Country Profile - Jamaica      IFs Version 7.37
  Continue    Change Country    Display Options    Map Source    Help  


Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
www.ifs.du.edu


Sign up for our monthly newsletter.

     Forecast Categories for Jamaica
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Jamaica -
Population - Million People - -
     2019: 2.912
     2030: 2.958
     2060: 2.658
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2019: 0.212
     2030: -0.061
     2060: -0.755
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2019: 15.86
     2030: 13.08
     2060: 10.06
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2019: 7.099
     2030: 7.857
     2060: 12.03
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2019: 12.59
     2030: 8.780
     2060: 3.384
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2019: 76.47
     2030: 78.11
     2060: 82.28
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2019: 73.98
     2030: 75.39
     2060: 79.24
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2019: 78.95
     2030: 80.83
     2060: 85.31
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2019: 1.932
     2030: 1.900
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2019: 1.040
     2030: 0.974
     2060: 0.434
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2019: 0.229
     2030: 0.203
     2060: 0.139
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2019: 0.654
     2030: 0.637
     2060: 0.430
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2019: 1.965
     2030: 1.919
     2060: 1.532
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2019: 0.293
     2030: 0.403
     2060: 0.696
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2019: 1.624
     2030: 1.743
     2060: 1.772
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2019: 0.480
     2030: 0.347
     2060: 0.168
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2019: 44.12
     2030: 46.37
     2060: 49.02

Health Forecast for Jamaica -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2019: 37.66
     2030: 40.16
     2060: 46.44
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2019: 18.01
     2030: 18.53
     2060: 20.43
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2019: 2.422
     2030: 2.357
     2060: 2.332
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2019: 1.157
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2019: 6.801
     2030: 5.109
     2060: 2.646

Education Forecast for Jamaica -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2019: 98.24
     2030: 100.9
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2019: 91.79
     2030: 96.97
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2019: 88.68
     2030: 93.11
     2060: 97.71
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2019: 79.45
     2030: 83.02
     2060: 91.78
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2019: 28.94
     2030: 36.10
     2060: 55.04
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2019: 9.445
     2030: 9.975
     2060: 11.29
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2019: 81.11
     2030: 87.94
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Forecast for Jamaica
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2019: 0.312
     2030: 0.271
     2060: 0.119
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2019: 0.629
     2030: 0.556
     2060: 0.264
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2019: 0.804
     2030: 0.845
     2060: 0.939
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2019: 13.19
     2030: 8.467
     2060: 1.301
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2019: 2,789
     2030: 2,904
     2060: 3,168
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2019: 0.086
     2030: 0.106
     2060: 0.060
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2019: 0.169
     2030: 0.207
     2060: 0.243

Economy Forecast for Jamaica
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2019: 24.83
     2030: 29.77
     2060: 46.43
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2019: 15.76
     2030: 20.12
     2060: 38.79
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2019: 8.528
     2030: 10.06
     2060: 17.47
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2019: 0.459
     2030: 0.469
     2060: 0.502
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2019: 42.88
     2030: 23.80
     2060: 25.01
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2019: 13.27
     2030: 17.70
     2060: 37.13

Energy Forecast for Jamaica
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2019: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Jamaica
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2019: 0.002
     2030: 0.002
     2060: 0.002

International Politics Forecast for Jamaica
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2019: 0.020
     2030: 0.019
     2060: 0.016

Domestic Government Forecast for Jamaica
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2019: 11.15
     2030: 11.58
     2060: 12.68
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2019: 19.28
     2030: 19.74
     2060: 19.61
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2019: 3.423
     2030: 3.814
     2060: 5.048
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2019: 2.696
     2030: 2.853
     2060: 3.305
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2019: 7.332
     2030: 7.428
     2060: 7.721