Country Profile - Israel      IFs Version 7.15
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Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
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     Forecast Categories for Israel
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Israel -
Population - Million People - -
     2016: 8.008
     2030: 9.217
     2060: 11.00
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2016: 1.288
     2030: 0.766
     2060: 0.304
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2016: 17.85
     2030: 13.21
     2060: 10.89
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2016: 5.762
     2030: 6.282
     2060: 8.251
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2016: 3.074
     2030: 1.858
     2060: 0.882
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2016: 82.11
     2030: 84.08
     2060: 86.97
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2016: 79.76
     2030: 81.68
     2060: 84.40
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2016: 84.42
     2030: 86.46
     2060: 89.56
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2016: 2.648
     2030: 1.900
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2016: 0.068
     2030: 0.055
     2060: 0.018
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2016: 0.911
     2030: 0.744
     2060: 0.722
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2016: 2.174
     2030: 1.970
     2060: 1.875
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2016: 4.872
     2030: 5.876
     2060: 6.784
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2016: 0.962
     2030: 1.371
     2060: 2.341
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2016: 7.555
     2030: 8.695
     2060: 10.37
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2016: 0.425
     2030: 0.450
     2060: 0.437
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2016: 48.51
     2030: 49.68
     2060: 49.99

Health Forecast for Israel -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2016: 31.63
     2030: 32.61
     2060: 30.40
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2016: 19.92
     2030: 18.93
     2060: 18.95
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2016: 10.05
     2030: 8.556
     2060: 6.678
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2016: 10.30
     2030: 10.97
     2060: 12.02
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2016: 4.629
     2030: 3.751
     2060: 2.245

Education Forecast for Israel -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2016: 102.9
     2030: 100.3
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2016: 99.54
     2030: 99.99
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 104.6
     2030: 99.94
     2060: 98.90
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 102.0
     2030: 98.55
     2060: 97.17
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 64.53
     2030: 73.19
     2060: 78.95
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2016: 12.15
     2030: 13.40
     2060: 15.18
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2016: 92.79
     2030: 95.70
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Israel
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2016: 0.019
     2030: 0.003
     2060: 0.000
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2016: 0.034
     2030: 0.006
     2060: 0.001
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2016: 0.952
     2030: 0.998
     2060: 1.000
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2016: 5.519
     2030: 3.755
     2060: 2.319
Calories per capita available - Available per Person per Day - -
     2016: 3,591
     2030: 3,647
     2060: 3,525
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2016: 0.260
     2030: 0.378
     2060: 0.599
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2016: 0.431
     2030: 0.707
     2060: 1.158

Economy Forecast for Israel
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 277.5
     2030: 502.8
     2060: 1,146
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 303.8
     2030: 542.7
     2060: 1,201
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 34.66
     2030: 54.56
     2060: 104.2
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2016: 0.425
     2030: 0.417
     2060: 0.429
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2016: 24.07
     2030: 22.36
     2060: 21.39
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2016: 89.93
     2030: 108.2
     2060: 112.2

Energy Forecast for Israel
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2016: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Israel
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2016: 0.021
     2030: 0.025
     2060: 0.029

International Politics Forecast for Israel
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2016: 0.415
     2030: 0.445
     2060: 0.372

Domestic Government Forecast for Israel
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2016: 13.29
     2030: 14.00
     2060: 14.00
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2016: 19.94
     2030: 19.92
     2060: 20.00
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2016: 6.693
     2030: 9.165
     2060: 10.00
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2016: 3.945
     2030: 4.204
     2060: 4.559
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2016: 7.372
     2030: 7.597
     2060: 7.930