Country Profile - Japan      IFs Version 7.30
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     Forecast Categories for Japan
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Japan -
Population - Million People - -
     2017: 126.2
     2030: 119.5
     2060: 96.44
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2017: -0.210
     2030: -0.590
     2060: -0.791
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2017: 8.104
     2030: 7.346
     2060: 7.493
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2017: 10.59
     2030: 13.67
     2060: 15.74
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2017: 2.023
     2030: 1.510
     2060: 0.800
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2017: 83.99
     2030: 85.22
     2060: 87.75
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2017: 80.57
     2030: 81.66
     2060: 83.92
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2017: 87.22
     2030: 88.56
     2060: 91.33
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2017: 1.464
     2030: 1.519
     2060: 1.655
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2017: 0.006
     2030: 0.005
     2060: 0.002
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2017: 5.241
     2030: 4.477
     2060: 3.671
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2017: 16.18
     2030: 14.35
     2060: 11.49
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2017: 76.08
     2030: 69.15
     2060: 49.66
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2017: 33.90
     2030: 35.98
     2060: 35.29
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2017: 118.3
     2030: 112.1
     2060: 90.43
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2017: 0.510
     2030: 0.500
     2060: 0.455
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2017: 43.30
     2030: 46.12
     2060: 48.90

Health Forecast for Japan -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2017: 2.973
     2030: 4.400
     2060: 8.458
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2017: 22.84
     2030: 22.33
     2060: 21.77
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2017: 3.348
     2030: 3.067
     2060: 2.408
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2017: 2.959
     2030: 1.006
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2017: 1.474
     2030: 1.263
     2060: 0.847

Education Forecast for Japan -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2017: 101.4
     2030: 100.5
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2017: 98.20
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2017: 102.1
     2030: 101.7
     2060: 99.69
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2017: 100.9
     2030: 99.87
     2060: 97.70
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2017: 63.58
     2030: 66.69
     2060: 78.60
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2017: 12.03
     2030: 12.84
     2060: 14.42
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2017: 100.0
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Japan
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2017: 0.042
     2030: 0.023
     2060: 0.018
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2017: 0.042
     2030: 0.023
     2060: 0.018
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2017: 0.990
     2030: 1.000
     2060: 1.000
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2017: 1.269
     2030: 1.270
     2060: 0.906
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2017: 2,700
     2030: 2,910
     2060: 3,363
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2017: 0.739
     2030: 0.798
     2060: 0.931
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2017: 0.388
     2030: 0.364
     2060: 0.237

Economy Forecast for Japan
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2017: 4,629
     2030: 5,107
     2060: 6,253
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2017: 6,190
     2030: 6,534
     2060: 7,275
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2017: 36.69
     2030: 42.74
     2060: 64.84
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2017: 0.322
     2030: 0.329
     2060: 0.361
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2017: 41.74
     2030: 33.51
     2060: 30.99
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2017: 78.75
     2030: 85.24
     2060: 96.87

Energy Forecast for Japan
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2017: 0.001
     2030: 0.001
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Japan
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2017: 0.338
     2030: 0.304
     2060: 0.251

International Politics Forecast for Japan
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2017: 3.391
     2030: 2.524
     2060: 1.873

Domestic Government Forecast for Japan
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2017: 14.00
     2030: 14.00
     2060: 14.00
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2017: 19.96
     2030: 19.85
     2060: 19.77
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2017: 8.089
     2030: 8.746
     2060: 10.00
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2017: 4.322
     2030: 4.367
     2060: 4.514
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2017: 7.532
     2030: 7.606
     2060: 7.813