060: 40.59

Energy Forecast for Kenya
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2015: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Kenya
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2015: 0.004
     2030: 0.004
     2060: 0.001

International Politics Forecast for Kenya
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2015: 0.213
     2030: 0.263
     2060: 0.464

Domestic Government Forecast for Kenya
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2015: 9.185
     2030: 9.964
     2060: 12.75
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2015: 18.32
     2030: 18.46
     2060: 18.22
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2015: 2.219
     2030: 2.519
     2060: 4.032
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2015: 2.048
     2030: 2.286
     2060: 3.139
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2015: 6.925
     2030: 7.131
     2060: 7.878