Country Profile - Iran, Islamic Republic of      IFs Version 7.30
  Continue    Change Country    Display Options    Map Source    Help  


Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
www.ifs.du.edu


Sign up for our monthly newsletter.

     Forecast Categories for Iran, Islamic Republic of
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Iran, Islamic Republic of -
Population - Million People - -
     2017: 81.03
     2030: 90.37
     2060: 95.21
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2017: 1.144
     2030: 0.531
     2060: -0.363
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2017: 16.25
     2030: 11.15
     2060: 9.192
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2017: 4.613
     2030: 5.631
     2060: 12.68
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2017: 13.83
     2030: 10.50
     2060: 6.747
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2017: 75.76
     2030: 77.53
     2060: 80.73
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2017: 74.54
     2030: 76.12
     2060: 79.12
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2017: 76.99
     2030: 78.97
     2060: 82.33
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2017: 1.635
     2030: 1.690
     2060: 1.765
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2017: 0.097
     2030: 0.101
     2060: 0.054
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2017: 6.837
     2030: 5.198
     2060: 4.451
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2017: 19.12
     2030: 17.47
     2060: 14.22
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2017: 57.61
     2030: 64.46
     2060: 54.87
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2017: 4.299
     2030: 8.432
     2060: 26.11
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2017: 60.36
     2030: 74.91
     2060: 86.67
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2017: 0.342
     2030: 0.350
     2060: 0.291
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2017: 18.93
     2030: 22.39
     2060: 28.20

Health Forecast for Iran, Islamic Republic of -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2017: 28.21
     2030: 30.59
     2060: 34.89
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2017: 11.81
     2030: 13.46
     2060: 16.03
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2017: 4.496
     2030: 3.806
     2060: 2.987
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2017: 4.049
     2030: 1.881
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2017: 4.775
     2030: 3.367
     2060: 1.821

Education Forecast for Iran, Islamic Republic of -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2017: 107.9
     2030: 101.7
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2017: 94.82
     2030: 99.74
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2017: 99.46
     2030: 98.50
     2060: 99.55
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2017: 84.92
     2030: 86.74
     2060: 90.18
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2017: 72.01
     2030: 75.76
     2060: 79.27
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2017: 9.235
     2030: 9.994
     2060: 11.95
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2017: 84.36
     2030: 88.58
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Iran, Islamic Republic of
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2017: 0.477
     2030: 0.591
     2060: 0.887
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2017: 2.623
     2030: 2.640
     2060: 2.992
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2017: 0.846
     2030: 0.882
     2060: 0.953
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2017: 10.93
     2030: 7.961
     2060: 1.546
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2017: 3,101
     2030: 3,244
     2060: 3,479
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2017: -1.372
     2030: -1.192
     2060: -0.595
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2017: -0.308
     2030: -0.206
     2060: -0.318

Economy Forecast for Iran, Islamic Republic of
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2017: 1,303
     2030: 1,822
     2060: 2,517
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2017: 600.3
     2030: 991.2
     2060: 1,780
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2017: 16.08
     2030: 20.17
     2060: 26.43
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2017: 0.379
     2030: 0.427
     2060: 0.500
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2017: 23.60
     2030: 18.13
     2060: 17.73
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2017: 37.66
     2030: 48.71
     2060: 63.71

Energy Forecast for Iran, Islamic Republic of
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2017: 0.960
     2030: 0.473
     2060: 0.173

Environment Forecast for Iran, Islamic Republic of
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2017: 0.173
     2030: 0.176
     2060: 0.165

International Politics Forecast for Iran, Islamic Republic of
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2017: 0.974
     2030: 1.023
     2060: 0.806

Domestic Government Forecast for Iran, Islamic Republic of
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2017: 4.022
     2030: 4.226
     2060: 4.706
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2017: 3.313
     2030: 4.658
     2060: 7.495
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2017: 2.829
     2030: 3.616
     2060: 4.919
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2017: 2.143
     2030: 2.448
     2060: 2.936
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2017: 5.447
     2030: 5.565
     2060: 5.697