Country Profile - Japan      IFs Version 7.15
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     Forecast Categories for Japan
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Japan -
Population - Million People - -
     2015: 126.8
     2030: 118.5
     2060: 94.78
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2015: -0.219
     2030: -0.620
     2060: -0.816
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2015: 7.876
     2030: 7.163
     2060: 7.305
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2015: 10.51
     2030: 13.78
     2060: 15.83
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2015: 2.229
     2030: 1.582
     2060: 0.827
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2015: 83.83
     2030: 85.46
     2060: 88.08
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2015: 80.10
     2030: 81.58
     2060: 83.94
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2015: 87.36
     2030: 89.07
     2060: 91.91
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2015: 1.414
     2030: 1.486
     2060: 1.643
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2015: 0.007
     2030: 0.006
     2060: 0.002
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2015: 6.305
     2030: 5.194
     2060: 4.218
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2015: 16.28
     2030: 13.67
     2060: 10.92
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2015: 76.83
     2030: 68.50
     2060: 48.33
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2015: 33.67
     2030: 36.36
     2060: 35.53
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2015: 116.6
     2030: 109.0
     2060: 87.20
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2015: 0.501
     2030: 0.489
     2060: 0.439
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2015: 43.86
     2030: 46.67
     2060: 49.02

Health Forecast for Japan -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2015: 2.913
     2030: 3.742
     2060: 6.352
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2015: 26.58
     2030: 25.75
     2060: 25.39
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2015: 3.130
     2030: 3.013
     2060: 2.621
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2015: 2.201
     2030: 1.626
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2015: 4.911
     2030: 4.723
     2060: 2.887

Education Forecast for Japan -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2015: 100.8
     2030: 99.91
     2060: 99.17
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2015: 99.95
     2030: 99.79
     2060: 99.14
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2015: 102.8
     2030: 98.76
     2060: 98.09
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2015: 103.6
     2030: 101.5
     2060: 102.1
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2015: 61.18
     2030: 66.42
     2060: 70.28
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2015: 11.79
     2030: 12.47
     2060: 13.62
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2015: 100.0
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Japan
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2015: 0.438
     2030: 0.142
     2060: 0.037
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2015: 0.496
     2030: 0.163
     2060: 0.042
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2015: 0.989
     2030: 1.000
     2060: 1.000
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2015: 1.239
     2030: 1.149
     2060: 1.015
Calories per capita available - Available per Person per Day - -
     2015: 2,788
     2030: 2,916
     2060: 3,244
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2015: 0.753
     2030: 0.830
     2060: 0.991
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2015: 0.385
     2030: 0.369
     2060: 0.314

Economy Forecast for Japan
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2015: 4,666
     2030: 5,407
     2060: 6,971
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2015: 6,154
     2030: 6,787
     2060: 7,977
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2015: 36.80
     2030: 45.62
     2060: 73.55
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2015: 0.319
     2030: 0.322
     2060: 0.352
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2015: 20.15
     2030: 21.17
     2060: 23.13
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2015: 78.23
     2030: 89.42
     2060: 95.92

Energy Forecast for Japan
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2015: 0.001
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Japan
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2015: 0.326
     2030: 0.343
     2060: 0.275

International Politics Forecast for Japan
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2015: 3.518
     2030: 2.443
     2060: 1.315

Domestic Government Forecast for Japan
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2015: 13.14
     2030: 13.65
     2060: 14.00
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2015: 19.93
     2030: 19.82
     2060: 19.87
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2015: 8.041
     2030: 9.028
     2060: 10.00
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2015: 4.053
     2030: 4.170
     2060: 4.441
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2015: 7.711
     2030: 7.818
     2060: 8.062