Country Profile - Ireland      IFs Version 7.08
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Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
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     Forecast Categories for Ireland
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Ireland -
Population - Million People - -
     2014: 4.675
     2030: 5.250
     2060: 5.825
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2014: 1.016
     2030: 0.585
     2060: 0.066
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2014: 14.86
     2030: 11.72
     2060: 10.58
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2014: 6.614
     2030: 7.761
     2060: 11.10
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2014: 3.300
     2030: 1.993
     2060: 1.116
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2014: 80.57
     2030: 82.90
     2060: 85.49
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2014: 78.13
     2030: 80.34
     2060: 82.52
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2014: 82.97
     2030: 85.41
     2060: 88.38
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2014: 1.941
     2030: 1.900
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2014: 0.122
     2030: 0.099
     2060: 0.032
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2014: 0.431
     2030: 0.357
     2060: 0.367
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2014: 1.011
     2030: 0.930
     2060: 0.942
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2014: 3.083
     2030: 3.393
     2060: 3.430
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2014: 0.581
     2030: 0.926
     2060: 1.453
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2014: 2.961
     2030: 3.478
     2060: 4.133
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2014: 0.484
     2030: 0.485
     2060: 0.448
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2014: 45.44
     2030: 48.09
     2060: 49.63

Health Forecast for Ireland -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2014: 15.13
     2030: 15.55
     2060: 13.38
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2014: 24.32
     2030: 23.55
     2060: 23.16
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2014: 10.63
     2030: 10.11
     2060: 7.973
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2014: 11.74
     2030: 15.56
     2060: 17.14
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2014: 4.733
     2030: 3.793
     2060: 1.557

Education Forecast for Ireland -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2014: 106.3
     2030: 102.0
     2060: 99.68
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2014: 96.33
     2030: 98.21
     2060: 99.25
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2014: 107.5
     2030: 101.4
     2060: 98.53
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2014: 131.2
     2030: 102.5
     2060: 93.64
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2014: 64.99
     2030: 66.80
     2060: 66.06
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2014: 11.88
     2030: 12.73
     2060: 14.13
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2014: 100.0
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Ireland
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2014: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2014: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2014: 0.979
     2030: 1.000
     2060: 1.000
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2014: 3.958
     2030: 5.008
     2060: 4.012
Calories per capita available - Available per Person per Day - -
     2014: 3,595
     2030: 3,630
     2060: 3,441
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2014: -0.988
     2030: -0.805
     2060: -0.782
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2014: 1.160
     2030: 1.336
     2060: 1.420

Economy Forecast for Ireland
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2014: 199.9
     2030: 359.5
     2060: 535.3
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2014: 228.2
     2030: 400.8
     2060: 571.9
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2014: 42.77
     2030: 68.49
     2060: 91.90
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2014: 0.320
     2030: 0.320
     2060: 0.306
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2014: 1,912,224,612,3
     2030: 1,944,455,217,1
     2060: 1,710,451,589,1
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2014: 57.94
     2030: 67.73
     2060: 72.27

Energy Forecast for Ireland
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2014: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Ireland
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2014: 0.011
     2030: 0.013
     2060: 0.011

International Politics Forecast for Ireland
Power index, Global Power Index (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2014: 0.136
     2030: 0.142
     2060: 0.083

Domestic Government Forecast for Ireland
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2014: 14.00
     2030: 14.00
     2060: 14.00
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2014: 19.98
     2030: 20.00
     2060: 20.00
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2014: 8.023
     2030: 10.00
     2060: 10.00
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2014: 3.843
     2030: 4.170
     2060: 4.420
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2014: 7.806
     2030: 8.047
     2060: 8.194