Country Profile - Ireland      IFs Version 7.24
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Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
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     Forecast Categories for Ireland
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Ireland -
Population - Million People - -
     2016: 4.771
     2030: 5.227
     2060: 5.725
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2016: 0.960
     2030: 0.539
     2060: 0.013
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2016: 13.80
     2030: 11.41
     2060: 10.46
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2016: 6.296
     2030: 7.918
     2060: 11.44
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2016: 2.562
     2030: 1.717
     2060: 1.020
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2016: 81.54
     2030: 83.37
     2060: 85.71
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2016: 79.39
     2030: 81.09
     2060: 83.05
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2016: 83.69
     2030: 85.64
     2060: 88.34
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2016: 1.972
     2030: 1.900
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2016: 0.171
     2030: 0.148
     2060: 0.055
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2016: 0.348
     2030: 0.286
     2060: 0.296
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2016: 1.036
     2030: 0.895
     2060: 0.915
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2016: 3.092
     2030: 3.362
     2060: 3.362
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2016: 0.642
     2030: 0.970
     2060: 1.449
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2016: 2.977
     2030: 3.438
     2060: 4.097
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2016: 0.464
     2030: 0.472
     2060: 0.438
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2016: 45.04
     2030: 47.72
     2060: 49.57

Health Forecast for Ireland -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2016: 15.57
     2030: 16.31
     2060: 15.13
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2016: 23.20
     2030: 22.89
     2060: 22.56
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2016: 10.39
     2030: 9.127
     2060: 6.775
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2016: 10.94
     2030: 14.75
     2060: 15.96
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2016: 4.400
     2030: 3.348
     2060: 2.669

Education Forecast for Ireland -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2016: 102.7
     2030: 99.15
     2060: 99.87
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2016: 95.34
     2030: 96.46
     2060: 99.54
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 114.2
     2030: 101.0
     2060: 98.73
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 136.6
     2030: 118.2
     2060: 112.0
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 72.86
     2030: 70.22
     2060: 67.63
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2016: 11.93
     2030: 12.45
     2060: 13.36
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2016: 100.0
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Ireland
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2016: 0.001
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2016: 0.002
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2016: 0.997
     2030: 1.000
     2060: 1.000
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2016: 4.334
     2030: 4.554
     2060: 3.504
Calories per capita available - Total - Available per Person per Day - -
     2016: 3,773
     2030: 3,835
     2060: 3,737
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2016: -1.015
     2030: -0.833
     2060: -0.796
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2016: 1.145
     2030: 1.330
     2060: 1.455

Economy Forecast for Ireland
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 257.5
     2030: 393.1
     2060: 520.1
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 289.5
     2030: 434.2
     2060: 553.6
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 53.97
     2030: 75.20
     2060: 90.83
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2016: 0.326
     2030: 0.319
     2060: 0.343
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2016: 72.80
     2030: 63.54
     2060: 60.13
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2016: 55.60
     2030: 57.52
     2060: 64.99

Energy Forecast for Ireland
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2016: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Ireland
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2016: 0.011
     2030: 0.013
     2060: 0.010

International Politics Forecast for Ireland
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2016: 0.167
     2030: 0.179
     2060: 0.136

Domestic Government Forecast for Ireland
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2016: 14.00
     2030: 14.00
     2060: 14.00
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2016: 19.99
     2030: 20.00
     2060: 20.00
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2016: 8.212
     2030: 10.00
     2060: 10.00
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2016: 4.168
     2030: 4.378
     2060: 4.506
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2016: 7.955
     2030: 8.126
     2060: 8.221