Country Profile - Japan      IFs Version 7.31
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     Forecast Categories for Japan
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Japan -
Population - Million People - -
     2017: 127.5
     2030: 120.3
     2060: 96.69
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2017: -0.235
     2030: -0.609
     2060: -0.819
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2017: 7.989
     2030: 7.294
     2060: 7.477
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2017: 10.73
     2030: 13.81
     2060: 16.01
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2017: 1.956
     2030: 1.457
     2060: 0.777
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2017: 83.95
     2030: 85.18
     2060: 87.72
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2017: 80.51
     2030: 81.60
     2060: 83.83
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2017: 87.23
     2030: 88.58
     2060: 91.35
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2017: 1.467
     2030: 1.516
     2060: 1.653
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2017: 0.006
     2030: 0.005
     2060: 0.002
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2017: 5.270
     2030: 4.457
     2060: 3.664
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2017: 16.42
     2030: 14.27
     2060: 11.48
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2017: 76.51
     2030: 69.69
     2060: 49.92
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2017: 34.55
     2030: 36.37
     2060: 35.29
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2017: 118.2
     2030: 111.6
     2060: 89.69
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2017: 0.507
     2030: 0.500
     2060: 0.456
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2017: 43.48
     2030: 46.28
     2060: 48.98

Health Forecast for Japan -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2017: 2.991
     2030: 4.516
     2060: 8.741
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2017: 22.88
     2030: 22.35
     2060: 21.94
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2017: 3.344
     2030: 3.036
     2060: 2.364
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2017: 2.837
     2030: 0.738
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2017: 1.473
     2030: 1.227
     2060: 0.807

Education Forecast for Japan -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2017: 101.4
     2030: 100.5
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2017: 98.22
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2017: 102.1
     2030: 101.6
     2060: 99.68
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2017: 101.0
     2030: 100.2
     2060: 97.81
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2017: 63.74
     2030: 69.29
     2060: 81.12
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2017: 12.02
     2030: 12.85
     2060: 14.47
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2017: 100.0
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Japan
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2017: 0.041
     2030: 0.024
     2060: 0.021
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2017: 0.701
     2030: 0.413
     2060: 0.280
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2017: 0.993
     2030: 1.000
     2060: 1.000
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2017: 1.269
     2030: 1.254
     2060: 0.899
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2017: 2,702
     2030: 2,924
     2060: 3,389
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2017: 0.739
     2030: 0.799
     2060: 0.934
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2017: 0.388
     2030: 0.366
     2060: 0.235

Economy Forecast for Japan
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2017: 4,998
     2030: 5,493
     2060: 6,582
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2017: 6,342
     2030: 6,728
     2060: 7,462
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2017: 39.21
     2030: 45.65
     2060: 68.07
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2017: 0.323
     2030: 0.332
     2060: 0.368
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2017: 41.80
     2030: 32.56
     2060: 30.56
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2017: 78.79
     2030: 86.19
     2060: 96.06

Energy Forecast for Japan
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2017: 0.001
     2030: 0.001
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Japan
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2017: 0.338
     2030: 0.305
     2060: 0.248

International Politics Forecast for Japan
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2017: 3.574
     2030: 2.672
     2060: 1.869

Domestic Government Forecast for Japan
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2017: 14.00
     2030: 14.00
     2060: 14.00
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2017: 19.97
     2030: 19.84
     2060: 19.76
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2017: 8.147
     2030: 8.879
     2060: 10.00
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2017: 4.330
     2030: 4.378
     2060: 4.525
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2017: 7.537
     2030: 7.611
     2060: 7.808