Country Profile - Ireland      IFs Version 7.37
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Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
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     Forecast Categories for Ireland
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Ireland -
Population - Million People - -
     2018: 4.723
     2030: 4.866
     2060: 5.260
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2018: 0.008
     2030: 0.341
     2060: 0.027
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2018: 12.51
     2030: 10.92
     2060: 10.36
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2018: 6.691
     2030: 8.217
     2060: 11.64
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2018: 2.423
     2030: 1.631
     2060: 0.866
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2018: 81.88
     2030: 83.73
     2060: 86.63
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2018: 79.84
     2030: 81.67
     2060: 84.59
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2018: 83.89
     2030: 85.76
     2060: 88.65
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2018: 1.934
     2030: 1.900
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2018: 0.166
     2030: 0.138
     2060: 0.045
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2018: 0.328
     2030: 0.253
     2060: 0.268
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2018: 1.021
     2030: 0.817
     2060: 0.836
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2018: 3.014
     2030: 3.094
     2060: 3.089
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2018: 0.689
     2030: 0.955
     2060: 1.334
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2018: 3.040
     2030: 3.448
     2060: 4.141
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2018: 0.418
     2030: 0.316
     2060: 0.232
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2018: 45.30
     2030: 47.59
     2060: 49.54

Health Forecast for Ireland -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2018: 17.93
     2030: 19.29
     2060: 17.51
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2018: 23.19
     2030: 22.71
     2060: 21.71
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2018: 1.934
     2030: 1.825
     2060: 2.071
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2018: 2.335
     2030: 2.438
     2060: 6.964
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2018: 2.087
     2030: 1.531
     2060: 1.382

Education Forecast for Ireland -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2018: 102.4
     2030: 101.3
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2018: 95.76
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2018: 109.3
     2030: 111.2
     2060: 100.0
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2018: 134.6
     2030: 122.6
     2060: 100.0
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2018: 83.29
     2030: 83.69
     2060: 93.99
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2018: 13.09
     2030: 13.93
     2060: 15.72
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2018: 100.0
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Forecast for Ireland
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2018: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2018: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2018: 1.000
     2030: 1.000
     2060: 1.000
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2018: 1.108
     2030: 1.061
     2060: 0.918
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2018: 3,686
     2030: 3,788
     2060: 3,654
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2018: -1.002
     2030: -0.844
     2060: -0.748
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2018: 1.158
     2030: 1.330
     2060: 1.548

Economy Forecast for Ireland
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2018: 329.4
     2030: 484.0
     2060: 702.9
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2018: 380.0
     2030: 547.8
     2060: 759.8
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2018: 69.74
     2030: 99.46
     2060: 133.6
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2018: 0.327
     2030: 0.340
     2060: 0.328
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2018: 66.84
     2030: 60.52
     2060: 55.45
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2018: 61.39
     2030: 66.40
     2060: 76.26

Energy Forecast for Ireland
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2018: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Ireland
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2018: 0.010
     2030: 0.010
     2060: 0.008

International Politics Forecast for Ireland
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2018: 0.209
     2030: 0.252
     2060: 0.208

Domestic Government Forecast for Ireland
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2018: 14.00
     2030: 14.00
     2060: 14.00
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2018: 19.99
     2030: 20.00
     2060: 20.00
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2018: 8.603
     2030: 10.00
     2060: 10.00
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2018: 4.184
     2030: 4.425
     2060: 4.664
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2018: 8.255
     2030: 8.441
     2060: 8.595