Country Profile - Israel      IFs Version 7.24
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Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
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     Forecast Categories for Israel
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Israel -
Population - Million People - -
     2016: 8.163
     2030: 9.680
     2060: 11.88
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2016: 1.531
     2030: 0.948
     2060: 0.390
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2016: 19.80
     2030: 14.54
     2060: 11.25
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2016: 5.287
     2030: 5.788
     2060: 7.717
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2016: 3.124
     2030: 1.963
     2060: 0.922
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2016: 82.76
     2030: 84.51
     2060: 87.38
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2016: 81.06
     2030: 82.75
     2060: 85.45
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2016: 84.43
     2030: 86.28
     2060: 89.34
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2016: 2.923
     2030: 2.158
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2016: 0.107
     2030: 0.093
     2060: 0.034
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2016: 0.830
     2030: 0.712
     2060: 0.677
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2016: 2.268
     2030: 2.259
     2060: 2.110
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2016: 4.945
     2030: 6.036
     2060: 7.340
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2016: 0.950
     2030: 1.386
     2060: 2.427
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2016: 7.778
     2030: 9.224
     2060: 11.30
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2016: 0.469
     2030: 0.492
     2060: 0.490
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2016: 47.41
     2030: 49.36
     2060: 49.97

Health Forecast for Israel -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2016: 31.23
     2030: 32.61
     2060: 31.95
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2016: 30.32
     2030: 29.38
     2060: 29.17
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2016: 10.53
     2030: 8.843
     2060: 6.503
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2016: 10.84
     2030: 10.96
     2060: 10.85
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2016: 4.619
     2030: 3.457
     2060: 2.389

Education Forecast for Israel -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2016: 103.8
     2030: 100.2
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2016: 97.49
     2030: 99.96
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 103.6
     2030: 100.3
     2060: 100.2
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 100.3
     2030: 97.98
     2060: 100.8
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 65.91
     2030: 68.72
     2060: 78.74
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2016: 11.88
     2030: 13.03
     2060: 14.84
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2016: 92.17
     2030: 94.28
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Israel
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2016: 0.003
     2030: 0.001
     2060: 0.000
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2016: 0.005
     2030: 0.002
     2060: 0.000
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2016: 0.950
     2030: 0.987
     2060: 1.000
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2016: 5.933
     2030: 4.521
     2060: 2.258
Calories per capita available - Total - Available per Person per Day - -
     2016: 3,729
     2030: 3,809
     2060: 3,775
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2016: 0.229
     2030: 0.337
     2060: 0.553
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2016: 0.358
     2030: 0.619
     2060: 1.067

Economy Forecast for Israel
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 264.8
     2030: 450.6
     2060: 1,016
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 298.5
     2030: 498.7
     2060: 1,082
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 32.44
     2030: 46.55
     2060: 85.52
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2016: 0.429
     2030: 0.437
     2060: 0.459
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2016: 40.14
     2030: 33.21
     2060: 29.85
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2016: 88.30
     2030: 97.91
     2060: 110.9

Energy Forecast for Israel
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2016: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Israel
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2016: 0.020
     2030: 0.023
     2060: 0.027

International Politics Forecast for Israel
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2016: 0.416
     2030: 0.459
     2060: 0.530

Domestic Government Forecast for Israel
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2016: 13.08
     2030: 13.86
     2060: 14.00
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2016: 16.11
     2030: 16.72
     2060: 18.17
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2016: 5.942
     2030: 7.787
     2060: 10.00
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2016: 3.681
     2030: 3.922
     2060: 4.336
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2016: 7.397
     2030: 7.595
     2060: 7.947