Country Profile - Israel      IFs Version 7.30
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Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
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     Forecast Categories for Israel
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Israel -
Population - Million People - -
     2017: 8.311
     2030: 9.754
     2060: 12.01
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2017: 1.626
     2030: 0.957
     2060: 0.399
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2017: 19.81
     2030: 14.55
     2060: 11.27
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2017: 5.278
     2030: 5.723
     2060: 7.654
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2017: 3.113
     2030: 1.984
     2060: 0.886
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2017: 82.76
     2030: 84.41
     2060: 87.31
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2017: 81.01
     2030: 82.64
     2060: 85.38
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2017: 84.47
     2030: 86.19
     2060: 89.27
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2017: 2.917
     2030: 2.175
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2017: 0.104
     2030: 0.085
     2060: 0.028
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2017: 0.843
     2030: 0.722
     2060: 0.688
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2017: 2.307
     2030: 2.312
     2060: 2.151
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2017: 5.039
     2030: 6.061
     2060: 7.421
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2017: 0.965
     2030: 1.381
     2060: 2.441
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2017: 7.958
     2030: 9.340
     2060: 11.49
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2017: 0.462
     2030: 0.482
     2060: 0.483
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2017: 47.41
     2030: 49.29
     2060: 49.96

Health Forecast for Israel -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2017: 33.67
     2030: 35.85
     2060: 38.25
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2017: 30.32
     2030: 29.41
     2060: 29.18
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2017: 2.001
     2030: 1.895
     2060: 1.840
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2017: 1.943
     2030: 1.485
     2060: 0.787
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2017: 1.391
     2030: 1.081
     2060: 0.772

Education Forecast for Israel -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2017: 103.8
     2030: 100.7
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2017: 97.47
     2030: 100.00
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2017: 103.3
     2030: 101.4
     2060: 99.71
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2017: 100.1
     2030: 99.67
     2060: 98.64
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2017: 65.92
     2030: 69.46
     2060: 83.94
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2017: 11.92
     2030: 13.15
     2060: 15.22
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2017: 92.17
     2030: 94.06
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Israel
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2017: 0.003
     2030: 0.001
     2060: 0.000
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2017: 0.005
     2030: 0.003
     2060: 0.000
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2017: 0.950
     2030: 0.984
     2060: 1.000
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2017: 5.436
     2030: 4.130
     2060: 0.676
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2017: 3,562
     2030: 3,678
     2060: 3,800
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2017: 0.229
     2030: 0.329
     2060: 0.548
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2017: 0.358
     2030: 0.602
     2060: 1.057

Economy Forecast for Israel
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2017: 271.3
     2030: 446.5
     2060: 1,029
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2017: 311.1
     2030: 502.1
     2060: 1,108
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2017: 32.64
     2030: 45.77
     2060: 85.67
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2017: 0.429
     2030: 0.436
     2060: 0.457
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2017: 40.46
     2030: 34.95
     2060: 31.57
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2017: 88.46
     2030: 99.43
     2060: 111.0

Energy Forecast for Israel
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2017: 0.001
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Israel
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2017: 0.020
     2030: 0.021
     2060: 0.025

International Politics Forecast for Israel
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2017: 0.393
     2030: 0.418
     2060: 0.430

Domestic Government Forecast for Israel
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2017: 13.09
     2030: 13.91
     2060: 14.00
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2017: 16.11
     2030: 16.68
     2060: 18.16
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2017: 5.948
     2030: 7.667
     2060: 10.00
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2017: 3.681
     2030: 3.908
     2060: 4.339
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2017: 7.398
     2030: 7.583
     2060: 7.950