Country Profile - Israel      IFs Version 7.31
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Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
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     Forecast Categories for Israel
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Israel -
Population - Million People - -
     2018: 8.442
     2030: 9.742
     2060: 12.01
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2018: 1.566
     2030: 0.957
     2060: 0.405
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2018: 19.32
     2030: 14.67
     2060: 11.35
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2018: 5.451
     2030: 5.840
     2060: 7.675
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2018: 2.827
     2030: 1.855
     2060: 0.819
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2018: 82.64
     2030: 84.20
     2060: 87.16
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2018: 80.88
     2030: 82.41
     2060: 85.23
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2018: 84.37
     2030: 85.99
     2060: 89.14
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2018: 2.898
     2030: 2.185
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2018: 0.103
     2030: 0.085
     2060: 0.028
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2018: 0.835
     2030: 0.726
     2060: 0.692
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2018: 2.346
     2030: 2.315
     2060: 2.155
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2018: 5.078
     2030: 6.060
     2060: 7.452
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2018: 1.018
     2030: 1.368
     2060: 2.407
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2018: 8.083
     2030: 9.328
     2060: 11.49
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2018: 0.478
     2030: 0.501
     2060: 0.503
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2018: 47.81
     2030: 49.38
     2060: 49.97

Health Forecast for Israel -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2018: 33.92
     2030: 35.96
     2060: 38.47
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2018: 30.22
     2030: 29.38
     2060: 29.20
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2018: 1.987
     2030: 1.888
     2060: 1.826
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2018: 1.801
     2030: 1.436
     2060: 0.725
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2018: 1.354
     2030: 1.070
     2060: 0.755

Education Forecast for Israel -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2018: 103.5
     2030: 100.7
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2018: 97.66
     2030: 100.00
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2018: 103.4
     2030: 101.3
     2060: 99.70
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2018: 100.3
     2030: 99.86
     2060: 98.74
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2018: 66.19
     2030: 72.87
     2060: 89.74
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2018: 12.02
     2030: 13.16
     2060: 15.25
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2018: 92.32
     2030: 94.06
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Israel
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2018: 0.003
     2030: 0.001
     2060: 0.000
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2018: 0.024
     2030: 0.012
     2060: 0.002
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2018: 0.952
     2030: 0.985
     2060: 1.000
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2018: 5.333
     2030: 4.128
     2060: 0.671
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2018: 3,576
     2030: 3,684
     2060: 3,810
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2018: 0.237
     2030: 0.334
     2060: 0.560
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2018: 0.378
     2030: 0.611
     2060: 1.078

Economy Forecast for Israel
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2018: 285.5
     2030: 456.3
     2060: 1,083
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2018: 324.0
     2030: 509.1
     2060: 1,161
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2018: 33.82
     2030: 46.83
     2060: 90.16
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2018: 0.429
     2030: 0.435
     2060: 0.454
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2018: 42.05
     2030: 34.99
     2060: 31.08
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2018: 88.91
     2030: 99.89
     2060: 110.9

Energy Forecast for Israel
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2018: 0.001
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Israel
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2018: 0.020
     2030: 0.022
     2060: 0.025

International Politics Forecast for Israel
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2018: 0.394
     2030: 0.422
     2060: 0.432

Domestic Government Forecast for Israel
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2018: 13.15
     2030: 13.92
     2060: 14.00
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2018: 16.16
     2030: 16.67
     2060: 18.15
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2018: 6.068
     2030: 7.760
     2060: 10.00
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2018: 3.699
     2030: 3.916
     2060: 4.367
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2018: 7.413
     2030: 7.590
     2060: 7.970