Country Profile - Italy      IFs Version 7.37
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     Forecast Categories for Italy
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Italy -
Population - Million People - -
     2018: 59.36
     2030: 57.68
     2060: 49.94
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2018: -0.154
     2030: -0.274
     2060: -0.618
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2018: 7.931
     2030: 7.796
     2060: 8.110
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2018: 10.95
     2030: 12.48
     2060: 16.04
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2018: 2.442
     2030: 1.665
     2060: 0.705
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2018: 83.16
     2030: 84.50
     2060: 87.49
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2018: 80.87
     2030: 82.28
     2060: 85.38
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2018: 85.35
     2030: 86.62
     2060: 89.53
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2018: 1.480
     2030: 1.530
     2060: 1.662
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2018: 0.246
     2030: 0.204
     2060: 0.067
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2018: 2.408
     2030: 2.236
     2060: 2.022
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2018: 7.989
     2030: 6.984
     2060: 6.247
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2018: 37.53
     2030: 34.39
     2060: 27.28
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2018: 13.85
     2030: 16.30
     2060: 16.42
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2018: 42.44
     2030: 43.58
     2060: 40.17
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2018: 0.407
     2030: 0.325
     2060: 0.271
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2018: 42.62
     2030: 45.26
     2060: 48.44

Health Forecast for Italy -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2018: 22.91
     2030: 23.53
     2060: 23.31
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2018: 24.08
     2030: 23.49
     2060: 22.18
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2018: 1.982
     2030: 1.962
     2060: 2.082
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2018: 1.969
     2030: 1.900
     2060: 2.720
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2018: 2.144
     2030: 1.818
     2060: 1.409

Education Forecast for Italy -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2018: 101.3
     2030: 100.2
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2018: 99.35
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2018: 105.0
     2030: 102.5
     2060: 99.66
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2018: 100.9
     2030: 99.67
     2060: 97.65
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2018: 62.64
     2030: 69.55
     2060: 81.55
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2018: 9.905
     2030: 11.28
     2060: 14.27
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2018: 99.16
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Forecast for Italy
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2018: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2018: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2018: 0.981
     2030: 0.998
     2060: 1.000
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2018: 0.919
     2030: 0.800
     2060: 0.737
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2018: 3,586
     2030: 3,628
     2060: 3,614
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2018: 0.306
     2030: 0.352
     2060: 0.301
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2018: 0.762
     2030: 0.882
     2060: 0.957

Economy Forecast for Italy
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2018: 2,120
     2030: 2,347
     2060: 3,072
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2018: 2,272
     2030: 2,493
     2060: 3,193
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2018: 35.71
     2030: 40.69
     2060: 61.52
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2018: 0.344
     2030: 0.334
     2060: 0.285
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2018: 34.24
     2030: 32.02
     2060: 30.38
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2018: 48.14
     2030: 59.75
     2060: 76.27

Energy Forecast for Italy
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2018: 0.033
     2030: 0.012
     2060: 0.001

Environment Forecast for Italy
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2018: 0.083
     2030: 0.068
     2060: 0.051

International Politics Forecast for Italy
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2018: 1.513
     2030: 1.246
     2060: 0.904

Domestic Government Forecast for Italy
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2018: 14.00
     2030: 14.00
     2060: 14.00
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2018: 20.00
     2030: 20.00
     2060: 20.00
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2018: 4.221
     2030: 5.280
     2060: 8.942
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2018: 2.943
     2030: 3.150
     2060: 3.721
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2018: 7.320
     2030: 7.383
     2060: 7.583