Country Profile - Ireland      IFs Version 7.15
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Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
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     Forecast Categories for Ireland
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Ireland -
Population - Million People - -
     2015: 4.722
     2030: 5.247
     2060: 5.815
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2015: 0.969
     2030: 0.575
     2060: 0.067
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2015: 14.42
     2030: 11.71
     2060: 10.59
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2015: 6.693
     2030: 7.841
     2060: 11.13
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2015: 3.214
     2030: 2.078
     2060: 1.159
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2015: 80.67
     2030: 82.71
     2060: 85.32
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2015: 78.23
     2030: 80.15
     2060: 82.34
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2015: 83.08
     2030: 85.24
     2060: 88.22
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2015: 1.917
     2030: 1.900
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2015: 0.122
     2030: 0.099
     2060: 0.032
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2015: 0.428
     2030: 0.356
     2060: 0.367
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2015: 1.022
     2030: 0.932
     2060: 0.943
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2015: 3.100
     2030: 3.392
     2060: 3.430
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2015: 0.600
     2030: 0.924
     2060: 1.443
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2015: 2.995
     2030: 3.477
     2060: 4.128
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2015: 0.482
     2030: 0.485
     2060: 0.449
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2015: 45.68
     2030: 48.09
     2060: 49.63

Health Forecast for Ireland -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2015: 15.17
     2030: 15.35
     2060: 13.76
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2015: 24.30
     2030: 23.57
     2060: 23.17
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2015: 10.59
     2030: 10.24
     2060: 7.809
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2015: 12.18
     2030: 15.75
     2060: 16.90
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2015: 4.677
     2030: 3.834
     2060: 1.265

Education Forecast for Ireland -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2015: 104.8
     2030: 101.9
     2060: 99.64
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2015: 96.14
     2030: 98.18
     2060: 99.17
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2015: 106.1
     2030: 101.0
     2060: 98.40
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2015: 128.5
     2030: 101.9
     2060: 93.45
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2015: 64.48
     2030: 65.91
     2060: 65.33
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2015: 11.93
     2030: 12.71
     2060: 14.09
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2015: 100.0
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Ireland
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2015: 0.003
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2015: 0.007
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2015: 0.981
     2030: 1.000
     2060: 1.000
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2015: 4.060
     2030: 5.058
     2060: 3.987
Calories per capita available - Available per Person per Day - -
     2015: 3,598
     2030: 3,613
     2060: 3,475
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2015: -0.973
     2030: -0.813
     2060: -0.801
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2015: 1.173
     2030: 1.322
     2060: 1.384

Economy Forecast for Ireland
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2015: 205.5
     2030: 331.3
     2060: 492.0
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2015: 234.2
     2030: 369.4
     2060: 525.6
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2015: 43.52
     2030: 63.14
     2060: 84.61
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2015: 0.301
     2030: 0.311
     2060: 0.314
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2015: 62.75
     2030: 63.63
     2060: 58.50
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2015: 57.63
     2030: 66.36
     2060: 71.37

Energy Forecast for Ireland
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2015: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Ireland
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2015: 0.011
     2030: 0.013
     2060: 0.011

International Politics Forecast for Ireland
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2015: 0.136
     2030: 0.133
     2060: 0.083

Domestic Government Forecast for Ireland
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2015: 14.00
     2030: 14.00
     2060: 14.00
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2015: 19.98
     2030: 20.00
     2060: 20.00
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2015: 8.125
     2030: 10.00
     2060: 10.00
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2015: 3.856
     2030: 4.121
     2060: 4.370
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2015: 7.815
     2030: 8.005
     2060: 8.152